12-6-12

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Bryan Leonard | NFL TotalThu, 12/06/12 - 8:25 PM

triple-dime bet
101 DEN / 102 OAK UNDER 48.0 HiltonAnalysis: 102 Denver at OaklandTeams that play each other twice in a season know each other through and through. They know what plays they will call and they know what they will run out of every formation. When these teams play on a short week less if any new plays can be put into the game plan. That's exactly why just once all season has an individual Thursday Night Football game gone Over the Total when two divisional rivals go head to head. In that lone contest San Diego and Kansas City totaled 16 combined points heading into the fourth quarter, with a fumble recovery in the end zone, a 59 yard pick six and a garbage touchdown put the game Over the posted total by 3 points. That's the lone divisional game to surpass the total on these stand alone Thursday contests.
Not only are these games going Under, but they are doing so by wide margins.
Arizona at St Louis -20 points to go under by 17 1/2
Chicago at Green Bay -33 points to go Under by 17 1/2
Cleveland at Baltimore -39 points to go Under by 4 1/2
Indianapolis at Jacksonville -37 points to go Under by 6 1/2
Miami at Buffalo - 33 points to go Under by 13 points
New Orleans at Atlanta - 36 points to go Under by 18 1/2 points
Seattle at San Francisco -19 points to go Under by 18 1/2 points
PLAY UNDER

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Doc's NBA - 12/6
#704 Take Phoenix -3.5 over Dallas (10:30 p.m. EST, Thursday)

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Intpicks 12/6

2*--Rhode Island @ Providence -7
Denver @ Oakland +10.5


1*--Vanderbilt @ Xavier -10.5
New York +7.5 @ Miami


--Freebie Creighton @ Nebraska +8

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Jack Jones
15- Heat under 201 and Nebraska +7
20- Denver -10

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TEDDY COVERS cbb
10* Xavier

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Denver vs. Oakland - December 6, 2012 - 8:20 PM

Pick: Your pick will be graded at 5dimes @ 12 -125 Oakland
Expert: Marc Lawrence
Evaluation: December 6, 2012 - 8:20 PM
Reason For Pick:
Play On: Oakland Raiders (Game 102)
Note: Oakland may be just 3-9 SU and ATS this season but in the right role they shine. For openers, the Silver and Black are 13-2 ATS as division dogs since 2009, including 9-0 ATS off a SU loss. Making matters worse for Bronco backers is the fact that this is the first time Denver has laid double-digits on the road in this series that we know of (our database goes back to 1980). And speaking of our database, it doesn’t like the Broncos’ chances of a repeat performance from earlier this season, a 37-6 rout in Mile High – Oakland’s worst loss in this matchup since 1962. That’s because not only are the Raiders 7-1-1 ATS as home dogs off a SU loss versus an opponent off a SU win but, believe it or not, our NFL Quarterback Club database actually sides with Oakland’s signal-caller. You see, Carson Palmer is 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in his last eight starts versus a division foe off a SU and ATS win while Peyton Manning is 6-15 ATS away from December out, including a winless 0-7 ATS as a division favorite of seven or more points. If that’s not enough, check out this mind-blowing number: NFL home dogs of eight or more points are 28-5 ATS the last three years, including 15-0 ATS if the foe is off a win of 8 or more. Wow! And while we can’t call for the outright upset with Denver looking for an all-important first-round bye in the competitive AFC, that 15-0 ATS stat has us jumping in the Black hole. Grab the doubles. We recommend a 3-unit play on Oakland. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Bob Balfe:

NFL: Denver -10.5
NCCAB: Syracuse -21

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VIC CHANDLER
14-4 RUN NCAAB (78%)
03 DEC 1-0
04 DEC 0-1
05 DEC
Rhode Island +6.5 vs. Providence

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FRANK JORDAN
10-1 NBA RUN (91%)
05 DEC 2-0
06 DEC
MIAMI -7 over NY Knicks

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BEN BURNS

December 6, 2012 - 8:00 PM NCAAB Long Beach St. vs. Syracuse Burns' Thursday BEST BET! *5-1 L6 NCAAB!* sportsinteraction @ 21 -110 Long Beach St. Detail

December 6, 2012 - 8:00 PM NBA New York vs. Miami *SPECIAL OFFER* Burns' Thursday TNT ROAST! (3-1 Yesterday) 5dimes @ -7 -102 Miami Detail

December 6, 2012 - 8:20 PM NFL Denver vs. Oakland Burns' *10* Thursday MAIN EVENT! ~ 1/2 PRICE UNTIL MNF KICKS! 5dimes @ 12 -130 Oakland Detail

December 6, 2012 - 10:30 PM NBA Dallas vs. Phoenix Burns' *10 TNT PERSONAL FAVORITE! ~ BLOWOUT ALERT! 5dimes @ -3 -108 Phoenix Detail

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The SportsBoss's Pick Pack

NFL Thursday Picks

Premium Plays

Matchup: Denver at Oakland Time: 8:25 PM EDT (Thu) Play: Oakland (+10.5 -110) Line Source: Peppermill Posted on: December 6, 2012 @ 5:04:16 PM EST Its very tough to pass up a home dog in the NFL that is getting double digits no matter what situation that team finds itself in. Whats even more in this matchup is the ease with which Denver handled Oakland in the opening act between these two teams....makes it more likely the Raiders cover this one. I have one system that favors the Raiders in this one, and its a pretty big one - so let's back the barking home dog tonight, take Oakland +10.5 to keep this one close, potentially with the backdoor as the last few Denver ATS losses have gone...

