12-2-12

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Winning Points

Best Bets
Houston Texans
San Francisco 49ers

Preferred
Seattle Seahawks
Cincinnati Bengals

Best Bet = 15-7
PRE = 12-9-1

Sports Reporter

Best Bets
Chicago Bears
Indianapolis Colts

Recommended
Green Bay Packers
Cincinnati Bengals

Best Bet = 15-14
Rec = 8-8

Red Sheet

88 Houston Texans
88 Cincinnati Bengals
88 Washington Redskins

88 = 8-4

Power Sweep

Key Selections
4* Houston Texans
3* New York Jets
2* New England Patriots

4* = 9-2-1
3* = 12-3
2* = 6-8-1

Power Plays

4* NE Patriots
3* SF 49ers
3* Denver Broncos
2* Cleveland Browns
1* Chiefs/Panthers UNDER

23-22 = +4.5*

Pointwise

3* Pittsburgh Steelers
3* Detroit Lions
4* Buffalo Bills
4* New Orleans Saints
5* Washington Redskins

5* = 7-5
4* = 9-14
3* = 11-11-1

Playbook / Marc Lawrence

4* Miami Dolphins
3* Tenn Titans
5* Washington Redskins

3* = 5-7-1
4* = 8-4
5* = 5-6-1

Killer Sports Newsletter

4-Star 2 Team 6pt Teaser POW

NE Patriots--Cleveland Browns

5-Star 3 Team 10 pt teaser

Packers - Steelers - Chargers

5-1 = +$390

Green Sheet

KEY SELECTIONS
5* SAN FRANCISCO (-7)
4* TAMPA BAY (+7)
3* TENNESSEE (+5)
2* NEW ENGLAND (-7)
1* INDIANAPOLIS (+5)

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NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 13

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Quick-hitting betting notes on all of Week 13's action.

Seattle at Chicago (-3.5, 37.5)

Jay Cutler returned against the Vikings last week and led four straight scoring drives in the first and second quarters as Chicago cruised to a 28-10 win. The Seahawks should have their full secondary ready to attack Cutler and WR Brandon Marshall, as the potential suspensions for CBs Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner, who both tested positive for a banned stimulant, are under appeal. Seattle is 1-5 on the road this season and has suffered all five of those road losses by a touchdown or less, including last week’s 24-21 setback at Miami. Bears RB Matt Forte (ankle) has been limited in practice but says he will be ready to go for Sunday. These teams have played over the total in their last seven meetings.

Minnesota at Green Bay (-9.5, 46.5)

The Vikings and Packers square off in a crucial game for their playoff prospects Sunday at Lambeau Field. Green Bay is coming off a 38-10 prime-time loss to the New York Giants and is now a game behind the division-leading Bears. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has the highest QB rating in the league (105.6), but he has been held under 300 yards passing in four consecutive games. However, he will have one of his favorite targets back on the field this week, as WR Greg Jennings will make his return after missing seven games because of abdominal surgery. These teams have played over the total in seven of their last eight meetings.

San Francisco at St. Louis (7, 40)

The last time Alex Smith started at QB he was knocked out of the game and the 49ers ended up tying the St. Louis Rams after Colin Kaepernick stepped in and helped overcome a 17-7 deficit. This time, Kaepernick will get the start over a healthy Smith when San Francisco visits the Rams. The Niners’ passing game will have to be efficient because the ground game has been in a funk as of late. Frank Gore rushed for 97 yards on 21 carries in the first meeting with St. Louis this season, but has been held under 100 yards in four straight games. St. Louis could be without top WR Danny Amendola (heel), who has missed practice this week because of the injury. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

Arizona at New York Jets (-4.5, 36.5)

Both of these clubs are coming off lopsided home losses that dropped them to 4-7 on the campaign. The Cardinals have stumbled to seven consecutive defeats following a 4-0 start but they do own a victory at New England, a team that has defeated the Jets twice, including a 49-19 beating on Thanksgiving night. Arizona hasn’t scored 20 points since Week 4 and is averaging a paltry 12.7 points during its seven-game skid. The Jets have taken the last five meetings and none of New York's remaining five opponents currently has more than four wins. The under is 5-1 in the Cardinals’ last six road games.

