Allen Eastman Ace-Ace
3-Unit Play. Take #316 Washington (-3) over Dallas (8 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
The Redskins are going to get the job done here today. They have won seven straight games and they have covered every one of them. The Redskins are one of the hottest teams in the NFL and I had this line closer to 4.5 so there is nice value. I have seen Dallas choke in these situations time and time again. They will choke again here and will probably be blown out of this game. The Redskins dominated the first meeting and they were up 28-3 at halftime down in Dallas on Thanksgiving. Tony Romo will turn the ball over and the Dallas defense will give up big plays and the Cowboys will have their season end with an ugly loss once again. Go with the hot team.
5-Unit Play. Take #309 Houston (-6.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This is my Game of the Week and is from the NFL 411 System.
I really like Houston here. The Texans were embarrassed last week by Minnesota. Now the Texans have to win. They need to win this game to guarantee home field advantage in the AFC. They don't want to have to go to Denver in the AFC Title Game. Indianapolis is locked into the No. 5 seed. They will go on the road to face Baltimore next week. Coach Chuck Pagano has said that he isn't going to rest his starters this week. But I think the Colts have less motivation in this game. And I would be surprised if Andrew Luck is still in the game in the second half. Houston beat the Colts handily at home two weeks ago. I think they will win this one by double-digits on the road and get the No. 1 seed overall. Take Houston.
4-Unit Play. Take #328 San Diego (-7) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This is Norv Turner's last game as head coach. I think he'll pull out all the stops. This Chargers defense dominated the Jets last week with 11 sacks and I think they will be able to do the same thing this week against the Raiders. Oakland will be without starting quarterback Carson Palmer. They will go with either Matt Leinart or Terrelle Pryor. The Raiders are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 17. The Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games in Week 17 and they are 17-8 ATS in December. The Raiders are ready to quit on the season and I think the Chargers will win this one in a blowout.
3-Unit Play. Take First Half #322 Atlanta (-2.5) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This play is on the Falcons in the first half only. There are some books that do not have a line out on this game. But when it comes out will be at this number or even better in my favor.
I think that the Falcons are going to rest their starters. But I think that they will play their starters in the first half. This team won't play again for two weeks and they don't want their best players to be out for that long. I think the Falcons will come out and play great in the first half against a Bucs team that isn't very focused right now. But then Atlanta is going to pull its starters and I think the Bucs could come back and win in the second half if they still care to play.
2-Unit Play. Take #324 New Orleans (-5) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
The Saints seem like they are motivated to finish 8-8. It has been a long year for New Orleans. But they are playing their best football late in the year. They had a big win in Dallas last week and that made it back-to-back wins both SU and ATS. The Saints have revenge for a loss at Carolina in Week 2 and they will be motivated to beat Cam Newton and the Panthers. They will want to send a message to the young Panthers. These two teams met last year in Week 17 and New Orleans won 45-17 and the Saints didn't have anything to play for then. I think it will be a similar beating. The Saints are 7-2 ATS in divisional games and they are 16-5 ATS when they play at home. Lay the points.
2-Unit Play. Take #318 Detroit (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
I think that this one could be an upset. Detroit has had a disappointing season. But they could still have something to play for here. The Lions have a chance to knock Chicago out of the playoff hunt and I think that will matter to the home team. The Lions beat the Bears at home last year and Detroit has revenge for a close loss at Chicago earlier this season. The Bears are just 2-5 in their last seven games and they have faded down the stretch. Detroit has lost seven straight and they don't want to end the season on a losing streak. Detroit has outgained three straight opponents and lost all three. But I think they will outgain the Bears and pull the outright upset. Take the points in case it is close, but I think this underdog will bite.
3-Unit Play. Take #316 Washington (-3) over Dallas (8 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
The Redskins are going to get the job done here today. They have won seven straight games and they have covered every one of them. The Redskins are one of the hottest teams in the NFL and I had this line closer to 4.5 so there is nice value. I have seen Dallas choke in these situations time and time again. They will choke again here and will probably be blown out of this game. The Redskins dominated the first meeting and they were up 28-3 at halftime down in Dallas on Thanksgiving. Tony Romo will turn the ball over and the Dallas defense will give up big plays and the Cowboys will have their season end with an ugly loss once again. Go with the hot team.
5-Unit Play. Take #309 Houston (-6.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This is my Game of the Week and is from the NFL 411 System.
I really like Houston here. The Texans were embarrassed last week by Minnesota. Now the Texans have to win. They need to win this game to guarantee home field advantage in the AFC. They don't want to have to go to Denver in the AFC Title Game. Indianapolis is locked into the No. 5 seed. They will go on the road to face Baltimore next week. Coach Chuck Pagano has said that he isn't going to rest his starters this week. But I think the Colts have less motivation in this game. And I would be surprised if Andrew Luck is still in the game in the second half. Houston beat the Colts handily at home two weeks ago. I think they will win this one by double-digits on the road and get the No. 1 seed overall. Take Houston.
4-Unit Play. Take #328 San Diego (-7) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This is Norv Turner's last game as head coach. I think he'll pull out all the stops. This Chargers defense dominated the Jets last week with 11 sacks and I think they will be able to do the same thing this week against the Raiders. Oakland will be without starting quarterback Carson Palmer. They will go with either Matt Leinart or Terrelle Pryor. The Raiders are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 17. The Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games in Week 17 and they are 17-8 ATS in December. The Raiders are ready to quit on the season and I think the Chargers will win this one in a blowout.
3-Unit Play. Take First Half #322 Atlanta (-2.5) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This play is on the Falcons in the first half only. There are some books that do not have a line out on this game. But when it comes out will be at this number or even better in my favor.
I think that the Falcons are going to rest their starters. But I think that they will play their starters in the first half. This team won't play again for two weeks and they don't want their best players to be out for that long. I think the Falcons will come out and play great in the first half against a Bucs team that isn't very focused right now. But then Atlanta is going to pull its starters and I think the Bucs could come back and win in the second half if they still care to play.
2-Unit Play. Take #324 New Orleans (-5) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
The Saints seem like they are motivated to finish 8-8. It has been a long year for New Orleans. But they are playing their best football late in the year. They had a big win in Dallas last week and that made it back-to-back wins both SU and ATS. The Saints have revenge for a loss at Carolina in Week 2 and they will be motivated to beat Cam Newton and the Panthers. They will want to send a message to the young Panthers. These two teams met last year in Week 17 and New Orleans won 45-17 and the Saints didn't have anything to play for then. I think it will be a similar beating. The Saints are 7-2 ATS in divisional games and they are 16-5 ATS when they play at home. Lay the points.
2-Unit Play. Take #318 Detroit (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
I think that this one could be an upset. Detroit has had a disappointing season. But they could still have something to play for here. The Lions have a chance to knock Chicago out of the playoff hunt and I think that will matter to the home team. The Lions beat the Bears at home last year and Detroit has revenge for a close loss at Chicago earlier this season. The Bears are just 2-5 in their last seven games and they have faded down the stretch. Detroit has lost seven straight and they don't want to end the season on a losing streak. Detroit has outgained three straight opponents and lost all three. But I think they will outgain the Bears and pull the outright upset. Take the points in case it is close, but I think this underdog will bite.
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