If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
3-Unit Play. Take #827 Providence (-12) over Brown (7 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
This line is bouncing up mainly in reaction to Vincent Council's return. It shouldn't be moving this much though, since I'll be surprised if Council plays more than 10 or 12 awkward minutes. But the fact of the matter is that Brown is still an awful team from the Ivy League. And because they have played a pretty weak schedule they haven't had a chance to prove it. They have only played two teams rated in the Top 200 and they lost by 27 to Notre Dame and 21 to a banged up Northwestern team. I think Providence can do similar things and I definitely think that this is an underrated Friars club. This team has not been whole all season long. But they are so close. And I think that they are looking forward to this game as the first in which they have their entire team healthy and on the court. Finally, this is only Brown's second game since Dec. 9. . That is three weeks and one game. In between they have had finals and a holiday break. So no, I don't expect them to be sharp at all. I think Providence gets the job done here.
2-Unit Play. Take #847 Southern Miss (-2.5) over Morehead State (7:30 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
This is going to be an emotional game for Donnie Tysdall, who returns to Morehead State with his new team. But while that gives the home team a nice motivational edge, I will go with the coach. That is how these things usually shake out when we have a coach going up against his former players. He knows all of his old team's strengths and weaknesses and he will be able to adjust accordingly. He has much more talent now with Southern Miss and this is a team that might be a little better than its record suggests. Morehead, on the other hand, is a team that has been swept by bad teams like North Dakota and struggled with teams like Norfolk State. These two programs are just on different levels and different paths. Take the better team from the better conference with the strategic advantage.
2-Unit Play. Take #840 Central Florida (-15.5) over Howard (7 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
This is a Golden Knights team that I still think is improving. Now that Calvin Newell has been worked into the fold their offense has a chance to be very efficient and explosive. Newell was the best guard on a decent Oklahoma team last year before he transferred and he is capable of playing at a high level. Howard is a hired punching bag. They have lost by 24 to Rutgers, by 16 to Oregon State, by 19 to Wichita State and by 30 to Iowa. Central Florida isn't as good as any of those teams, but they are in the ballpark. And I think there is still some value here on an underrated commodity.
1-Unit Play. Take #836 Utah Valley State (-3) over Austin Peay (4:30 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
1-Unit Play. Take #844 St. Joseph's (-7.5) over Iona (7 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
1-Unit Play. Take #850 North Dakota (+3) over Bowling Green (8 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
1-Unit Play. Take #851 SIU-Edwardsville (+23.5) over St. Louis (8 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
1-Unit Play. Take #833 Missouri (+3.5) over UCLA (10 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
4-Unit Play. Take #836 UCLA (-3) over Missouri (10 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
This UCLA team is getting better and better. They had some players leave the program and I think that is the best thing for this team. Now the players that are still on the roster are committed to the program and they will be better in the long run. This is a chance for the Bruins to knock off a Top 10 team and I think that they will take advantage. This team already beat Texas this year and they have won four straight. Missouri is in a letdown spot here after the big rivalry win over Illinois. I don't think they will have the same intensity. And I think the Bruins will take advantage and get the win.
3-Unit Play. Take #828 Brown (+13) over Providence (7 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)
This is too many points for the Friars to be giving up. This team has not been as good as its record suggests this year. They are still one of the bottom teams in the Big East. And I think that this game means more to Brown. This is a rivalry game between two teams that share the same town. The Bears are really going to be focused and are going to play their best basketball with a chance to knock off the bigger team. Brown has not been able to stay close in the last few meetings. But I think that they will keep this one close. This is too many points.
2 Unit Play. #224 Take UL Monroe -7 over Ohio (2:00p.m., Friday, Dec. 28 ESPN Holiday Bowl)
The Ohio Bobcats started the season a perfect 7-0 but then the injury bug bit them hard and their season spiraled down quickly.The Warhawks come into their first bowl game winning back-to-back games and if the Bobcats were healthy this game would be interesting but I see Monroe coming out on top. Ohio is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games and the Warhawks are 4-0 ATS against non-conference opponents.
