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Goodfella
2* - NY Jets -2.5 -
Teddy Covers
20* Bucs
10* Vikings
10* GiantsComment
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POINTWISE PHONES:
3* San Fran, NE(Monday), Panthers, Seattle
2* Minny, Dallas, Titans, under in Jets/JacksonvilleComment
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Jimmy Boyd
5*Carolina Panthers +3.5
3* Cincinnati Bengals -3
3* Packers/Lions Under 52
3*New England Patriots -3Comment
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King Creole
5 * Game of the Month Baltimore-Washington over the totalComment
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Wunderdog
Tennessee at Indianapolis
Pick: Tennessee +5.5
The Indianapolis Colts have turned a disastrous season a year ago into one in which they’re a bona fide playoffs contender at 8-4, if they can finish the job over the last four weeks. Andrew Luck has given them a passing game. He's having an amazing year and appears to be establishing himself already as an elite NFL quarerback..... Record scratch. While this is what you hear from the stuffed suits, the reality may surprise you. Blaine Gabbert. Kevin Kolb. Tennessee's Jake Locker. What do these three quarterbacks have in common? They aren't very good. Yes, that's true, but what else? They are all looking down on Andrew Luck in the quarterback rating standings. That's right, the better quarterback statistically in this game is not named Andrew Luck. Luck will be a great quarterback in this league, but he's still a rookie on a bad team. He has passed for over 3,500 yards, but because the Colts struggle to run the ball, Luck is on schedule to approach the 700-pass mark this season. He has a pedestrian passer rating in the mid-70s, and he has just one more touchdown than interceptions on the season. The Colts may be 8-4, but they have been out-scored by 41 points on the season. They have been very fortunate to win every close game, and six of their eight wins have been in either overtime or by 4 points or less. The fact is that if they were giving 5 points in every game they would be 3-9. Indy isn't as good as advertised. Jake Locker is going to be able to move the chains, as the Colts have mustered just six sacks in their last four games. Chris Johnson got 99 yards in the first game, and the Colts have surrendered 100+ on the ground in each of their last three. The Titans are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 after scoring 14 or fewer in their previous game. This is the most points Indy has had to lay in two years. It's too large. Take the underdog here.Comment
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Dr Bob
MINN +3
CARO +3.5
tenn +5.5
buf -3
pats -4
~~ cards +10Comment
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Joe Gavazzi
Chicago (-3) at Minnesota 1:00PM
4* Minnesota Vikings
Choosing to favor divisional home dog revenge for the Vikings earlier 28-10 defeat in Chicago. That in spite of the fact the Bears are now 6-0 SUATS in this matchup, winning by an average of 16-PPG. And the fact the Bears are also 7-2 ATS road fav of late. But injuries have taken a serious toll on Chicago. They profited from an easy first half schedule in going 7-1 SU. Now that the schedule has gotten tougher, they enter today on 1-3 SUATS run. A major reason is injuries to the defense and multiple injuries on OL. Viking weren’t that bad last week in their loss to the Packers, outrushing GB 240-152.Comment
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Football Betting Sheet
“Exclusive for VIP Clients”
CINCINNATI BENGALS 27 – Dallas Cowboys 20 (1:00 ET SUN)
The spread opened Cincinnati -3 and has held there all week long. Both teams are fighting for playoff spots right now. Dallas is 0-3 ATS in its L/3, while Cincinnati is 4-0 SU & ATS in its L/4. RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has had three straight games with at least 100 rushing yards, and the Dallas defense just allowed 332 rushing yards in the L/2 weeks combined. The home team is 5-1 SU & ATS in the L/6 in this series dating back to 1994.
CINCINNATI -3 Rating 4.8/5
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 35 – Pittsburgh Steelers 21 (1:00 ET SUN)
The lined opened San Diego +7.5 and has held there all week. Pittsburgh is one of the most public teams in the NFL, and San Diego is a wreck right now with four straight losses. However, Head Coach Norv Turner is 18-2 SU and 15-4-1 ATS in the last four
games of the regular season while he has coached with the Chargers. San Diego knows that a loss and its season is over. It's the first game back for QB Ben Roethlisberger, but he is being overvalued in this one.
SAN DIEGO +7.5 Rating: 4.7/5
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 24 – Arizona Cardinals 7 (4:25 ET SUN)
The spread opened Seattle -10.5 and has dropped to -10. The home team has gone 3-0 SU & ATS as well as 5-1 SU & ATS in the L/6 in this NFC West showdown. Arizona has been outgained by 106.7 YPG in the L/3, and Seattle has gotten at least two passing TDs in four straight games from QB Russell Wilson. The Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their L/8 and are averaging 25.5 PPG in their L/4.
SEATTLE -10 Rating: 4.3/5
New England Patriots 31 – Houston Texans 28 (8:30 ET MON)
The 'total' opened at 50.5 and has held there all week. The 'over' is 3-0 in the three games played in the history of this series. Houston has played to a 2-1 mark towards the 'over' in the past two weeks. The Texans can just about lock up the No. 1 seed in the AFC with a win. New England has already won the AFC East. Houston has allowed 17.7 PPG in its L/6.
HOUSTON +3 Rating: 4.3/5
Plays based upon a five-point scale.
Plays over a 4.0 are strong plays.
