12-7-12
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
CBB N ILLINOIS at WI-MILWAUKEE
Play On - A road team (N ILLINOIS) terrible shooting team (<=40%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
98-51 since 1997. ( 65.8% 41.9 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
CBB RIDER at SIENA
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (RIDER) off a road win, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%)
48-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 82.8% 31.5 units )
CBB VA COMMONWEALTH at OLD DOMINION
Play Against - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (OLD DOMINION) after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Friday nights
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% 28.7 units ) -
StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
NBA HOUSTON at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
71-34 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.6% 33.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
NBA WASHINGTON at ATLANTA
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential)
235-56 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.8% 86.0 units )
9-3 this year. ( 75.0% 1.4 units )
NBA HOUSTON at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% -0.3 units )Comment
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5Lines
Total Line for 12/07/2012
(Lost last 5 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Denver Nuggets : o195
Cost: -110
Run Line for 12/07/2012
(Lost last 6 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Philadelphia 76ers : +1
Cost: -110Comment
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Handicapping Kings
GOODFELLAS
9:00PM VA Commonwealth vs Old Dominion
[825] VA Commonwealth -14.5 -110
JIMMY
7:00PM Harvard vs Connecticut
[827] Harvard +9.5 -110
MARC
8:05PM Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Hornets
[813] OVER 183 -110Comment
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Intpicks 12/7
--Rider -3.5 @ Siena
--VCU -15 @ Old Dominion
Lakers @ OKC -7.5
--Canisius +6 @ Fairfield
Charlotte +7.5 @ Milwaukee
--Freebie Memphis @ New Orleans over 183Comment
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Trace Adams
1500♦
Raise the Bar
NBA Road Warrior Lock
Memphis Grizzlies -7.5Comment
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Jack Jones:
NBA Basketball Premium Picks
NBA | Dec 07 '12 (7:05p)
Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Denver Nuggets
+1½-108 at 5dimes
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Denver Nuggets +1.5
Write-up coming
-= TOP PLAY =-
NBA | Dec 07 '12 (9:35p)
Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Total
210½ un-110 at BMaker
20* Lakers/Thunder ESPN Friday No-Brainer on UNDER 210.5
Write-up coming
NBA | Dec 07 '12 (10:05p)
Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings Sacramento Kings
-2½-109 at 5dimes
15* Magic/Kings NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Sacramento -2.5Comment
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Bankroll sports
todays card
10* rider broncs -3 cbb
5* lakers +7.5
4* uconn -10 cbb
3* iowa st/iowa over 151 cbb
3* vcu rams -15 cbbComment
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Jimmy Boyd 12/7
5*(NBA) Brooklyn Nets -6
4*(CBB) Wisconsin Milwaukee -11
3*(NBA) Denver Nuggets +1.5Comment
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Stephen Nover - West Coast Winner
Stephen Nover | NBA Sides Fri, 12/07/12 - 10:05 PM
double-dime bet 824 SAC -2.5 (-110) Hilton vs 823 ORL
Analysis: Orlando is deep into its lengthy road trip playing its fourth away matchup in the last six days. The Magic don't go home until they play Phoenix on the road Sunday. So Orlando could really be dragging in this game.
Sacramento has tightened up its perimeter defense. This is huge because the Magic have showed a tendency under first-year head man Jacque Vaghan to live and die by the 3-point shot. Sacramento ranks 11th in defending against the 3-point shot holding foes to 34.2 percent. The Kings also were averaging 46.1 points in the paint per game, which ranks them fourth-highest.
The Magic are going to have trouble containing DeMarcus Cousins inside. Tyreke Evans has been hot, too, for the Kings averagiŸng 20.3 points per game in his last seven game while connecting on seven of his last 15 shots from 3-point range.
Sacramento has won its last three of its last five home contests, beating the Lakers and Jazz during this span.Comment
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Dr. Ed Meyer - DOUBLE NBA TWO STARS FROM THE DOC!!
Dr. Ed Meyer | NBA Total Fri, 12/07/12 - 7:05 PM
double-dime bet 803 BOS / 804 PHI Under 189.0 5dimes
Analysis:
Boston is off a 104-94 win over the Timberwolves in which the leading scorer had only 18 points. Each starter scored in double-digits and no big man played more than 30 minutes. This points to a defensive game here.
The Celtics are 0-16 OU when they are off a win in which their leading scorer had fewer than 20 points and the total is less than 200. The SDQL text is:
team=Celtics and p:W and max:p:points<20 and total<200 and 20100600<=date
They stayed under by 16 points in this spot last Thursday.
Also, Boston is 0-15 OU (-15.0 ppg) since 2009 as a rested road favorite off a double digit win in which they shot at least 50% from the field. The SDQL is simply:
team=Celtics and AF and 0<rest and 10<=p:margin and p:FGP>=50 and season>=2008
The player-based trends reveal that the Celtics are 5-19-1 OU in franchise history on the road with rest after a home win in which Kevin Garnett played fewer than 30 minutes.
Active for Philadelphia is the fact that they are 0-11 OU with rest vs a 500+ team when they are off a loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line, staying under by an average of 17.9 ppg. THE SDQL text is:
team=Seventysixers and 0<rest and p:L and p:FTM*1.0/p:points<0.15 and o:WP>=50 and 20110401<=date
The transition from home win to a road game has meant a turn to defense and fundamental for Boston for some time now. Take the UNDER.
MTi’s FORECAST: Boston 90 PHILADELPHIA 88
Dr. Ed Meyer | NBA Total Fri, 12/07/12 - 7:35 PM
double-dime bet 809 GSW / 810 Brooklyn Under 195.0 5dimes
Analysis:
The Nets are off a home loss to the Thunder in which Deron Williams led all scorers with 33 points on 10-of-20 shooting. Whenever a team’s point guard leads the team in scoring and shots taken, it seems to disrupt the natural flow of the offense. The Nets are 0-5 OU (-9.0 ppg) after a loss in which Deron Williams was the Nets' high scorer.
It is also worth mentioning that New Jersey is 0-9 OU (-16.7 ppg) when Kris Humphries took fewer than 10 shots the last two games and 0-6 OU (-8.6 ppg) after a loss at home in which Kris Humphries had a double-double.
The Warriors are off a win in Detroit in which they really shared the “rock” chalking up 24 assists to go along with only ten turnovers. They should be working the ball around until the shot clock gets to single digits here and that should keep the game under. Golden St is 0-7 OU with rest on the road after a road win in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two. The SDQL is:
team=Warriors and A and 0<rest and p:AW and p:turnovers*2<=tp:assists and p:poƒints>=100 and 20060101<=date
Note that the Warriors have stayed under by an average of 17.9 ppg in this spot.
Finally, Golden St is 0-6 OU (-10.1 ppg) on the road after a win on the road in which David Lee was not the Warriors' high scorer.
The Warriors should have no reason to push the pace here with a winnable road game in Washington tomorrow. Take the UNDER.
MTi’s FORECAST: NEW JERSEY 93 Golden St 91Comment
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TEDDY COVERS
NBA: 10* Detroit PistonsComment
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Doc's NBA - 12/7
#803 Take Boston/Philadelphia UNDER 188.5,
#805 Take Washington/Atlanta UNDER 191.5Comment
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Betting Line Moves NCAAB 12/7
826. old dominion +16Comment

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