11-21-12

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Never Win Sports (20*s are 14-4)

CBB 20* Samford +6
NBA 20* Brooklyn +1.5

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Maddux Sports LAC +4

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Accuscore - NBA 4*

Tor +2.5
Okl City -4
Nets/Warriors over 194.5

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Accuscore - NCAAB 4*

Cal Irvine - 5

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Doc
4 Unit Play.#578 Take Utah -7 over Idaho State (9:30 pm PAC-12 Network)The Utes were terrible last season but I do expect improve in year two of the Larry Krystkowiak era. Utah is hosting this tournament and thus I expected that they only invited teams that they can beat and Idaho State certainly fits that bill. Utah holds a 23-4 advantage in the all-time series over Idaho State, which includes a 9-1 mark at home. Utah pissed away their last game against Sacramento State, but they did lead by double digits in that game and expect a much better performance tonight. Idaho State is 3-8 ATS against PAC-12 teams. Utah is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
4 Unit Play.#582 Take Michigan -3 over Pittsburgh (9:30 pm ESPN 2)Pittsburgh had a very disappointing season last year not making the NCAA Tournament and I do believe they are improved, they are not yet ready to challenge the No. 4 team in the country at the neutral site. The Wolverines have great guard play and I expect switching defenses implied by Michigan will frustrate the Panthers. Pittsburgh is not a great shooting team from long range. Pittsburgh is just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan is 32-14 ATS (1 push) in their last 47 games overall.
4 Unit Play.#590 Take South Carolina -6.5 over Elon (7 pm)The Gamecocks have a new coach in Frank Martin and they have opened the season with three straight home games against mid-major programs. They have won all three of those games by more than the posted number and expect that trend to continue on Wednesday against Elon. USC will also have revenge on their minds, as the Phoenix beat them last year by 5 points. Carolina is averaging close to 86 points per game and thus they will be able to cover this number tonight at Colonial Life Arena. Elon is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games. USC is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Striker Sports
3-Unit Play. #588 Take Toledo (-5.5) over Samford (4:30 p.m., Wednesday, November 21)

The Rockets are 0-3 but I am sticking with my original read on this team in thinking they will be a good squad throughout the season. And expectations on their end were just as high, returning all five starters in a MAC league they knew they would be able to compete in this winter. Well, this is a great chance to buy a stock low. Toledo will bounce back with a much-needed win over a team they should handle. Lay the number, as the better team from the better conference takes care of business.

3-Unit Play. #543 Take Colorado State (+3) over Denver (9 p.m., Wednesday, November 21)

An NCAA Tournament appearance last year, so far the Rams have done well to pick up where they left off last season. Granted it's just 2-0 against weak competition, but this Colorado State team is again a good one. Plus, the addition of Minnesota transfer Colton Iverson has really looked good in the frontcourt with Pierce Hornung. Even though Denver U has it's best player in Chris Udofia back, it has shown the overall outlook for the Pioneers (1-2) is not as good with several key players graudated. This is CSU's third game in only ten days to begin the season, and the first two were at home. With this being a quick travel for an in-state rival, I look for the Rams to be well rested and focused on scoring a quality non-conference victory which can be added to the resume for next spring's chances of making the Big Dance for the secon consecutive year.

3-Unit Play. #582 Take Michigan (-3.5) over Pittsburgh (9:30 p.m., Wednesday, November 21)