Carolina at Kansas City (3, 40.5)

Cam Newton threw for a pair of touchdowns and rushed for two more as Carolina posted a 30-22 victory over Philadelphia on Monday night. Newton could be in line for another field day against Kansas City, which can match its longest losing skid in franchise history with a ninth straight loss on Sunday. The Chiefs are counting on Brady Quinn to spark an offense that has mustered just three touchdowns in the last seven contests. With RB Jonathan Stewart likely sidelined with a high ankle sprain, DeAngelo Williams will receive the bulk of the carries in the backfield for the Panthers. Carolina is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games.

Indianapolis at Detroit (-5, 51)

The Lions suffered their third straight loss with a 34-31 overtime setback to Houston on Nov. 22, but the talk resonating from the game centered on the intent of Ndamukong Suh's kick to the groin of QB Matt Schaub. Commissioner Roger Goodell elected not to suspend the mammoth defensive tackle, but the league issued a $30,000 fine instead. Interim Colts coach Bruce Arians has won six of eight contests while filling in for Chuck Pagano and Indy has covered in five of its last six games overall.

Jacksonville at Buffalo (-6, 44.5)

The Bills have tumbled down the standings following four losses in five games, including last week's 20-13 defeat at Indianapolis. Buffalo continues to struggle in the red zone, managing only one touchdown in each of its last two games, and has surrendered a punt return for a score in consecutive weeks. The Jaguars have come to life under backup QB Chad Henne and snapped a seven-game losing streak with a 24-19 victory over Tennessee last week. Henne has thrown for 615 yards with six touchdowns and one interception in his two appearances this campaign. Surprisingly, Jacksonville is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games.

New England at Miami (9, 51)

Tom Brady and the New England Patriots look to extend their five-game winning streak when they visit Miami. New England has scored 108 points in its last two games, the third-highest two-game total in NFL history. The Patriots have put up at least 37 points in each of their last four games and the scary part is that they’ve taken their foot off the gas in each one. Miami has been gashed through the air this season. The Dolphins rank 27th against the pass and they can’t count on the takeaways when they face Brady, who has been picked off just three times on the season. These teams have played over the total in their last four meetings.

Houston at Tennessee (6, 47)

The Texans have won five straight, including back-to-back overtime victories against Jacksonville and Detroit, and need just one more win to break the franchise record of 10 set last season. Houston also will clinch a playoff spot with a win or tie. Tennessee has lost three of four, including a 24-19 loss at Jacksonville last week, to fall two games off the wild card pace with five games to play. The Titans’ stop unit is among the league's worst and is ranked 31st in scoring and 29th in total yards. Houston is 5-0 on the road with four of those wins coming by seven points or less.

Tampa Bay at Denver (-8, 50.5)

The Buccaneers had their four-game winning streak snapped with last week's one-point home loss to Atlanta, but remain in a three-way tie with the Seahawks and Vikings for the final playoff spot in the NFC. Tampa Bay had rolled up an average of nearly 35 points during its four-game winning streak, but bogged down at critical moments in the 24-23 loss to the Falcons. The Broncos can wrap up their second straight AFC West title with a victory. Denver enters on a six-game winning streak, but the Bucs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore (-9.5, 34.5)

Pittsburgh, which has lost two straight without QB Ben Roethlisberger, desperately needs a win when it travels to Baltimore to avoid seeing its playoff hopes take another hit. Roethlisberger is back practicing in a limited capacity but has been ruled out, so veteran Charlie Batch will start. The Ravens can clinch a playoff berth with a win, and if their victory is paired with a Cincinnati loss at San Diego, they'll lock up the division crown. Baltimore enters on a four-game winning streak and has won 15 consecutive regular-season home games - the longest active streak in the NFL. The Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games overall.

Cleveland at Oakland (2.5, 39.5)

Cleveland recorded eight turnovers against injury-ravaged Pittsburgh last week en route to a 20-14 triumph. Rookie QB Brandon Weeden suffered a concussion in the fourth quarter of the victory, but is probable to be under center Sunday. Oakland could receive a boost in the backfield as Darren McFadden has resumed practicing and is in line to return after missing the last three contests with an ankle sprain. The Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last four overall.

