11-18-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks
Oklahoma State vs. NC State

The Wolfpack look to build on their 10-1 ATS record in their last 11 non-conference games. NC State is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolfpack favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: NC State (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 717-718: Valparaiso at Kent State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 58.902; Kent State 56.159
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 1
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-1)

Game 719-720: Marshall at Hofstra (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 58.418; Hofstra 53.224
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 5
Vegas Line: Marshall by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+6 1/2)

Game 721-722: Miami (OH) at Louisville (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 51.156; Louisville 73.345
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 22
Vegas Line: Louisville by 24
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+24)

Game 723-724: UL-Lafayette at Boise State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 49.039; Boise State 59.733
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 12
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+12)

Game 725-726: Middle Tennessee State vs. Florida (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 63.401; Florida 75.660
Dunkel Line: Florida by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 10
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-10)

Game 727-728: Cornell at Wisconsin (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 53.210; Wisconsin 70.250
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 17
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+19 1/2)

Game 729-730: Richmond at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 62.252; Minnesota 73.863
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-9 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: NC-Asheville vs. Providence (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Asheville 50.370; Providence 56.317
Dunkel Line: Providence by 6
Vegas Line: Providence by 4
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-4)

Game 733-734: Akron vs. Penn State (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 59.591; Penn State 57.446
Dunkel Line: Akron by 2; 135
Vegas Line: Akron by 6; 130
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+6); Over

Game 735-736: Massachusetts vs. Tennessee (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 60.163; Tennessee 62.445
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 1; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-1); Under

Game 737-738: Oklahoma State vs. NC State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 63.284; NC State 73.059
Dunkel Line: NC State by 10; 134
Vegas Line: NC State by 8 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-8 1/2); Under

Game 739-740: Norfolk State vs. UMKC (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 45.950; UMKC 45.741
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Norfolk State by 2
Dunkel Pick: UMKC (+2)

Game 741-742: Albany vs. Loyola-MD (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 50.105; Loyola-MD 56.024
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 6
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-4 1/2)

Game 743-744: Washington vs. Ohio State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 65.900; Ohio State 76.419
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-8 1/2)

Game 745-746: Rhode Island vs. Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 53.615; Seton Hall 62.021
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 10
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+10)

Game 747-748: Boston College at College of Charleston (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 51.216; College of Charleston 51.715
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 1
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+3)

Game 749-750: Auburn vs. Dayton (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 56.750; Dayton 62.067
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+6 1/2)

Game 751-752: St. John's vs. Baylor (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 62.625; Baylor 65.383
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 3; 148
Vegas Line: Baylor by 6 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+6 1/2); Over

Game 753-754: Murray State vs. Colorado (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 65.351; Colorado 65.503
Dunkel Line: Even; 136
Vegas Line: Colorado by 2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (+2); Over

Game 755-756: MD-Eastern Shore vs. Loyola-Chicago (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: MD-Eastern Shore 35.664; Loyola-Chicago 51.169
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 13
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (-13)

Game 757-758: Western Michigan vs. South Florida (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 52.222; South Florida 60.998
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 9
Vegas Line: South Florida by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+10 1/2)

Game 759-760: Western Illinois vs. Yale (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 53.795; Yale 48.915
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 5
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 3
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-3)

Game 761-762: SE Missouri State vs. Chattanooga (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 50.067; Chattanooga 47.294
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 3
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (-1 1/2)

Game 763-764: Louisiana Tech vs. Troy (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 58.713; Troy 48.701
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 10
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-8 1/2)

Game 765-766: WI-Green Bay vs. CS-Fullerton (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 56.769; CS-Fullerton 52.985
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 4
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-2)

Game 767-768: Southern Utah at Nevada (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 44.239; Nevada 57.868
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+15 1/2)

Game 769-770: Siena vs. San Diego (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 48.928; San Diego 50.760
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+3)

Game 771-772: Northern Kentucky vs. CS-Northridge (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Kentucky 45.512; CS-Northridge 52.897
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Kentucky (+9 1/2)

Game 773-774: George Mason vs. New Mexico (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 61.779; New Mexico 64.636
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 3; 139
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 6 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+6 1/2); Over

Game 775-776: Quinnipiac vs. Connecticut (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Quinnipiac 52.943; Connecticut 66.794
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 14; 127
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 10; 132
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-10); Under

Game 777-778: Nebraska-Omaha at Nebraska (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska-Omaha 42.809; Nebraska 55.564
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 13
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 15
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska-Omaha (+15)

Game 779-780: Portland at Montana State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 45.642; Montana State 47.842
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 2
Vegas Line: Montana State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+3)

Game 781-782: IPFW at Eastern Illinois (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 44.580; Eastern Illinois 44.343
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: IPFW by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+6 1/2)