I might be willing to consent that the Wolverines are a tad overranked. They are good, but maybe not Top Five good. That being said, they are better than a Pittsburgh team that is very lacking of talent this season. The Panthers were getting pounded all game by Oakland prior to a near perfect rally to erase an almost 20-point deficit. That was last week in an earlier game for this preseason tournament. Here, Michigan isn't going to give them that luxury. Playmakers Tim Hardaway Jr. and Trey Burke might just be the best backcourt in the country. I don't see how Pittsburgh counters that in this game. The Maize and Blue are victorious here in NYC.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas
6 Unit Play. Take #516 Oklahoma City -4 over LA Clippers (7:35 p.m., Wednesday, November 21 ESPN)
(Game of the Month) Yes I know the Clippers are red hot and are perfect on the road this season but OKC will be looking to win this matchup at home. The Thunder will need to show the Western Conference elite that they are still a force to be feared. The Clippers are coming off a big road win against the Spurs which the Clippers made the Spurs look really old but they won't be able to do the same in Oklahoma City. The Thunder again will want to slow down 'Lob City' and look for Russell Westbrook to be the key tonight and make Chris Paul play more defense then offense. Should be a great game and a close one but the OKC Thunder win this game in the 4th quarter and we cash our Game of the Month. The Oklahoma City Thunder is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games against Western Conference teams and again this trend continues as the Thunder win tonight at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc

3-Unit Play #502 Take Charlotte -2 over Toronto (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
This is a very public line, no doubt about it. The Bobcats are playing very well this season thus far and overachieving in a big way. Shoot, if the season ended today this team would be in the playoffs! Let's not get ahead of ourselves though. But this team is playing very hard every night and they will face a more talented team tonight in the Raptors but one who is a classic underachiever and one that is also coming in on a back-to-back after a pretty grueling game last night in Philly. This team led most of the way before being outscored 33-18 in the final frame by the home team. We think there is a pretty good chance that poor fourth-quarter performance will carry over into this game. Toronto is 1-5 on the road while the Bobcats are 4-2 at home. Plus, Charlotte has won six of the last seven meetings straight up and covered in seven straight. We think this line is based more on expectations than reality. While it is hard to fathom the Bobcats in a favorites role, we think that they are legit and we think this team will be very profitable until the oddsmakers catch up.

2-Unit Play #505 Take Philadelphia/Cleveland OVER 183.5 (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
We were on the Toronto/Philly OVER last night and we think this game is a similar situation. These teams played recently, just like Philly and Toronto had, and the total went well under the posted number, just like these teams did when they played on Sunday. However, that Sunday game against Philly was the first time in nine games that the Cavs did not allow a team to hit the century mark. This team is just not a good defensive club. They are second to last in the NBA in allowing nearly 103 points per game. Philadelphia's offense has been improving as these players learn to play together on a new team. We think they should be able to get to the mid-to-high 90s tonight and we expect this to be a pretty close game. Yes, Kyrie Irving is out for the Cavs. But since these teams played so recently we think that both teams should be able to make some offensive adjustments which will help scoring. And also the Sixers are on a back-to-back so their defense will probably not be as sharp as normal since fatigued players often lapse on defense.

4-Unit Play #509 Take San Antonio/Boston UNDER 194.5 (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
Boston hasn't been playing up to its normal defensive standards. They are giving up 98 points per game thus far. However, this is one of the best defensive teams in the league and they will start showing that sooner or later. And the totals lines for this team are rising while they will only get better on defense. Their defense should be primed for a strong showing in this Wednesday marquee matchup. The Spurs are a lot better defensively this season. They are allowing only 94.3 points per game, which puts them in the Top 10. This is a team that can run up the score on bad defensive teams but they normally score much less against defensive teams. The bottom line on this one is that we had this game at 188 and we think there is great line value tonight on a total that we think is highly inflated.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
Wednesday November 21 2012-

6 Unit Play Take #503 Detroit +1.5 over Orlando (7:00pm est):

Going into this season the Detroit Pistons were considered an up and coming team with some good young talent but a horrific scheduling set-up really threw things for a loop for this team. The Pistons were forced to go out west and play some very tough games early on to start their year and they couldn't get on track because of it. Since then though things have calmed down and the Pistons have settled in nicely with two wins in their last three games and five point spread covers in their last seven overall. Their last loss was a very tough one too swallow for Detroit as it came against this Orlando team they face here in this one tonight as the Pistons blew a late double digit lead in the game. Detroit should be focused on getting some revenge here as they felt like they really let that game slip through their fingers. Also the Pistons have made some key lineup changes and since those moves things have fallen nicely into place for them. Not only have they made a key change in their starting lineup but Detroit has also been able to add a veteran presence to their bench in Corey Maggette that makes this team a whole better overall.

