12-29-12

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Bankroll sports 2-3 yesterday 10* Rutger +2 (L)

10* Michigan State Spartans +2 (CFB)
5* Syracuse Orangemen +3½ (CFB)
5* Oregon St. @ Texas Over 57½ (CFB)
4* Rice Owls +2 (CFB)
2* Memphis Grizzlies -7½ (NBA)
3* Arizona St. Sun Devils -14 (CFB)
3* Orlando Magic -3½ (NBA)
1* Purdue Boilermakers -12 (CBB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence
bowl goy navy 10*

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CFB

Armed Forces Bowl (Fort Worth)
Have to wonder if a bowl is lame when it starts at 10:45am local time; any oddity like that favors an academy team, since they’re trained not to let distractions bother them. Rice had to win last four games just to get to 6-6 and be eligible for this; not only didn’t Owls have any solid wins, they beat Kansas 25-24, Tulane 49-47, two awful teams. Rice is 5-2-1 vs spread as an underdog. Fourth time in six years in this bowl for Flyboys, who lost two of prior three visits; they’re 2-3 in bowls under Calhoun, with losses by combined total of nine points. Falcons are 1-6 vs spread as a favorite this year. Never liked one-dimensional teams in bowls; other side has too much time to prepare for it. Rice is in a bowl for first time in four years (beat Western Michigan 38-14 in ’08 Texas Bowl), so both sides figure to be enthused, but Owls allowed 5.1 yards/rush, could have trouble stopping the option, even with the extra prep time. Air Force lost to UNLV/Army, so they’re not very good, though they also lost 31-25 at Michigan. Rice scored 33+ points in five of its six wins. Air Force is 1-5 away from home, with only win 28-27 (-3) at Wyoming. Dogs won this bowl SU last three years, with four of last five decided by six or less points.

Fight Hunger Bowl (San Francisco)
Arizona State started season 5-1, then lost next four games, allowing 40.5 ppg, before winning last two games 46-7/41-34; they’re 5-1 vs spread as favorites under first-year Coach Graham (favorites are 9-2 vs spread in ASU games this year). Again, do not like one-dimensional offenses in bowls- too much time to prepare to stop/contain them, but Middies have covered 13 of last 17 when getting points. Navy coach Niumatalolo is 1-3 in bowls (2-2 vs spread). Well-traveled Graham won three of four bowls for three different schools. Navy’s big games are Army/Air Force plus they played Notre Dame in Ireland, so this might not be as big a deal to them as it is to Sun Devils. Middies were 3-3 as dogs this year, covering last three tries. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in this bowl last eight years; losing side scored 13 or 14 points four of last five Hunger Bowls; damp Bay Area weather and odd configuration of field in a baseball stadium doesn’t lend itself to high scoring action. ASU lost last three bowls, allowing 41-52-56 points. Navy lost four of last five bowls (3-2 vs spread). Pac-12 teams are 2-3 in this bowl.

Pinstripe Bowl (Bronx)
Holgorson hung 70 on Clemson in first bowl as HC (won 70-33); West Virginia’s offense is so potent, they won games this year while allowing 63-45-34 points; they also lost games scoring 38-34-49 points (all in consecutive weeks), so potential winter weather doesn’t figure to help them. Syracuse lost 42-29 to USC in Swamp Stadium across river back in September; you’d think they’d have a home crowd edge here, but Syracuse alums back basketball team more than football, especially for an outdoor game (Orangemen play in a dome). Syracuse beat K-State in this bowl two years ago, its only bowl game since 2004; they won last three games to get here, scoring 45-31-38 points. Bowl game in Bronx on December 29 figures to be cold/wintry. Big East teams are 6-0 in this bowl (four of six wins vs lowly MAC), but West Virginia was a Big East team until this year, and Syracuse won’t be one after this year. Favorites are 3-1 here (game was pick ‘em last two years), with surprisingly high average total of 55.2 in bowl history.

