11-23-12

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Kelso

n. Illinois ( 50* )

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Harry Bondi (Football)

3* LSU
3* Washington

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KELSO

N. ILLINOIS ( 50* )

15 neb

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DR BOB

Strong Opinion on Ohio
Ohio was overrated when they were 7-0 and now the Bobcats appear to be a bit underrated after two straight losses by a combined margin of 37 points. Ohio applies to a number of good bounce back situations today, including a 95-35-1 ATS situation that plays on road underdogs with a good record that are coming off consecutive losses and allowed 35 points or more in their most recent loss. Also, teams playing their final regular season game of the season are 73-49-1 ATS as underdogs if they allowed 49 points or more the previous week, including 15-2 ATS if the team has a .500 or better record. I'm sure pride will kick in and I expect a very good effort from the Bobcats in this game. My math model favors Kent by 8 points, so there is a little line value to go along with the good situation. I'll consider Ohio a Strong Opinion in this game at +7 1/2 or more.

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Black Friday Betting: Best Deals in Sports Wagering

Black Friday makes people crazy.

They line up in the freezing cold at 2 a.m. to nab a deal on a flat screen, rush the front doors of Walmart like a scene from The Walking Dead, and pepper spray each other in face just to get the last iPad mini.

No one loves a deal more than sports bettors, which is why we’re putting together this list of value bets heading into the biggest shopping day of the year. Hopefully, we’ll save you some handicapping time so you can spend it drop-kicking soccer moms for the final Furby on the shelf.

NFL

Arizona Cardinals

Remember when the Cardinals were 4-0 to start the season? It’s kind of fuzzy. Most bettors have forgotten about Arizona all together, but the Cardinals have quietly become the best under bet in the NFL at 2-8 over/under. Helping that cause is the revolving door under center and injuries to the running backs, leaving Arizona to average just 16.3 points per game. That number will only go down with the Cardinals’ upcoming sked featuring some defensive stalwarts like Seattle, Chicago and San Francisco.

NBA

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors offense, which is known for consistently topping the century mark, stumbled out of the blocks to start the year. Business has picked up over the last five games, averaging 102.8 points and winning four of those SU and ATS. On top of that, Golden State has played over the number in four of those five outings and is 8-4 over/under on the year. Following a trip to Denver, Golden State is back home for four straight stands in which the odds should be favorable.

NCAAF

Syracuse Orange

Cuse is leaving the Big East in style, picking up wins in its last two games – both as an underdog – and covering the spread in four of its last five contests. The Orange offense has gone off during that span, averaging 35.4 points – more than 12.5 points more than in the six games before it. They’ve also played over the total in all five of those outings. Syracuse and gun-slinging QB Ryan Nassib are 7.5-point road favorites visiting Temple Saturday and could be a nice bet during bowl season.

NCAAB

Illinois State Redbirds

It’s tough to get a solid take on the college hoops season so early into the schedule but Illinois State has started strong against the spread, going 2-0 ATS in both lined games. The Redbirds can fill it up, averaging 91 points per game and are shooting a red-hot 54.9 percent. Four starters and a ton of experience is back for a team that battled hard in last year’s NIT and nearly stole the Missouri Valley title from Creighton, losing by four in overtime. Illinois State could be a solid bet against Louisville on Dec. 1.

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Handicapping Kings

GOODFELLAS

1:00PM Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan
[121] (CIGAR PLAY- 2 UNIT PLAY) Northern Illinois -20 -115

2:30PM LSU vs Arkansas
[129] LSU -11 -110

JIMMY

3:00PM Central Michigan vs Massachusetts
[115] OVER 56 -105

10:00PM Arizona State vs Arizona U
[137](KINGS RANSOM- 2 UNIT PLAY) OVER 69 -105

MARC

2:00PM Buffalo U vs Bowling Green
[113] UNDER 44 -113

3:00PM Central Michigan vs Massachusetts
[115](LIGHTS OUT - 2 UNIT PLAY) OVER 55.5 -113

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at BOSTON

Play On - Road favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games.
130-72 since 1997. ( 64.4% 50.8 units )

NBA SACRAMENTO at UTAH

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SACRAMENTO) terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, first half of the season.
231-92 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.5% 78.6 units )
17-10 this year. ( 63.0% 0.3 units )

NBA LA LAKERS at MEMPHIS

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread against opponent hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread.
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

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PickAddict

CFB [111] Nebraska (-16.5) -105 (3 units)

CFB [129] LSU (-12.5) -105 (3.5 units)

NBA [505] Oklahoma City Thunder (-3.5) -103 (3.5 units)

CFB [135] Washington (-13.5) -110 (1 unit)

CFB [133] West Virginia (-2.5) -105 (1 unit)

NBA [515] New York Knicks (-4) -103 (1 unit)

CBB [590] Wright State (-6.5) -106 (1 unit)

CBB [604] Santa Clara (-13) -107 (2 units)

CFB [121] Northern Illinois (-20.5) -105 (1 unit)

CBB [577] Rider (-2) -106 (1 unit)

CBB [588] Utah (-6) -102 (1 unit)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB C MICHIGAN at UTAH

Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a home win by 10 points or more.
130-72 since 1997. ( 64.4% 50.8 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

CBB C MICHIGAN at UTAH

Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (UTAH) first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ spread covers in last 8 games.
36-39 since 1997. ( 48.0% 35.9 units )
3-6 this year. ( 33.3% 2.0 units )

CBB BELMONT at NORTHEASTERN

Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, team that had a winning record last season
169-98 since 1997. ( 63.3% 61.2 units )
12-8 this year. ( 60.0% 3.2 units )

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Bankroll Sports

2* Central Michigan Chippawas -11 (CFB)

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Papparazzi Defence

Arkansas +12.5

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POINTWISE PHONES:

2* Wash St, Syracuse, Northern Illinois

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Big Al,
Temple
Northern Illinois
East carolina
Iowa State

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Norm's Clubhouse
Today's Selections

November 23, 2012

baskets

2-0

new mexico -17 idaho

nba

memphis -4 1/2 la lakers
denver -6 1/2 golden state

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Northcoast
3* LSU
3* Over Syr
3* Under Utah