1-7-13

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Teddy covers

10* cfb* bcs title game: Notre dame fighting irish +10 -110

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colin cowherd ( the herd/espn )

notre dame +

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Seahawks (-3) Sunday.

Monday it’s Alabama. The surplus is 90 sirignanos.

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Cappers Access

Notre Dame +9.5

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Bank Shots: NBA Betting News and Notes

Each week, we look back on the NBA betting scene and give you the best –and worst – basketball bets, as well as some spots to keep an eye on with the upcoming schedule.

Hottest ATS TEAM

Houston Rockets (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)

The Rockets are absolutely on fire ATS, covering in 10 of their last 11 games. Houston swept the board this past week, covering the number against Atlanta, New Orleans, Milwaukee and Cleveland. Houston welcomes the Lakers on Tuesday before heading out on a three-game road trip that includes stops in New Orleans, Boston and Philadelphia.

Coldest ATS TEAM

Miami Heat (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS)

The Heat have failed to cover in five straight contests, including three last week as favorites against the Magic, Mavericks and Bulls. Miami always has high expectations placed on it by oddsmakers and continues to be one of the more mediocre bets in the Association (15-16 ATS). The Heat host the Wizards Sunday before heading out on a six-game road trip.

Best OVER TEAM

Orlando Magic (0-3 SU, 3-0 over/under)

The Magic have played over the total in seven consecutive games and are losers of eight straight heading into action Monday at Portland. The Magic haven't dropped that many games in a row since Feb. 6-22, 2006, under coach Brian Hill. Orlando is still dealing with injuries to key cogs E’Twaun Moore (elbow) and Glen Davis (shoulder) and now embarks on a four-game west coast road trip.

Best UNDER TEAM

Indiana Pacers (3-1 SU, 0-4 over/under)

The Pacers have been one of the best under plays (13-20 O/U) all season long and this week was no different. Indiana has played under the number in four consecutive games, thanks to its tenacious defense. The Pacers allow 89.8 points per game – the second-best mark in the league – and are holding opponents to an NBA-best 41.4 percent shooting from the floor. Indiana continues its five-game homestand with games against Miami, New York and Charlotte this week.

Scouting the schedule:

-The Philadelphia 76ers wrapped up a daunting eight-game road trip (3-5 ATS) in San Antonio on Saturday. The Sixers now play 13 of their next 15 contests at the friendly confines of the Wells Fargo Center beginning with a visit from the Nets on Tuesday.

-The Timberwolves have lost star forward Kevin Love (hand) indefinitely and are also dealing with an injury to guard Ricky Rubio (back). Minnesota hosts Atlanta on Tuesday and then heads out on a four-game road trip with stops in Oklahoma City, New Orleans, San Antonio and Dallas.

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Steve Budin

PHILADELPHIA CREW

One-and-Only
100 DIME
Bowl Game of the Year

Notre Dame +9.5 . Suggests buying the half point up.

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Wayne Root
Mill- Alabama

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Thunder won five of their last six games (8-3 AF).
-- Celtics won last two games, allowing 75-81 points (3-6-2 AU). New York won its last two, scoring 114-100 (1-5 last six HF).
-- Spurs won eight of last nine games (11-6 AF).
-- Bulls won three of last four games (2-12 HF).
-- Sacramento won its last four home games (5-5 HU).
-- Trailblazers won four of last five games (4-5-1 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost its last five games (5-2-2 last nine HU).
-- Hornets lost their last seven home games (3-9-1 HU).
-- Cavaliers lost four of last five games (13-8 AU).
-- Utah lost three of last four home games (2-5 last seven HF). Mavs lost 11 of last 13 games (6-3 last nine AU).
-- Grizzlies are 3-4 in their last seven games (5-2-1 AF).
-- Orlando lost its last eight games (9-3-1 AU).

Totals
-- Four of last five Thunder road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five San Antonio games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Chicago home games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Dallas games went over the total.
-- Last five Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Orlando games went over total. Six of last eight Portland home games stayed under.

Back-to-backs
-- Wizards are 5-3 vs spread if they played night before, 0-2 at home. Oklahoma City is 3-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Memphis is 3-2 vs spread if it played night before, 3-1 on road.

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CBB

-- Cleveland State lost last five games vs D-I teams, all by 17+ points, but they're 3-1 at home- their last D-I win was Dec 1 (Toledo). Vikings turn ball over 21.6% of time, but they've won last 10 games over UIC. Flames lost last four visits here by 17-24-7-10 points. UIC lost three of last four after 9-1 start; they lost three in row on road, by 16-12-19.
-- Georgia State beat Hofstra twice LY, by 16-35 points, crushing Pride 85-50 in CAA tourney; Panthers snapped 5-game skid Saturday with a win over James Madison- they're 1-5 on road, with win at #308 Liberty. Hofstra lost last eight games, scoring 58.7 ppg in last three; they're #329 in 2-point FG%, and turn ball over 22% of time. Not a good combo. .
-- Home side won last six Notre Dame-Cincinnati games; Irish lost last three visits to 5/3 Arena by 16-2-10 points. This is first true road game for ND squad that is 4-1 vs top 100 teams, 2-1 on neutral courts, with best win over #8 Kentucky. Bearcats got upset as 13-point favorites by St John's Saturday, their second loss in three games after 12-0 start.
-- 13-1 Indiana hasn't played in week since 69-65 win at Iowa in its first road game of season; they're 3-1 away from home, with three of the four games decided by 4 points or OT. Hoosiers beat Penn State three times LY, by 19-6-17 points, winning 88-82 here. All five of 8-5 PSU's losses are by 9+ points; they're 2-4 vs top 100 teams, are missing PG Frazier.
-- Southern Utah won its first two Big Sky games by 1-13 points; they are 3-1 vs teams outside top 200, with only loss by 9 at TCU. T-birds turn ball over 27.8% of time (5th-worst in country). Sacramento State lost four of its last five games, with only win by 5 over #282 Montana State; Hornets make only 41.8% of their shots inside the arc.