Alamo Bowl (San Antonio)
Texas is an underdog in the Alamo? Underachieving Longhorns are 4-4 in last eight games, losing last two to TCU/K-State; three of their eight wins were by six or less points, as jackals circle over Mack Brown, whose OC is new HC at Arkansas State. Texas is 1-2 as an underdog this year. Oregon State historically starts slow, but this year they were 3-0 in September, upsetting Wisconsin/UCLA/Arizona, so 9-3 finish was little disappointing, especially 20-17 loss at Washington; Beavers will start Vas at QB, as neither signal caller distinguished himself during 3-3 end to regular season. Beavers are 3-2 as a favorite this year. Big X teams won six of last seven Alamo Bowls; favorites covered four of last five, with only two of last nine Alamo Bowls decided by less than seven points. Both sides won four of last five bowls; Texas beat Iowa 26-24 in this game back in '06. Domed stadium takes elements out of play, encourages high scoring tilt; totals last seven years: 60-50-41-53-70-46-113 (average of 76.3 last three years). From everything I read, Mack Brown is not highly thought of as a tactician (recruited RGIII to play DB) while Riley has been HC in CFL/NFL. Coaching edge has to go to Oregon State.

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl (Tempe)
Michigan State limps in with 6-6 record, despite being favored in nine of 12 games; seven of their last eight games were decided by 4 or less points, with underdogs covering six of last seven. A 20-3 loss to Notre Dame is Spartans’ only loss by more than four points (2-0 as underdog). This is old Insight Bowl, where Big X team beat Big Dozen team five of last six years, but TCU is in first year in Big X; underdogs are 5-4 vs spread in this game the last nine years. TCU lost its QB early on in its first year in new, tougher league; they started out 4-0, then losing five of last eight games, scoring 10-20-17 points in last three. Horned Frogs are 1-3 as a favorite in ’12; this is first time they’re favored in game since October 6 vs Iowa State, game they lost 37-23 at home (-7)- they're 4-1 in last five bowls, but were favored in all five (1-4 vs spread). Spartans lost four of last five bowls, allowing 39.7 ppg in last three.

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Mark Mayerr @ Gaming Today

Air Force PK vs. Rice: All the incentive is with Rice, especially with the game in Fort Worth. Plus the Falcons lost to Army. As the great Verne Lundquist would say, “my goodness!” RICE.

West Virginia -4 at Syracuse: The highlight is always the site, Yankee Stadium. Syracuse comes in playing the better ball and no school thrived more from the old Yankee Stadium games. SYRACUSE.

TCU -3 vs. Michigan St.: The game opened 1 and climbed two points. We’re following the money. The Horned Frogs under stud HC Gary Patterson just don’t receive the respect they deserve. TCU.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Richard Saber @ Gaming Today

Armed Forces at Ft. Worth, Texas

Air Force -1 vs. Rice (61): A game I really like. The Fly Boys lost all their weapons with the military budget cuts so no way they will be armed and dangerous. The Owls won their last four to get here and their last bowl was a win in 2008. RICE.

Fight Hunger at San Francisco

Navy +4½ vs. Ariz St. (58): The Midshipmen also were part of the cuts and I doubt they can sink anything but a row boat. The Sun Devils have way too much offense for the Navy to handle and finished the season with two big wins. ARIZ ST.

Pinstripe at Yankee Stadium

W. Virginia -4 vs. Syracuse (74): This game will be like the Babe taking batting practice just pounding the ball over the fence. The scoreboard may not be able to keep up with these two teams. WVU looked to be a power in the making but I think a hole in the wall defense caught up with them. The Orange had an outstanding season and finished it off going 3-0 both ATS and SU. Playing the game in the The Bronx is also a big plus. SYRACUSE/OVER.

Alamo at San Antonio

Oregon St. -2 vs. Texas (56½): I love San Antonio as I took my basic training there back in 1966 when going into the Air Force. I think I had a good time but can’t remember. Anyhow just can’t find the side to like so will go total. OVER.

Buffalo Wild Wings at Tempe, Ariz.

TCU -2½ vs. Mich St.: The Horned Frogs can come up with some big efforts as they beat Baylor, Texas Tech, West Virginia and Texas, and played Kansas State tough, losing 23-10. TCU.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/29/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1402-408 (.775)
ATS: 556-574 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 2006-2178 (.479)
Over/Under: 160-152 (.513)
Over/Under Vary Units: 206-229 (.474)

Dr. Pepper Classic
at Chattanooga, TN
High Point 74, Austin Peay 73

Championship
CHATTANOOGA 72, Utah Valley 71

Gotham Classic
Round Robin at campus sites
DETROIT 81, Canisius 72
SYRACUSE 86, Alcorn State 49

UCF Holiday Classic
at Orlando, FL
Boston U. 63, Howard 51

Championship
Belmont 71, UCF 65

Big Sky Conference
SOUTHERN UTAH 74, Northern Colorado 72

Big West Conference
Cal Poly 62, UC RIVERSIDE 56
CAL STATE FULLERTON 78, UC Santa Barbara 74
HAWAI'I 83, Cal State Northridge 79
LONG BEACH STATE 73, Pacific 63
UC IRVINE 76, UC Davis 66

