11-15-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Laverty

Providence +9 (2U)
PC/UMass Under 150.5 (2U)
St. Johns +4.5 (2U)
Oregon State +2.5 (2.5U)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharky's Sports

Akron +4.5 (-108) for 3 units
I think this match-up works in Akron’s favor in terms of style of play, and I think they keep this one close throughout and potentially pull through at the end. Akron is returning 4 out of 5 starters from a relatively successful team last year that really came full circle towards the end of the season last year, and I think they will be fired up for this game as it’s a chance to make a big statement early in the year against an Oklahoma State team which I personally think is very mediocre. Akron’s strength lies in their versatility; this is a team who loves to get out and run, but also can find good looks in the flow of an offense. Akron is exceptional from downtown (last year they shot 37% from 3 and are returning their main shooters this year), and equally as efficient at defending the 3 (they held opponents last year to a mere 30% from downtown in a conference known to have solid shooters). However, like I just mentioned, this team is extremely dynamic and even if their 3’s aren’t dropping in this match-up against Oklahoma State, they have a force down low in Zeke Marshall who they can work the inside-out game off of. Anyone who knows anything about Akron basketball knows that Zeke Marshall is a major impact player, not necessarily because of his numbers but because this 7 footer lead the nation in blocked shots last season. This is especially crucial in this match-up because with the loss of Keiton Paige, Oklahoma State has been much less reliant on the long ball and have been working inside off their bigs. If Zeke is able to stay out of foul trouble )which has always been his achilles heal but coach Keith Dambrot seems to have really emphasized this to Zeke early in the season as he only has 4 total fouls over their first two games), they he will create nightmares for Oklahoma State bigs, who won’t see many clean looks. If Zeke is able to clog up the lane like he is accustomed to, then Oklahoma State will have to resort to the outside game, and as I previously mentioned they are shaky from downtown this year, Akron is solid at defending the 3, and also missed 3’s lead to fast-breaks, which plays right into the hands of Akron’s style. Both teams love to run and are very turnover prone, so I see a sloppy game here, but I don’t think Oklahoma State has enough of an edge this early in the season to justify laying the points here on a neutral court. I think this game goes down to the last few possessions, and in that case we are getting +4.5 points.

Baylor -12 (-105) for 2 units
Baylor’s highly touted freshman center Isiah Austin is questionable for this game as he sprained his ankle in their opener against Lehigh and sat out in their last game. I think the line is an over-exaggeration to this uncertainty, and for that reason I see value in Baylor. Baylor is the far superior team athletically, and it’s not even close. The way they have dominated their first two games, combined with the extreme youth of Boston College (their starting line-up is comprised of all freshmen and sophomores) leads me to predict that BC will come out intimidated here, and when Baylor smells fear, it’s all over. Boston College is a very turnover prone team who shot very poorly from downtown in their home opener win against FIU. The one huge bright spot was the 29 points and 17 boards by sophomore Ryan Anderson, but this was against an FIU team that lost their only decent big man in Dejuan Wright. Things will be completely different against Baylor (with or without Austin), and I see Anderson really struggling with their length down low as he’s not particularly athletic or physical (he’s more of a finesse player). If he is out of his element down low with the physicality and athleticism of Baylor, Boston College will have to get production elsewhere, and that is a huge task to ask underclassmen against a ruthless and hungry Baylor team. This Baylor team may be short-handed compared to the squad they had last year, but don’t let that fool you they can flat out play. I think they pull away by 15+ here without Austin, and if Austin is able to see the court, I see this as a 20 point victory.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Dolphins +2

100* Arizona -8

100* Oklahoma State -4

50* Over 193.5 Knicks/Spurs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

North Carolina/ Virginia Over 61: This North Carolina defense is having a rough time of late as they have allowed 544 ypg and 45.3 ppg in their last 3 games. The Carolina defense has been very bad vs the pass over that stretch, allowing 317 ypg through the air and they will be facing one of the better pass offenses in the league in Virginia. The Cavs have really had a nice passing game this year as they have averaged 284 ypg (33rd in nation) through the air this year, while at home they have averaged 327.2 ypg passing. They should have another solid passing day in this and they will have to if they hope to keep pace with this high powered Carolina attack. The Heels come in ranked 15th in total offense (488.7 ypg) and 10th in scoring offense (40.5 ppg). This is a balanced offense that ranks 29th in the nation in passing (287.7 ypg) and 30th in rushing (201 ypg). Carolina does run a very quick no-huddle offense, which will tire out a defense and that should allow them to put up plenty of points on this tough Virginia defense. The Cavs defense is tough overall, but last week they did allow Miami 420 yards and 40 points and this Carolina offense is much better than the Canes. ESPN should be glad to have this game as it will be a fun one, with both teams topping the 30 point mark.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NFL MIAMI at BUFFALO

Play Against - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (BUFFALO) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games, in November games.
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA MIAMI at DENVER

