11-28-12

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Ohio State at Duke: What bettors need to know

Ohio State Buckeyes at Duke Blue Devils (-5, 144)

The premier matchup of the ACC/Big Ten Challenge takes place Wednesday when No. 4 Ohio State makes its first-ever visit to Cameron Indoor Stadium to play No. 2 Duke.

The Buckeyes have won all four of their games by double digits, most recently destroying UMKC 91-45 on Friday. The Blue Devils have played a much tougher schedule; their 6-0 start includes victories over then Top-3 teams Kentucky and Louisville. Duke will try to avenge last season’s 85-63 loss in Columbus, which dropped the Blue Devils to 11-2 in the Challenge. Ohio State is 5-5 in the event.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT NO. 4 OHIO STATE (4-0, 2-1 ATS): The Buckeyes lead the nation in 3-point shooting at 48 percent (32 of 67) and rank ninth in overall field-goal percentage (52.1). They’re also in the Top 10 in assist-to-turnover ratio (6th/+1.63) and fewest turnovers per game (5th/9.5). Junior F Deshaun Thomas averages 24 points and 7.3 rebounds, while junior PG Aaron Craft – last season’s Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year -- chips in 14.3 points and 5.3 assists. Junior G Lenzelle Smith, the third returning starter, averages 11.5 points and 5.3 rebounds. All three have upper their scoring averages following the departures of Jared Sullinger and William Buford.

ABOUT DUKE NO. 2 (6-0, 4-2 ATS): Having just survived a stacked field to win the Battle 4 Atlantis, Duke has won 23 straight regular-season games. All five starters are averaging in double figures, led by 6-10 senior Mason Plumlee (19.7 points, 10 rebounds). Senior G Seth Curry is nursing a right shin injury, but that didn’t stop him from averaging a team-high 18 points in the Bahamas. He was scheduled to get a few days off leading into this game. Tourney MVP Quinn Cook averaged 13.7 points and 6.3 assists over the three games. The Blue Devils have hit 12 more 3-pointers than Ohio State, but shoot a significantly lower percentage (37.3).

TRENDS:

* Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Blue Devils are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games.
* Over is 5-1 in Buckeyes' last six vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Over is 6-0 in Blue Devils' last six vs. Big Ten.

TIP-INS:

1. Ohio State is 7-15 all-time against No. 2-ranked teams. The Buckeyes are 147-231 all-time against ranked opponents.

2. Duke and Ohio State have split six all-time meetings.

3. Craft has 177 career steals, third on Ohio State’s all-time list behind David Lighty (191) and Jay Burson (204).

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Michigan (-6 1/2) Tuesday.

Wednesday it’s Wisconsin. The deficit is 1383 sirignanos.

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Spurs won last four games, covered six of last seven as road favorite.
-- Nets won/covered last three games (1-2 as AU). Boston won three of its last four at home (1-3-1 as HF).
-- Atlanta won its last five games (0-4 as HF). Bobcats won six of last nine games (2-3 as AU).
-- Suns won three of last four games (1-3 as AU). Pistons are 4-3 in last seven games, after an 0-8 start (0-3 as F).
-- Memphis won 10 of last 11 games (9-2 vs spread, 4-2 as HF).
-- Jazz won four of last five games (2-2 as AF).
-- Thunder won five of last six games (5-4-1 as HF). Rockets won/covered their last three games (0-3-1 last four AU).

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost first 12 games (1-4 as HU). Portland lost three of last four games (2-5 SU on road).
-- Magic is 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight games as a dog (1-3 as HU).
-- Bulls lost four of last five games (0-6 as HF). Dallas lost three of last four games (3-3 as AU).
-- Knicks lost three of last four games (2-2 as AF). Milwaukee also lost three of last four (3-3 SU at home).
-- Raptors lost their last five games (4-5 as AU).
-- New Orleans lost seven of last eight games (2-3 as HU).
-- Minnesota lost five of last six games (4-3 as AU). Clippers lost last four games (3-3 as HF).

Totals
-- Last four Washington games went over the total.
-- Six of Spurs' last seven games went over the total.
-- Last six Brooklyn games stayed under the total. Five of Boston's last six games went over.
-- Four of last five games went over for both Charlotte/Atlanta.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Phoenix games.
-- Three of last four Dallas games went over the total; four of last five Chicago games stayed under.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in New York's road games.
-- Four of last five Toronto games went over total; six of Grizzlies' last nine games stayed under.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Utah games.
-- Six of last eight Houston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota road games stayed under total.