Game 783-784: New Mexico State at Niagara (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 56.685; Niagara 59.600
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 3
Vegas Line: Niagara by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-2 1/2)

Game 785-786: South Dakota at Gonzaga (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 45.190; Gonzaga 79.350
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 34
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 32
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-32)

Game 787-788: Northern Arizona at UC-Davis (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 38.578; UC-Davis 45.838
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (-6 1/2)

Game 789-790: Wofford at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 49.656; Ohio 66.698
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 17
Vegas Line: Ohio by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (+18 1/2)

Game 791-792: Eastern Washington at St. Mary's (CA) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 46.046; St. Mary's (CA) 66.212
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 20
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+22 1/2)

Game 793-794: Belmont at Stanford (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 66.129; Stanford 69.484
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Belmont (+6 1/2)

Game 801-802: Florida Gulf Coast at Duke (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Gulf Coast 54.366; Duke 73.423
Dunkel Line: Duke by 19
Vegas Line: Duke by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Gulf Coast (+20 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks
Houston at LA Lakers

The Rockets look to take advantage of an LA team that is coming off a 114-102 win over Phoenix and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Houston is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7). Here are all of today's picks

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Indiana at New York (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.910; New York 123.949
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 193
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7; 188
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+7); Over

Game 703-704: Orlando at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 111.722; Toronto 116.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 187
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-4); Under

Game 705-706: Cleveland at Philadelphia (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.509; Philadelphia 117358
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+6 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Brooklyn at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.253; Sacramento 113.754
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 1 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+3); Under

Game 709-710: Golden State at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 115.879; Oklahoma City 127.725
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 199
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-10); Under

Game 711-712: Boston at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 120.634; Detroit 114.139
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 3 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-3 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Chicago at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 119.016; Portland 116.138
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago; Under

Game 715-716: Houston at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.157; LA Lakers 120.051
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

DEN
BAL
SF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik
418 CARO +1.5 1 weight
432 SD/DEN UNDER 49.5 5 weight
434 Pit 1h +3 1 weight
PARLAY 434 pit 1h +3 with UN 20 1 weight. (Still can find 20.5, but 20 ok)
PARLAY 434 PIt 3.5 with UN 40.5 1 weight (OK to play at 40)
434 PITT +3.5 4 weight.
417 Tb/CAR OVER 48 2 weight
2 team teaser 418 CARO +7.5/432 DEN -1.5 2 weight
422 RAMS -3-125 4 weight. 2 weight at -3'
414 DET +3.5 2 weight
430 OAK +5 3 weight
415 Az +10 1 weight

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Sweep

4* NE Patriots
3* Green Bay Packers
2* Carolina Panthers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS - NBA

Indiana +7 -104 over NEW YORK
Indiana has gotten off to a horrible start. They were projected to be a tough out every game but some awful shooting and poor defense had them sitting at 3-6 prior their to 20-point win over Dallas on Friday night. The Pacers exploded in the second half of that contest with great shooting and excellent defense. A big weight was lifted of their shoulders in the process. They come into this one feeling so much better and they catch the Knicks at a good time.
New York comes home from a three-game trip through Orlando, San Antonio and Memphis. The latter two were especially physical and while the Knicks went 1-1, they were down by 12 in San Antonio in the fourth quarter before rallying to win and were down by 22 in Memphis before ultimately losing by just 10. That takes a toll and now they’ll play a noon game upon returning and it’s just not a favorable spot. Give the Knicks a ton of credit. They’re playing hard, they’re playing great defense and they’re playing with a passion not seen since the Jeff Van Gundy era. However, this is too much weight to be spotting a talented Pacers team coming off their best game of the year. Overlay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS - NFL (all 2u plays)

San Diego +8 -110 over DENVER
The Broncos are on a four-game winning streak and all three of their home wins have been by double digits. We often mention that NFL teams don’t get blown out week after week. The opposite holds true as well. You simply can’t keep beating pro teams by crooked scores.
The Chargers have enough talent to upset anyone. Philip Rivers already passed for 241 yards and two scores in the last meeting with the Broncos and has a new weapon this time around in Danario Alexander. Most teams would be looking to exact revenge after blowing a 24-0 lead to Denver before losing 35-24. Most teams aren’t the Chargers. The Bolts find unique ways to lose games but with Denver’s stock at its height and San Diego’s appeal at its customary low level, oddsmakers have overcompensated with this prohibitive spread.

