12-22-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco - GM

Saturday's Play

15 dime play on UNLV, winners of eight in a row and 10-1 on the season, at home tonight against a Canisius team playing for the seventh time in eight games on the road over the past four weeks. The Rebels are -13 1/2 in Vegas as of 1:50 AM Pacific.


Update - The line has inched up to -14 as of 6 AM Pacific because, obviously, the oddsmakers are worried about my winning streak. LOL


UNLV has had a tendency of late to take its foot off the gas. In Monday's 62-60 win at UTEP, the Rebels coughed up a 15-point, second-half advantage. In Thursday's 73-59 home victory versus Northern Iowa, they were up 21 at intermission and 24 in the second half. Tonight, however, they put distance between themselves and an opponent - and maintain it - against a weary Canisius squad playing on the road for the seventh time in eight games in a 28-day stretch.

The Golden Griffins, lead by a new coach - former Rhode Island floor general Jim Baron - and a slew of transfers, including Baron's son - starting guard Billy (team-leading 16.2 ppg) - has exceeded expectations by going 8-2 less than one year removed from a 5-25 campaign that earned them an RPI of 332. They're coming off a 72-62 road upset of Temple on Wednesday as an 11 1/2-point dog in a contest they trailed by nine at halftime. But it was just one week ago today they found themselves getting hammered at Syracuse 85-61 as a 22-point pup.

The Rebels are 10-1 on the season with the lone loss coming against Oregon. They're playing their fourth game minus injured standout Mike Moser, who is expected to remain sidelined till early-to-mid January with a dislocated elbow. But 6-8, 240-pound freshman power forward Anthony Bennett has shouldered the load with averages of 19.4 points and 8.6 rebounds.

Moser's absence also coincides with 6-9 center Khem Birch becoming eligible on Monday. The Pitt transfer scored 11 points and grabbed nine rebounds in 25 minutes on Thursday against Northern Iowa, and he along with Bennett and Quintrell Thomas combined for 39 points and 23 rebounds in the contest. The trio will be troublesome for a Canisius squad whose starting center, Jordan Heath (9 points, 5.1 rebounds), remains day-to-day after missing the last two games.

UNLV has allowed 62.1 points on the season, but after holding Northern Iowa to 33.3 percent shooting from the field on Thursday, that average stands at 54.3 the last three games - all minus Moser.

The Rebels took last year's meeting 95-70, shooting 61.1 percent.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alatex 15* providence

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Vegas Sports Informer

3 Unit Play. Take #506 Miami -8 over Utah (7:35 p.m., Saturday, December 22)

Robert Ferringo


3 units:

Davidson (-1.5) (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Arizona State (-1.5) (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Tulane (-8.5) (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)

2 units:

LSU (+10) (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Loyola (-1) (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
South Alabama (-6.5) (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Wake Forest (+2) (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
N.C. State (-10.5) (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Richmond (-3) (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Illinois-Chicago (-3) (1:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Rhode Island (-6) (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)

1 unit:

Providence (-4.5) (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
St. Joseph's (-10) (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Harvard (-9) (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Oakland (-2.5) (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Virginia (-14.5) (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Colorado State (-12.5) (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Kentucky (-19.5) (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Virginia Tech (-2.5) (8 p.m. Saturday, Dec. 22)
Florida (-11) (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Missouri (-1.5) (6 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Nebraska (-5) (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Northern Illinois (+16.5) (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
TCU (-3) (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Canisius (+14) (10 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)

FIRST HALF: Kentucky (-11) (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)

TEASER:Air Force (-3.5) (4 p.m.) AND Tulane (-3.5) (3 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides - Saturday, Dec 22 2012 3:00PM
549 George Mason 3.0(-110) Hilton vs 550 Richmond double-dime bet

Analysis:
PLAY: GEORGE MASON
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY


This play is as much going against Richmond as it is taking George Mason. Richmond had won 5 in a row beforee going to Kansas in their last game. Richmond got smacked 87-59 and now retu £rns home looking to bounce back. This game is being held at Richmond Coliseum so this is not a true home game. Richmond has been racking up wins against a very soft schedule but even though they have been beating up on weaker teams they have not been covering the spread as they are a over rated team. Richmond is just 1-7 ATS the last 8. The main reason for that is Richmond plays poor defense. Teams are shooting in mid to upper 40% or higher in most games. I like George Mason here as a Live dog as they have played the tougher schedule. It also must be noted that George Mason has had plenty of time to prep for Richmond as this will be their first game since Dec 8th and then don't play again till next Saturday.