Cincinnati at San Diego (1, 45.5)

The Cincinnati Bengals have put themselves in a wild card position with three straight wins. The Bengals have demolished the Giants, Chiefs and Raiders by an average of 21.3 points over the last three weeks. Andy Dalton has thrown for nine touchdowns and no interceptions in that span while the defense has been able to get pressure on opposing QBs and defend well against the passing game. That’s bad news for the Chargers, who have struggled passing and stopping the pass. San Diego has dropped six of its last seven games and has surrendered at least 30 points in four of those setbacks. The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a win.

Philadelphia at Dallas (-10.5, 43)

The Eagles haven't tasted victory since Week 4, when they improved to 3-1 with a 19-17 triumph over the Giants. Injuries have ravaged the offense and Andy Reid is basically a lame-duck coach waiting for the axe to fall at season's end. On top of injuries to key cogs, Michael Vick (concussion) and LeSean McCoy (concussion), top wideout DeSean Jackson has been placed on IR with fractured ribs. Dallas, which is last in the league with an average of 78.7 rushing yards, may receive a boost Sunday as RB DeMarco Murray (foot) could be available. The Eagles are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

New York Giants at Washington (1, 51)

New York avoided a major downward spiral last Sunday night, when it posted a convincing 38-10 home victory over the Packers. Prior to the win, the Giants suffered losses at home to Pittsburgh and in Cincinnati. But not everything that came out of Sunday's win over the Packers was good as RB Andre Brown suffered a broken leg and is out for the remainder of the season. David Wilson could see more playing time in place of Brown, who leads the NFC with eight rushing touchdowns. Washington suffered a 27-23 setback to the Giants in Week 7 at MetLife Stadium. But New York is 0-4 ATS in its last four meetings with the Redskins.

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Fat Jack on Charlotte radio:

Jets
Bears
Rams
Chargers
Packers

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Brian Mac's Friday Night Hotside

PATS/49ERS 7pt Teaser

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THE GOLDSHEET

★ ★ ★ ★KEY RELEASES ★ ★ ★ ★
NFL- CINCINNATI (-1.5) by 11 over San Diego
NFL- SEATTLE (+4) by 7 over Chicago
NFL- UNDER THE TOTAL (56) New Orleans-Atlanta game (Thur., Nov. 29)

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Colin Cowherd Blazin' 5 NFL

39-16 on the year ATS!

1.Bengals -1.5
2.Seahawks +3.5
3. 49ers -7
4. Vikings +8
5. Redskins +2.5

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Football Jesus Podcast Pick : REDSKINS + the points for this week

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Cappers Access

Seahawks +3-
Raiders +3
Chargers +1-

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Andy Iskoe @ Gaming Today

SUNDAY

Seattle (NL) at Chicago: Chicago suffered multiple injuries in last week’s win over Minnesota keeping it off the board at press time. Seattle will have a couple of players suspended due to drug violations. Both teams owe their success more to their defenses than to their offenses. Each prefers the ground game to passing the football. UNDER.

Minnesota +9 at GB (47): Green Bay was humiliated before a national audience at the Giants and returns home for the first time in nearly a month. The Vikings remain in the Wild Card race at 6-5, but are a far different team on the road (1-4) than at home (5-1) and will catch the Packers in a foul mood. If both teams play to their potential, this game will not be close. GREEN BAY.

SF -7 at St. Louis (40): These teams played to a rare tie in San Francisco three weeks ago. The Rams have made strides under first year coach Jeff Fisher but as we get deeper into the season the lack of overall talent and depth has become apparent. The Niners enjoy edges on both sides of the football and should eventually wear down the Rams in the second half. SAN FRANCISCO.

Arizona +4½ at NY Jets (36½): Arizona has lost 7 straight following a 4-0 start. They have major issues at QB as they travel cross country to face a Jets team that was thoroughly embarrassed on Thanksgiving night by New England. The Jets have had their moments with impressive wins on the road at St. Louis and earlier at home over Indianapolis. NY JETS.