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Seabass Report:
300 Oakland
200 OVER Oakland

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Andre Gomes - NBA Thursday Night Card


Andre Gomes | NBA Total Thu, 12/06/12 - 8:05 PM
dime bet 701 NYK / 702 MIA Under 201.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
NBA - 701 New York Knicks @ 702 Miami Heat


Projected Line: 197 points


The Knicks is coming from a tough road win in Charlotte last night, where the Bobcats outscored them in the paint by 52-40 and 45-33 in bench points. Charlotte also outran the Knicks by 23-8 in fast break points. The Bobcats punished the Knicks interior defense that was very ineffective even with Tyson Chandler on the floor! Kemba Walker attacked off the dribble against the Knicks slow defense and he ended the game with 8-15 FG and 11 assists! The Bobcats also shot 23-35 FG at the rim, 9-13 FG on transitions and 10-19 FG on spot ups, with another great game from Ben Gordon.


However, Charlotte screwed up once again down the stretch with a shot clock violation, missed shot, 5 second inbound turnover, traveling call, bad pass for a turnover on their last five possessions of the game! The Knicks' offense is once again based in four areas. Of course, their main area was on spot ups with 9-30 FG and 30% volume! The Knicks had 41 3pts attempts during the game! They also had their share of isolation and pick and rolls, with Tyson Chandler had a good edge on the inside, while the Knicks took advantage of the Bobcats' confusing perimeter defense to have good looks for their outside shots!


For tonight's game against Miami, I believe this game will be a slow paced one. That's the Knicks' plan without a doubt, as they won't want to run up and down against Miami with their veteran roster. Miami may try to push the tempo, but there's something interesting about the Heat. They only push up the pace when they create turnovers, but they won't create a lot of turnovers tonight, as the Knicks is #1 in TO rate with 11.7%! The Knicks' offense is based on isolation plays, pick and roll ball handler plays and spot ups, with the Heat' defense being quite poor on defending these three kind of plays. However, I expect the Heat to make a huge defensive effort tonight, as this is a revenge game for them and they are coming from a humiliating loss at Washington two days ago! With Miami focused on defense, I expect them to do something similar to what they did against Brooklyn in the second half. They will put a lot of pressure on the perimeter and even though this will give some easy points to Tyson Chandler, they won't give space to the Knicks' perimeter! The Knicks are on a back to back spot, Jason Kidd, Raymond Felton and Carmelo Anthony are banged up, so I believe the Knicks will indeed struggle a bit on offense tonight.


So, the key in here will be Miami's offense. Both Mario Chalmers and Norris Cole are banged up, while Shane Battier, Mike Miller and Udonis Haslem are also dealing with some injuries. Miami gains a lot when Mario Chalmers is red hot on the perimeter shooting, as he has space when Lebron James penetrate. However, with him dealing with a finger injury, I don't expect Chalmers to shoot well tonight if he plays. I expect this game to be a relatively slow paced game, with both the Knicks and the Heat having some struggles on offense due to some injuries. Therefore, looking at the high totals line of this contest, I'll be taking the Under in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Under 201 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker


Andre Gomes | NBA Total Thu, 12/06/12 - 10:35 PM
dime bet 703 DAL / 704 PHO Under 202.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
NBA - 703 Dallas Mavericks @ 704 Phoenix Suns


Projected Line: 198 points | Phoenix by 7 points


Dallas is coming from a loss last night in LA against the Clippers, where they showed struggles once again on their half court offense. Derek Fisher was able to make some shots from the perimeter, but he didn't do anything on pick and rolls and ended the game with just two assists. Darren Collison is slumping, he had 7 turnovers, while Jae Crowder shot 0-6 FG! The Clippers' frontcourt stopped Dallas down low and the Mavs shot just 7-18 FG at the rim! Dallas shot well from the perimeter with 9-20 FG from 16-23 feet and 5-19 3pts, but the Clippers dominated down low, while pressuring a lot the ball handler of the Mavs, with that resulting in 22 turnovers for Dallas. The Mavericks were able to score 22 fast break points and besides their outside shooting, this was the only way Dallas was able to do anything on offense in that game. The Clippers pounded them down low with 23-32 FG at the rim and they did whatever they wanted to do with the Mavs, as it was a total domination!