Missouri Valley Conference
BRADLEY 68, Drake 67
CREIGHTON 83, Evansville 65

Ohio Valley Conference
JACKSONVILLE STATE 65, Tennessee Tech 59
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI 83, UT Martin 63
TENNESSEE STATE 69, Eastern Illinois 52

Southland Conference
Stephen F. Austin 62, TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI 49

Summit League
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 70, South Dakota State 67
Oakland 81, Iupui 77
South Dakota 80, OMAHA 74
WESTERN ILLINOIS 66, Fort Wayne 51

Sun Belt Conference
Florida Atlantic 66, ULM 64
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 77, Fairleigh Dickinson 56
SOUTH ALABAMA 72, Arkansas State 69
UL LAFAYETTE 70, Ualr 68
WESTERN KENTUCKY 73, North Texas 62

Western Athletic Conference
LOUISIANA TECH 67, Denver 63
New Mexico State 68, UT ARLINGTON 67
SEATTLE 75, Idaho 74
TEXAS STATE 77, San Jose State 74
Utah State 70, UT SAN ANTONIO 69

Non-Conference
ARIZONA STATE 79, Coppin State 64
ARKANSAS 87, Northwestern State 77
BOSTON COLLEGE 62, Holy Cross 60
Byu 77, Virginia Tech 72
CALIFORNIA 68, Harvard 61
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 72, Saint Peter's 65
COLORADO 71, Hartford 51
COLUMBIA 64, Manhattan 60
CONNECTICUT 74, Washington 67
Davidson vs. RICHMOND: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DePAUL 70, Loyola (Chicago) 62
DUKE 88, Santa Clara 61
EAST CAROLINA 77, Norfolk State 67
Fairfield 64, OLD DOMINION 60
Florida 73, Air Force 54
Florida State 71, Tulsa 63
GEORGIA 76, Florida A&M 54
Georgia State 61, GEORGIA SOUTHERN 60
GEORGIA TECH 69, Fordham 54
HOUSTON 79, Prairie View A&M 62
Illinois 72, Auburn 58
KANSAS 81, American 42
KANSAS STATE 80, Kansas City 54
La Salle 76, SIENA 60
LEHIGH 86, Bryant 60
Long Island 80, LAMAR 78
LOUISVILLE 70, Kentucky 65
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 77, CSU Bakersfield 65
MARQUETTE 75, North Carolina Central 54
MARYLAND 80, Delaware State 55
Massachusetts 77, NORTHERN ILLINOIS 62
MICHIGAN 79, Central Michigan 52
MOUNT ST. MARY'S 75, Umbc 63
MURRAY STATE 70, Valparaiso 60
NC STATE 83, Western Michigan 61
NEBRASKA 74, Nicholls State 56
NORTH CAROLINA 82, Unlv 75
OHIO STATE 90, Chicago State 48
OKLAHOMA 67, Ohio 65
OREGON STATE 81, Towson 56
PENN STATE 73, Duquesne 65
PORTLAND 75, Texas-Pan American 60
PURDUE 72, William & Mary 57
Quinnipiac 73, MAINE 67
SAN DIEGO 73, Morgan State 65
SOUTH CAROLINA 76, Presbyterian 58
SOUTH FLORIDA 62, George Mason 55
STANFORD 83, Lafayette 60
TENNESSEE 65, Xavier 57
TEXAS 73, Rice 53
TEXAS A&M 73, Army 58
TOLEDO 64, Uic 63
UAB 73, Northeastern 66
UNC Wilmington 70, CAMPBELL 67
VANDERBILT 64, Butler 62
VCU 86, Fairleigh Dickinson 52
VERMONT 63, College of Charleston 57
WAGNER 66, Penn 54
Washington State 68, Idaho State 47
WISCONSIN 75, Samford 46

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 18 Predictions

Week
Straight Up: 5-2 (.714)
ATS: 5-2 (.714)
ATS Vary Units: 22-1 (.957)
Over/Under: 2-4 (.333)
Over/Under Vary Units: 4-13 (.235)

Season
Straight Up: 1051-348 (.751)
ATS: 422-397 (.515)
ATS Vary Units: 2467-2296 (.518)
Over/Under: 377-365 (.508)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1241-897 (.580)

Saturday, December 29, 2012
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
at Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Rice 36, Air Force 27