Carolina -3 at KC (38½): Carolina played Monday night at Philadelphia yet still is favored on the road. Kansas City gave Denver a battle last week but their inability to score touchdowns proved fatal in their 17-9 loss. The Chiefs have failed to score as many as 17 points in 7 straight games, averaging just 10.4 ppg in this stretch. UNDER.

Indy +4½ at Detroit (51): Detroit is playing out the string at 4-7 but still has considerable talent on both sides of the football. They still are playing hard as they showed against the Texans and are eager to end their three game losing streak. Playing with no pressure they should accomplish it. DETROIT.

Jacksonville +6 at Buffalo (45): The Bills defense has failed to perform and the offense has been inconsistent, although key injuries have clearly been a factor. Jacksonville got a nice home win over Tennessee last week but the Jags continue to be one of the worst teams in the league. They are being outgained by an average of 123 yards per game, worst in the league. BUFFALO.

New England -7 at Miami (51): New England has scored at least 37 points in 4 straight games and averages a league best 37 ppg. Miami had a huge statistical edge over Seattle last week but needed a FG at the gun to win 24-21. The Patriots are rested following their demolition of the Jets at the Meadowlands and have played better on defense than their statistics would suggest. NEW ENGLAND.

Houston -4½ at Tennessee (47): The Titans continue to play hard but last week’s loss at Jacksonville has them out of playoff contention. They are catching Houston in a vulnerable spot and are eager to atone for a 41-7 loss on this field last season. They are worth a look. TENNESSEE.

TB +6½ at Denver (50½): Broncos QB Peyton Manning should enjoy going against a Bucs defense that allows a league worst 315 passing yards per game. Such a deficiency renders almost worthless the fact that they lead the league in allowing just 82 rushing yards per game. The altitude and the potential for inclement weather are both negatives for Tampa. DENVER.

Pittsburgh (NL) at Baltimore: The uncertain status surrounding Pittsburgh’s QB situation kept this game off the boards early in the week. Baltimore won the first meeting two weeks ago 13-10. Pittsburgh remains competitive because of its defense while the Ravens’ defense has held up well despite numerous injuries. UNDER.

Cleveland (NL) at Oakland: The uncertain status of Cleveland’s rookie QB Brandon Weeden kept this off the boards at most books early on. Expect the line around a pick’em. Oakland continues to be a disaster as they suffered a third straight loss last week by more than 20 points. To be fair, all three losses were to Playoff caliber teams, a description that does not apply to the Browns. OAKLAND.

Cincinnati -1 at San Diego (46): San Diego faces a Bengals team off 3 straight blowout wins that followed a 4 game losing streak. On talent, the Chargers rate the edge. Cincy is battling for a Wild Card spot. Yet they are on the road facing a team that, despite the record, has outscored its foes for the season. SAN DIEGO.

Philadelphia (NL) at Dallas: The Cowboys remain a poor ATS play at home where they are now 0-5 ATS this season. That includes a pair of straight up losses as favorites. It’s much easier to find reasons to play against Dallas who can very easily win this game straight up yet once again fail to reward its backers, making this a default play on the underdog. PHILADELPHIA.

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Denny the Dog

SUNDAY

Seahawks +3½ at Bears: Chicago lost six starters against the Vikings. Matt Forte would be the most important loss unable to play. I like the idea of maybe getting more than the points shown above if Forte plays. I believe the Seahawks have a good enough defense to keep Jay Cutler from having a huge day. Marshawn Lynch was held under 100 yards for the first time in the last six games last Sunday. Seahawks are 1-5 and only averaging 16 ppg on the road. They are due for a great road game and may have some added value if some of the Bears injured players come back. SEAHAWKS.

Vikings +9½ at Packers: The Vikings should be able to find some cracks in the reshuffled offensive line of the Packers. The Packers aren’t exactly blowing teams away. Adrian Peterson has over 700 yards and 5 TDs in his last five games. If Christian Ponder doesn’t go crazy with turnovers the Vikes should be close at the end. VIKINGS.

49ers -7 at Rams: I think the Niners have a solid case for being the best and most feared NFL team as we head into December. Jim Harbaugh said he likes to play the hot hand. But the guy with the hottest hand didn’t play on the field last Sunday. He coached on the sideline. Harbaugh took that hot hand and rolled the dice on Colin Kaepernick. The former Wolf Pack QB came up big and so far he adds another dimension to SF. 49ERS.