4 Unit Play. #225 Take Rutgers +2 over Virginia Tech (2:00p.m., Friday, Dec. 28 ESPN Holiday Bowl)
If you like offense then this game might not be your cup of tea! Rutgers won 9 games this season on their defense and if the Hokies struggle to move the ball this game will be Rutgers to steal. Va Tech posted a 6-6 record which is not like a Hokie team and they needed back-to-back wins just to get a bowl bid so again, if the Hokies struggle on offense a bit in this game Rutgers will win outright and I see the Rutgers Scarlet Knights winning this game by a touchdown.Rutgers is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and Virginia Tech is 3-14 ATS following a SU win.
2 Unit Play. #228 Take Texas Tech -13 over Minnesota (9:00p.m., Friday, Dec. 28 ESPN Meineke Bowl)
(This play is supposed to be Minnesota +13 not Texas Tech as you can see by the write up. Sorry for the confusion!! Again this play is Minnesota +13 over Texas Tech)
Both teams are struggling here and yes I know this game is being played in the state of Texas but 13-points is a big number. Texas Tech struggles on neutral site games going 2-8 ATS and the Red Raiders also struggle covering bowl game numbers. Tech is only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and with Minnesota playing Big 10 defense they should be able to cover this double-digit number.
3 Unit Play. Take #833 Missouri +3.5 over UCLA (10:00 p.m., Friday, December 28 ESPN2)
The Mizzou Tigers are coming off a big win over Illinois and tonight I see the Tigers covering this road game on their bench play. If the UCLA Bruins can't control the boards in this game then again Missouri will have complete tempo control of this game and UCLA will be in a long battle at home. Really like this Mizzou squad as I faded them against Illinois and lost but tonight we look to fade UCLA and again I believe the Tigers are a good road dog tonight. Missouri is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and the UCLA Bruins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against non-conference opponents.
3-Unit Play. #836. Take Utah Valley -3 over Austin Peay State (Friday @ 4:30pm est).
3-Unit Play. #837. Take High Point -2.5 over UT Chattanooga (Friday @ 7pm est).
3-Unit Play. #849. Take Bowling Green State -3 over North Dakota (Friday @ 8pm est).
Dick Hunsaker started coaching this team in 2009 and took them to 17 wins in their firs year. Since then Utah Valley has been a surprise year after year just with their consistency and this team reeled off 20 wins last year and they are led by essentially 7 upperclassman. They face an Austin Peay State team that is ranked around the top 300 this year and come off a difficult 6 point loss to NC-Central at home. This is a team that beat Troy twice, beat a decent top 250 Pepperdine team at home, lost to top 100 Santa Clara by 7 at home and beat Eastern Washington. As a senior laden team they are top 100 in turnover percentage which is key here considering they face Austin Peay who only has two wins against division one schools and ranks outside the top 300 in turnover percentage. Outside of the IUPUI game, Utah Valley has shown they can win close contests against similar ranked teams and given their solid coaching and lack of turnovers, I suspect they will do well once again. Austin Peay is one of those teams that figures out ways to lose games near the end of the game because of their lack of ball security and wouldn't be surprised to see this happen once again here. High Point is top 100 in turnover margin and teams such as that usually gives Chattanooga trouble. Although High Point is not an offensive juggernaut by any means they do the little things well such as take care of the ball, top 40 in the nation in free throw percentage, top 30 in the nation in blocked shots and top 20 in the nation in Steals as well. This team comes off a series of tough losses as they have lost 3 in a row to sound opponents to Wake Forrest by 11 on the road, to top 200 Western Michigan by 6 at home, to Eastern Kentucky by 3 at home who is a top 200 school. If you look at their road schedule they played Indiana State to a 14 point loss and lost to Western Michigan by 1 on the road. They have beaten any and all schools this year outside the top 250 which is where Chattanooga finds itself in the power rankings. Chattanooga is outside the top 300 in turnover margin as well which will play a role here, plus as they come off a big win against Reinhardt who is not a division one school, I can see them having a let down here against a team like High Point who is sound defensively. Chattanooga only managed to score 53 against Mercer a similar defensive team and 61 against Troy and this team has yet to beat any team in the country ranked in the top 300 and this is likely a tough matchup for this team. Finally, Bowling Green State comes off back