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Free Play Friday
Wyoming -14
Free Play Friday
Wyoming -14
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Fargo's BEEF O BRADY'S BOWL SIDE (PERFECT 8-0 RUN)
Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM
Ball St. is one of the hotter teams in the country as it won its final six games of the regular season. The Cardinals were bowl eligible last season but were bypassed so they may be playing with a chip on their shoulder this year. Ball St. was picked by some to finish at the bottom of the MAC West but proved a lot of people wrong while playing the second toughest schedule in the MAC. The Cardinals three losses this year have come against Kent St., Northern Illinois and Clemson, which have a combined five losses. Central Florida is getting the love from the linesmakers as this is pretty close to a home game for the Knights as Tropicana Field is only 100 miles away from campus. Even with that, I don't think they deserve to be a touchdown, and in some cases more, favorite against a quality team. The close to home field did not help in 2009 when the night played here and got whacked by Rutgers 45-24. Past results do not predict future outcomes like this but it just shows location can mean little. I'd rather take the hotter team against an opponent that is coming off a devastating loss anyway. The Knights lost the C-USA Championship to Tulsa in overtime and it was a tough one to take. "It's very disappointing, to come that far, have it down in overtime, miss the field goal and have them score a touchdown," running back Latavius Murray said. Unlike the Cardinals, Central Florida played a soft schedule as it had only two wins against teams playing in a bowl game. There was talk before this week that the Cardinals would have to turn to freshman Kyle Kamman at quarterback after losing starter Keith Wenning and his backup Kelly Page as Wenning was hurt against Ohio and Page was hurt against Miami Ohio in the regular season finale. The good news though is both are now listed as probable which is big break for the Ball St. offense. The Cardinals defense is a concern for sure but the offense is loaded enough to keep up with the Knights. Ball St. had a much better record against the number, going 9-3 ATS compared to just 6-7 ATS for Central Florida. Also, the Knights are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game while Ball St. is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games away from home against teams averaging 4.75 or more rushing ypc. Additionally, Ball St. is 6-0 ATS in its last six games coming off a conference win by a touchdown or less. 9* (207) Ball St. Cardinals
Prediction: Ball St.
Bet Type: SPREAD
Marc Lawrence 100% ATS Beef O'Brady's Bowl Play!
Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM
Play On: Ball State (Game 207) Note: This tilt at the Trop is the epitome of a happy bowl dog taking on a bummed out bowl favorite. Yes, the Ballers may be one of seven bowl virgins (no bowl games the past three years) on this year’s card but that should have them raring to go as opposed to a Knights’ squad that will be making this short trip to St. Pete following their gut-wrenching, overtime Conference USA title loss to Tulsa. As it is, bowl favorites off an extra-session loss are 2-5 ATS while bowl chalk of seven or more points off a championship game defeat are a deflated 3-9 ATS. And like Arizona, UCF may fall into that 14-42-4 ATS category as a sub .750 bowl favorite of eight or more points (check line) when taking on a winning opponent. It’s just too many hurdles for a Knights’ team that is ‘leaking oil’ (lost stats in each of the last three games) to overcome. Especially against a Ball State bunch that is playing its best ball of the season. Not only have the Cardinals gone 7-1 ‘ITS’ since late September, they closed out the regular season on a 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS run. And wouldn’t you know it: bowl virgins off wins in each of their last four regular-season contests are 9-3 ATS. In addition, the moneymakers from Muncie have brought home the cash in 14 of their last 18 games, thanks, in part, to Lembo’s 6-1 SU and ATS log as a dog of less than nine points. The clincher come from our powerful database, noting that pre New Years Day bowl dogs of 7 or more points off a conference win in which they scored 30 or more points, facing a.600 or greater opponent off a loss who rushes the ball for 5.2 or less Yards Per Rush are 16-0-2 ATS since 1980. With that we recommend a 3-unit play on Ball State. Thank you and good luck as always. Check this out: there is an amazing awesome angle inside Saturday night's NFL clash between the Falcons and Lions that has never lost the money in NFL history. It comes directly from Marc's famous PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB and its yours - if you act now!