TAKE GEORGE MASON

ATTENTION BASKETBALL CLIENTS CHECK BACK AT 5:30 EST FOR NIGHT ACTION
Marco D'Angelo | NFL Side - Saturday, Dec 22 2012 8:30PM
102 DET 4.0(-110) bodog vs 101 ATL double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

9-3 so far this week. It's been a positive week so far and a positive month at 25-17 (60%). I'm glad the run has been decent but we still have more work to do. Let's continue to look for games with motivation and that fits into our math as well. Motivation/Math has been the key for us and we'll stick to it.

3-Unit Play. #504. Take Washington +1 over Detroit Pistons (Saturday @ 7pm est).

3-Unit Play. #510. Take New Orleans Hornets +3.5 over Indiana Pacers (Saturday @ 8pm est).

3-Unit Play. #514. Take Denver -15.5 over Charlotte Bobcats (Saturday @ 9:05pm est).

This is a home and home for Washington and Detroit. Detroit just hammered this team in their last game by a score of 100-68. That's going to gnaw on any professional team even if it is the Wizards. In fact, if it was any team besides the Wizards, we would have probably made this a 5 unit selection. Regardless, Washington is the same team that beat the defending champs at home so it goes to show that in the NBA on any given day because of the parity of talent anyone can defeat anyone on any given night. Washington had been playing better prior to the Detroit game with an ATS run of 6-2-1 ATS over their last 9 games. After the Detroit and Orlando road trip, now they come back home and I can see Washington getting revenge here at home. The Pistons prior to that game had fallen short in 9 straight games with an ATS run of 3-7 ATS and look for Washington to have more than enough motivation at home here to do well. As per the Hornets, they lost in overtime to Indiana on the road earlier this year but that was without Anthony Davis. Now, this team has Davis back who just comes off scoring 18 points against the Spurs on the road as the Hornets easily covered the large spread losing by about two possessions. Look for the Hornets to step up with revenge at home as the small underdog as Indiana has won its last several games and is in a good spot for a let down here. I like the Hornets coming off the road trip at home with revenge against a Pacer team that likely is overlooking this game. Finally, Denver comes off a loss to Portland in a game they did not play up to their potential. The Nuggets and Karl have done well on bounce-backs of late and they will be up for this game. Note that the Bobcats offensively struggle and rely heavily on Mullens and his ability to stretch the floor. But, with size that the Nuggets have through their draft picks and the trade with the Wizards over the years, that should give Charlotte a lot of trouble as they struggle against up-tempo teams. Take a look at the contest against the Suns recently or the Warriors at home. I like Denver to get out and run today which they were not able to really do at Portland where its still a very difficult place to play and I like the Nuggets to likely win this game by 20+ points this evening.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob
Ill chi 3

Risland 3

Wake 2

Citadel 3

Wright state 2
Ratings are listed on the right side

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PlayersINsider Cappers Services
Mike Jacobs Saturday, December 22, 2012
5 k dime
Mike Jacobs Saturday, December 22, 2012

5 k dime

washington +5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass Report(Late Plays):
100 Detroit in NFL
200 Florida
200 UNLV
100 Michigan State
100 Boston College
100 Atlanta Hawks
100 Golden State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

Saturday's College Basketball Plays

2-Unit Play. #617 Take Murray State (+3.5) over Dayton (12 p.m., Saturday, December 22)

If the Flyers were fully healthy then I would back off this play. But Dayton's leading scorer Kevin Dillard is doubtful which makes this a worthy pick with the Racers still being an underdog and getting some points. I think Murray State can and will win this one outright with Dayton likely minus its top player. Murray State won on Wednesday as a small road favorite over Arkansas State. This time they win as a small road underdog in Dayton.

4-Unit Play. #623 Take Oakland (-2.5) over Eastern Michigan (2 p.m., Saturday, December 22)

The 4-8 Grizzlies are favored on the road against a 6-4 Eagles team. That tells me everything I need to know even if I didn't already know Oakland was the better team. Oakland is a good scoring team in the 70s per game, but because they have played a tough schedule it's not necessarily represented well that they are as capable as it looks on paper. Well, already playing the likes of Boise State, Pittsburgh, Michigan State, Tennessee Ohio and West Virginia, all of which were on the road, it sort of validates a slower start to the season than say Eastern who didn't step out and challenge itself minus against some ranked teams like Syracuse and Michigan who cleaned their clock. And while this one as well is away from Auburn Hills, Michigan, it's a local, in-state opponent who is quite beatable. EMU ranks 333rd in the country with just 56 points per game. That's horrible. They are 224th in field goal percantage and rank similarly in assists. Grizzlies win going away over the Eagles.