Plays above 4.5 are mandatory plays.
LAST WEEK RECORD: 3-2
GAME OF THE YEAR: 1-0 (7 STRAIGHT)
SEASON RECORD: 49-35-1Comment
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Doc Sports Football
5 Unit Play. #24/#106 Take Washington Redskins -2.5 over Baltimore Ravens
(Sunday, 12/9, 1 pm CBS) Top NFL Play of the Weekend
Washington
The Redskins are coming off a victory on Monday Night Football in a game that they had to have, and now they are firmly in the playoff hunt with a record of 6-6. RG3 continues to play outstanding and he has the ability to beat teams with his arm and his legs. Washington has won three straight games against NFC East teams, and expect them to put forth a good effort against a fellow Beltway team. Washington is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record.
Baltimore
The Ravens are 9-3 on the season but are coming off an embarrassing loss to Pittsburgh at home without Big Ben. Baltimore should be on a two-game losing streak were it not for the ineptitude of the San Diego Chargers failing to stop a fourth-and-29. I have never been a big fan of QB Joe Flacco, and he has not played well the last two games throwing just two touchdowns and a ton of passes. The Ravens are still banged up on defense, and that does not bode well when facing a quarterback as dynamic as RG3. Baltimore is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
Final Comment
I truly believe that these two teams are heading in opposite directions and that the Ravens will be a quick out in the playoffs come January. RG3 stays hot and Washington wins their fourth straight game on Sunday.
Washington by 8Comment
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Coach Thompson's International Club, Inc
Week 14
( Hot Games To Bet: Philadelphia +8, Dallas +3 )
Baltimore +1 - 5% Of Bankroll
San Diego Pending - 5% Of Bankroll
N.Y. Jets -2.5 - 5% Of Bankroll
Buffalo -3 - 5% Of Bankroll
San Fran -10 - 5% Of Bankroll
Tennessee +5.5 - 5% Of Bankroll
Minnesota +3 - 5% Of Bankroll
Philadelphia +8 - 5% Of Bankroll
Dallas +3 - 5% Of Bankroll
New Orleans +5 - 5% Of Bankroll
WEEK 13 ( 6-3-1 )
WEEK 12 ( 5-3-2 )
WEEK 11 ( 5-4 )
WEEK 10 ( 7-3 )
WEEK 9 ( 2-4 )
WEEK 8 ( 8-1 )
WEEK 7 ( 4-4 )
WEEK 6 ( 4-0 )
WEEK 5 ( 3-5 )
WEEK 4 ( 5-2 )
WEEK 3 ( 3-3 )
Grand Total ( 52 - 32 - 3 )
Total Winning % Before Week 14 = +132.5%Comment
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Accuscore
Analyst – Top NFL Picks - Week 14
12-4-1 Last 7 Weeks
Green Bay Packers -7 vs. Detroit Lions
Stephen likes the Packers to cover , and he hasn’t been wrong in about two months so who am I to disagree? The computer agrees with both of us projecting Green Bay to cover 55.5 percent of the time, and win by 10 points on average. Detroit has shown themselves to be not a great football team having lost four games in a row including by four points at home in Week 11 to the Packers. Now this game is in Lambeau with the playoffs no longer possible.
As a note, Stephen mentioned above is AccuScore co-founder Stephen Oh, who has been doing picks for SBR Forum this season, and he's been just about perfect for the past couple months. PERFECT. Yup, that's not a typo. When asked to explain his system for making picks, he says he just keeps it simple. The simulations do the work, and Stephen just reads what sounds like it makes sense. After all, he's already put all the thought into creating the prediction machine.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Over 50.5 Points
The computer sets the total at 55 points with the over on the posted line occurring 62.1 percent of the time. That is the most likely AccuScore four-star total play of Week 14. Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers have combined to throw 948 passes this season. Neither team is particularly good at running the ball, and more often chooses to go to the air. If the Packers get up early as we expect, Detroit will choose to pass even more often.
Indianapolis Colts -5 vs. Tennessee Titans
The Colts win 63.7 percent of simulations, and by 10 or more 40 percent of the time. The computer has the Colts covering the five point spread 50 percent of the time, but I see as a slightly bigger line. Indianapolis quite frankly, at this point is on a freight train towards the playoffs. They have won six of their last seven games including a six point road win vs. the Titans. Most of those games have been very close actually, but I feel the defense will play a bit better at home, and Andrew Luck was just absurdly good last week against Detroit. He seems improved even from just a month ago like something has clicked and he has figured out how to the move the football in the NFL.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans Under 48 Points
The computer sets this line at just 43 points, and has gone a combined 18-4 picking totals in games involving either of these two teams. Tennessee has lost four of their past five games, and in those games they have scored just 13, 20, 19, and 10 points. That includes a 13-19 loss to Indy at home in Week 8.Comment
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Indian Cowboy
5-Unit Play #108. Take Cleveland Browns -6.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday @ 1pm est)
5-Unit Play #105. Take Baltimore Ravens +2.5 over Washington Redskins (Sunday @ 1pm est)
5-Unit Play #129. Take Under 35.5 Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)Comment
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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NCAA HOOPS - Saturday, December 8th - Free Member Play
TOP (3 UNITS)
SAN FRANCISCO +3 at pacific (5pm)Comment
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