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CFB

BCS National Championship Game (Miami)
SEC teams won last six BCS championship games, covering last five as a favorite; only one of six games was decided by less than 10 points, with an average total of 45.8. Brian Kelly won two national titles at D-II level at Grand Valley State, so he's won games like this. Notre Dame is 2-3 in last five bowls, 1-1 under Kelly- they're 6-3 vs spread as underdogs in Kelly era, 2-0 this year. Alabama crushed its first eight opponents, but in last five, they had pair of 4-point wins with loss to Texas A&M, and its mobile QB. Crimson Tide is 6-6 when favored this year, 0-2 if laying single digits; they're 2-6 vs spread last eight times they laid single digits, but also won last three bowls, last two by combined score of 70-7. Irish won five games by 7 or less points, beating Purdue/Pitt by 3 points each; Pitt is only team all year that scored more than 17 points against Notre Dame. Alabama has experience edge at QB, Favorites are 17-16 against spread overall in bowls this season, covering last four; under is 20-14. SEC teams are 5-3 in bowls, 4-3-1 vs spread this season.

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Notre Dame at Cincinnati

The Irish are coming off a 93-74 win over Seton Hall and look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Notre Dame is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+4). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, JANUARY 7 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 715-716: Illinois-Chicago at Cleveland State (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 55.355; Cleveland State 50.652 Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-2 1/2)

Game 717-718: Georgia State at Hofstra (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 49.804; Hofstra 49.946 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Georgia State by 5 Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+5)

Game 719-720: Notre Dame at Cincinnati (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 69.344; Cincinnati 69.280 Dunkel Line: Even; 138 Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4; 134 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+4); Over

Game 721-722: Indiana at Penn State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 77.404; Penn State 58.433 Dunkel Line: Indiana by 19; 133 Vegas Line: Indiana by 16 1/2; 138 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-16 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Southern Utah at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 46.059; Sacramento State 48.217 Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 2 Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+8 1/2)

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/07/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1721-507 (.772)
ATS: 693-716 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 2399-2558 (.484)
Over/Under: 188-186 (.503)
Over/Under Vary Units: 237-263 (.474)

America East Conference
Albany 68, BINGHAMTON 56

Atlantic Sun Conference
FLORIDA GULF COAST 75, North Florida 70
NORTHERN KENTUCKY 62, East Tennessee State 59
STETSON 77, Jacksonville 75
USC Upstate 74, LIPSCOMB 69

Big East Conference
CINCINNATI 68, Notre Dame 62

Big Sky Conference
SACRAMENTO STATE 69, Southern Utah 68

Big Ten Conference
Indiana 77, PENN STATE 64

Colonial Athletic Association
Georgia State 65, HOFSTRA 63

Horizon League
CLEVELAND STATE 63, Uic 61

Southland Conference
LAMAR 69, Southeastern Louisiana 61
McNEESE STATE 78, Nicholls State 66
Northwestern State 70, SAM HOUSTON STATE 67

Non-Conference
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 75, Bethune-Cookman 66
James Madison 65, HAMPTON 59

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/07/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 328-158 (.675)
ATS: 245-249 (.496)
ATS Vary Units: 752-689 (.522)
Over/Under: 256-238 (.518)
Over/Under Vary Units: 422-370 (.533)

Oklahoma City 105, WASHINGTON 92
NEW YORK 98, Boston 92
CHICAGO 99, Cleveland 85
San Antonio 103, NEW ORLEANS 93
UTAH 106, Dallas 97
Memphis 99, SACRAMENTO 95
PORTLAND 99, Orlando 92

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Today's NBA Picks

Cleveland at Chicago

The Cavaliers look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 home games. Cleveland is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+9). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JANUARY 7 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Oklahoma City at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.172; Washington 111.218 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 15; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Boston at New York (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 116.554; New York 123.834 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: San Antonio at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.445; New Orleans 116.658 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 191 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 194 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Cleveland at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 112.534; Chicago 119.053 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 186 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+9); Over

Game 709-710: Dallas at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 110.768; Utah 122.365 Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 11 1/2; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 198 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (-4 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Memphis at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.534; Sacramento 119.157 Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 1; 196 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 713-714: Orlando at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 111.429; Portland 120.953 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 9 1/2; 187 Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 6 1/2; 191 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Portland (-6 1/2); Under

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NCAA Football Game Picks

Alabama vs. Notre Dame

The Irish look to take advantage of an Alabama team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Notre Dame is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Tide favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+10). Here are all of this year's bowl games.

MONDAY, JANUARY 7 Time Posted: 9:00 p.m. EST (12/12)

Game 269-270: Alabama vs. Notre Dame (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 113.759; Notre Dame 107.478 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 6 1/2; 44 Vegas Line: Alabama by 10; 41 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+10); Over