Stephen Nover - Spurs (NBA 7-0-2 Last 9)
11-13-12
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Accuscore
Cavs/Nets O196 4*
Spurs/Lakers O195 4*Comment
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Jack Jones
15* Kentucky/Duke ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on Duke -3
The Kentucky Wildcats are way over-hyped coming into the season. They won the National Championship last year, and now they have a TV show about them on ESPN heading into the 2012-13 campaign. They can't live up to the hype, and that will be reflected against the point spreads early in the season.
Kentucky loses all five starters from last season. Sure, John Calipari is an excellent recruiter, but you just don't replace the five guys they lost. They will have to replace 92 percent of last year's offense with another freshman class.
"I like our talent. I like our size. I like our length. We have some guys with pretty good speed," Calipari said. "We're just not a good basketball team right now. Too many young guys that we're trying to bring along."
Duke returns four starters from a team that averaged 77.3 points/game last season. The key to this season's team will be senior forward Mason Plumlee, who chose not to enter the NBA Draft after a season in which he averaged nearly a double-double (11.1 PPG, 9.2 RPG). He is joined in the frontcourt by senior Ryan Kelly, who can stretch defenses as a long-range shooter (41% threes).
The backcourt is led by senior Seth Curry, but with Austin Rivers gone, he has returned to his more natural position off the ball, where he thrives with a better than 40% three-point stroke in his Duke career.
Kentucky barely squeaked by Maryland 72-69 in its opener, and it is an underdog for a good reason here. The Wildcats are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games. Kentucky is 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 vs. ACC foes. Take Duke
20* NBA Tuesday GAME OF THE NIGHT on Orlando Magic +7
The Orlando Magic should not be catching 7 points at home Tuesday. This is a team that came into the season undervalued due to the Dwight Howard trade, and that hasn't changed through the first few weeks of the 2012-13 campaign.
The New York Knicks are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers due to their 4-0 start. This will only be their second road game of the season, and they shouldn't be favored by 7 points away from home against almost any team in this league.
Orlando has gone a very profitable 4-2 ATS in its six games this year. Off four straight losses, the Magic will be the more motivated team heading into this one. Three of those four losses have come on the road, and there's no question that this skid has them undervalued right now.
This play falls into a system that is 38-11 (77.6%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games.
The Magic are 19-6 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game since 1996. They are winning in this spot by an average of 4.7 points/game. Orlando is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Bet the MagicComment
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Seabass Tuesday-all for 50 units
College:
Kansas
Northeastern
VCU
Long Beach State
BYU
Duke
NBA:
Portland
IndianaComment
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The Prez
Michigan St / Kansas OverComment
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THE TROPHY CLUB FROM THE SWAMI GROUP
NBA PLAY-# 505 toronto under 185-
7 unit-medium size playComment
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StraightupWinners Sharp - Kyle Brown
Sports Picks, Tuesday November 13th, 2012
Play of the Day
Portland (2-5) vs. Sacramento (2-5) 10p.m.
5 Stars Under 196.5 @ 5Dimes
When the Sacramento Kings host the Portland Trailblazers, they will be doing so without Demarcus Cousins who is serving a suspension for confronting Spurs announcer Sean Elliot after an 11 point loss. The Trailblazers should have no problem taking advantage inside as the Cousins suspension leaves the Kings minus one body in the post to contend with LaMarcus Aldridge and J.J. Hickson. The last thing Sacramento needs is to be down a post defender and scorer, which is one of the main reasons the Under is the play in this game. The Kings have crossed the 100 point plateau as a team just once this season with everyone in their lineup and Portland has managed to score over 100 points twice. The Under play is 6-1 in Portland’s last 7 games versus teams with losing records and 5-0 in Sacramento’s last 5 games versus a teams with losing records. Neither team has performed very well to this point, so I’m expecting a combined score below 190 in this one.Comment
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Dr Bob 3* RichmondComment
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Tampasports
nets/cleve- over total
san antonio -1
long beach st +8
duke -4
misst st -5.5Comment
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Paul Leiner:
1000* CBB Over 129.5 Michigan State/Kansas
100* NBA Over 188 Knicks/Magic
50* CBB St Johns -4Comment
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Mike Davis
VCU
Lamar
Georgia State
LehighComment
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The Dukes Sports
2 Units San Antonio -1Comment
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Maddux Sports
- NBA - 10 units on Washington +2
- NBA - 10 units on San Antonio -1
- NCAAB - 10 units on BYU -14Comment
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