Cards +4 at Jets: Here’s a conundrum for you. It doesn’t matter what side you bet on, neither team has a QB. I’m sure Ryan Lindley sounded like a great idea to Ken Whisenhunt as the coaches were sitting around discussing the game plan for the Rams. But 4 picks later I’m sure it wasn’t in his top 10 list of best ideas in his coaching career. JETS.

Panthers -3 at Chiefs: Panthers coming off a Monday night game in Philly. Now they have a quick turnaround for another road game while the Chiefs get another crack at winning at home. All this adds up to the Chiefs breaking their eight game losing streak – if they had a QB and could score more than 10 points! PANTHERS.

Colts +5 at Lions: It’s difficult to ignore the Colts anymore. They’ve won five of their last six games. The only team that trashed them was the Patriots. I have to take the points knowing Andrew Luck will be within field goal striking distance at the end. COLTS.

Jaguars +6 at Bills: Bills have lost four of their last five. Now I’m going to bet on them to cover a 6 point spread as a favorite? I don’t think so. Gabbert’s injury might be a blessing in disguise for Jags’ backers. Henne is making good reads and finding open receivers. JAGUARS.

Patriots -7 at Dolphins: Pats are coming off their fifth straight win and yet another 40 or so offensive fireworks. The Gronk being out really slowed this team down! The only things that will slow the Pats down is a strong armed QB and a great defensive effort. I think the Fish will bring both. The home dawgs have not been overly impressive this season but I believe we have a live one in Miami. DOLPHINS.

Texans -5 at Titans: Tennessee has dropped three of their last four. The Texans have five straight wins but the last two have been anything but playoff-like performances. Houston’s defense has given up more than 30 points in the last two games. TITANS.

Bucs +7 at Broncos: Denver has won six straight and look like one of the contenders for the AFC championship right now. The Bucs saw a four game winning streak of their own end last Sunday with a 1-point loss to the Falcons. I appreciate the toughness of Schiano’s team on both sides of the ball and don’t want to spot the Broncos a TD. BUCS.

Steelers +3 at Ravens: Big Ben’s status is unknown at this time so this line is an educated guess. But what is known is that Pittsburgh is going absolutely no place without him. I think he will come back for this game but the Steelers loss was not entirely on Charlie Batch in Cleveland. They were heavily penalized and couldn’t find a running back that could hang onto the ball. RAVENS.

Browns PK at Raiders: The once proud Raiders are on a four-game skid. It’s a pretty messy slide when you give up an average of over 40 points per game. The Browns offense won’t score anywhere near 40 but the defense will only need 24 tops. BROWNS.

Bengals +1 at Chargers: Fourth and 29! Need I say anymore? The Bengals are improving each week and A.J. Green is not the only dangerous threat. San Diego should have won last week. But because they couldn’t close out the Ravens, the Bolts still haven’t beaten a team with a winning record! BENGALS.

Eagles +7½ at Cowboys: Dallas has only covered one 7-point spread in all five wins this season. You guessed it. The lone big cover was against the woeful Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles on the other hand have allowed their opponents to win by at least 7 for the four weeks leading up to the Monday night game with Carolina. I have little confidence in either team. COWBOYS.

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Mark Mayer @ Gaming Today

NFL

Saints +3½ at Falcons: Thursday Special. Falcons will be inspired to avenge their only loss especially when it’s the Saints. ATLANTA.

Panthers PK at Chiefs: Cam Newton is better than anyone that Kansas City decides to start at QB. CAROLINA.

Jaguars +6 at Bills: Can’t accept Buffalo as a touchdown favorite. Jags have rallied behind QB Chad Henne. JACKSONVILLE.

Vikings +9 at Packers: It goes from bad to worse for Minnesota. Packers will do to Vikings what the Giants did to them. GREEN BAY.

Bengals -1 at Chargers: It’s all about motivation. Bengals have it from back to back blowouts. Chargers deflated and done with Norv. CINCINNATI.

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Info Plays

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +6

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Alabama Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Seahawks. The deficit is 1443 sirignanos.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 947-699 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free play Sun Carolina Panthers -4