12-12-12

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Warriors at Heat: What bettors need to know

Golden State Warriors at Miami Heat (-9.5, 204)

The Golden State Warriors have had no problems so far on their seven-game road trip. Things will get a little more difficult at the next stop. The Warriors will put their four-game winning streak on the line when they visit the defending champion Miami Heat on Wednesday. The Heat have taken back-to-back games and are 10-1 at home while leading the Eastern Conference in scoring. After a brief stumble last week, Miami has been strong of late.

Golden State’s duo of Stephen Curry and David Lee continues to power the team forward. The two combined for 52 points in Monday’s win at Charlotte and have each gone over 20 in all four games of the road trip. The Warriors have taken 11 of the last 14 overall to put pressure on the Los Angeles Clippers atop the Pacific Division. The Heat have their own dynamic duo in LeBron James and Dwyane Wade, along with Chris Bosh on the inside to battle with Lee.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, CSBA (Golden State), SUN (Miami)

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (14-7, 13-7-1 ATS): The road finally looked like it was getting to Golden State in the fourth quarter at Charlotte, when the Warriors managed just three field goals. Luckily, they entered that frame with a 19-point lead and held on for the win. Curry and Lee have been so consistent that Golden State is now just looking around for other people to step up and shoulder some of the load. Jarrett Jack and Carl Landry combined for 28 off the bench in that regard on Monday. The Warriors have gone over 100 points in each of the first four games of the road trip but things get more difficult on the back end. After Miami, Golden State heads to Orlando to face the Magic, who earned a 102-94 win in Oakland on Dec. 3, before finishing up with another playoff contender in the Atlanta Hawks.

ABOUT THE HEAT (14-5, 9-10 ATS): Miami is enjoying a stretch of 10 of 11 games at home and has tightened things up on the defensive end in the last two games. After allowing 108.5 points in back-to-back losses, the Heat have held New Orleans and Atlanta to 91. Wade has also picked up his efficiency. The star guard has struggled with his shot off and on this season but is a combined 20 of 25 from the field in the last two. The Heat dropped the lone meeting with the Warriors last season, 111-106 in overtime at Golden State. Wade went for 34 points and James had 26 but Miami allowed four scorers to reach 20 points for the Warriors, including Lee’s 20 and 14 rebounds.

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings in Miami.
* Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
* Over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Miami.
* Warriors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Curry has reached 20 points in a career-high eight straight games. He is averaging 14 points on 43.6 percent shooting in three career games against the Heat.

2. Heat F Udonis Haslem (illness) missed Monday’s game and is day-to-day.

3. Lee has recorded a double-double in four straight and 13 of the last 17 games.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Knicks (PK) Tuesday.

Wednesday it’s Fairfield. The deficit is 1468 sirignanos.

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The Goldsheet

★★★★★★KEY RELEASES★★★★★★
"UNDER" CHICAGO at PHILADELPHIA (Wed., Dec. 12)
★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★

UNDER the TOTAL (181) Chicago 85 - PHILADELPHIA 84—Quick
rematch from Dec. 1 battle at United Center, which Chicago won 93-88 but
couldn’t cover 6½-point spread. Tom Thibodeau was satisfied nonetheless with
effort in which four starters scored in double digits (led by Luol Deng’s 25 points)
and Bulls outrebounded Sixers by 50-37 count. Of course, this matchup brings
back bad memories for Bulls fans who recall Derrick Rose blowing out his knee
in first playoff game vs. Sixers last April 28, then watching Philly eliminate a
depleted Chicago team thereafter. Sixers continuing to perform in erratic
manner, and had dropped last three vs. number at Wells Fargo Center prior to
Boston’s visit last Friday. Would also note Chicago’s seven straight “unders”
(including first meeting vs. Philly) thru Dec. 6.