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CBB

-- Virginia coach Bennett played for his dad in college at Green Bay, so he's coming home, kind of; Cavaliers are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to George Mason by 4, Delaware by 6. Wisconsin is 4-2, allowing 79 ppg in losses to Florida/Creighton, best two teams they've played. Single digit ACC underdogs are 4-5. Big Dozen home favorites are 14-6.
-- Temple beat Buffalo 87-85 in OT at home LY; Owls are 3-0 this year, winning by 14 at Kent State in only road game- they're shooting 61.5% inside arc. Buffalo is 1-5 vs D-I teams, but only one of five losses was by more than 9 points. Atlantic-16 road favorites are 9-6 against spread. MAC home underdogs are 2-3.
-- Young Clemson (11 frosh/sophs) won four of first five games, losing by 8 to Gonzaga in Orlando (won last two games there)- they've made 41% of 3-pointers this year. Purdue lost three of first five games, making 26% behind arc- they lost to Villanova/Oregon State on neutral court in NYC. ACC home favorites are 4-3. Big Dozen road dogs are 5-7.
-- Michigan State won five in row since losing opener to UConn over in Germany, but three of five wins were by 4 or less points- this is State's first true road game (beat Kansas in other neutral court game). Miami is 3-1, losing to Florida Gulf Coast; they also lost exhibition to St Leo's. ACC teams are 11-8 vs spread if line is 5 or less points.

-- Larry Brown has SMU at 6-1, but hasn't played anyone ranked higher than #169; Mustangs are scoring 31% of points from foul line (#3 in US) this year. Utah won last three games, allowing 50.3 ppg, but this is their first road game- they've played #343 schedule so far. C-USA home faves are 4-5 vs spread. Pac-12 single digit road underdogs are 7-5.
-- UTEP lost its last four games, scoring 52.3 ppg, going 0-3 in Orlando, but three of four teams are in top 75; Miners won four of last six games vs New Mexico State. Aggies lost last two visits here, by 4-17 points; they're 2-3 vs D-I teams, losing by 9 at Oregon State in only road game. WAC single digit road dogs are 3-8 against the spread. .
-- Georgia Tech was in Anaheim over weekend, now is at Illinois squad that won Maui Classic last week, then limped past Gardner Webb in last game. Tech won four of first five games, allowing 51.8 ppg, which makes up for 20.9% shooting outside arc. ACC road underdogs are 8-6 against spread. Big Dozen home favorites are 14-6 against the spread.
-- Duke won tourney in Bahamas, beating Dieng-less Louisville in final; Blue Devils are 6-0, with four of six wins vs top 20 teams, including all three foes in Atlantis. Ohio State is 4-0 but hasn't played anyone, with best win over shaky Washington (#83). ACC single digit home favorites are 5-3 vs spread. Buckeyes made 48% of 3's in first four games.
-- Cal-Irvine is improved but is still just 3-4, losing OT games at UCLA, Sam Houston State, as well as by 10 at Pepperdine; Anteaters make just 61.4% from line, 32.8% from arc. UNLV star freshman Bennett is ??? with bad back; Rebels are 3-1, all at home, winning by 38-19-12 points. Big West double digit road underdogs are 7-3 vs spread.

-- Elon is 4-2, losing by 15 at Butler, winning by 12 at South Carolina; they won three of last four games with Georgia Southern beating Eagles 65-58 in SoCon tourney last March. GSU is 1-3 vs D-I teams, but they were all road games- they scored 53.3 ppg in losses, all against top 100 teams-- they've played #56 schedule in country so far.
-- Furman swept Western Carolina LY, 80-66/58-55; Paladins are 0-3 vs D-I teams this year, scoring 49.3 ppg while shooting 20% from arc- they are turning ball over 29.8% of time. Western is 1-4 vs D-I teams, with all five games played away from home- their last two games were decided by a total of three points.
-- Iona hasn't played in nine days, since losing two of three at tourney in Virgin Islands; Gaels are picked to win MAAC, but played poor defense in first four games (53.9eFG%), losing to Quinnipiac/UIC. Iona won last four games with Niagara, by 14-12-6-24 points. Niagara is 2-3, giving up 80+ points in four of five games (56.5eFG%).
-- Siena lost four of first six games, losing by point to Vermont in its one home game; Saints are shooting just 61% from line, 41.2% inside the arc. MAAC single digit underdogs are 3-10 vs spread. UMass beat Siena by 4 (82-78) LY; Minutemen are 2-2 playing #21 schedule in country, with losses to NC State by 18, Tennessee by 14.