to back difficult losses including a triple overtime loss to South Florida. It was a heartbreaking loss to a team who is ranked in the top 100 in South Florida and just the game prior had lost to Michigan State at home by 11. This is the same team that held Wright State to 41 points at home who is a top 150 team and also beat Detroit who is a top 100 team. Sure this is a game away from home which is always tough to win but keep in mind that this team has played South Florida and Robert Morris which are tougher places to play frankly and they are top 20 in the nation in turnover margin which is key. North Dakota's two wins this year are against teams that were not division one schools and given that they come off losses to Southern Utah and Northern Colorado two schools that are outside the top 200 essentially you would have to think they struggle here against a top 200 Bowling Green team especially given that North Dakota lost to Missouri Kansas City who is outside the top 300 as well. Bowling Green is a disciplined team overall and I wouldn't be surprised to see them do well here despite being away from home.
7 Unit Play Take #849 Bowling Green -3 over North Dakota (8:00pm est):
Bowling Green lost a major heartbreaker last game as they not only blew a huge lead game late but then couldn't get over the hump in three overtimes either. All told though it was a very strong effort as they went on the road to South Florida and went toe to toe with a team favored by nearly double digits against them. That is now four straight point spread covers for the Falcons including a few impressive wins against Detroit and Wright State also.
We bet against North Dakota their last time out and once again feel the odds makers just doesn't have this team priced correctly. They joined the Big Sky Conference this season and have played two games in it already, dropping both games along the way. North Dakota is very excited to see how things go for them in this conference this season and return back to conference play after this contest here. You have to wonder just how much interest this team has in this game here against a non-conference foe. Plus like I have spoke of in the past with lots of team, the Christmas break is the one time during he CBB season where the home court advantage isn't nearly as strong with students away from schools during this time of the year.
Bowling Green is leaps and bounds better than North Dakota right now and would love nothing more than to get their last game loss out of their mouths. The Falcons have really grown the last few weeks and look like a much better team than they were to start the season. The should no problems here against what is a very weak North Dakota squad. Play Bowling Green here in this game. My NBA Game of the Month goes off today. This six unit monster selection is tied for my highest rated NBA play so far this season currently. I have done very well in bigger plays in all sports including the NBA over the past month, having hit between 60-70% in these top plays during this time. Last week I went 3-0 in my three big plays with wins in my NFL Game of the Year, CBB Game of the Month and CFB Game of the Month. Also don't forget this Monday is my big Bowl Game of the Year in CFB, a top play that I love a lot on the CFB gridiron.
7-Unit Play. Take #225 Rutgers (+2) over Virginia Tech (5:30 p.m., Friday, Dec. 28)-Russell Athletic Bowl
Note: This is our College Bowl Game of the Year.
Virginia Tech was one of the more disappointing teams in all of college football this season. They were overrated from the start of the season and they never lived up to their preseason billing. Everyone will say that Va Tech has too good a coach and too good a program to end the season with a losing record, but this Rutgers team is better, plain and simple. Their defense is one of the best in the country and they will be able to control this game from the defensive side of the ball. Rutgers struggled down the stretch due to running back Jawan Jamison's injured ankle but he is healthy now and they will be able to move the ball more efficiently on the ground which is what hindered the Scarlett Knights versus Louisville at the end of the season. Virginia Tech gave up 157 yards to Pittsburgh's Rushel Shell and 262 yards to North Carolina's Giovani Bernard. Jamison shouold be able to find that same amount of success on Friday. If it wasn't for a ineligible man down field in the Louisville game Rutgers would be playing in a much bigger bowl game, in a game they deserve to play in. The Scarlett Knights are Big Ten bound and they want to end their Big East run on a positive note. Rutgers has won five straight Bowl Games and on Friday night they will be celebrating their sixth straight. Virginia Tech gave up 157 yards to Pittsburgh's Rushel Shell and 262 yards to North Carolina's Giovani Bernard.