Dallas will now face Phoenix on the road in a back to back game for them. With the Mavericks struggling on offense, Phoenix's transition defense will decide the Mavs' offensive fate in here. The Suns are #8 in fast break points defense with 12.5 ppg allowed, but with this new lineup, the numbers go even lower to 11.0 ppg! They are #18 in transition defense with 1.13 PPP allowed. Both teams are poor defensive rebounding teams (Dallas is #30 and Phoenix is #20), but at the same time, they are poor offensive rebounding teams (Dallas is #29 and Phoenix is #16), so there won't be a lot of second chance points in here.


Dallas' offense is based in three key areas: pick and roll ball handler plays, spot ups and transition plays. However, the Mavericks' offense has been much worse in these three areas lately. Phoenix has been struggling on perimeter defense this season against teams that have a good ball movement or when they have teams with powerful big guys that require the Suns' backcourt to overhelp their soft frontcourt, opening space on the outside. Dallas doesn't have any big guy to make Phoenix struggle on the inside and so, the Suns will be able to focus on their perimeter defense tonight.


Phoenix's offense depends a lot from Goran Dragic and he will have a clear edge over Derek Fisher tonight. Phoenix is #12 on pick and roll ball handler plays with 0.80 PPP, they are also a decent team on post ups (#8) thanks to Marcin Gortat and Luis Scola, while they are also a top team in cuts by being #3 in the league! Dallas is #9 on defending pick and roll ball handler plays, but they are defending much worse lately! They are a bad team in defending post ups as expected, while they are #3 in defending cuts this season, but once again they are defending cuts much worse lately as well.


I believe Phoenix will be able to stop the Mavericks' struggling offense tonight, while the Suns have some weapons on offense to comfortably outscore Dallas tonight. Therefore, I expect Phoenix to comfortably win this game while stopping the Mavs offense, so I'll be taking both the Suns and the Under in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 703/704 Under 202,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 704 Phoenix Suns (-3.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker




Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Thu, 12/06/12 - 10:35 PM
dime bet 704 PHO -3.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 703 DAL
Analysis:
NBA - 703 Dallas Mavericks @ 704 Phoenix Suns


Projected Line: 198 points | Phoenix by 7 points


Dallas is coming from a loss last night in LA against the Clippers, where they showed struggles once again on their half court offense. Derek Fisher was able to make some shots from the perimeter, but he didn't do anything on pick and rolls and ended the game with just two assists. Darren Collison is slumping, he had 7 turnovers, while Jae Crowder shot 0-6 FG! The Clippers' frontcourt stopped Dallas down low and the Mavs shot just 7-18 FG at the rim! Dallas shot well from the perimeter with 9-20 FG from 16-23 feet and 5-19 3pts, but the Clippers dominated down low, while pressuring a lot the ball handler of the Mavs, with that resulting in 22 turnovers for Dallas. The Mavericks were able to score 22 fast break points and besides their outside shooting, this was the only way Dallas was able to do anything on offense in that game. The Clippers pounded them down low with 23-32 FG at the rim and they did whatever they wanted to do with the Mavs, as it was a total domination!


Dallas will now face Phoenix on the road in a back to back game for them. With the Mavericks struggling on offense, Phoenix's transition defense will decide the Mavs' offensive fate in here. The Suns are #8 in fast break points defense with 12.5 ppg allowed, but with this new lineup, the numbers go even lower to 11.0 ppg! They are #18 in transition defense with 1.13 PPP allowed. Both teams are poor defensive rebounding teams (Dallas is #30 and Phoenix is #20), but at the same time, they are poor offensive rebounding teams (Dallas is #29 and Phoenix is #16), so there won't be a lot of second chance points in here.


Dallas' offense is based in three key areas: pick and roll ball handler plays, spot ups and transition plays. However, the Mavericks' offense has been much worse in these three areas lately. Phoenix has been struggling on perimeter defense this season against teams that have a good ball movement or when they have teams with powerful big guys that require the Suns' backcourt to overhelp their soft frontcourt, opening space on the outside. Dallas doesn't have any big guy to make Phoenix struggle on the inside and so, the Suns will be able to focus on their perimeter defense tonight.


Phoenix's offense depends a lot from Goran Dragic and he will have a clear edge over Derek Fisher tonight. Phoenix is #12 on pick and roll ball handler plays with 0.80 PPP, they are also a decent team on post ups (#8) thanks to Marcin Gortat and Luis Scola, while they are also a top team in cuts by being #3 in the league! Dallas is #9 on defending pick and roll ball handler plays, but they are defending much worse lately! They are a bad team in defending post ups as expected, while they are #3 in defending cuts this season, but once again they are defending cuts much worse lately as well.


I believe Phoenix will be able to stop the Mavericks' struggling offense tonight, while the Suns have some weapons on offense to comfortably outscore Dallas tonight. Therefore, I expect Phoenix to comfortably win this game while stopping the Mavs offense, so I'll be taking both the Suns and the Under in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 703/704 Under 202,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 704 Phoenix Suns (-3.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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ocal- knicks over200

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Betting Line Moves
Added
720 eastern washington +3