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

11/28/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 652-203 (.763)
ATS: 249-275 (.475)
ATS Vary Units: 997-1201 (.454)
Over/Under: 85-66 (.563)
Over/Under Vary Units: 126-106 (.543)

U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam
at Albuquerque, NM
NEW MEXICO 69, Mercer 53

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
IONA 92, Niagara 77

Southern Conference
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 72, Elon 67
Western Carolina 72, FURMAN 70

Non-Conference
AIR FORCE 73, Jackson State 52
ARIZONA 83, Northern Arizona 53
ARIZONA STATE 73, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 54
BOSTON U. 68, Coastal Carolina 66
Byu 75, Montana 70
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 62, Bradley 60
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 72, College of Charleston 71
CLEMSON 65, Purdue 61
Cleveland State 65, BALL STATE 58
CREIGHTON 82, Boise State 66
DAYTON 80, Weber State 67
Delaware 78, LAFAYETTE 70
DUKE 73, Ohio State 71
Duquesne 79, APPALACHIAN STATE 73
EASTERN ILLINOIS 73, Central Arkansas 64
EASTERN KENTUCKY 69, Delaware State 62
Florida Gulf Coast 73, SAMFORD 65
Fort Wayne vs. NAVY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fresno State vs. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
George Mason 68, RHODE ISLAND 63
George Washington 67, JAMES MADISON 65
Houston 74, PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 64
ILLINOIS 65, Georgia Tech 55
Jacksonville 77, SOUTH CAROLINA STATE 65
LONG ISLAND 83, Columbia 77
LOUISIANA TECH 71, Southeastern Louisiana 54
LOYOLA (CHICAGO) 63, Tennessee Tech 62
Loyola (Md.) 79, COPPIN STATE 65
MARSHALL 75, Morehead State 68
Massachusetts 79, SIENA 67
Michigan State 67, MIAMI (FLA.) 62
NEVADA 84, UC Davis 63
New Mexico State 67, UTEP 63
NORTH TEXAS 75, UT Arlington 69
NORTHEASTERN 70, Maine 54
OHIO 73, St. Bonaventure 63
Oklahoma 68, ORAL ROBERTS 67
PENN 71, Binghamton 50
PENN STATE 68, Boston College 54
Princeton 66, WAGNER 62
RADFORD 65, Hampton 64
RICHMOND 70, William & Mary 57
SAINT JOSEPH'S 73, American 53
SAINT PETER'S 69, Fairleigh Dickinson 61
SMU 61, Utah 53
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 80, North Dakota 59
STANFORD 85, Seattle 65
Stony Brook 63, CORNELL 61
Temple 77, BUFFALO 68
TOLEDO 71, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 58
UC SANTA BARBARA 62, Wyoming 60
UCLA 80, Cal State Northridge 66
UNC GREENSBORO 80, North Carolina A&T 70
UNLV 82, UC Irvine 64
Utah State 74, SANTA CLARA 72
VCU 85, Stetson 60
WASHINGTON 69, Saint Louis 66
WASHINGTON STATE 70, Idaho 59
WEST VIRGINIA 87, Vmi 70
WICHITA STATE 77, Tulsa 59
WISCONSIN 61, Virginia 49
WOFFORD 63, Winthrop 54
YOUNGSTOWN STATE 73, Kent State 72

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

11/28/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 134-68 (.663)
ATS: 91-112 (.448)
ATS Vary Units: 328-344 (.488)
Over/Under: 108-97 (.527)
Over/Under Vary Units: 219-184 (.543)

WASHINGTON 98, Portland 97
San Antonio 101, ORLANDO 93
BOSTON 97, Brooklyn 87
ATLANTA 101, Charlotte 83
Phoenix 100, DETROIT 99
CHICAGO 97, Dallas 89
New York 100, MILWAUKEE 99
MEMPHIS 101, Toronto 87
Utah vs. NEW ORLEANS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
OKLAHOMA CITY 109, Houston 98
L.A. CLIPPERS 105, Minnesota 92

