11-24-12

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DOC SPORTS

NCAAF

5* GOW - Illinois +19.5

Ohio St. -3.5

Georgia -13

N Carolina -24.5

Penn St. -2.5

Notre Dame-5

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Totals 4 You Selections for Early Saturday, November 24th

2012 Big 10 Conference Showdown Total of the Year!!!!!
Michigan/Ohio State under 55 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Tonight's Update Free of Charge!!!

Early College Best Bets
Georgia Tech/Georgia under 64
Virginia/Virginia Tech over 49
Kentucky/Tennessee over 61
Rutgers/Pittsburgh over 43 1/2

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Totals 4 You Selections for Afternoon Saturday, November 24th

2012 Sunshine State Showdown Total of the Year!!!!
Florida/Florida State under 43 1/2

Afternoon College Best Bets
Michigan State/Minnesota over 39 1/2
Wisconsin/Penn State over 45 1/2
Auburn/Alabama over 46 1/2
Oklahoma State/Oklahoma under 72

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Totals 4 You Selections for Late Saturday, November 24th

2012 College Football Rivalry Super Total of the Year!!!!!
South Carolina/Clemson over 61 1/2

Late College Bets Bets
Mississippi State/Mississippi over 54 1/2
Missouri/Texas A&M under 61
Louisiana Tech/San Jose State over 75 1/2
Notre Dame/Southern California under 45 1/2

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PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +14½ over
the Georgia Bulldogs

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Platinum Plays.



500K TV Lock/Year
the Notre Dame Fighting Irish -5 over
the USC Trojans

Best Bets
the Ole Miss Rebels -1½ over
the Mississippi St Bulldogs
the Stanford Cardinal -3 over
the UCLA Bruins
the South Carolina Gamecocks +3½ over
the Clemson Tigers
the San Jose Spartans -3½ over
the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

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Platinum Plays.

500K Rivalry Lock/Year
the Oklahoma Sooners -6½ over
the Oklahoma St Cowboys

Best Bets
the Oregon Ducks -9½ over
the Oregon St Beavers
the Florida Gators +7 over
the Florida St Seminoles
the Indiana Hoosiers +6 over
the Purdue Boilermakers
the Ohio St Buckeyes -4 over
the Michigan Wolverines

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PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Texas A&M Aggies -22 over
the Missouri Tigers

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Big al

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4* Texas Tech +2.5
4* Mississippi St. +2
4* UCLA +2
3* Duke +6.5
3* Oregon St. +9.5
3* SMU +5
3* Florida +8.5

Opinion Clemson -3.5
Opinion UTEP -1

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Trace Adams


Highest-Rated
2000♦
Winner #5 of 7


Miami-Florida Hurricanes -6.5

(If the line goes to 7 he instructs to buy it back down to 6.5)

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SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks 11/24

12 PM EST
143. Connecticut +11*

3:30 PM EST
142. Wake Forest +11*

11 PM EST
212. Hawaii +3.5*


Rest of Games
149. Virigina +10
154. Duke +6.5
168. UTSA +1.5
190. Oregon St. +9.5
172. Wyoming +7.5
193. Florida +77
180. UCLA +3
210. USC +5

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ATS Sportline
3 GEORGIA -14 OV GEORGIA TECH 12:00PM
3 NOTRE DAME -5 OV USC 8:00PM
3 TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO +1.5 OV TEXAS ST. 2:00PM

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Larry Ness' 10* 29-Club Play (signature release / 1st of CFB 2012)
My 10* 29-Club Play is on Texas Tech at 2:30 ET.


