12-28-12

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DCI College Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 18 Predictions

Week
Straight Up: 4-0 (1.000)
ATS: 4-0 (1.000)
ATS Vary Units: 19-0 (1.000)
Over/Under: 0-4 (.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 0-13 (.000)

Season
Straight Up: 1050-346 (.752)
ATS: 421-395 (.516)
ATS Vary Units: 2464-2295 (.518)
Over/Under: 375-365 (.507)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1237-897 (.580)

Friday, December 28, 2012
AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
at Independence Stadium, Shreveport, LA
ULM 33, Ohio 26

Russell Athletic Bowl
at Florida Citrus Bowl Stadium, Orlando, FL
Rutgers 18, Virginia Tech 16

Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas
at Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
Texas Tech 35, Minnesota 24

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/28/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 278-132 (.678)
ATS: 208-208 (.500)
ATS Vary Units: 672-599 (.529)
Over/Under: 214-201 (.516)
Over/Under Vary Units: 377-318 (.542)

Orlando 92, WASHINGTON 91
INDIANA 101, Phoenix 92
BROOKLYN 102, Charlotte 90
Miami 100, DETROIT 91
Atlanta 98, CLEVELAND 92
NEW ORLEANS 95, Toronto 90
Denver 105, DALLAS 104
SAN ANTONIO 111, Houston 101
L.A. Clippers 100, UTAH 97
New York 105, SACRAMENTO 100
L.A. LAKERS 105, Portland 97
GOLDEN STATE 100, Philadelphia 95

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ACE ACE/ Allan Eastman

4* Texas Tech Under 55.5
3* Ohio +7.5

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with San Jose State (-7 1/2) Thursday.

Friday it’s UL-Monroe. The deficit is 1088 sirignanos.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 955 - 711 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner FRI C Fla -16

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Nuggets -1.5

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Baylor at Gonzaga

The Bulldogs look to build on their 11-3 ATS record in their last 14 home games. Gonzaga is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 825-826: Detroit at Temple (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dunkel Line: Vegas Line: Dunkel Pick:

Game 827-828: Providence at Brown (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Providence 58.704; Brown 47.461 Dunkel Line: Providence by 11; 135 Vegas Line: Providence by 13; 130 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Brown (+13); Over

Game 829-830: Baylor at Gonzaga (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 65.330; Gonzaga 75.074 Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 9 1/2; 140 Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 8 1/2; 143 Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-8 1/2); Under

Game 831-832: Yale at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Yale 45.875; Nevada 61.997 Dunkel Line: Nevada by 16 Vegas Line: Nevada by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-12 1/2)

Game 833-834: Missouri at UCLA (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 68.707; UCLA 72.362 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 3 1/2; 148 Vegas Line: UCLA by 2; 150 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-2); Under

Game 835-836: Austin Peay vs. Utah Valley State (4:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 44.439; Utah Valley State 44.189 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Utah Valley State by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+1 1/2)

Game 837-838: High Point at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: High Point 47.520; Chattanooga 45.396 Dunkel Line: High Point by 2 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: High Point

Game 839-840: Howard at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Howard 43.458; Central Florida 62.378 Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 19 Vegas Line: Central Florida by 16 Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-16)

Game 841-842: Belmont vs. Boston U (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 67.702; Boston U 53.343 Dunkel Line: Belmont by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Belmont by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-9 1/2)

Game 843-844: Iona at St. Joseph's (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iona 55.715; St. Joseph's 65.415 Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-7 1/2)

Game 845-846: Rider at Rutgers (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rider 51.320; Rutgers 63.177 Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 12 Vegas Line: Rutgers by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-10 1/2)

Game 847-848: Southern Mississippi at Morehead State (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 56.594; Morehead State 56.343 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+2 1/2)

Game 849-850: Bowling Green at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 51.264; North Dakota 49.826 Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 3 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+3)

Game 851-852: SIU-Edwardsville at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 42.103; St. Louis 68.023 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 26 Vegas Line: St. Louis by 21 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-21 1/2)

Game 853-854: Jacksonville at Indiana (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 43.156; Indiana 83.149 Dunkel Line: Indiana by 40; 149 Vegas Line: Indiana by 37 1/2; 153 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-37 1/2); Under

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won/covered six of last seven games (7-3 as HF).
-- Miami won/covered last six games (4-5 as AF).
-- Hawks won five of last seven road games (3-1 as AF). Cavaliers won last two games, first time this year they won consecutive games (3-6 as a HU).
-- Raptors won five of last six games (6-11 as AU).
-- Nuggets won five of last seven games (4-5 as AF).
-- Clippers won their last 15 games (5-5 as AF, 2-4 if less than 5 pts).
-- Knicks won five of last seven road games, covered one of seven overall (3-4 as AF).
-- Golden State won 14 of last 19 games (5-3 as HF).
-- Portland won six of last seven games (3-7 as AU). Lakers won five of last six games (7-6 as HF).