Prediction: Ball St.
Bet Type: SPREAD
SCOTT SPREITZER'S BEEF O BRADY BEATDOWN! *2-0 TY!
Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM
I'm taking the points with Ball State on Friday night. BSU QB Keith Wenning is expected to start in this one and I suspect he'll find little resistance moving the ball on UCF. The Golden Knights have problems slowing down opposing ground games, allowing over 200 yards rushing four times this season, and BSU has a good one in RB Jahwan Edwards, who has rushed for over 13-hundred yards on 6.1 yards per carry. Wenning should be able to pick apart the UCF defense that will be forced to keep an eye on Edwards. Wenning has an underrated WR corps to throw to, led by Willie Snead. As a team, Ball State is excited to be here and has the motivation factor on their side. UCF finished the season with a loss to Tulsa, (2nd time this season), which "relegated" the Knights to this bowl game, rather than the bowl game they had hoped to be in, the Liberty Bowl. UCF has a quality offensive attack and they may trade points with Ball State for a while. But that's perfectly fine with me, because we're getting a TD with the Cardinals. Ball State enters on a 5-1 ATS run in their last six games and they're 9-2 ATS following a SU win. And let's not forget that this season's three losses came against Clemson, Kent State, and Northern Illinois. All three teams are bowling and finished with a combined record of 33-5 SU. While I believe Ball State has a legitimate shot to win outright, my play is to take the points with the Cardinals. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Prediction: Ball St.
IRON HORSE 10* COLLEGE BOWL LINE ERROR OF THE YEAR
Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM
Second year Ball State (9-3) Head Coach Pete Lembo started the season with a young and inexperienced offense and defense, but gained valuable experience all season and ended on a 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS streak. They only lost 3 games this year, with ALL 3 losses coming against fellow Bowlers, 10-2 Clemson (in Chick-Fil-A Bowl), 12-1 N. Illinois (in Orange Bowl) and 11-2 Kent State (in GoDaddy Bowl), who are head into the Bowls owning a combined record of 33-5 SU. The betting public and Oddsmakers have underestimated Ball State all year, as they're a money making 4-1 ATS as Dogs this season, including a perfect 2-0 ATS as Dogs of a TD or more! In just his second year with the team, Head Coach Lembo has Ball State playing their first Bowl game in 4 years and with Ball State owning an 0-5 SU record in Bowls, you can be sure he knows just how important it is for them to win this Beef O' Brady Bowl.
10* Play On Ball State
Prediction: Ball St.
Bet Type: SPREAD
Team Del Genio *10* Bowl Total of the Week
Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM
Play Over Ball State/Central Florida at 7:30 ET. We saw plenty of points in the first two bowl games, Arizona-Nevada in particular, and once again the points should be a plenty as Ball State meets Central Florida in this year's Beef O'Bradys Bowl. UCF went Over in 10 of 13 games so far this season. Two of the three games that didn't were against BCS opponents, Ohio State and Missouri. This is not the highest total for any Knights game this season as they hung 54 points on Marshall back on October 27th, sending that game Over the number. Should be the same case here going up against a Ball State defense that allowed opponents to score 31.5 PPG and 423.5 YPG. Even worse for the Cardinals is that they were equally bad against the run as they were the pass. That said, they gave up over 200 YPG on the ground, one of only a handful of teams nationally to do so. This is disastrous when facing Central Florida, who has FIVE backs that have gone for at least 162 yds rushing this season and they have 31 rushing touchdowns on the year. The Knights offense comes in averaging over 35 PPG. Of course, the same can also be said for a Ball State team that also averages over 200 yds rushing on offense! It looks as if Cardinals QB Keith Wenning will play here, which is obviously a key. Ball State has gone over 30 pts in each of their previous six games (all wins) and seven of the last eight. Only twice all season were they held below 30 points. Four times they scored 41 or more. Closing the regular season w/ a 31-24 win over Miami (OH) is key here b/c the Cardinals are on a 6-0 Over Run after winning a MAC Game by 7 points or less. Another thing to keep in mind is that Ball State was down to their third string QB in that regular season finale due to the Wenning injury + a concussion suffered by backup Kelly Page. Look for plenty o'points in the Beef O'Bradys Bowl. Over Ball State/Central Florida is our 10* Bowl Total of the Week.
