1-12-13

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RAS
MOST RECENT RELEASE
Rotation 677 San Diego (+1.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/12/13 07:00pm PST Released at: 01/12 8:12am PST


PREVIOUS RELEASES
Rotation 671 Portland (+7.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/12/13 07:00pm PST Released at: 01/12 8:09am PST
Rotation 690 North Dakota (-3) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/12/13 12:00pm PST Released at: 01/12 8:06am PST
Rotation 682 UC Davis (-3.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/12/13 07:00pm PST Released at: 01/12 8:03am PST
Rotation 556 La Salle (-8) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/12/13 11:00am PST Released at: 01/12 8:00am PST

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Early Sebastian Report for Saturday:
100 NC State

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ATS Lock CBB
12 Akron
7 Florida St
6 NC State
6 Notre Dame

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Trace Adams


1500♦
Raise the Bar
NFC Living Lock


San Francisco 49ers



Adams Note: As I release this selection, the 49ers are -2 1/2 to -3 points. If your line is -3 or if it happens to go to -3 1/2 points, I want you to buy the half point down on San Francisco.

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Bankroll sports

todays card

10* packers/niners under 45.5 nfl
5* baltimore +9.5 nfl
5* niners -2.5 nfl
4* villanova +15.5 cbb
4* butler pk cbb
2* s fla bulls +19 cbb
1* dartmouth +12 cbb

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The Prez

Packers / 49ers Over

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Kelso


50 Units

Packers (+3) over 49ers
8:00 PM -- NFC Divisional Playoffs - Candlestick Park
National Football Conference
Green Bay Packers (12-5) +3 over SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (11-4-1)
Prediction: Packers by 6-7
Starting Time: 8:05
TV: FOX
Comments: These teams met in the first game of the season and San Francisco upset the Packers, 30-12, in Green Bay when Alex Smith was the 49ers quarterback—a job now held by second-year player Colin Kaepernick who will be making his first playoff start. I could write a book about why I like Green Bay to win this one but shall pass on that and share the three things I think will get it done for the Packers. 1. Green Bay has a better and more experienced quarterback in Aaron Rodgers who is at his best right now and who has not thrown an interception in the past five games. 2. Rodgers has excelled in the post-season and in four of his playoff games has a passing efficiency rating of at least 110.0, a record exceeded only by Joe Montana and Tom Brady. 3. The 49ers are compromised in their field goal game and added newcomer Billy Cundiff to the roster to bolster a very inconsistent David Akers. It’s the little things that count in the playoffs and the kicking situation is a big negative. I do expect these teams to slug it out and for the Packers to win it straight up.
Sunny. Winds blowing from the North at 1-5 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.

Saturday, January 12, 2013

American Football Conference

10 Units

Ravens (+9½) over Broncos
4:30 PM -- AFC Divisional Playoffs - Sports Authority Field a
American Football Conference
Baltimore Ravens (11-6) +9 ½ over DENVER BRONCOS (13-3)
Prediction: Broncos by 3-4
Starting Time: 4:35
TV: CBS
Comments: When these teams met a month ago in Baltimore, Denver was a 3-point favorite and crushed the Ravens, 34-17, in a game that was never as close as the final score. On the surface the rematch looks like more of the same but nothing comes easy in the NFL at playoff time and my gut feeling is that the Ravens to be in this one for the entire 60 minutes. Denver has won 13 straight and quarterback Peyton Manning is playing MVP football and that should be enough for the Broncos to get the win, but the cover is another matter. It is of note Manning has beaten the Ravens nine straight times and that the Broncos are 9-3 at home in playoff games. However it must also be noted Baltimore is 7-5 on the road in the post season and four of those wins have come since 2008 under coach John Harbaugh. Denver definitely is the best team but Baltimore won’t lay down and be an easy out today.
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 15.

National Football Conference
AFC

5 Units
Ravens/Broncos UNDER 46 Points
4:30 PM -- AFC Divisional Playoffs - Sports Authority Field a
Ravens-Broncos Under 46 Points
Prediction: 42 or less points will be scored
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 15.

