11-16-12

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Pick Monitor/Line POD 11/16
Rutgers +7

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ocal
baylor -5.5

(4) HAW @ AF Under 61

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4_Seasons Power Play of the Day YTD record 5-2
OKLAHOMA -8.5

Power Play Leans YTD record 7-3
Loyola Chicago -2
CS Northridge -1.5
E. Michigan -12.5
Harvard -8
Mississippi -15.5
Washington St. -10

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Winning Points

best bet pro baskets

detroit pistons

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Norms Clubhouse

College

Friday: Florida Atl. -1 1/2 Florida Int.

[DaKid]

Never Win Sports

Utah Jazz +1.5
Houston Rockets +2
Phoenix Suns +9.5

Lol these guys Must get a ton of business with a name like that

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Robert Ferringo

3-Unit Play. Take #734 Oregon (-6.5) over Vanderbilt (11 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
I got screwed last year with the Ducks failing to cover a 12-point line down in Vanderbilt last year. (Damn you Jabari Brown!) But I am coming back here in the revenge spot. Vanderbilt is completely rebuilding and lost its stop seven scorers from last year's team. They are starting from scratch and they are facing a veteran Oregon team that has a lot of pieces and a lot of guys that are accomplished college players. Vanderbilt's top scorer from last year averaged just 2.4 points per game. They have no experience, limited size, and not much depth. Oregon has played deceptively well in its first two games, taking a 10-point and an 18-point lead at the half in their first two contests before getting the bench some work. It also seems like a small thing, but Vandy has played just one game (this is Oregon's third) and that was a week ago. Now they are on the road against a team with revenge on the brain. I think this is a solid spot for a big Oregon win.

2-Unit Play. Take #731 Pacific (+5) over Fresno State (10 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
Fresno State scored just 39 points in its last game. That is not a misprint. They barely beat a very bad UC-Riverside team and prior to that they were impressive, but not outstanding, against Texas. Pacific has beaten Fresno State in two of the last three years and they have revenge for an eight-point home loss last season. The road team has actually won four straight in this annual meeting and six of the last eight have been taken by the visitor so the home court won't be a bid edge. Pacific has all five starters back from last year's team and added in some new talent. They are better than that team that lost last year. Fresno is not. The Bulldogs are not strong on the interior, and if you are the team from the bigger conference but can't dominate the post that negates a lot of your edge. I see this being a one possession game one way or another and this is a game our side can win outright.

2-Unit Play. Take #752 St. John's (+4) over Murray State (5:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
I know everyone is excited about Murray State, but I am absolutely unimpressed with their blowout win over Auburn. Auburn is pathetic. They are just an absolutely dumpster fire so Murray should've beaten them by that much. But St. John's can play. They beat a very good Detroit team that I think is better than Murray State and they will relish the challenge of trying to slow down Isaiah Caanan. The Red Storm was impressive yesterday while dismantling the hosts and I definitely think that they can win this game outright.

2-Unit Play. Take #764 Loyola-Chicago (-3) over Western Michigan (5 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
Maybe I'm reading too much into Loyola's win over Toledo. But I think that is a good sign for a somewhat undervalued team. Western Michigan is still picking up the pieces and they are relying on a really unproven, untested core of players. I think that Loyola is the better team from the better conference, and if Iowa transfer Cully Payne can pull his head out then I think Loyola will have three really solid offensive options. This game is on a neutral court but I think that it will be all Loyola.

2-Unit Play. Take #725 Oklahoma (-8) over UT-Arlington (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
I would be worried about some teams playing their first game on the road. But not Oklahoma. This team has five senior starters that shouldn't be fazed by being in a new gym. Arlington is a former Southland school that, once again, is dealing with a lot of turnover on the roster. They have just two starters back from last year and they have a lot of things to figure out. Their top scorer is a transfer that couldn't get off the bench at Texas Tech (who was awful while he was there). I don't think that this team is going to be able to handle a full roster of Big 12 talent.

1-Unit Play. Take #777 Notre Dame (-3) over St. Joseph's (9:30 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
If St. Joseph's had Carl Jones I would just stay away from this game. But I don't think that the Hawks can pull the upset over a very good Big East team without its best player. Jones is sitting the third game of a three-game suspension and I don't know how the Hawks are going to replace his scoring and ability. I am not going to make a habit of betting against the Hawks, but I think that this line is a little short considering they are without their best player again.