Prediction: over
Bet Type: TOTAL
Rickenbach CFB *TOTALS DOMINATOR*! 60-31 66% TY!
Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *8* (Regular Play) OVER in Ball State at Central Florida @ 7:30 ET - The Ball State Cardinals face the Central Florida Knights in the Beef O'Brady's Bowl on Friday night. Ball State is 9-3 SU overall this year while Central Florida is now 9-4 SU on the season. Ball State is averaging 471.3 yards per game overall this year but are allowing 459.8 yards per game overall this season. Ball State is scoring 35 points per game overall this year and 35.3 points per game on the road this season. Ball State is allowing 34.1 points per game on the road this year. Central Florida is scoring 35.2 points per game overall this year and 34.3 points per game on the road this season. The Over is 10-3 in all Central Florida games this year. The Over is 9-1 this year when Central Florida is a favorite. The Over is 9-3-1 AST last 13 games when Ball State is off a SU win. These two teams will light it up tonight. Play OVER in Central Florida as a *8* Regular Play selection Thursday.
Prediction: over
Bet Type: TOTALComment
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BIG AL's 44-15 ATS NCAA HOOPS ROADKILL ROUT!
Northridge St. at Utah Dec 21 2012 10:30PM
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Northridge. After losing 74-71 at home to Sacramento St, on November 16, the Utes have ripped off 7 covers (and 1 push) over their last eight games. I look for Larry Krystkowiak's men to stretch their ATS streak to 8-0-1 ATS their last nine, as they fall into a situation that's 44-15 ATS. That angle plays on the Utes as a home favorite of -10 points or less (or PK) vs. a foe off a SU win. (Northridge does come into this game off a win vs. San Diego Christian.) Take Utah tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Prediction: Utah
Fargo's 10* CBB FRIDAY ENFORCER (PERFECT 3-0 YEST)
Buffalo at Washington St. Dec 21 2012 10:30PM
Washington St. is 7-4 on the season but that record does not give the Cougars justice. They were blown out by Kansas which can happen to any team but their other three losses came by a grand total of five points including one of those in overtime, one against Texas A&M and the other against Gonzaga so a few different bounces and Washington St. could be 9-2 or better. The trademark of the Cougars is their defense and that is the case again this season as they are allowing just 56.7 ppg on 37.4 percent shooting and those numbers are even better in their last seven games. This game is considered a home game even though it is on a neutral floor at Key Arena in Seattle so obviously the Cougars will have the fan support. This is the eighth annual Cougar Hardwood Classic and Washington St. is a perfect 7-0 in the first seven editions. Buffalo comes in riding a two-game winning streak but that means nothing now as the Bulls have not played a game in close to two weeks. With this the first game back on the road out west after a long break, it is bad enough, but playing one of the best defensive teams in the country makes it even more of a challenge. Additionally, the Bulls will be playing their first game since losing starting point game Jarod Oldham to a wrist injury suffered at practice. Oldham is averaging 10.1 ppg, the best for a guard and his 4.4 apg will be missed as the Bulls have a poor 0.85 assist/turnover ratio to begin with. The Cougars fall into a great situation too as we play against underdogs that are averaging between 63 and 67 ppg going up against teams allowing 63 ppg or less, after two straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 81-44 ATS (64.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (840) Washington St. Cougars
Prediction: Washington St.
SCOTT SPREITZER'S CBB TOP HAMMER GOM! *37-19 Run!!