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won three of last five games (4-1 vs spread; they're 1-4 as a HU). Hawks won nine of last 11 games (2-0 as AF).
-- Philly won four of last five home games (4-6 as HF). Bulls won five of last seven games (1-2 as AU).
-- Clippers won last seven games, covered last four (1-3 as HF).
-- Warriors won seven of last eight games (5-2-2 as AU). Miami is 8-2 in last ten games (6-5 as HF).
-- Minnesota won four of last six games (5-1 vs spread, 5-1 as HF).
-- Sacramento won three of last four games (3-5 as AU). Bucks won last two games, allowing 93-88 points (2-6-1 at H).
-- Thunder won last eight games (7-1 vs spread, 8-4-1 as HF).
-- Dallas won/covered four of last five games (4-2 last six as AU).
-- Wizards split last six games, after an 0-12 start (5-3-1 as AU).
-- Memphis won 14 of last 17 games (3-0-1 as AF).
-- Spurs won five in row, 10 of last 11 games (9-1 last 10 AF). Utah won last three games, scoring 111.7 ppg (8-1 SU at H, 1-0 as HU).


Cold Teams
-- Nets lost last five games (5-3 vs spread on road). Toronto lost five in row, 11 of last 12 games (4-3 vs spread at home, 2-1 as HF).
-- Indiana lost three of last five games, but covered three of last four as a home favorite. Cavaliers lost five of last six games (7-6 as AU).
-- Bobcats lost last eight games, covered one of last six (4-6 as HU).
-- Nuggets lost five of last seven road games (5-4 as HU).
-- Hornets lost six of last seven games (5-3 as AU).
-- Celtics are 2-6-2 vs spread in game following a win (4-1 last five HF).
-- Rockets lost last three games, allowing 121.3 ppg (5-2 last seven HF).
-- Suns lost last six games (1-5 vs spread, 1-2 as HU).

Totals
-- All eight Brooklyn road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Charlotte games.
-- Six of last seven Golden State games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Nugget games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven New Orleans games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Washington games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Memphis games.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen San Antonio games.

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CBB

-- Temple lost to Duke Saturday, its first loss after six wins; they beat #254 Rice by 14, up until now worst team they've played this season. Towson State was 1-31 LY, is better this year; they lost 46-40 last game at Georgetown. Tigers turn ball over 25% of time, but compete harder this year. CAA double digit road underdogs are 10-8 vs spread.
-- Arizona State is 8-1 and playing faster with freshman PG Carson, but #87 Arkansas is only team they've beaten ranked above #200. ASU does not sub much (#340 in bench minutes); they make 57% of 2-point shots. #103 DePaul plays #5 pace in country; they're 5-3, winning last four games, scoring 80.8 ppg- they beat Sun Devils 68-64 at home LY.

-- Wisconsin is struggling at 6-4, bad for them, but they're 4-0 vs teams not in top 100, with 33 points closest of four games. Badgers won nine of last 10 games vs Green Bay, winning 70-42/70-56 last couple years. Green Bay lost five of last six games, losing by 16 at Virginia, beating North Dakota State, the two top 100 teams they've played.
-- 7-2 Colorado lost both its true road games, by 7 at Wyoming, by 36 at Kansas on ESPN Saturday; Buffs are 3-0 vs teams not in top 100, with wins by 15-5-15 points- they beat Fresno State 71-64 at home last year. Bulldogs lost three of last four games vs D-I teams, scoring 57.3 ppg. Pac-12 single digit road favorites are 8-5 against the spread.

-- Milwaukee lost six of last seven games, with only win vs awful #318 Northern Illinois in OT; #287 Panthers are 0-4 on road, with last three road losses all by 11+ points. Fairfield split pair of league games over weekend; they're 5-5, losing only home game to Canisius by 12- they got beat by 4 at Milwaukee LY. Horizon League road dogs are 13-10.
-- First true road game for 5-2 Oregon State, whose only two losses are to teams in top 35; Beavers crushed Portland State 101-68 in Corvallis LY- they're playing #29 pace, lost by only 6 points to Jayhawks in KC. Portland State is 0-4 vs D-I teams, with all four losses by 10+ points; this is their first game in 11 days. Big Sky double digit dogs are 9-15.

