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Date: 11/24/2012
THIS IS IT!!! Jimmy's one and only 10* college football game of the year
#205 10* South Carolina +3.5 (7:00 est) ESPN
South Carolina owns this series winning the last 3 games SU and ATS and covering 5 of the last 6. The Gamecocks have a much better defense that will be a huge edge here. I know the Clemson offense looks strong but remember what happened to Oregon when they ran into a reasonably good defense in Stanford? Coach Spurrier will be able to design a defensive game play to hold down the Tigers offense since he has done it for the last 3 years already. Carolina has covered their last 6 games against a non-conference team with revenge and they have won their last 15 non-conference games SU and when they win this one it will also be a cover. The weakness of the ACC gives great line value here with everyone salivating over the 1 loss Tigers. Look for the SEC Gamecocks to show the Tigers what conference is better. Thank you and good luck
7-Unit - #144 Louisville (-11) over UConn – 11:00 AM CST
Louisville lost its first game of the season two weeks ago at Syracuse. The Cardinals return home Saturday – where they are 6-0 – after a much needed bye week. Motivation will be high for the Cardinals as they need a win here to keep pace with Rutgers in the Big East. Rutgers is 5-0 in conference play and Louisville can set up a de-facto conference championship next week against the Scarlet Knights – if they take care of business against the Huskies on Saturday. UConn is 0-3 on the road in Big East play (0-2-1 ATS) and has lost those three games by an average of 17.6 points per game. The Huskies are off of a big win over Pittsburgh despite being outgained. The defense is solid, but they won’t be able to hold off QB Bridgewater and this Louisville offense that averages 33.2 points per game. Louisville’s 32nd ranked defense will be able to shut down UConn’s porous 113th ranked offense. Take the Cardinals minus the points at home.
Baylor is off of an upset win at home over #1 Kansas State last week. The Bears now are favorites at aneutral site against Texas Tech. They are a little overvalued here and we expect a bit of a hangover when they travel Saturday. Texas Tech has the top-ranked pass offense in the nation and they’ll be able to hang with Baylor’s high flying offense. Especially considering that Baylor has a terrible defense (123rd nationally). Tech has the big edge defensively here as they rank 11th against the pass and 25th in total defense. All signs point to a Red Raider win here. Take Tech plus the points.
3-Unit - #149 Virginia (+10) over Virginia Tech – 11:00 AM CST
Players CFB *8* Saturday on Michigan on 24 November Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *8* (Regular Play) Michigan over Ohio State @ 12 ET - The Michigan Wolverines travel to Ohio State to take on the Buckeyes on Saturday afternoon. Ohio State is 3-7 ATS last 10 home games. Road team is 5-2 ATS last 7 meetings overall in this series. Michigan is 6-1 SU in conference games where they are scoring 32.1 points per game while allowing only 15.3 points per game in conference play. Although Ohio State is perfect on the season and in conference play, they are beating conference opponents by only 12.1 points per game. Michigan will give Ohio State trouble here today and get the cover and possibly and outright win. Play Michigan as a *8* Regular Play selection Saturday.
Players CFB *10* Saturday on Wisconsin on 24 November Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *10* (TOP Play) Wisconsin over Penn State @ 3:30 ET - The Wisconsin Badgers travel to Penn State to take on the Nittany Lions on Saturday afternoon. Both teams come in with identical 7-4 records on the season. Wisconsin defense is allowing only 302.9 yards per game overall this year. Wisconsin is scoring 33.5 points per game on the road this year while allowing only 17 points per game away from home. Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS last 7 games overall. Penn State is 2-5-1 ATS last 8 games after a SU win of 20 or more points. Wrong team is favored in this one. Badgers get it done. Play Wisconsin as a *10* TOP Play selection Saturday.
Players CFB *10* Saturday on Mississippi State OVER on 24 November Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *10* (TOP Play) OVER in Mississippi State at Mississippi @ 7 ET - The Mississippi State Bulldogs travel to Mississippi to take on the Rebels on Saturday night. Ole Miss is scoring 33.7 points per game at home this season. The Over is 3-1-1 last 5 games when Mississippi State plays a conference opponent. The Over is 5-2 last 7 games when Mississippi is at home against a team with a non losing road record. Mississippi State is allowing 29.7 points per game their past 3 games overall. Ole Miss is allowing 35 points per game their past three games overall. Plenty of points will be scored in this game. Play OVER in Mississippi State as a *10* TOP Play selection Saturday.