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 945-697 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free play WED: Atl Hawks -9

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Hawks -9

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Michigan State at Miami (FL)

The Spartans look to take advantage of a Miami (FL) team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Big Ten teams. Michigan State is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 28 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 723-724: St. Bonaventure at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 59.552; Ohio 72.378 Dunkel Line: Ohio by 13 Vegas Line: Ohio by 11 Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-11)

Game 725-726: Virginia at Wisconsin (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 64.631; Wisconsin 70.788 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 6; 108 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9 1/2; 112 Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+9 1/2); Under

Game 727-728: Kent State at Youngstown State (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 56.835; Youngstown State 58.810 Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 2 Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+4 1/2)

Game 729-730: Cleveland State at Ball State (7:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 55.398; Ball State 50.570 Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 5 Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 3 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-3)

Game 731-732: William & Mary at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 51.280; Richmond 67.313 Dunkel Line: Richmond by 16 Vegas Line: Richmond by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-13 1/2)

Game 733-734: George Washington at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 51.038; James Madison 49.318 Dunkel Line: George Washington by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: James Madison by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+1 1/2)

Game 735-736: Temple at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Temple 61.993; Buffalo 57.593 Dunkel Line: Temple by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Temple by 6 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+6)

Game 737-738: Bradley at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 52.672; Central Michigan 47.996 Dunkel Line: Bradley by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Bradley by 3 Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-3)

Game 739-740: Purdue at Clemson (7:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 63.076; Clemson 69.141 Dunkel Line: Clemson by 6; 127 Vegas Line: Clemson by 4 1/2; 123 Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-4 1/2); Over

Game 741-742: Michigan State at Miami (FL) (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.412; Miami (FL) 65.690 Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2; 133 Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 2 1/2; 128 Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 743-744: George Mason at Rhode Island (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 60.581; Rhode Island 53.773 Dunkel Line: George Mason by 7; 122 Vegas Line: George Mason by 4 1/2; 125 1/2 Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-4 1/2); Under

Game 745-746: TX-Arlington at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 53.106; North Texas 58.779 Dunkel Line: North Texas by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: North Texas by 7 Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+7)

Game 747-748: Tulsa at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 53.616; Wichita State 73.078 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 19 1/2 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 15 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-15 1/2)

Game 749-750: Fresno State at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 54.648; Southern Illinois 55.427 Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 1 Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+3 1/2)

Game 751-752: Utah at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 53.796; SMU 55.891 Dunkel Line: SMU by 5 Vegas Line: SMU by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+6 1/2)

Game 753-754: Boise State at Creighton (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 59.364; Creighton 74.763 Dunkel Line: Creighton by 15 1/2 Vegas Line: Creighton by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-13 1/2)

Game 755-756: New Mexico State at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.325; UTEP 57.083 Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 3 Vegas Line: UTEP by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+3 1/2)

Game 757-758: Georgia Tech at Illinois (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 58.296; Illinois 68.701 Dunkel Line: Illinois by 10 1/2; 119 Vegas Line: Illinois by 9; 122 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-9); Under

Game 759-760: Boston College at Penn State (9:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 54.893; Penn State 55.961 Dunkel Line: Penn State by 1; 127 Vegas Line: Penn State by 2 1/2; 124 Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2); Over

Game 761-762: Ohio State at Duke (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 72.263; Duke 80.446 Dunkel Line: Duke by 8; 139 Vegas Line: Duke by 6; 142 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6); Under

Game 763-764: Wyoming at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 57.785; UC-Santa Barbara 55.154 Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Wyoming

Game 765-766: Idaho at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.101; Washington State 64.370 Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington State by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-6 1/2)

Game 767-768: UC Davis at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 44.514; Nevada 55.822 Dunkel Line: Nevada by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Nevada by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+12 1/2)

Game 769-770: UC-Irvine at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 51.612; UNLV 72.431 Dunkel Line: UNLV by 21 Vegas Line: UNLV by 15 Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-15)

Game 771-772: Seattle at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.798; Stanford 70.453 Dunkel Line: Stanford by 19 1/2 Vegas Line: Stanford by 20 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+20 1/2)

Game 773-774: Utah State at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.909; Santa Clara 60.277 Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 7 Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+7)

Game 775-776: St. Louis at Washington (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 63.403; Washington 69.900 Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington by 3 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3)