Cleveland +8 -110 over DALLAS
Dallas is far too desperate to take anyone lightly and need to win games like this to solidify its playoff chances. How many times have we heard that over the years? Dallas spotting more than a full touchdown is fool’s gold. When Dallas is supposed to win they usually don’t. They are a sloppy, undisciplined, self-destructive and one of the great underachieving teams of our time. They have just four covers in past 17 when giving points and they are offering them to one of the league’s best point takers.
Cleveland has stayed within this range in three of its four road games. The only one they lost by more than eight was at G-Men when they built a 14-0 lead, took 91 yards in penalties and turned it over three times. That sounds more like a Dallas box score. The Brownies are rested and catch Dallas at the perfect time with the ‘Boys waiting to host Washington on this upcoming Thanksgiving Thursday.


KANSAS CITY +4 -105 over Cincinnati
Now that the Chiefs have actually led in regulation, there are no limitations for what could be next. Something like winning a game, maybe? This could be the opportunity to do so. The Bengals have shown time and time again that they are not mature enough to handle the rigours of the NFL. Granted, Cincinnati had a solid win over the Giants last week but based on their recent play, the G-Men may have been running on fumes. Cincy heads to the road for the first time in five weeks. They lost their last road game in Cleveland. In addition, the Bengals have covered just three of past 17 when favored.

Kansas City showed that they haven’t given up and perhaps Monday’s effort carries into this one. They were robbed by the zebras on Pittsburgh’s final drive last week by several phantom calls and that can’t be sitting well with them. The Chiefs have yet to win at home this season and need to show the supporting fan base that last week was no fluke. Another big effort would not be a surprise.


Philadelphia +3½ -102 over WASHINGTON
People say Andy Reid will find a job within minutes of being fired. That may be true but he tied his team’s fortunes to an aging, running quarterback fresh out of prison, that can’t read a defense and sported a horrible career completion percentage rate. Philly backers should be glad to see Nick Foles, the Eagles starter now that Mike Vick is ‘injured’. Of course, despite the ineptness, some of the blame must fall on the abysmal offensive line that Philly employs. That weak unit is not about to get better any time soon.
It’s difficult to get behind the Eagles with their 1-7 record against the spread. However, this may be the first game they’re priced properly. The Redskins have their own issues, allowing nearly 28 points a game and more than 300 yards passing. Washington has lost all three games straight up when favored this year, they’ve lost three in a row to run its record to 3-6 and once again they’re going to watch the playoffs from the rail. Mike Shanahan is another coach that seems to be surviving on the fumes of his reputation. Washington’s home record under Shanahan is an inexcusable 5-15. Shanahan has already stated that the rest of the year would be used for evaluation purposes. That’s not what you want to hear when spotting points. Upset alert is on.


CAROLINA +102 over Tampa Bay
The tone for Carolina’s poor season was set in the opener when these Buccaneers pulled off the 16-10 upset as a 3-pt underdog in Tampa. Much has gone wrong for the Panthers ever since but not enough to warrant the Bucs being favored here. Despite their woes, the Black Cats are a couple of breaks and mental lapses away from a different season. Carolina has been at the short end of all five games decided by a touchdown or less.
Tampa has crossed over the .500 mark with three straight wins but this could be the week that Cam Newton finds his truant passing game. The Bucs rank dead last in the league, giving up 321 yards per game through the air, nearly 20 more per game than both Buffalo and New Orleans. That should not be ignored and neither should the fact that the Bucs have Atlanta on deck next week at home. Tampa has been winning games with a poor defense and in this league, that’s unsustainable.


PITTSBURGH +4 +100 over Baltimore
If only things were as easy as they often appear in the NFL. If that were the case, we’d be all over the Ravens as they just throttled the Raiders by a 55-20 count while the Steelers struggled at home with the lowly Chiefs, eking out a 16-13 overtime win. In the process, Pittsburgh lost its leader as QB Ben Roethlisberger is out with a shoulder injury. None of this is secret and many will back Baltimore in what looks like a slam dunk win. We’re not so sure. Yes, Big Ben is important but prior to Monday’s game, the Steelers were listed as the 3½-point favorite for this one. Now, Baltimore is 4? Ridiculous.
Lost in all of this is that the Raiders put up more yards than Baltimore last week. They also had more third down conversions. Prior to that game, the Ravens barely squeaked by Cleveland, they were throttled in Houston, were extremely lucky to beat the Cowboys and they won in Kansas City by three points, scoring just nine. This Ravens team is simply not as good as their record indicates. Pittsburgh’s defense, allowing a league low 265 yards per game is more than capable of keeping this rival game in check. They will also dig down deeper with their #1 QB out in support of Byron Leftwich. We’re calling the upset but will gladly take the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe free play

Baltimore

You can break this down anyway you want, but the Steelers are in trouble without Big Ben and a unhealthy Mendenhall. The Steelers will be missing their right tackle and their speedster Brown. This team is just not a NFL level offense with these players out. I know the Ravens Defense is not what it once was, but their offense is capable of putting up a lot of points. The Steelers are without key players on both sides of the ball and in a division game like this the Ravens have to take advantage. Take Baltimore.