Cold Teams
-- Suns lost last three games, but covered five of last six (3-6 as AU).
-- Magic lost last three games, all by 4 or less points (5-8 SU on road). Wizards lost last eight games (2-10 SU at home).
-- Pistons lost seven of last nine games (3-4 as HU).
-- Bobcats lost last 16 games (covered one of last seven). Brooklyn lost five of last six games, fired its coach Thursday (3-7-2 as HF).
-- Hornets lost 11 of last 12 games (1-1 as HF).
-- Dallas lost four in row, seven of last eight games (1-2 as HU).
-- Jazz lost five of last seven games (2-0 as HU).
-- Sacramento lost seven of last nine games (3-5 as HU).
-- 76ers lost six of last eight games (5-5 as AU).

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Orlando road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Atlanta road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight San Antonio games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 12 Denver road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six New York games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Golden State games went over the total.
-- Last four Portland road games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Dallas is 3-4 vs spread if it played night before (all on road).
-- Clippers are 2-3 vs spread if they played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Rutgers +2 over VT
(System Record: 42-4, lost last 7 games)
Overall Record: 42-51-4



Basketball Crusher
Missouri +2.5 over UCLA
(System Record: 31-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 31-24-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Houston at San Antonio

The Spurs look to follow up their 100-80 win over Toronto and build on their 20-5-2 ATS record in their last 27 games following a SU victory of more than 10 points. San Antonio is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: Phoenix at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 115.288; Indiana 123.862 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 803-804: Orlando at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.797; Washington 113.571 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 183 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Miami at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.114; Detroit 118.706 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8; 193 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+8); Over

Game 807-808: Atlanta at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.833; Cleveland 109.663 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 177 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 809-810: Charlotte at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 107.090; Brooklyn 120.615 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 13 1/2; 186 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 811-812: Toronto at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.050; New Orleans 119.172 Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4; 188 Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 183 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); Over

Game 813-814: Houston at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 119.701; San Antonio 129.423 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 209 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 214 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8); Under

Game 815-816: Denver at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.390; Dallas 116.137 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 217 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 211 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1 1/2); Over

Game 817-818: LA Clippers at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 129.860; Utah 118.973 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11; 197 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 192 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2); Over

Game 819-820: New York at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 120.030; Sacramento 109.561 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10 1/2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 821-822: Philadelphia at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 116.181; Golden State 123.618 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 7 1/2; 196 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 199 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: Portland at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 114.685; LA Lakers 123.243 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines

Total Line for 12/28/2012
(Won last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Philadelphia 76ers : o198.5
Cost: -110


Run Line for 12/28/2012
(Lost last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Philadelphia 76ers : +5.5
Cost: -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- 5-5 Detroit won four of last five games after 1-4 start (also have two non-D-I wins); Titans are 1-5 on road, with only win at #331 Akron- they're 1-4 vs top 100 teams, beating Akron at home, losing by 3-15-13-4 points. Temple just upset Syracuse after losing to Canisius; six of its nine wins are by 11+ points.
-- Providence won last five games with crosstown rival Brown by 31-27-16-24-19 points; Friars only play seven guys, are 4-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 1-32-10-34 points. Brown lost five of last six tilts, losing by 27 to Notre Dame, 21 to Northwestern in last two; they turn ball over 21.8% of time- this is their second game in last 20 days.
-- Gonzaga beat Baylor 68-64 in Texas two years ago, in last meeting in series; Bears are 4-2 vs top 100 teams, but Kentucky (64-55 Baylor win in inly road game) was only one of six that is ranked above #45. Gonzaga is 6-1 vs top 100 teams, 1-1 vs top 70, losing by 11 to Illinois at home, before beating K-State by 16- they shoot 57.5% inside the arc.

-- 7-4 Nevada won its last three games; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 18-1-13 points; all four Wolf Pack losses are vs teams ranked from 138-165, so they're no superpower- they still haven't been in a top 100 game. 3-7 Yale is playing first D-I game in 20 days; they're turning ball over 23.6% of time, have one loss by more than 13 points.
-- First true road game for 10-1 Missouri's whose only loss was to #2 Louisville on neutral court; they beat rival Illinois in St Louis last game; Tigers' other top 100 win was by 3 over VCU on neutral floor. UCLA won last four games, scoring 91.7 ppg in last three; they're 1-2 against top 100 teams, with only win by a basket over Texas in Houston.
-- Underachieving Iona is 6-5, losing by 14 at LaSalle in only game with A-16 squad; they're 1-2 on road, winning by 3 at Georgia, losing by 2 at St Peter's. Gaels allowed 81+ points in four of five losses. St Joe's has also disappointed at 5-4, losing at home to MAAC's Fairfield last game; Hawks lost 104-99 in double OT at Iona last season.
-- 6-6 Rider scored 52-45 points in losing last two games; they turn ball over 24.9% of time, are 2-3 on road, losing by 12-13-17 points, winning at Drexel/Siena. Rutgers is playing better with Coach Rice suspended- this is last game of his sentence. Knights won four in row, eight of last nine games- they start Big East play with game at Syracuse next week.