Game of the Week
5-Unit Play. #631 Take Wake Forest (PK) over UNC Greensboro (2:30 p.m., Saturday, December 22)

The Deacons may be a shell of their former progam that competed with Duke and North Carolina four or five years ago, but they are still Wake Forest in the sense that they can handle business against an inferior in-state opponent. UNCG just has some sketchy losses that make me think they can't stay on the court with the Demon Deacons. They lost by 14 to UNC-Wilmington, lost by 12 to James Madison, lost by 11 to North Carolina AT&T and lost to High Point by eight. Those are some bad losses. And while Wake may still be a medicore ACC team, that still adds up to far more than a poor Southern league team in the Spartans. I will take the better team from the better conference and leave it at that.

2-Unit Play. #543 Take Arkansas Little Rock (+6.5) over South Alabama (3:05 p.m., Saturday, December 22)

Here is a Sun Belt match-up of two teams that I really cannot separate much between them. So when I see a spread of almost three buckets, I'll grab the road team with the better record and look for an outright winner. Arkansas Little Rock has eight wins on the season compared to five from USA. Both are 2-0 to begin the conference schedule, and I think we have a close game throughout where the number will hold up with the underdog.

2-Unit Play. #598 Take Indiana State (+10) over Mississippi (4 p.m., Saturday, December 22)

The jury is still out on Ole Miss. Who knows if this Rebels team is as good as their 8-1 record reads on paper. I say not enough to be laying double digits on a neutral court to a respectable Sycamores team. When I say Ole Miss have played absolutely no one, I couldn't be more honest in that statement. The closest match to a legit opponent was a home game against Rutgers. I am willing to grab the points with Indiana State and fade the SEC team until they proove me otherwise.

2-Unit Play. #649 Take South Dakota (+14) over Wisconsin Green Bay (8 p.m., Saturday, December 22)

Simply put, Green Bay haven't played well enough to be laying this many points to anyone. The Phoenix have lost seven of its last nine games coming into this home game here, but South Dakota have more victories on the year, and right now GB isn't scoring enough points to suggest they can run away with this one. The Coyotes have three double digit scorers and enough in the tank to hang here and cover this number.


Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas runner

Wash
Wash/boise under

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Antony Dinero

Lions

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PLATINUM PLAYS.

500K Bowl Parlay
the UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns -6 over
the East Carolina Pirates
the Washington Huskies +5½ over
the Boise St Broncos
Best Bets
the UL-Lafayette/East Carolina UNDER
the Total Of 67 Points
the Ohio St Buckeyes -3 over
the Kansas Jayhawks
the Florida St Seminoles -1 over
the Charlotte 49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

2* geo mason

[DaKid]

any big out out there bud?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns' NCAAB Conference GAME OF THE YEAR! *41-23!*


Weber State at Portland State Dec 22 2012 10:30PM


I'm playing on PORTLAND STATE. I won with the Vikings against Oregon State a little over a week ago. Getting double-digits at the betting window, they lost by only five. I feel that they're offering very fair value once again. Here's an excerpt of that 12/12 writeup on Portland State: "I've successfully played against teams from the Big Sky Conference more than once already this season. However, I believe that this will be a good spot to back a Big Sky team. I expect the Vikings to be the "hungrier" team here. They'll be playing an instate rival, one that hails from a much bigger conference. They'll also be playing in front of a packed house, as tickets for the game are reportedly already sold out. While they tend to play some pretty weak competition, note that the Vikings are 15-5 SU and 10-5 ATS their last 20 games here. NONE of the five losses came by greater than seven points ... " Since their cover vs. Oregon State, the Vikings have proceeded to take care of business with a pair of double-digit wins vs. a pair of lesser teams, most recently earning a 63-49 victory over Idaho State. They enter this evening's game full of confidence and believing that they have a legit shot at an upset. Weber State won by seven here last season and by six in the conference tournament. That was with Big Sky MVP Damian Lillard, an All-American guard, running the show though. Lillard was so good that the Blazers selected him sixth overall in the NBA draft, the first player in Weber State history to be drafted in the first round and only the the third in the history of the conference. Considering that Lillard scored exactly 100 points (38, 40 and 22) against them last season, the Vikings should be happy to see him gone. Both teams played Thursday. The Wildcats are 4-11 ATS in lined games the past couple of seasons when playing with one or less day's rest in between games. During the same stretch, the Vikings were 9-5 ATS when playing with one or less day's rest in between games. While the Vikings have admittedly had trouble with the Wildcats over the years, they very nearly beat them in last year's conference tournament. In fact, they led nearly the entire way before Weber State put together an 11-1 run to win by six. Playing at home and no longer having to contend with Lillard, I expect Portland State to rise to the occasion, earning at least another cover. *10 Big Sky GOY