As for the Orlando Magic, they came out of the gates to this season playing with something too prove after their big off-season loss of Dwight Howard. The Magic were able to pull off some nice wins at home early on and folks started thinking maybe this team was better than people first thought. Well that ended up not being the case as Hedo Turkoglu got injured and things have started to unravel ever since. Not only have the Magic lost, they have been getting buried along the way. They are just 1-7 their last eight with their last six losses coming by eight points or more.

Detroit is the better of these two teams and will have some payback on their minds from that loss the other night to Orlando. Play Detroit here.


3 Unit Play Take #507 New Orleans +8 over Indiana (7:00pm est):

New Orleans comes in having followed up double digit defeats with a point spread cover their next game eight straight times. Head coach Monty Williams gets the most out of this group following embarrassing losses and once again he has to try and work his magic here as the Hornets were stomped by 22 points at home last night to New York.

Indiana has struggled to score points all season and asking them to win by nearly double digits in this one will be tough for a team that can't put the ball in the basket. The Pacers are a grind it out group who win close games, not the type that will blow someone out. Keep in mind also they have failed to cover the game after a win their last five straight times in this spot and they come into this match-up off a victory in their last game.

New Orleans should bring enough to keep things close here in this one. Take New Orleans and the points here.


3 Unit Play Take #238 Golden State -1.5 over Brooklyn (10:30pm est):

Once again we see a Brooklyn Nets team getting way too much respect this season. The Nets spilled their load and put their hearts into last night's contest with the Lakers. Though they lost to LA you get the feeling they come away happy with their performance for the most part. Now they have to turn right back around here and face an upstart Golden State team who seems to really flourish when at home.

The Warriors have had a rough schedule to start their season but despite the tough stretch of games they have come out of all of it with a winning record on the year so far. This a gutsy group who have been in nearly every ball game and also have some nice road wins over Dallas, Minnesota and the Clippers. Overall the product they have put on the court and their resume has looked just as good as the Nets thus far.

Not sure how much Brooklyn will bring to this game, a day after dropping their biggest game of the season. Plus add in the fact this is not only a back to back spot but they also head home after this one to face a very good Clippers team on Friday night. The Warriors should be ready for this one while the Nets probably have their minds elsewhere. Play Golden State here. What a huge weekend of betting action on tap and it kicks off tonight with two CBB plays going. I have won now four of my last five the last two days in CBB and had a huge winning season last year overall on the CBB hardwood. Turkey day should be a blast as I have two NFL plays going and then look out as three more days of lots of betting action after that. Get on board and let's make some money watching sports this weekend.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Ferringo

5-Unit Play. Take #511 Washington (+10) over Atlanta (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)
Note: This is my NBA Game of the Week.

This Wizards team is definitely getting desperate. They are the worst team in the NBA and they are the last team without a win. Now they are a facing a division rival and a team that is still trying to figure itself out. Atlanta made some major moves in the offseason and they are still learning to play with one another. This team is not explosive offensively, and relies more on production on the defensive end to get the job done. Those teams rarely make strong favorites. Atlanta beat Orlando - which is almost as bad as Washington - by just nine points on Monday, they lost at Golden State, they only beat Indiana by three, and they lost to Houston in a home game. So this Hawks team is a little shaky and I don't know that they are capable of laying the wood here. Washington is pathetic. But they have just one loss by more than 10 points this year and their last three losses have come by an average of just 5.3 points. I think the Wizards are going to find a way to hang around in this game and they might even threaten to get a win.

2-Unit Play. Take #519 Denver (-3) over Minnesota (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

I think this T-Wolves team is pathetic. Truthfully, go look at their roster right now. Greg Stiemsma and Luke Ridnour are starting, and their bench consists of guys named Alexey Shved and Lou Amundson. That's gross. Yeah, they are going to get J.J. Barea back tonight. But that shouldn't be enough to beat an improving Denver team.