Game 777-778: CS-Northridge at UCLA (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 54.548; UCLA 65.865 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: UCLA by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+14 1/2)

Game 779-780: Morehead State at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 50.276; Marshall 64.359 Dunkel Line: Marshall by 14 Vegas Line: Marshall by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-11 1/2)

Game 781-782: Duquesne at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 51.294; Appalachian State 49.386 Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 2 Vegas Line: Duquesne by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+3 1/2)

Game 783-784: Weber State at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 51.330; Dayton 66.171 Dunkel Line: Dayton by 15 Vegas Line: Dayton by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-13 1/2)

Game 785-786: Elon at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Elon 51.094; Georgia Southern 51.432 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 1 Dunkel Pick: Elon (+1)

Game 787-788: Western Carolina at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 50.700; Furman 52.708 Dunkel Line: Furman by 2 Vegas Line: Furman by 1 Dunkel Pick: Furman (-1)

Game 789-790: Niagara at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 49.871; Iona 63.115 Dunkel Line: Iona by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Iona by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Iona (-8 1/2)

Game 791-792: Massachusetts at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 56.775; Siena 51.825 Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 5 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 7 Dunkel Pick: Siena (+7)

Game 793-794: North Dakota at South Dakota State (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.789; South Dakota State 65.054 Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 19 1/2 Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 18 Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-18)

Game 795-796: Tennessee Tech at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 48.846; Loyola-Chicago 51.276 Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+4 1/2)

Game 797-798: Montana at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana 58.543; BYU 66.468 Dunkel Line: BYU by 8 Vegas Line: BYU by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Montana (+9 1/2)

Game 799-800: Northern Arizona at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 42.110; Arizona 68.183 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 26 Vegas Line: Arizona by 25 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-25)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Phoenix at Detroit

The Pistons look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is coming off a 91-78 win over Cleveland and is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU victory. Detroit is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3). Here are all of today's picks

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 28 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Portland at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 112.769; Washington 110.389 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 1; 192 Dunkel Pick: Portland (-1); Over

Game 703-704: San Antonio at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.848; Orlando 116.873 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 189 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 197 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Brooklyn at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 119.948; Boston 123.027 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3; 190 Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 195 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+4 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Charlotte at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.368; Atlanta 120.548 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 192 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+9); Over

Game 709-710: Phoenix at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 113.745; Detroit 121.485 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 7 1/2; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 198 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3); Under

Game 711-712: Dallas at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 112.248; Chicago 121.356 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 196 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 190 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: New York at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 125.905; Milwaukee 121.104 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 5; 194 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 198 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New York (-1 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Toronto at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.784; Memphis 127.602 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 15; 196 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 10 1/2; 191 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-10 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Utah at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 118.179; New Orleans 111.954 Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 6 1/2; 195 Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 191 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (-3 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Houston at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.434; Oklahoma City 130.282 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 207 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Under

Game 721-722: Minnesota at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.821; LA Clippers 124.122 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 12 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 193 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-8 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Michigan State +1.5

50* Temple -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Virginia
Michigan St
Knicks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the day: Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics

Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics (-4.5, 191.5)

The Brooklyn Nets have taken to their new home, winning seven of eight at Barclays Center to jump to the top of the Atlantic Division. The road has not been nearly as kind. The Nets will be looking to move to .500 on the road when they visit the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. The Celtics have won back-to-back games but have yet to solve the defensive problems that have plagued them over the last two weeks.

New Jersey beat the crosstown-rival New York Knicks in overtime on Monday to forge a tie between the teams atop the division. Boston enters Wednesday in fourth place, behind the Philadelphia 76ers. The Celtics have controlled the Atlantic with a stingy team defense since bringing Kevin Garnett to town five seasons ago but have had trouble incorporating several new pieces into their scheme.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, YES (Brooklyn), CSN New England (Boston)

ABOUT THE NETS (9-4, 8-3-2 ATS): Brooklyn got things done Monday with the inside-outside combination of Deron Williams and Brook Lopez, each of whom recorded a double-double. Those two are part of the home-road problem for the Nets. Lopez is averaging 21.3 points and 6.6 rebounds in eight home games but has seen those numbers dip to 16.0 and 6.4 in five contests on the road. Williams is averaging 18.3 points and 10.1 assists at Barclays Center but 14.2 and seven away from it. Third-leading scorer Joe Johnson has had the same problems. Brooklyn is beginning a three-game trip at Boston.