New Era Pinstripe Bowl
at Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
West Virginia 42, Syracuse 39

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
at AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA
Arizona State 37, Navy 19

Valero Alamo Bowl
at Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Texas 35, Oregon State 31

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
at Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ
TCU 23, Michigan State 16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/29/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 286-136 (.678)
ATS: 211-217 (.493)
ATS Vary Units: 676-612 (.525)
Over/Under: 224-203 (.525)
Over/Under Vary Units: 387-321 (.547)

New Orleans 96, CHARLOTTE 92
ATLANTA 94, Indiana 90
ORLANDO 95, Toronto 91
BROOKLYN 99, Cleveland 91
CHICAGO 97, Washington 83
MEMPHIS 101, Denver 97
Oklahoma City 107, HOUSTON 105
MINNESOTA 103, Phoenix 99
Miami 99, MILWAUKEE 95
PORTLAND 95, Philadelphia 93
GOLDEN STATE 99, Boston 96

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with UL-Monroe (-7) Friday.

Saturday it’s Rice. The deficit is 1143 sirignanos.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 956 - 711 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner Sat: ORG ST - 2 Bowl

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday - Daily Double

Nuggets +7.5
UC Irvine -6.5

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won seven of last eight games (3-8 as AU). Atlanta won its last three games (2-9-1 as HF).
-- Raptors won six of last seven games (7-11 as AU).
-- Nuggets won six of last eight games (5-5-1 as AU).
-- Thunder won 13 of last 15 games, lost last two on road (6-3 as AF). Houston won five of last six games (2-1 as HU).
-- Miami won/covered six of last seven games (4-6 as AF). Bucks won five of last seven at home (0-4 as HU).
-- Portland won six of last eight games (3-5-1 as HF).
-- Golden State won 15 of last 20 games (6-3 as HF).

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost last three games, three by 4 or less points (2-4 as HF).
-- Bobcats lost last 17 games (covered one of last eight). Hornets lost 12 of last 13 games (1-2 as HF).
-- Cavaliers lost seven of last nine games (10-8 as AU). Brooklyn lost five of last seven games (4-7-2 as HF).
-- Wizards lost eight of last nine games (6-4-1 as AU). Bulls lost last two games by 17-23 points (2-10 as HF).
-- Memphis lost last two games, by 10-25 points (8-5-1 as HF).
-- Suns lost last four games, but covered six of last seven (4-6 as AU). Minnesota lost four of last five games (6-2-1 as HF).
-- 76ers lost seven of last nine games (5-6 as AU).
-- Celtics lost five of last seven games (2-5-2 as AU).

Totals
-- Six of last eight Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Charlotte's last ten home games.
-- Six of last seven Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Washington road games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 13 Denver road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-4 in Houston's last thirteen home games.
-- Seven of last nine Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Portland home games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Golden State games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Hawks are 5-1 vs spread if they played nite before. Indiana is 5-3.
-- Toronto is 6-2 vs spread if they played nite before. Orlando is 3-1.
-- Hornets are 3-5 vs spread if they played nite before. Charlotte is 3-5.
-- Nets are 4-3 if they played nite before. Cleveland is 4-3 vs spread on road if they played nite before.
-- Washington is 4-1 vs spread on road if they played nite before.
-- Nuggets are 5-1-1 vs spread if they played nite before.
-- Phoenix is 0-6 vs spread if they played nite before.
-- Rockets are 3-4 vs spread if they played nite before.
-- Miami is 2-2 vs spread if they played nite before.
-- 76ers are 2-5 vs spread if they played nite before. Blazers are 2-3.
-- Golden State is 4-3-1 vs spread if they played nite before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- First game in nine days for Duke team that doesn't start ACC play for another week; they won last four games, by 38-23-41-22 points, are 6-0 vs top 100 teams, winning by 7-18-9-5-5-23 points. Santa Clara is 11-2 with 12-point win at Saint Louis in only game vs top 100 team; they've lost twice at home in OT, by 3 to Utah State, 2 to UCSB.
-- 11-1 UNLV upset North Carolina 90-80 in Orleans Arena in Vegas LY; star F Moser has resumed practicing, but isn't expected to play in this game. Rebels are 3-0 on road this year, winning by 8-1-2 points at Portland/Cal/UTEP. Tar Heels are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11-24-18 points; best team they beat was #130 East Carolina, 93-87.
-- Kentucky beat Louisville twice LY, 69-62 at Rupp, 69-61 at Final 4; Wildcats have won last four series meetings, are 3-1 in last four visits to Freedom Hall, with only loss 74-71 in '08. Cardinals force turnovers on 30.8% of possessions; they're 4-1 vs top 100 teams, losing to Duke by 3 on neutral floor, winning by 9-3-5-28 points.
-- Tennessee is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, scoring 45-36-38 points in losses by 17-1-8 points; Vols are shooting just 29.6% from arc, but are 5-0 at home, including 69-60 won over #25 Wichita State. Xavier lost three of last four games, losing pair of home games by total of 3 points- they won by 6 at Purdue, in only true road game this season.