2-Unit Play. Take #507 New Orleans (+8) over Indiana (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #504 Orlando (-1) over Detroit (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 200.5 Portland at Phoenix (9 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 191.5 Denver at Minnesota (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 204.5 L.A. Lakers at Sacramento (10 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

6-Unit Play. Take #503 Detroit (+1) over Orlando (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)
Note: This is our NBA Game of the Month.

I love the Pistons in this spot. Detroit looked outstanding in their 20-point blowout win over the Celtics the other night and this team definitely has the pieces to be a decent NBA team. Yes, they have had their struggles thus far this season, but looking at all of the "bottom" level teams this Pistons squad is the best of them (better than Orlando). Detroit also has revenge on their side as they are looking to make up for their home loss to Orlando (110-106) five days ago. Orlando scored 39 fourth quarter points in that contest to win and I just don't see that happening again. JJ Redick had 23 points in that contest and he will not be his usual self as he is trying to bounce back from the stomach flu. Redick missed Sunday's game and played sparsely in Monday's game. He lost five pounds over the weekend and won't be at 100 percent. Orlando has struggled to score in their last few games without JJ's shooting touch.

Detroit is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games when playing on two days rest and Orlando is just 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games when playing on one days rest. Detroit is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 trips to Orlando.


3-Unit Play. Take #521 New York (-2.5) over Dallas (8:30 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 21)

This Knicks squad is rolling, and who are we to stop them, as they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a S.U./ATS win. Yes, they should eventually slow down and struggle versus a Western Conference team, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus the West. Yes, Dallas will be looking for some revenge, but they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. Yes, the Knicks played last night in New Orleans and then had to fly to Dallas, but the Knicks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on zero days rest. Yes, the Knicks will win and cover this game, as they are 28-11 in their last 39 games overall.

Best of Luck -

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ocal:

la lakers

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CHRIS JORDAN

300* Utah -8

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INTPICKS

3* Hofstra +7

2* Michigan -3; Orlando -1.5; Portland Over 200

1* Samford +6; Spurs -1

Free. Wright St -5.5

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Players NBA *10* Wednesday on OVER in Orlando on 21 November
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA *10* (TOP Play) OVER in Detroit at Orlando @ 7:05 ET - The Detroit Pistons travel to Orlando to take on the Magic on Wednesday evening. Detroit is 2-9 SU overall this year while Orlando is now 3-7 SU on the season. We have another low total here tonight hovering around 186 1/2 at this time. The Over is 5-1 last 3 years when Detroit is a road underdog of 3 points or less. The Over is 22-10 last 32 games when Detroit is off an upset win as an underdog. The Over is 13-4 last 3 years after Detroit allows 85 points or less. The Over is 8-0 last 8 games when Detroit is off a SU Win. The Over is 6-1 last 7 games after Detroit scores 100 points or more. The Over is 13-4 last 17 games when Detroit faces the Eastern Conference. The Over is 5-1 last 6 when Orlando plays a team with a losing record. The Over is 18-4-2 last 24 games after Orlando scores 75 points or less. The Over is 19-9-3 last 31 games when Orlando plays at home. The Over is 5-1 last 6 meetings overall in this series. Play OVER in Orlando as a *10* TOP Play selection Wednesday.



Players CBB *8* Wednesday on Tulane on 21 November
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CBB *8* (Regular Play) Tulane over Nebraska @ 8 ET - The Tulane Green Wave travel to Nebraska to take on the Cornhuskers on Wednesday evening. Tulane comes in with a 3-1 overall record on the season while Nebraska is 3-0 this year. Tulane is allowing only 59 points per game overall this year. Nebraska is scoring only 63.7 points per game overall this year. Tulane is 11-3 ATS last 14 non-conference games. Tulane is 13-6 ATS last 19 games after a SU win. Nebraska is 4-10 ATS last 14 home games. Nebraska is 3-13 ATS last 16 games after an ATS loss. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS last 7 games overall. Tulane has the better team here tonight and gets the road win. Play Tulane as a *8* Regular Play selection Wednesday.