Rutgers is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six Bowl Games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Virginia Tech is 3-17 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. win, 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games, and 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
4-Unit Play. #849 Take Bowling Green (-2.5) over North Dakota (8 p.m., Friday, December 28)
The Falcons are the better team from the better conference. I think they handle business here minus the small number. North Dakota is 2-8 and its lone two victories were against non-Division I schools. Bowling Green may be only 5-6, but they had a loss against ranked Michigan State, a 3-OT loss at South Florida as well as two early November losses on consecutive days. This is a good road spot for them to score a win prior to MAC play next week.
3-Unit Play. #833 Take Missouri (+3.5) over UCLA (10 p.m., Friday, December 28)
UCLA is a team that had more hype than substance. And there is stil a lot of talent with this Bruins team, but they do not match-up well against an athletic Mizzou squad. This Tigers team leads the nation in rebounding, and I think they should do well to dominate the boards against a perimeter, finesse Ben Howland team. Seven Tigers average over 20 minutes per game, so the depth certainly is a plus for Missouri here on the road. Off since their neutral court win over Illinois last Saturday, give me Missouri to score another non-conference win in Westwood.
The Ohio Bobcats and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks meet in the AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl from Shreveport, LA Friday afternoon. Ohio is 8-4 on the year after a decent showing in the tough MAC conference. Louisiana-Monroe also sits at 8-4 on the year and had some very large wins this season that got them national attention. Louisiana-Monroe likes to air it out and the man under center is Kolton Browning. Browning is Mr. do it all for the Warhawks as he led the team in passing and rushing this season. Ohio relies heavily on their tailbacks and most importantly Beau Blankenship who turned in a 1500 yard, 11 TD junior campaign that helped the Bobcats rank 29th in the nation at just over 200 yards rushing per game. The Bobcats feature a solid defense that has was strong early in the year against some solid QB's. I like Ohio to have prepped well for Browning and expect them to ride Blankenship to a cover.
The Bowl season continues Friday night on ESPN with the Minnesota Golden Gophers taking on the Texas Tech Red Raiders at the Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas. TT didn’t end the regular season very well suffering four losses during their last five games. The Red Raiders were even pushed in Lubbock by 1-11 KU pulling out a 41-34 OT victory. TT then was obliterated at Oklahoma State 59-21. While Minnesota is certainly a bad team, taking the double digits is the way to go especially since Texas Tech comes into this game losig four of their last five games. One additional note is that this is more of a nuisance Bowl game to the Red Raiders as it is their 10th time they've played in the Lone Star State this season.
The Virginia Tech Hokies and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights meet in the Russell Athletic Bowl Friday evening.
The Scarlet Knights are 9-3 on the year and won a share of the Big East title but just missed out on a BCS berth because of tie-break scenarios and a late season slip up versus Louisville at home. The Scarlet Knights have won 7 bowl games in a row – good for the longest streak in college football. Rutgers features a very stout defense that made things difficult for most all opponents this season. The defense is allowing 14 points per game – good for 5th nationally. Keep an eye on safety Khaseem Greene. Greene is a true ball hawk and will be prowling and dishing out big hits and likely a takeaway or two throughout the game. Virginia Tech enters the Russell Athletic Bowl sitting at 6-6 and coming off one of the more disappointing seasons in recent memory for their program. Rutgers is 5-0-1 against the spread in their last 6 bowl games and VT is
7-19-1 against the spread in their last 27 games overall. Rutgers wants to keep their bowl streak alive so an all out effort will be their for the Scarlet Knights.
Comment