Play On - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) extremely tired team - playing their 4rd road game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season.
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

NBA BOSTON at BROOKLYN

Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BOSTON) extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, first half of the season.
100-57 since 1997. ( 63.7% 42.2 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.2 units )

NBA MIAMI at DENVER

Play On - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MIAMI) good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=33%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
57-25 since 1997. ( 69.5% 29.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB SAM HOUSTON ST at INDIANA

Play Against - Home favorites of 20 or more points (INDIANA) after a win by 10 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent.
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

CBB BAYLOR at BOSTON COLLEGE

Play On - Any team (BAYLOR) after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season.
173-94 since 1997. ( 64.8% 47.5 units )

CBB SOUTHERN MISS at GEORGIA

Play Against - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (SOUTHERN MISS) after a win by 6 points or less, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season.
130-72 since 1997. ( 64.4% 50.8 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

New York at San Antonio

The Knicks look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games against Western Conference teams. New York is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (+5). Here are all of today's picks

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 15 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Boston at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.162; Brooklyn 122.597 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3; 192 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-3); Under

Game 503-504: New York at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 124.434; San Antonio 126.959 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 197 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 193 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New York (+5); Over

Game 505-506: Miami at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 124.350; Denver 122.586 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Villanova vs. Purdue

The Wildcats look to take advantage of a Purdue team that is coming off a 83-54 win over Hofstra and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Villanova is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Boilermakers favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 15 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 507-508: Illinois State at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 60.409; Drexel 69.109 Dunkel Line: Drexel by 8 1/2; 122 Vegas Line: Drexel by 6 1/2; 127 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-6 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Southern Mississippi at Georgia (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 58.303; Georgia 60.885 Dunkel Line: Georgia by 2 1/2; 130 Vegas Line: Georgia by 4; 125 Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+4); Over

Game 511-512: Valparaiso at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 61.769; Nebraska 54.696 Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 7 Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 5 Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-5)

Game 513-514: SMU at TCU (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SMU 56.082; TCU 61.826 Dunkel Line: TCU by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: TCU by 4 Dunkel Pick: TCU (-4)

Game 515-516: St. Mary's (CA) at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 63.521; Utah State 58.396 Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 5 Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 4 Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-4)

Game 517-518: UTEP at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 58.637; Arizona 64.122 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 5 1/2; 133 Vegas Line: Arizona by 8 1/2; 127 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+8 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: James Madison at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 50.586; UCLA 65.673 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 15 Vegas Line: UCLA by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+16 1/2)

Game 521-522: Akron vs. Oklahoma State (10:30 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Akron 56.857; Oklahoma State 62.629 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 6; 133 Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 4 1/2; 138 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-4 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: NC-Asheville vs. Tennessee (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NC-Asheville 57.382; Tennessee 61.821 Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2; 144 Vegas Line: Tennessee by 10; 138 Dunkel Pick: NC-Asheville (+10); Over

Game 525-526: NC State vs. Penn State (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NC State 68.303; Penn State 59.659 Dunkel Line: NC State by 8 1/2; 142 Vegas Line: NC State by 12 1/2; 136 Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+12 1/2); Over

Game 527-528: Providence vs. Massachusetts (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Providence 54.818; Massachusetts 64.668 Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 10; 147 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 9; 150 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-9); Under

Game 529-530: Dayton vs. Colorado (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 62.311; Colorado 63.440 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 Vegas Line: Colorado by 3 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+3)

Game 531-532: Baylor vs. Boston College (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 71.647; Boston College 50.772 Dunkel Line: Baylor by 21; 136 Vegas Line: Baylor by 12 1/2; 139 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-12 1/2); Under

Game 533-534: St. John's at College of Charleston (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 56.766; College of Charleston 62.228 Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 5 1/2; 145 Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 4 1/2; 140 Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-4 1/2); Over

Game 535-536: Murray State vs. Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 64.153; Auburn 58.293 Dunkel Line: Murray State by 6 Vegas Line: Murray State by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-4 1/2)

Game 537-538: NC Central vs. Southern (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NC Central 48.605; Southern 39.758 Dunkel Line: NC Central by 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 539-540: South Dakota at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 48.621; Wyoming 61.947 Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 541-542: Alabama vs. Oregon State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 64.987; Oregon State 60.640 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 4 1/2; 133 Vegas Line: Alabama by 2 1/2; 137 Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-2 1/2); Under

Game 543-544: Villanova vs. Purdue (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 65.391; Purdue 66.327 Dunkel Line: Purdue by 1; 142 Vegas Line: Purdue by 2 1/2; 138 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+2 1/2); Over

Game 545-546: Tulsa vs. Northern Kentucky (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 60.419; Northern Kentucky 45.672 Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 15 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 547-548: CS-Northridge at San Diego (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 46.501; San Diego 59.632 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 13 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 549-550: Buffalo at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 55.915; Evansville 60.809 Dunkel Line: Evansville by 5 Vegas Line: Evansville by 8 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+8)

Game 551-552: Samford at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Samford 45.097; Louisville 73.645 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 28 1/2 Vegas Line: Louisville by 31 Dunkel Pick: Samford (+31)

Game 553-554: Chattanooga at Kansas (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 45.676; Kansas 77.427 Dunkel Line: Kansas by 32 Vegas Line: Kansas by 27 Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-27)

Game 555-556: Western Carolina at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 53.276; Wichita State 73.126 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 20 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 17 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-17 1/2)

Game 557-558: Tennessee State at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 54.931; Minnesota 68.411 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Minnesota by 15 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+15)

Game 559-560: Northern Colorado at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 47.413; Cal Poly 56.410 Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 9 Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Call Poly (-2 1/2)

Game 561-562: Idaho State at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 42.760; Portland 54.479 Dunkel Line: Portland by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Portland by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Portland (-10 1/2)

Game 563-564: Weber State at San Jose State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 54.180; San Jose State 53.201 Dunkel Line: Weber State by 1 Vegas Line: Weber State by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+4 1/2)

Game 5671-572: Sam Houston State at Indiana (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sam Houston State 46.449; Indiana 76.434 Dunkel Line: Indiana by 30 Vegas Line: Indiana by 31 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Sam Houston State (+31 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLPredictions

Kevin

8-1 last 2 weeks in the NFL

2 UNIT 6-Point Teaser = DOLPHINS +7.5 and BRONCOS -1.5 (-120)
(Note: I'm risking 2.40 units to win 2.00 units)


--Notes: I bet this at Bookmaker.eu (you click on the dropdown menu that says "straight" and select teaser). At 5dimes.eu teasers can be found along the left hand side and because of how 5dimes has this shaded you will need to most likely click 6.5 point teaser "ties win" and not "ties reduce". If you don't understand just email me with any questions.


Because this is a Thursday night game I will give out the Miami write up right now, and then the Broncos write up with the other write ups tomorrow or Friday. The Dolphins enter Thursday's game with a 4-5 record and 2-3 record on the road. They've lost two straight after winning three straight, with their latest a brutal 37-3 loss to the Titans. Their last game wasn't who the Dolphins have been this year, as neither their offense or defense showed up. The Dolphins had allowed 24 or fewer points against in all 8 games before Sunday. Buffalo enters the game 3-6 and 1-2 at home. They've lost 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 games. Although they covered the spread in New England, the Bills have been playing poor football, allowing 21+ points against in 5 of their last 6 and 35+ points against in 4 of those games. Offensively the Bills rank higher than the Dolphins, but Buffalo is 31st in the league defensively allowing 410 yards against per game and last in the NFL allowing 31.7 points against per game (11 more papg than Miami is allowing). The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs divisional opponents and beat the Bills both times they met last season. The Dolphins are also 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall and 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. Buffalo is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs divisional opponents. Over the last few years the Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in these two teams last 8 meetings. Thursday should be a close game, and the Dolphins have a good shot at pulling off an upset. Take them in the first leg of the teaser getting 7.5.


2 UNIT = Arizona Cardinals @ Atlanta Falcons - FALCONS -9.5 (-101)
(Note: I'm risking 2.02 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = Cleveland Browns @ Dallas Cowboys - BROWNS +8 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans - TEXANS -15 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = New Orleans Saints @ Oakland Raiders - SAINTS -4.5 (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.12 units to win 2.00 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4_Seasons Power Play of the Day YTD record 3-2
Minnesota -15.5 (CBB)
Indiana -31 (CBB)

Power Play Leans YTD record 6-2
Colorado -3 (CBB)
Wichita St. -17 (CBB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Iskoe

Thursday, Nov. 15

Dolphins +1 at Bills (45½): The Bills rank last in the NFL in allowing 31.7 points per game and second to last in allowing 410 yards per game. Miami is much better defensively although the Dolphin offense is bottom third. This would seem to be a favorable spot for the Bills but the low line suggests the lines makers think otherwise. MIAMI.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Ball @ Gaming Today

Thursday, Nov. 15

Dolphins +1 at Bills: Both teams have lost two straight. I believe the Bills might do just enough to punch out a much needed win. Tannehill started stronger than expected, but may be losing a bit of his confidence. The offense has given the ball away four times against the Titans and the Fish are off back-to-back losses. BILLS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks November 15, 2012 6:41 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

Buffalo Bills -2

NCAA Football

Virginia +3½

NBA Basketball

New York Knicks/San Antonio Spurs UNDER 192

NCAA Basketball

Drexel -6

Southern Miss +4½

Utep +8

Massachusetts -8½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks

North Carolina at Virginia

The Cavaliers look to take advantage of a North Carolina team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 road games. Virginia is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+3 1/2). Here are all of the this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 15 Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (11/13)

Game 307-308: North Carolina at Virginia (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 86.732; Virginia 94.373 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 7 1/2; 65 Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 61 Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+3 1/2); Over