-- Morehead State lost five of last six games, is putting opponents on the foul line more than any team in country; their old coach Tyndall comes to town here with new team Southern Miss which is 8-4 but turning ball over 25.9% of time. All four USM losses are against teams ranked in top 110- they're 4-0 vs teams not in top 200, with wins by 12-18-38-2.
-- Bowling Green lost last game in triple OT at South Florida; they're 0-2 on road, also losing by 11 at Robert Morris. North Dakota is 0-8 against D-I teams, losing last three games by 29-12-9 points; they make 28.9% of shots behind arc, lost home games vs D-I teams by 3-9 points. BG allowed average of 50.5 ppg in its four Division I wins.
-- Veteran Saint Louis squad won last five games, allowing 46.7 ppg in its last three; Billikens are 2-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 22-27 points- they've got New Mexico visiting Monday. SI-Edwardsville is 0-4 on road vs D-I teams, losing by 14-11-11-19 points; they're making only 39% of 2-point shots, turning ball over on 22% of possessions.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks

Minnesota vs. Texas Tech

The Red Raiders look to bounce back from their 52-45 loss to Baylor and build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Texas Tech is the pick (-12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Raiders favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-12 1/2). Here are all of this year's bowl games.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28 Time Posted: 9:00 p.m. EST (12/12)

Game 223-224: Ohio vs. UL-Monroe (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 71.274; UL-Monroe 79.423 Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 8; 57 Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 7; 60 Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-7); Under

Game 225-226: Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 83.855; Virginia Tech 88.030 Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 4; 46 Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 2; 41 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-2); Over

Game 227-228: Minnesota vs. Texas Tech (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 80.863; Texas Tech 95.660 Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 15; 54 Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 12 1/2; 57 Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-12 1/2); Under

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Robert Ferringo Football

COLLEGE BOWL SELECTIONS
2-Unit Play. Take #223 Ohio (+7) over Louisiana-Monroe (2 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
2-Unit Play. Take 3226 Virginia Tech (-2) over Rutgers (5:30 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
2-Unit Play. Take #231 Navy (+14.5) over Arizona State (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 29)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 73.0 West Virginia vs. Syracuse (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 29)
2-Unit Play. Take #229 Air Force (-3) over Rice (11:45 a.m., Saturday, Dec. 29)
2-Unit Play. Take #238 Michigan State (+3) over TCU (10 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 29)
2-Unit Play. Take #240 Vanderbilt (-7) over N.C. State (Noon, Monday, Dec. 31)
2-Unit Play. Take #241 Georgia Tech (+10) over USC (2 p.m., Monday, Dec. 31)
1-Unit Play. Take #244 Tulsa (+1) over Iowa State (3:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 31)
7-Unit Play. Take #259 Louisville (+14) over Florida (8:30 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 2)
Note: This is my College Bowl Game of the Year.

NFL SELECTIONS
3-Unit Play. Take #306 Cincinnati (-2) over Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
2-Unit Play. Take #304 New England (-10) over Miami (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
2-Unit Play. Take #309 Houston (-6.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
2-Unit Play. Take #315 Dallas (+3) over Washington (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
2-Unit Play. Take #318 Detroit (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
2-Unit Play. Take #319 Green Bay (-3) over Minnesota (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
2-Unit Play. Take #329 Arizona (+16.5) over San Francisco (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
2-Unit Play. Take #331 St. Louis (+10.5) over Seattle (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #326 Denver (-16) over Kansas City (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

This Week's Totals:
3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 41.0 St. Louis at Seattle (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
Note: This was going to be a 5-Unit NFL Total of the Week, but I backed it down. I just cannot find info on how much Seattle is going to play their starters. There has been no reporting on it that I trust. So I am not going to blindly throw out a play on this one without having all of the fact. Ah, the joy of Week 17.
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 49.0 Dallas at Washington (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 46.5 Green Bay at Minnesota (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EAGLE EYE SPORTS---D-MOOSE
5* Va.Tech-2
-----------------------------
EAGLE EYE SPORTS--ROBERT HENZIE
5* Rutgers+2
---------------------------
EAGLE EYE SPORTS--ALBERT SCHIPANI
5* Rutgers+2