Baylor and Texas Tech square off at Cowboys Stadium on Saturday. These schools represent two of the nation’s best offenses, with Baylor ranking No. 2 in yards (565.6 YPG) and fifth in scoring (43.6 PPG). Texas Tech is not quite as prolific but the Red Raiders average 37.1 PPG on 495.5 YPG. The difference between the two offenses a is that Baylor has much more of a run/pass balance while QB Seth Doege (70.0% / 325.0 YPG / 35 TDs and 11 INTs), makes the Red Raiders the No. 1 passing team in CFB (362.2 YPG). As most must be aware, Baylor is coming off its stunning 52-24 upset of Kansas St last Saturday (Wildcats ranked No. 1 in the BCS standings at the time). No one could have predicted an effort like that from the Bears. Baylor began the season 3-0 but quickly fell from the national ranks by losing FOUR in a row (Bears defense allowed 70, 49, 56 and 35 points)and FIVE of its next six games. However, Baylor’s season was given “new life” with last week’s win. QB Nick Florence is not RG3 but he’s quite good. He’s completing 61.6% for an average of 342.9 YPG (27 TDs / 13 INTs) plus has over 400 yards rushing with 7 TDs. I talked earlier about Baylor’s offensive balance and its’ real, with a running game that averages 210.9 YPC on 5.0 YPC with 27 TDs (four players have more than 400 rushing yards). However, Baylor’s defense is a ‘nightmare,’ allowing the second-most yards of any FBS team (504.0 YPG) as well as 37.9 PPG. Baylor’s pathetic D is the major reason the 5-5 Bears still need one more win to become bowl eligible (if Bears don’t win here, they’ll get another chance Dec 1 at home vs Okla St). Texas Tech was 6-1 after a thrilling 56-53 three-OT win at TCU and had risen to No. 15 in the AP poll. However, it was from that point on, that the Red Raiders defense which had played so well early on, began to collapse. However, entering this game, Texas Tech owns a HUGE defensive edge over Baylor, allowing 339.4 YPG, about 165 YPG less than Baylor. Going up against Nick Florence, it should give Tech backers (that’s me!), confidence knowing the Red Raiders rank 11th nationally against the pass. I just don’t understand how Baylor can be the small favorite here (on a neutral field) with its AWFUL defense, not to mention them coming off last Saturday's MONUMENTAL upset of Kansas St? Let’s NOT forget that Texas Tech was a top-25 team as recently as Nov 11 and that Tech had won had won all 15 previous games against the Bears as Big 12 members before RG3 led the Bears to a 66-49 win last Nov 26 in Waco. Tech REMEMBERS and catches a ‘flat’ Baylor team and runs away with it.

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Kelso

200 Units

North Carolina (-24½) over Maryland

3:00 PM -- Kenan Stadium
College Blowout Game of the Week 200 Units NORTH CAROLINA (7-4) -24 ½ over Maryland (4-7)

Prediction: North Carolina by 45-52

Comments: North Carolina has every single edge against a Maryland team that has been decimated by injuries this season, including all four of its quarterbacks. That means starting at that spot for the Terrapins today will be freshman Shawn Petty, a former linebacker (he played both linebacker and quarterback in high school) on the scout team. The team is 0-3 with Petty in the starting spot and has averaged just 12.3 points in those games while giving up 43.0. It is simply an impossible situation for Maryland and you can take it to the bank North Carolina will show no mercy, as did Florida State last week in calling off the dogs in a 41-14 win in College Park last week. North Carolina has a history of going all-out for 60 minutes and there is no reason to believe that won’t happen today. It also is of note Maryland will be without the services of starting running back Wes Brown and leading tackler Demetrius Hartsfield, both out with injuries. Carolina is 5-1 at home this season and has averaged 49.3 points in those games. I could write a book on why the Tar Heels should win in blowout fashion, but I believe I have said enough.
Sunny. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 50.

50 Units

Texas State (-1½) over

2:00 PM -- Alamodome
College Game of the Week 50 Units Texas State (3-7) -1 ½ over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO (7-4)

Prediction: Texas State by 9-10

Comments: Texas-San Antonio, playing just its second year of football, has the better record but Texas State is by far the better football team. Texas-San Antonio has compiled its record against a very weak schedule and has been buried by the four legitimate teams it played this season, losing at Rice, 34-14, to San Jose State, 52-24, to Utah State, 48-17, and at Louisiana Tech, 51-27. Its wins have come at the expense of bottom feeders, South Alabama, Texas A&M-Commerce, Georgia State, Northwest Oklahoma….I think you get the idea. With the exception of Stephen F. Austin, Texas State’s schedule has been made up of NCAA I teams. The Bobcats come into this game off a 21-10 loss at Navy and have the talent to win this one in powerful fashion.

