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60 Percent Guaranteed Saturday 11/17
Florida st. -31
Houston/Marshall Under 75
Michigan -17
Nebraska-20.5
East Carolina Over 61
Wisconsin-2
Ohio st. Under 52
Missouri-5.5
Kansas +4.5
Kansas St. -12.5
My 150 Dime College Footbcll Winner for Saturday is going to be on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders, in an easy conferqence blowout of the South Alabama Jaguars. As I release this game at 11 p.m. eastorn time Friday, I see the line on this game as Middle Tennessee State -7, -105 at most sports books in Las Vegas and Offshore.
Point Spread Note: I want you to spend the extra dime to buy the half point down in this game, and lay only 6.5 with the Raiders. Your price will be -115.
N. DAKOTA +16.5
TOWSON +6
DAVID -6.5
SIENA -5
WF +3.5
MARIST +9.5
LOYOLA-ILL +7
GB +3 <-was originally posted but later removed
FSU +2
TEM -12 (1st Half)
4_SEASONS Power Play of the Day YTD Record 5-3
BUFFALO -11 (CFB)
TEXAS SAN ANTONIO -6.5 (CFB)
NOTHERN IOWA -16 (CBB)
BRADLEY +3.5 (CBB)
Power Play Leans YTD record 10-6
Marshall -3.5 cfb
Kent St. +2.5 cfb
Florida St. -31 cfb
Va Tech -9.5 cfb
E. Carolina -11 cfb
Nevada -11 cfb
Oklahoma -11 cfb
Depaul -16.5 cbb
Albany -8.5 cbb
Buffalo -6.5 cbb
Columbia -10.5 cbb
Pittsburgh -19.5 cbb
Loyola Chicago +7.5 cbb
Memphis -25 cbb
Cal St Fullerton -7.5 cbb
3-Unit Play. #549. Take Western Illinois +5.5 over Evansville (Saturday @ 8:30pm est).
3-Unit Play. #554. Take St. Joseph's -1.5 over FSU (Saturday @ 9:30pm est).
Western Illinois could win this game Outright today. Early on it is difficult to know about teams but it is also time for value as well as it works both ways. It worked to our favor yesterday when went 2-0 and it has for the last several years. Western Illinois is a team that I have as top 150 in the country and possibly even top 100 depending on how you value neutral site contests such as their last win against Buffalo. They face Evansville today who come off a big win against Yale by 10 points but they have yet to beat a top 150 team. So, to get 5+ points here with a team that could win outright in a low scoring contest is one that is an opportunity for us and tough to pass up on as essentially we are getting a 5-0 lead on a game that is subject to be tight most of the way in a game that should feature two teams in the mid 50's which is worth it for us. Let's roll with the Underdog here who could do well for us. As per St. Joseph's, the are a team that is under the radar in my book. If you notice, most of the public is on FSU and yet the line has moved in St. Joe's favor (just like the Patriots game tomorrow against the Colts which is a premium selection and I expect the Pats to cover the -9 tomorrow as my models show a 12 point win). But, as per St. Joe's, the fact they beat Notre Dame is a valuable win as they were a top 25 team in my power rankings. They face a FSU team that is very young and who lost to South Alabama in the opening game - but rebounded in a big way the last two games. But, still FSU has not faced a team of St. Joseph's defensive capability who was a 20 win team last year and essentially returns everyone. There is a big difference in defense between Buffalo and BYU (the last 2 wins for FSU) as compared to St. Joseph's veteran team who has a sound defense and a capable offense.
5-Unit Play. #507. Take Over 190.5 Memphis vs. Charlotte (Saturday @ 7:35pm est).
3-Unit Play. #511. Take Over 189.5 New Orleans vs. Milwaukee (Saturday @ 8:35pm est).
3-Unit Play. #503. Take Over 192 Chicago Bulls vs. LA Clipopers (Saturday @ 9:05pm est).
Let's get to the gist of these plays. In my cumulative models that have been revamped, I have all 3 of these plays likely going over as it takes into account several elements. For starters, with Memphis coming off a huge win against New York, I look for them to have a let down here on the road against Charlotte who is playing very well. With over 70% riding the pine on Memphis after handing New York a loss on National Television, great spot for an indirect fade here. Tough to go against Memphis as they have been covering a machine lately, but I do like Charlotte to step up at home as they did against Dallas for an overtime win in a similar line. As per New Orleans, they played horrible in their last home game against OKC. It's really not their fault entirely as OKC was motivated after a tough loss to Memphis at home. It was an early season gut-check for OKC and they just demolished New Orleans. But, the Hornets are good this year and they have shown that by nearly beating the Spurs at home and giving Chicago all they can handle on the road. Milwaukee has consistently played the Over when they are 6-10 point favorites this year, so I wouldn't be surprised if the Hornets are motivated and show up in a big way today and Milwaukee is forced to keep up in what should be a high scoring affair. As per the Clippers, I like them to have a small let down after the big win over the defending champs. Beating Miami is a big deal and it will take something out of this team. Plus, Chicago comes off an overtime win over the Suns so they might be in for a small let down too. On top of that, Chicago has been a scoring machine on the road but has played substantially more defense at home. Look for Chicago to run on the road once again and the Clippers to keep pace in what should be a high scoring affair as well.
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