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN FRANCISCO) team that had a winning record last season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. 59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units ) 3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )
CBB TX-ARLINGTON at SAMFORD
Play Against - Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SAMFORD) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 60 points or less. 105-25 since 1997. ( 80.8% 51.7 units )
CBB LA-MONROE at LOUISIANA TECH
Play Against - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (LA-MONROE) poor shooting team from last season - made <=42% of their shot attempts, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )
Play On - Road favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games. 130-72 since 1997. ( 64.4% 50.8 units )
NBA UTAH at SACRAMENTO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SACRAMENTO) terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, first half of the season. 231-92 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.5% 78.6 units ) 17-10 this year. ( 63.0% 0.3 units )
NBA LA CLIPPERS at ATLANTA
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team. 66-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% 31.9 units )
Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (N CAROLINA) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. 41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units ) 1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )
CFB GEORGIA TECH at GEORGIA
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (GEORGIA TECH) after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. 38-23 over the last 10 seasons. ( 62.3% 0.0 units ) 7-6 this year. ( 53.8% 0.0 units )
Football Crusher
Wake Forest +11 over Vanderbilt
(System Record: 32-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 32-38-4
Basketball Crusher
Golden State Warriors -2.5 over Minnesota Timberwolves
(System Record: 15-1, won last game)
Overall Record: 15-9-0
Soccer Crusher
Union Santa Fe + Newells Old Boys OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 321-12, lost last game and a push)
Overall Record: 321-280-35
Don't miss out on the exciting match up between Notre Dame and USC which will ultimately decide whether or not Notre Dame will be in the national championship game. I have the full in depth analysis that is guaranteed or one day is FREE that will give you tons of betting confidence!
USC +5.5 (5.5* NCAAF POD); USC +190 2* bonus
This is bigger than any bowl game that USC will get and they'll face the #1 team in the country on their home field 2 days after Thanksgiving Day. Notre Dame has to travel across the country and for once they won't have a scheduling spot in their favor. This will be just Notre Dame's 4th road game and while they got by Michigan State, Oklahoma, and Boston College this will be a different challenge.
USC, has the right combination of things working for them in this match up, and I'm not concerned with Matt Barkley being out, Max Whittek is said to have the better arm, and he's had an entire week to practice and he's got plenty of confidence. Oh he's also got the best receivers in the country in Marqis Lee and Robert Woods. What I mean by the right ingredients is USC has the tools that have given Notre Dame issues in all aspects. Notre Dame has not faced any good passing teams this year with the exception of Oklahoma who are ranked 8th and Landry Jones completed nearly 70% of his passes and 356 yards. Notre Dame's offense which is one dimensional has also struggled vs. good defensive lines who can establish a pass rush and stop the run. Check, USC is ranked 17th in sack % with a 10.42% rank and they have been so good at stopping the run not even their impressive 3.6 ypc defense in home games tells the true story as they gave up 7 yards per carry to Oregon, but every other opponent could not average more than 3 yards. Notre Dame is not Oregon offensively, and they struggled against Stanford, and BYU two other teams that can get to the QB. Everett Gholston has had a lot of poise this year but I'm afraid that's about to end, he's only completing 59% of his throws on the season.
Notre Dame only throws 39% of the time on the road, but as I mentioned USC can stop the run and at some point you can only beat USC if you throw the ball and keep up with them, because Notre Dame's secondary is extremely vulnerable and who is better to take advantage than Marqis Lee and Robert Woods. I think the Matt Barkley injury is a bit over rated and being home is a huge advantage in this match up. Look for Lee to have a field day on the Irish secondary. USC is just as strong in red zone defense as the Irish are, but the difference is USC has the ability for big plays that won't require scoring inside the 20. As good as Notre Dames defense has been they have only allowed 35% conversions on third down which is not that impressive for a top 5 defense. USC actually has arguably the most balanced attack that Notre Dame has seen all year and unfortunately for Notre Dame I think USC will make this the game of their year that was supposed to be completely different.
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