-- George Mason won five of last seven games; they've split two away games, winning by 3 at URI, losing by 5 at Bucknell. Patriots are #267 in experience, but have played #45 schedule. South Florida won five of last six games, but best team they've beaten is #117 Georgia- they lost by 12 at Oklahoma State, in its only game against a top 100 team.
-- Washington beat Seton Hall in OT, lost to Ohio State by 11 in only games outside home state; they won at Seattle in its only true road game. 9-2 UConn is 6-0 vs teams not in top 100; they were held to 60-65 in only two losses, New Mexico/NCState, pair of top 40 teams. UConn is not great rebounding team but they force turnovers 23.7% of time.
-- Four of Oklahoma's last five games were decided by 4 or less points; Sooners are 1-2 vs top 100 teams, beating West Virginia by 7, losing by 3 to Arkansas, 25 to Gonzaga. Ohio U forces turnovers on 29% of foes' possessions (#3 in country); they've lost four of last six games, giving up 84+ points in three of four losses. Bobcats are 2-1 vs top 100 teams.
-- Evansville lost eight of last nine games vs Creighton, losing last four in Omaha by 1-6-13-5 points; Purple Aces are 0-3 on road, losing by 9 at Notre Dame, 7 at Colorado St,. 8 at Butler- they're 0-4 vs top 100 clubs, losing by 12 to Murray St. Bluejays' eFG% is 59%, #1 in country; they won last five games, are 7-0 vs teams not in top 100, with 14 points the closest of the seven wins (Arizona State).
-- 9-2 Butler split its two road games, losing by 15 at Xavier, winning by 9 at Northwestern; Bulldogs have played #21 schedule to this point, are 4-0 vs teams not in top 100, winning by 15-14-32-8 points. Vanderbilt is 5-5 and rebuilding; they're 1-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 26-13-10-4 points. Vandy is 3-1 at home, with only loss to Villanova by 10.

-- New Mexico State is 1-4 on road, with only win at South Alabama by 6; Aggies turn ball over 24.6% of time. This is first-ever WAC game for Arlington squad that turns ball over 29.6% of time, 2nd-worst in nation, playing #35 pace; Mavericks are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 4-16-25 points. This is UTA's first game in 10 days (69-44 loss at Okla St).
-- 9-2 Murray State is #50 team in experience playing #61 schedule; they are 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Colorado by 7, at Dayton by 9, with 72-67 win over #98 St John's. Valparaiso is 2-4 on road, 0-2 vs teams in top 100, losing by 13 at Saint Louis, 13 at New Mexico. Valpo is #1 in country in experience, but they still turn ball over 24.1% of time.
-- Richmond lost 74-61 at Davidson LY; 9-4 Spiders lost last two games after George Mason beat them at buzzer last game- they're 0-4 vs teams in top 100, with best win over #120 Wofford by 6, team Davidson beat by 7. Wildcats are 1-3 on road, losing by 5-5-11 points, with only win at #293 Chattanooga; they've lost two of three games vs top 100 teams.
-- South Dakota State swept North Dakota State LY by 3-23 points, as they snapped 10-game skid vs Bison; they've lost five of last six visits here, losing by 23-12-22-27-17 points. Jackrabbits won at New Mexico last week, their first win in four top 100 games (lost by 3-24-27 points). Bison are 1-3 vs teams in top 100; best win was over #183 JMU by 22.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NCAA BOWLS - Saturday, December 29th - Free Member Play

TOP (3 UNITS)
NAVY +14 vs arizona state

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB VIRGINIA TECH at BYU

Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA TECH) playing with 5 or 6 days rest, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record.
121-66 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.7% 48.4 units )
10-4 this year. ( 71.4% 5.6 units )

CBB FAIRFIELD at OLD DOMINION

Play Against - Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (OLD DOMINION) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 60 points or less.
105-25 since 1997. ( 80.8% 51.7 units )

CBB AUBURN at ILLINOIS

Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 off a home loss, with a losing record.
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )