11-17-12

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GamingToday’s Consensus Picks November 17, 2012 6:30 AM by GT Staff

NCAA Football

Bowling Green -2

South Florida +7

Tennessee +3½

West Virginia +10½

Rice +3½

Central Florida +3½

San Jose St +3

Wisconsin -2½

Mississippi +20

Southern Miss +3½

Arizona Statea -22

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NCAA Football Play of the Day November 17, 2012 6:30 AM by GT Staff

Wake Forest +24 at Notre Dame

Twice this season the Deacs bounced back well after blowout defeats. The Irish could well be looking ahead to USC next week. Plus they are a ball control team that likes to grind up the clock, not good for covering large spreads.

WAKE FOREST.

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Celtics won five of last seven games (0-3-1 as HF).
-- Clippers won/covered their last four games. Bulls are 5-3, but 1-3 vs spread in game following a win.
-- Charlotte won its last three games; they're 4-3, after being 7-59 LY. Grizzlies won/covered their last seven games.
-- Bucks won five of their first seven games (1-1 as HF).
-- Spurs won seven of first nine games (2-1-1 as HF).
-- Heat won six of their last eight games (1-4 as HF).

Cold Teams
-- Raptors lost four of last five games (2-2 as AU).
-- Washington is 0-7 this year, losing home games by 3-10 points (1-1 as home dogs). Jazz lost six of seven road games (1-1 as road favorite).
-- Cleveland lost six of its last seven games. Mavericks lost four of last five games (0-6 vs spread last six).
-- Hornets lost three of last four games (2-0 as road underdog).
-- Denver lost last two games, by 10-5 points (2-0 as road dog).
-- Suns lost three of last four games (1-1 as home underdog).

Totals
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Boston games.
-- Three of last four Clipper games stayed under total.
-- Over is 4-2-1 in Utah's away games.
-- Three of four Memphis road games went over. Last three Bobcat tilts stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Cleveland games went over. Four of last five Dallas games stayed under total.
-- Last three New Orleans games went over the total. Under is 3-1-1 in last five Milwaukee games.
-- Three of last four Denver road games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Phoenix games went over total.

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CBB

-- Old Dominion is off to rocky 1-2 start, losing to Holy Cross/UTSA; Monarchs lost 3 starters from LY's 22-14 team, are shooting just 21.4% behind arc this year. Cleveland State won its first two games, then lost by 30 at Michigan. Horizon home favorites are 5-1 against spread.
-- Detroit had tough loss at St John's Tuesday; Titans have 3 starters back from LY's 22-14 team. Drake crushed stiff in only game this year; Bulldogs have couple talented transfers, but also lost one- they expect to pass ball better than LY's 18-16 team. MVC road underdogs are 3-1.
-- Missouri State is one of three least experienced team in country, with 9 of 13 players frosh/sophs; they're #7 pick in MVC. San Diego State lost windy game to Syracuse on ship; Aztecs have 4 starters back from LY's 26-8 team, are deep at guard. MWC favorites of 15 or less points are 0-4-1 vs spread so far this season.
-- Drexel was picked #1 in CAA, but lost pair of OT games (at Kent St, vs Illinois St) to open season; Dragons didn't play Penn LY but beat them by 21 in last meeting in '11. Quakers lost last two games, by 15, by 9 to Fairfield. Ivy League underdogs are 2-5-1 against the spread.

-- SMU upgraded in coach with 71-year old Brown; they won first two games over LMU/TCU, allowing 58-61 points. Texas State won opener by 10 over Fordham; they're off to Alaskan Shootout after this. C-USA favorites are 3-2 vs spread. WAC underdogs are 4-6.
-- Washington was upset at home by Albany of America East earlier in week; Huskies lost 3 starters from LY's 24-11 team. Seton Hall beat two stiffs at home to start season; Pirates have ?s at PG, which is problem vs team that likes to play fast. Big East teams are 4-0 vs spread in true road games, 2-5 in neutral court games- this is a neutral court game.
-- 4-0 Northridge (7-21 LY) beat Siena by 4 last night, its 3rd win by six points or less; two guys played more than 28 minutes Friday. Matadors have 3 starters back from 7-21 team. Tulsa beat host San Diego last nite by 12. Big West teams are 8-5 vs spread away from home.
-- St Bonaventure beat Canisius by 19 LY, beat Griffs' new coach Baron (old URI coach) by 6-20 points, so he is familiar with Bonnies, who are 2-0 this year, with 4-point win at Cornell. Canisius beat BU at home by 8 to open season. Atlantic-16 favorites are 9-5 vs spread.
-- Bradley allowed 57 ppg in beating two stiffs to open season; Braves finished LY on 4-25 skid, so any wins are good- they're using freshman PG from Chicago. IUPUI beat Bowling Green after losing to Michigan by 37- they're picked to finish sixth in nine-team Summit League.

-- Davidson has all 5 starters back from 25-8 team that lost to Louisville by 7 in NCAAs LY and just lost by 5 at New Mexico late Monday nite, game they led by 16 in first half. Milwaukee lost at South Carolina in OT last game; they've got 3 starters back from LY's 20-14 team.
-- Montana star Cherry (foot) is out; Griz lost by 7 at Colorado State to open season- they beat Idaho by 7 at home LY, after beating them 75-33 year before. Vandals lost opener at home by 10 to Wright State; they've lost 3 starters from LY's 19-14 team. WAC home teams are 5-3.
-- Notre Dame lost to St Joe's in OT Friday; four guys played 38:00+, three played 41+. Irish have 5 starters back from LY's 22-12 team- they are picked #3 in Big East. BYU got waxed by 18 by Florida State last night, shooting 6-25 from arc, just 38% inside arc.
-- St Joe's beat Notre Dame in OT Friday, rallying from late eight-point deficit; star Jones didn't play, Galloway lost teeth in spill during game, but finished game. Hawks' bench played total of 11:00, with all starters playing 41:00+. Florida State shot 58%, made 11-20 from arc, and only one of their kids played more than 27:00 in easy win over BYU.