Northridge St. at Utah Dec 21 2012 10:30PM
I'm laying the points with Utah on Friday night. Contrasting styles will be on display in Salt Lake tonight. CS-Northridge wants to run-and-gun, while the Utes play a fierce brand of defensive basketball. Utah is 24th in the nation allowing just 57.2 ppg and they're 5th in FG defense, holding opponents to 34.8% shooting. The Utes also own a +9 rebound margin per game average in six home games. CSUN takes a lot of shots...but plays no defense, especially on the road. The Matadors have dropped three straight road games, allowing 87 points twice and 82 points in the other contest, losing by an average of more than 16 ppg. While CSUN averages 81.8 ppg on the season, overall, they're scoring less than 71 ppg on the road where they allow their "hosts" to score over 81 ppg on 49.6% shooting. The Matadors have also had problems hanging onto the basketball, averaging over 17 turnovers per game on the road. Northridge is 1-5 ATS in their last six against Pac-12 opposition (0-2 this season), while the under-valued Utes are on a 14-2-1 ATS run overall, a 7-0-1 ATS run against non-conference opponents, and a 5-0 ATS run at home. I'm laying the points with Utah on Friday. Thanks! GL! - Scott Spreitzer.
Prediction: UtahComment
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Fargo's 10* NBA DARK HORSE DANDY (PERFECT 2-0 RUN)
Charlotte Bobcats at Golden State Warriors Dec 21 2012 10:35PM
Charlotte has been stuck on seven wins since November 24th, a span of 13 games, as it has been unable to break its season win total from all of last season. After a road win at Washington, the Bobcats lost at Oklahoma City by 45 points and it has been all downhill since then. They have been very competitive in a lot of those games though, most recently a one-point loss at the Lakers which was followed up by a blowout loss at Phoenix the next night. That sets up Charlotte very well here plus the Bobcats will be playing their fourth game in five nights at Denver on Saturday which will also be the final game of their roadtrip so any solid effort will be on display tonight. Golden St. is coming off a loss at Sacramento in its last game so it will be hungry for a win but this is a lot of points for the Warriors to be putting down in a game where the focus should not all be there. The reason for that is they host the Lakers on Saturday and they will be looking for revenge from a 24-point loss earlier in the season at Los Angeles, easily their worst loss of the season. The Warriors are one of the big surprises in basketball at 17-9 but this is the most they have been favored by and they are 0-2 ATS this season when favored by seven or more points. Charlotte also falls into a great situation where we play against favorites of 10 or more points that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against team allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 100 points or more two straight games. This situation is 55-25 (68.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (817) Charlotte Bobcats
Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats
TOM FREESE 10* NBA "THREE PACK" FRI *#1 NBA CAPPER- 61%
Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks Dec 21 2012 7:35PM
TOMS PLAYS ARE RATED 10, 15, and 20 UNITS (#805) CHICAGO BULLS @ (#806) NEW YORK KNICKS 7:35 PM EST The 19-6 Knicks are at Home in New York to Host the 14-10 Bulls from Chicago on FRIDAY! New York has a scoring average of 102.8 Points per game while allowing an average of 96.2 Points per game to their opponents. On the opposite Bench, Chicago has a scoring average of 92.8 points per game while giving up an average of 90.3 Points to their opponents. The Knicks look to increase their record to 20-6 Tonight. The Knicks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 Home games and 14-6 ATS in their Last 20 Games against NBA Central Clubs. The Bulls are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. Win and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 Games playing on 2 days rest. New York Covers in a Rout! PLAY ON THE (#806) NEW YORK KNICKS (-) PTS FOR 10 UNITS TONIGHT!