ABOUT THE CELTICS (8-6, 5-7-2 ATS): Boston has never been a great rebounding team in this era of success, preferring to run back on defense instead of crashing the boards. While the Celtics still are last in the NBA in rebounding, they also have slipped into the bottom third in scoring defense recently. Boston needed overtime to squeeze out a 116-110 victory at the lowly Orlando Magic on Sunday and has allowed the opposition to reach the century mark in four straight games. Some of the problems on defense began on Nov. 15, when the Celtics dropped a 102-97 decision at Brooklyn.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Nets are 0-3-1 ATS in the last four meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Celtics PG Rajon Rondo missed the Nov. 15 meeting with an ankle injury. Rondo has recorded at least 10 assists in each of his last 37 games.

2. Boston had taken three straight in the series before dropping the first meeting this season.

3. The Nets have been at their best defensively in the fourth quarter of the last three games, holding teams to an average of 15 points.

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NBA Top 4: Bad Road Team, Good Road Bet

Road teams have the edge at the betting window to start the NBA season, posting a 101-96-6 ATS mark heading into Tuesday’s action.

That 51.27 percent success rate against the spread isn’t going to balloon up wallets overnight but there are a handful of teams showing excellent betting value when hitting the highway. And, to the surprise of some, those teams aren’t at the top of the NBA food chain.

Here are four teams with losing road records that have done just enough to meet the oddsmakers’ expectations away from home:

Cleveland Cavaliers (1-9 SU away, 6-4 ATS away)

The Cavaliers just went a big oh-fer on their recent three-game road swing, but managed to cover the spread in Orlando, Miami and Memphis. Cleveland was given a pile of points in South Beach (+15) and was an 11.5-point dog visiting the Grizzlies.

Despite missing star guard Kyrie Irving, the Cavs were a tough out in all three of those contests. Rookie Dion Waiters has been instant offense in place of Irving and center Anderson Varejao is playing the best basketball of his career. Cleveland is home to Phoenix Tuesday before heading to Atlanta Friday.

Washington Wizards (0-6 SU away, 4-2 ATS away)

A bad team can sink so low that eventually they come up on the other side as a value bet. This phenomenon usually doesn’t happen until late in the NBA season, but the Wizards are already there thanks to a 0-12 start to the schedule. And the best value with Washington has been on the road.

The Wizards are 4-2 ATS away from D.C. including back-to-back covers in their past two road games. Looking over the home/away splits won’t reveal much, as the scoring and defense remains around the same level no matter where Washington plays. Just those few extra points on the spread as the visitor are making the difference. The Wiz are home to Portland Wednesday before traveling to New York Friday.

New Orleans Hornets (2-5 SU away, 5-2 ATS away)

The Hornets went into the Staples Center and capped their four-game road trip with a shocker over the Clippers Monday, knocking off L.A. 105-98 as 13-point pups. New Orleans split against the spread during that trip, going 2-2 ATS with the other payday coming in Phoenix. The Bugs nearly knocked off Indiana as well but faded in overtime.

The Hornets offense is hitting its stride away from the Big Easy, averaging 100.3 points per road game (sixth in the NBA) while scoring an average of just 87.8 at home (30th in the NBA). Without shot swatter Anthony Davis guarding the hoop (out with an ankle injury) New Orleans is turning up the intensity and looking to outgun opponents (3-1 over/under on recent road trip). Bettors will have to wait until Dec. 8 (at Miami) to bet the Bugs on the road with a five-game home stand starting Wednesday.

Denver Nuggets (4-6 SU away, 6-4 ATS away)

The Nuggets are well known among NBA bettors for their home-court edge, welcoming foes to the thin air of the Pepsi Center. But while Denver is a solid play as a host, it has shown some value as a guest as well. The Nuggets have covered in three straight road games, including a 105-103 loss in Utah Monday that snapped a four-game winning streak in which the team was a perfect 5-0 ATS.

Denver is one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA, especially on the offensive glass. It leads the league in offensive boards (15.5 per game) and total rebounds (57.5 per game), getting great work from glass eater Kenneth Faried under the rim. The Nuggets play seven of their next eight games on the road, starting in Golden State Thursday and L.A. Friday.