Prediction: Portland State


Bet Type: SPREAD








Fargo's 10* CBB AFTERNOON DOMINATOR (AWESOME 67%)


Texas at Michigan State Dec 22 2012 2:00PM


Texas is coming off a monster win at home against North Carolina on Wednesday and it was a signature win the Longhorns absolutely had to have. A win here would be even bigger but that is not going to happen as Texas has struggled away from home, going 1-4 overall including 0-1 in its only true road game against Chaminade in the Maui Invitational and even that was far from a daunting road contest so this is the first true road test of the season. After losing its season opener against Connecticut overseas, Michigan St. has won 10 of its last 11 games with the only loss coming on the road at Miami. The schedule has been pretty light along the way but a win over Kansas in Atlanta was a huge victory. The Spartans are coming off a road win at Bowling Green and a return home for their last non-conference game of the season will have them ready to close strong. High school sensation Jabari Parker chose Duke over Michigan St. on Thursday and while that has no impact on this game, you have a feeling that the Spartans are going to be playing with a little added chip on their shoulders here. The Spartans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record while the Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (534) Michigan St. Spartans


Prediction: Michigan State


Bet Type: SPREAD






Fargo's 10* CBB SATURDAY ENFORCER (SWEET 67% CBB)


Missouri at Illinois Dec 22 2012 6:00PM


Illinois has to be one of the early season surprises as it is 12-0 on the season, a record that likely no one predicted. The Illini have wins over Butler and Gonzaga away from home so they have been tested but this seems like the spot that the undefeated record comes to an end. For the third consecutive season Missouri and Illinois enter the Bud Light Braggin' Rights Game nationally ranked as the Tigers will look to spoil the Fighting Illini's unblemished start. Missouri has won the last three meetings in this season so the Tigers have had the upper hand and while Illinois will be seeking some payback, it is not that easy. Missouri has a couple quality wins over Stanford and VCU but a 23-point loss against Louisville certainly does not look very good. However, that did come the day after the win over the Cardinal and the day before the win over VCU so the schedule had a lot to do with it. Defensively, the Tigers are one of the best as they are allowing opponents to shoot just 35.8 percent from the floor which is 13th best in the nation. Even better, the Tigers are ranked first nationally in rebounding at 46.1 rpg and they are fourth with a +13.3 rebounding margin. Illinois has been decent on the boards but no where near where Missouri is. The Illini are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games while Missouri is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 neutral site games. 10* (561) Missouri Tigers


Prediction: Missouri


Bet Type: SPREAD








Ryan’s CBB 25* Top Rated Titan; 15-2 ATS system


South Dakota State at New Mexico Dec 22 2012 2:00PM


25* graded play on South Dakota State as they take on New Mexico set to start at 2:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SDST will lose this game by 13 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-25 mark for 71% winners since 1997. Play on rod dogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are average shooting teams making between 42.5 and 45% and facing a solid defensive team allowing 40 to 42.5% shooting and after a game allowing a shooting percentage of 55% or higher. This system has produced a 15-2 ATS mark for 88% ATS winners. Here is a second system that has gone 64-28 ATS for 70% winners since 2006. Play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points after 8 or more consecutive wins and is undefeated on the season. SDST is coming off a significant loss, but were tied with Belmont with 12 minutes to go before Belmont went on an 18-0 run. SDST show 24% from the field marking the lowest team percentage since they moved to D-1 back in the 2004-05 season. This team will play very well today in the aftermath of this loss and do have experience playing in the pit. Last year they put up a big time fight against third seed Baylor losing 68-60 in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Williams is the team leader for the Lobos, but he rolled his ankle in Wednesday’s road win at New Mexico State, but came back in to finish with a career-tying-best 24 points. Still, rolling an ankle doesn’t heal completely in a few days and he will have lingering effects from that injury in today’s game. The biggest advantage I see for SDST is their team leader Wolters, who is averaging a sound 19.3 PPG and a Summit Conference leading 5.7 assists per game. he has been in a shooting slump over his last five games, but a player of hi talent, who is also been named the preseason Conference Player of the Year, will come out of these with a big performance. Given the inflated line boosted by the public sentiment lusting an undefeated team playing at home, there is big time value in playing SDST. I fully expect this game will be single digits and come down to the wire. Take South Dakota State.


Prediction: South Dakota State


Bet Type: SPREAD