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Today's NBA Picks

Atlanta at Orlando

The Hawks look to take advantage of an Orlando team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a home underdog. Atlanta is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 12 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Brooklyn at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 117.058; Toronto 110.904 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6; 187 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Atlanta at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 121.796; Orlando 114.832 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 190 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 187 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Over

Game 705-706: Cleveland at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 110.176; Indiana 121.786 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 11 1/2; 194 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 187 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-8); Under

Game 707-708: Chicago at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.288; Philadelphia 117.981 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 183 Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 180 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3); Over

Game 709-710: LA Clippers at Charlotte (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.645; Charlotte 112.806 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11; 205 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 201 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-8 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Golden State at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 116.947; Miami 129.248 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 12 1/2; 200 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 205 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Denver at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.678; Minnesota 122.109 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 194 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 198 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Sacramento at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 112.618; Milwaukee 120.317 Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 7 1/2; 201 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 717-718: New Orleans at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.098; Oklahoma City 126.781 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 199 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 14; 196 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+14); Over

Game 719-720: Dallas at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.912; Boston 123.125 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 184 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 721-722: Washington at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 113.881; Houston 120.386 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 723-724: Memphis at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.777; Phoenix 115.393 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 725-726: San Antonio at Utah (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 128.319; Utah 121.306 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 202 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 208 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3); Under

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NCAA Basketball Picks

DePaul at Arizona State

The Sun Devils look to take advantage of a DePaul team that is coming off an 84-50 win over WI-Milwaukee and is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games after allowing 60 points or less in the previous game. Arizona State is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun Devils favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-5). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 12 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 727-728: Towson at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Towson 47.478; Temple 67.881 Dunkel Line: Temple by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: Temple by 18 Dunkel Pick: Temple (-18)

Game 729-730: DePaul at Arizona State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 55.394; Arizona State 61.869 Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Arizona State by 5 Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-5)

Game 731-732: WI-Green Bay at Wisconsin (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 51.896; Wisconsin 73.177 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 21 1/2 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 18 Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-18)

Game 733-734: Colorado at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 61.841; Fresno State 55.401 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-3 1/2)

Game 735-736: WI-Milwaukee at Fairfield (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 45.002; Fairfield 54.869 Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 10 Vegas Line: Fairfield by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+11 1/2)

Game 737-738: Oregon State at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 63.313; Portland State 50.597 Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: Oregon State by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-11 1/2)

Game 741-742: Savannah State at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 55.871; Ohio State 76.368 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 22 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Savannah State (+22 1/2)

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/12/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1026-318 (.763)
ATS: 412-427 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 1552-1732 (.473)
Over/Under: 122-107 (.533)
Over/Under Vary Units: 172-177 (.493)

Non-Conference
ALBANY 81, South Carolina State 58
ARIZONA STATE 76, DePaul 74
BAYLOR 82, Lamar 58
Colorado 67, FRESNO STATE 61
Coppin State 76, UMBC 75
FAIRFIELD 68, Wisconsin-Milwaukee 56
Louisiana Tech 73, McNEESE STATE 65
MARYLAND 83, Monmouth 64
NIAGARA 70, Hartford 65
Nicholls State 81, NEW ORLEANS 76
OHIO STATE 70, Savannah State 43
Oregon State 84, PORTLAND STATE 73
RICE 79, Long Island 76
TEMPLE 79, Towson 51
UCF 77, Bethune-Cookman 59
VERMONT 68, Dartmouth 46
WISCONSIN 73, Green Bay 52

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/12/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 200-97 (.673)
ATS: 148-153 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 502-452 (.526)
Over/Under: 160-142 (.530)
Over/Under Vary Units: 298-239 (.555)

TORONTO 96, Brooklyn 95
Atlanta 92, ORLANDO 91
INDIANA 101, Cleveland 88
PHILADELPHIA 88, Chicago 87
L.A. Clippers 103, CHARLOTTE 90
MIAMI 106, Golden State 94
BOSTON 98, Dallas 91
MILWAUKEE 106, Sacramento 98
HOUSTON 105, Washington 96
OKLAHOMA CITY 106, New Orleans 89
Denver 104, MINNESOTA 101
Memphis 100, PHOENIX 96
San Antonio 107, UTAH 103

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 950-705 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free WED: Spurs -3

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Twolves -3

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Arizona St
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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Savannah State +24 over Ohio State

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Info Plays

NBA FREE PICK ON MAVERICKS/CELTICS UNDER 196.5