12-4-12

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Kevin Rogers's Pick Pack

NBA Daily Picks

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: Oklahoma City at Brooklyn Time: 7:35 PM EDT (Tue) Play: Brooklyn (+4 -110) Line Source: BetOnline.ag Posted on: December 4, 2012 @ 9:33:07 AM EST The Nets return to the Barclays Center, where they have lost just once this season as the Thunder comes to town. OKC is on fire recently, winning eight of its last nine games, while covering eight times. Brooklyn has lost just five games this season, but two came at Miami, including Saturday's meltdown at the end of a three-game road trip. The Nets have won both games as a home dog against the Knicks and Clippers, as I'll back Brooklyn here to beat OKC.

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Seabass Report:
all 50's
Northeastern
Michigan
UConn
UNDER Nets

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Never Win Sports 26-13 NBA

10* OKC Thunder

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Rockys Winners Circle

DECEMBER 4 FREE PLAY (145-68-1)

BRADLEY -6 over George Washington

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Indian Cowboy write ups

4-Unit Play. #760. Take Wisconsin -34 over Nebraska Omaha (Tuesday @ 8pm est).

We have done well on favorites in general the last few years and we'll roll with a favorite here today. Bear in mind that Nebraska Omaha is a team that I have ranked past the 600's if you include division II schools and others included in the power rankings. I'm not a huge fan of Wisconsin coming off such a big victory over undefeated California at home. But then again, Wisconsin has played two teams outside the top 400 including SE Louisiana who is ranked 410 in my models and they beat them by 40 by a final score of 87-47 and also defeated Presbyterian 88-43 who is ranked outside the top 650. Now, they face another team ranked outside the top 600 here in Nebraska-Omaha and the differential likley will be around 42 or so today according to the numbers I have. So, despite the big spread we have a good opportunity for a cover here. Note, that the public is split on this game. The Badgers are 25-10 ATS when facing teams with a losing percentage of less than 40% and they typically have no problem pouring on the points against lower ranked opponents. Nebraska Omaha lost by 24 to Top 200 Tulane and by 28 to top 225 Texas Tech. Now, they face a top 50 team in Wisconsin who likely will win this game by a wide margin.

What a tough beat yesterday. We were up 18 on Charlotte PK in the 4th quarter with 5:45 to go in the game and they managed to just cough up the game. Difficult losses like these even out by seasons' end, let's look to have a winning week as usual with our 1 POD system:



4-Unit Play. #707. Take Over 180 Indiana vs. Chicago (Tuesday @ 8:05pm est).

Whenever a team's key player or starter goes out the squad usually rallies around that injury and does well. Such is the case with Richard Hamilton going out recently and of course, everyone assuming that the Bulls will struggle to score points has dropped the total 3 points. But, that usually isn't the case. Bear in mind that the Bulls will likely do well offensively and combine that with Indiana being an active underdog on the road and this game will likely have a much more up-tempo type contest than most realize. The public will be on the Under given the history of these two defensive teams and the injury to Hamilton but as you will see, teams generally cover and come together offensively when individuals think they will be able to least produce that offense. I look for this game to likely over the posted total this evening as the Over is 4-1 for the Pacers coming off 2 days rest and the Over is also 5-1 for the Pacers in their last six overall and of course, tack on Hamilton's injury and you have a decent option for an over here.

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Jack Jones
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-B Dec 04 '12
7:00p GEORGIA vs GEORGIA TECH
Take: GEORGIA +7-110 in 27m
15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Georgia +7

The Georgia Bulldogs are undervalued heading into this contest with in-state rival Georgia Tech. They have played, by far, the tougher schedule between these two teams, which has them more battle-tested heading into this rivalry.

Georgia is just 2-5 this season, but three of its losses came on either a neutral court or on the road against the likes of Indiana, UCLA and South Florida. That tough early schedule will have it mentally prepared to face quality teams going forward.

The Yellow Jackets don't have a quality win yet this season, and they should not be favored by 7 points because of it. An 11-point loss to Cal and a 13-point loss to Illinois is more representative of where Georgia Tech is at right now. It has no business being favored by 7 points over what I believe is a better Georgia team.

Four of the last five meetings in this series were decided by 7 points or less. Georgia Tech is 1-8 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons. Georgia is 29-13 ATS off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points since 1997. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Roll with Georgia Tuesday

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Jack Jones

Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NBA Dec 04 '12
8:05p Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls
Take: Chicago Bulls -4-103 in 1h
15* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -4

The Chicago Bulls will continue their solid play of late and win their 3rd straight with a victory over the Indiana Pacers tonight by 5-plus points. They have won their last two with home victories over Dallas (101-78) and Philadelphia (93-88).

Indiana ends its four-game road trip tonight. It won against the Lakers and Kings in its first two games on this trip, which has it overvalued. It lost against the Warriors 92-103 on Saturday, and I believe it is still getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight against the Bulls.

The Pacers are just 4-7 on the road this season where they are scoring a mere 87.5 points/game. They will have a hard time putting the ball in the basket against a Bulls' team that is allowing just 89.6 points/game at home this year.

Chicago is 10-1 in its last 11 home meetings with Indiana, and all ten victories have come by 5 points or more. That makes for a 91% system backing Chicago pertaining to tonight's spread. Take the Bulls Tuesday.

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Jack Jones

-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NBA Dec 04 '12
7:35p Oklahoma City Thunder vs Brooklyn Nets
Take: Brooklyn Nets +4½-110 in 1h
20* Thunder/Nets NBA Tuesday No-Brainer on Brooklyn +4.5

The Brooklyn Nets should not be an underdog at home tonight to the Oklahoma City Thunder. This team has been underrated all season as evidenced by the fact that they are not only 11-5 SU, but a very profitable 10-5-1 ATS at the pay window.

Brooklyn had won five straight before an 89-102 loss at Miami on December 1st. That was a tough spot for the Nets as they were playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. They have had two days' rest since and I believe they are battle-tested after that loss to the defending champs.

The Thunder come in way overvalued due to their five game winning streak which has seen them cover five straight as well. Those five wins came against the 76ers, Bobcats, Rockets, Jazz and Hornets, which is unimpressive to say the least. They finally meet their match tonight in Brooklyn.

The Nets are 7-1 SU & 5-2-1 ATS at home this season where they are giving up a mere 91.1 points/game. Brooklyn is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. This is a much-improved team and it will show that it is a contender for the title with a big win over the Thunder tonight. Bet the Nets Tuesday.

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Psychic Sports Picks

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

Pass

WIZARD
(1-20)

10 unit Washington +9.5 (NBA)
10 unit Philadelphia 3 (NBA)


Kenny Nguyen
(1-50)

20 units Indiana +3.5 (NBA)

JT WALKER
(all units same)

Oklahoma +4 (CBB)