2-Unit Play. Take #730 Pepperdine (+8) over Washington State (10 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
1-Unit Play. Take #723 California (-1) over Denver (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
1-Unit Play. Take #737 Illinois (-7.5) over Hawaii (11:59 p.m., Friday, Nov. 16)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #749 Boston College (+9.5) over Dayton (3 p.m.) AND Take #790 UW-Green Bay (-4) over Southern Utah (11:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #742 Akron (-3.5) over UNC-Asheville (1 p.m.) AND Take #725 Oklahoma (-3) over UT-Arlington (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #744 N.C. State (-2.5) over Massachusetts (5 p.m.) AND Take #731 Pacific (+10) over Fresno State (10 p.m.)

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Northcoast

Marquee - air force -21.5

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Youngstown Connection
Date: Friday November 16, 2012
$25.00 NCAA Guaranteed Selection #1

#750 Dayton -3.5 3PM Eastern

Line from Heritage

Line as of 115PM Eastern 11/16/12

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Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #799. Take Eastern Illinois +10.5 over Eastern Michigan (Friday @ 7pm est).

3-Unit Play. #806. Take St. Peter's +7 over Cornell (Friday @ 8pm est).

These two teams have not met since 2006. But, you have to admire the level of competition Eastern Illinois has played thus far against the likes of against Bradley on the road and most recently Wright State at home. This team has a new head coach in Jay Spoonhour after longtime coach Mike Miller exited. This team has three primarily players including Miller, Hollowell and McKinne who should all be important contributors today. Combine this with the fact that this is a lot of respect for a Eastern Michigan team that likes a slow pace type of game. This team beat Rochester who is not a division one school 66-52 at home and Eastern Illinois is better than Rochester as they are at least division one and top 320. This team played a competitive game against Jacksonville on the road as well losing 61-54. So, this comes down to Eastern Michigan putting up their fair share of points of 60-66 in this game. Eastern Illinois should put up their fair share of points as they put up 53 against a better Bradley team on the road. So, look for a contest that is around 56-62 which is where I have this game and for us to get 10.5 points in this margin is worth it in my opinion for these reasons. The goal is to look for edges in games and to help you make money. And, we try to look for as many edges as we possibly can in educated guesses to help make money for clients. St. Peter's deserves respect for beating Rutgers who is a top 75 team on the road 56-52. Then, this team beat a Central Connecticut team by just a few points as they were probably looking ahead to the contest against Cornell. Cornell is a very good team. Having said that, they are a top 200 team and given that St. Peter's is bringing back 4 important starters from last year, given their success against Rutgers, I like them to continue to play well here against Cornell for the Outright win. Cornell beat a top 250 team in Western Michigan by 8 points and St. Peter is a top 200 team. So, with the low scoring potential of this game, the 7 points are likely useful and St. Peter should be with this team the whole way as I have this game around a 65-63 type of contest.

4-Unit Play. #708. Take Under 185 OKC Thunder vs. New Orleans Hornets (Friday @ 8:05pm est).

4-Unit Play. #713. Take Atlanta Hawks -2 over Sacramento Kings (Friday @ 10:05pm est).

I'm not a huge fan of taking public favorites but we take Atlanta here on the road against Sacramento. I like the fact the Hawks come off a loss against a decent Golden State and now looks to rebound on the road against Sacramento. Atlanta is a top 15 power ranking team in the power rankings and their losses come to other top 20 teams such as the Warriors, Clippers, Miami and Houston. Sacramento is in the bottom 25 rankings and they have to beat a team and although they did beat Golden State at home, they typically don't do well against top 20 teams such as losing to Portland by double-digits. Sacramento also has Brooklyn on the horizon in their next game so they could be looking ahead to that contest as well. Atlanta typically does coming off a loss and I look for them to do well defensively as usual today which is the norm for a Larry Drew coached team. As per the Thunder, they had a terrible defensive performance against Memphis at home. I'm sure that was well discussed and they will to have a better defensive performance against the Hornets. The Hornets are the third best defensive team in the league and given that both of these teams just gave up 100+ points in their last game, I look for this game to likely be defensive today. The last time when this team faced a similar spread on the road against a similar team like Detroit, the final score was 92-90 for the Thunder so I wouldn't be surprised if this game has the same type of tendency especially on a Friday Night. This is also a decent public fade as well.

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ATSSPORTLINES
30 days for $30
2* UNDER 51 Florida International/Florida Atlantic, 8pmET

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Goldsheet Key release

Florida Atlantic by 13

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Lee Earnest NBA

GS +1.5
ATL -2

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NESS

cbb triple play
n.dame
n.c.st.
wake forest

nba sit gom--okla city

cfb showdown--fla atl

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Big Al
BIG AL's 100% (16-0 ATS) NCAA HOOPS ROADKILL ROUT!
Utah

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OKC

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Air Force