Prediction: New York Knicks
SCOTT SPREITZER'S NBA TOTAL SLAMMER! 18-8, 69% Run
Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics Dec 21 2012 7:35PM
I'm playing the Under between the Bucks & Celtics on Friday. This is the fourth meeting of the season between these two teams and the second time I'll have played the Under. All three games have finished Under the total and they all finished below tonight's posted total. Milwaukee beat Boston 91-88 in the most recent meeting, scoring 36 points in the second quarter and just 55 points in the other three quarters combined. Boston topped 21 points in just one of four quarters. I expect more of the same in this one. The series is on a 5-0 Under run and Boston is on a 40-23 Under run when playing their third game in four days. They'll look to clamp down on the defensive end tonight, which shouldn't be a problem against Milwaukee, the NBA's 26th & 27th ranked team in FG percentage and 3-point accuracy, respectively. The Bucks enter on a 6-1 Under run on the road and 10-4 Under in their last 14 games, overall. I'm playing the Under between the Bucks & Celtics on Friday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Prediction: underComment
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Wunderdog NCAAF
Friday 12/21
Central Florida moneylineComment
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Football Crusher
Ball State +7 over Central Florida
(System Record: 42-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 42-45-4
Soccer Crusher
Kortrijk + Lokeren UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 331-14, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 331-291-39Comment
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Larry Ness 10* Situational G.O.M. (10-2 L12 CBB!)
BYU at Baylor Dec 21 2012 9:00PM
My 10* Situational Game of the Month is on Baylor at 9:00 ET BYU lost 88-70 vs Fla St and 76-68 to Notre Dame in neutral games and 83-62 at Iowa St. Much different team away from Provo. Sophomore guard Haws (20.3-5.5) and the 6-9 Davies (19.2-7.3) but not much else. The Cougars have been terrible as underdogs for years. They're 52-87 ATS their last 139 in the underdog role, 3-10 ATS the last two years. That's continued this season, as they're already 0-2 ATS when getting points. Baylor not the same as last couple of years (Elite 8 appearances in 2010 and 2012) but much more balanced and did win at Kentucky when Wildcats were ranked 8th. Bears won 86-83 in Provo last year. Needless to say, it’s much easier here in Waco. Baylor pulls away for a double-digit win. Good luck...Larry
Prediction: BaylorComment
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Jack Jones
25* Ball st +7Comment
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Bankroll sports 3-3 yesterday---10* loser on aztecs +3.5-- 2-3 last 5 ten *'s
todays card
10* ball st +7.5 cfb
5* spurs -14 nba
4* baylor bears -7 cbb
3* bulls/knicks under 188.5 nba
2* w carolina catamounts +13.5 cbbComment
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Paul Leiner
100* Baylor -7
50* Wagner +2Comment
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Jimmy Boyd
3***NBA Charlotte Bobcats +10.5
3***NCAAF Ball St vs. Central Florida UNDER 62
3***CBB Denver University -19Comment
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TEDDY COVERS
20* NBA Big Ticket
Atlanta Hawks
10* CFB Beef O Brady Bowl Winner
Ball StateComment
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Trace Adams
Raise the Bar
1500♦
Dead Mortal Lock
Ball State Cardinals
NOTE: At the time I release my selection your way, Ball State is a +7 point dog. If your line is +7 or dips to +6 1/2 points, I am instructing you to buy the half point up on the Cardinals.Comment
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Robert Ferringo CBB
6 * USF -10 (4pm PST)
3 * STANFORD -2 (6pm)
2 * WSU -7.5 (7:30pm)
1 * MTSU -5.5 (6pm)
1 * SIU -10.5 (4:30pm)
1 * SMU -2.5 (6pm)
1 * COL -17 (5:30pm)Comment
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Docs CBB (12-0 run)
4 Unit Play. #840 Take Washington State -7.5 over Buffalo (10:30 pm PAC-12 Network)
We will ride old faithful once again on Friday night, as the Bulls make a ridiculously long flight to Pullman for one game. Wazzou has not left Pullman since November 21st and they have won all but one of their games since that time (This game is in Seattle). Their lone loss came at the buzzer against Gonzaga. The Cougars have the best player on the floor in Brock Motum and I do not feel that Buffalo has a guy that can guard him one on one. Wazzou has loads of experience and that will allow them to take down this weak mid-major on Friday night at Key Arena. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Wazzou is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games.Comment
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