25 Units

Alabama (-33½) over Auburn

3:30 PM -- Bryant-Denny Stadium
ALABAMA (10-1) -33 ½ over Auburn (3-8)

Prediction: Alabama by 45-52

Comments: There is no more heated rivalry in college football than this matchup and I can say without fear of contradiction a dramatically superior Alabama will take advantage of all Auburn’s weaknesses—and it has a multitude of them—and beat the Tigers as badly as possible. Keep in mind Alabama never called off the dogs this season in a 52-0 win at Arkansas, a 42-10, in a 42-10 win a Missouri, in a 44-13 win at Tennessee and a 38-7 win over Mississippi State. For the Tide, it’s pedal to the metal for 60 minutes. Alabama has to be salivating over the opportunity to bury an Auburn team that has beaten only Louisiana-Monroe (in overtime), New Mexico State and Alabama A&M. For trivia buffs and historians, this game matches the last three national champions. Oh, I almost forgot, Alabama is incentive-driven today because a win guarantees the Tide a trip to the SEC championship game against Georgia.
Sunny. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.
Marquee Grand Slam

25 Units

Michigan (+4) over Ohio State

12:00 PM -- Ohio Stadium
Michigan (8-3) +4 over OHIO STATE (11-0)

Prediction: Michigan by 6-7

Comments: There is no dispute both teams in this Big Ten showdown are outstanding and capable of beating anybody and that includes one another. Ohio State certainly must be respected for its spotless record but teams much less-talented than Michigan have pushed the Buckeyes to the limit this season and two of the wins have come in overtime. Michigan’s three losses have come on a neutral field to 10-1 Alabama, 41-14, and on the road at 11-0 Notre Dame, 13-6, and 10-2 Nebraska, 23-9. This one is dead-even and that makes taking the points an automatic.
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 35.

Marquee Grand Slam

25 Units

Florida State (-7) over Florida

3:30 PM -- Bobby Bowden Field at Doak S. Campbell Stadium
FLORIDA STATE (10-1) -7 over Florida (10-1)

Prediction: Florida State by 13-14

Comments: Florida has lost one game this season, to Georgia, 17-9. Florida State has lost one game this season, at N.C. State, 17-16. Florida State has the nation’s best defense, giving up just 236.2 yards per game. Florida has the fourth best defense in the land, surrendering just 281.0 yards per game. Florida State is tops against the rush, Florida tops against the pass. In other words, these teams give you nothing. That shifts one’s focus to offense and Florida State has a big edge in that category. The Seminoles average 493.6 yards and 42.9 points per game, while Florida averages 332.9 yards and 25.8 points per outing. My analysis says Florida State will win for three reasons—its big edge on offense, the fact it is much quicker and faster than is Florida and because of a strong home field bias. The Seminoles are 17-3 the past three seasons in Tallahassee.
Sunny. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.

Marquee Grand Slam

25 Units

Notre Dame (-5) over USC

8:00 PM -- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Notre Dame (11-0) -5 over SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (7-4)

Prediction: Notre Dame by 13-14

Comments: USC had a much better chance to win this game when Matt Barkley was the starting quarterback but he is gone and will be replaced by redshirt freshman Max Wittek who has never started and who has thrown just nine passes during his college career. With Barkley out, the unbeaten Irish have a huge edge and should get the win that will put them in the BCS national championship game. Notre Dame is the complete football team, with an offense that averages 419.7 yards per game—200.7 yards rushing and 219.0 yards passing—and a lockdown defense that gives up just 287.4 yards per outing. USC, with Barkley at quarterback, has relied on the pass to get it done, averaging 307.0 yards through the air. It does not figure Wittek can make up the slack. Last but not least Notre Dame has giant edge in the coaching department and it is this element that wins most big games.

10 Units

Louisville (-11) over Connecticut

12:00 PM -- Papa John`s Cardinal Stadium
LOUISVILLE (9-1) -11 over Connecticut (4-6)

Prediction: Louisville by 17-18

Comments: The once-beaten Cardinals are very much alive for the Big East championship, needed to beat Connecticut today and Rutgers next week and that coveted award is theirs. I do not know about Rutgers but Louisville certainly has the edges to manhandle an up-and-down Connecticut team and that is even without leading rusher Senorise Perry who suffered a game-ending industry in the Cardinals last game, and only loss this season, to Syracuse, 45-26. His back-up, junior Jeremy Wright is the second-leading rusher on the team with 670 yards. Connecticut plays excellent pass defense, giving up a Big East-best 188.6 yards per game, but Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater (21 touchdown passes, with just five interceptions, and with the 5th best efficiency rating in the country at 168.7) has sliced and diced better and he should do the same today. It also is of note Louisville is 6-0 at home and has won those games by an average of 14 points.

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Purelock

156 Northwestern -19