NFC
5 Units
Packers/49ers UNDER 45 Points
8:00 PM -- NFC Divisional Playoffs - Candlestick Park
Packers-49ers Under 45 Points
Prediction: 42 or less points will be scored
Sunny. Winds blowing from the North at 1-5 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.

5 Units
2-Team NFL Parlay
Ravens (+9½) over Broncos
Packers (+3) over 49ers

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Dr Bob

3* Charlotte
3* Tex Arlington
2* St Johns
2* Ball St
2* N Iowa
2* Valpariso
2* SMU
2* Cal
2* S Florida
2* TCU

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total pleasure
under alabama

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Docs CBB

4 Unit Play. #564 Take Milwaukee +12 over Valparaiso (2 pm HLN) The Panthers are having a terrible year but they still have talent and getting around double digits with them at home is just too good to pass up. Valpo was predicted to be among the best teams in the Horizon League but they have not played that well recently losing to Loyola at home and struggling to put away a bad UIC team on Wednesday. Look for the Panthers to keep this game in the sixties giving them a good chance to cover this high number. Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

4 Unit Play. #569 Take Houston +12.5 over Southern Miss (3 pm) This line is way too high considering that they are two equal teams and the Eagles have a new coach this season. The Cougars can score points averaging close to 80 per game and if they get down early, they will still keep shooting and may even backdoor this number. Southern Miss has played 4 straight games against terrible teams including two that are not even in Division 1 and thus they will not be fully prepared for this battle. Houston is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Southern Miss is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.

4 Unit Play. #575 Take UT-Arlington -4 over Texas State (3 pm) It is safe to assume that these new members of the WAC were not given access because of their dominating basketball teams. I have been a little late to the part on just how bad Texas State and UTSA are. UT-Arlington is a notch about both of those teams and thus expect them to complete sweep of them this Saturday. The Bobcats have won just one game since 11/25/12 and that came against Pan America. They have really not been competitive during this during this 8 game losing streak with their closest loss being 6 points to Northwestern. The remaining 7 losses during this losing streak have all come by double digits. Arlington is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against WAC teams.

4 Unit Play. #592 Take James Madison -3 over Drexel (4 pm NBC Sports Network) This line is low based on the history of these past teams, but when you analyze the 2013 versions of each team you will realize Drexel is just a shadow of what they have been. They are really banged up and leading scorer Damion Lee is questionable for this game. The Dragons are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Dukes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. This game will get ugly early.

4 Unit Play. #673 Take Air Force +15 over UNLV (10 pm TWCSN) The Rebels went ice cold down the stretch in their last game against New Mexico and now they must take on the Force tonight at the Thomas & Mack Center. Air Force is underrated yet again this season as they are 9-4 on the season. But this play is more about going against UNLV, as in recent years they have never blown out the Falcons. Plus they are coming off an emotional loss to New Mexico on Wednesday and thus they will likely just go through the motions since they feel that is all it will take to beat Air Force. Thus the scoring will be lower and we will collect with this hefty underdog. UNLV is just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a winning record. Air Force has covered 5 of their last 6 games played on Saturday.

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Robert Ferringo CBB

NOTE: THE REST OF MY PLAYS WILL BE POSTED AT NOON, EST.


3-Unit Play. Take #532 N.C. State (+3) over Duke (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 11)

It is nearly impossible to bet against the Blue Devils. However, this is a massive statement game for N.C. State. Even at 100 percent I think that the Wolfpack would be able to knock off Duke. N.C. State is extremely talented, they execute well, and they are very motivated to prove their stature in the ACC. And without Ryan Kelly, Duke is definitely vulnerable. The Blue Devils lost two of their last three games to close last season after Kelly injured his foot, including that humiliating first round loss to Lehigh in the NCAA Tournament. I think that N.C. State smells blood - and I think they find a way to get this winner. Take the points and hope that the ACC officials don't hand this game to the Blue Devils, as they are want to do.

1-Unit Play. Take #523 Delaware (-2) over Georgia State (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #525 Marquette (+10) over Pittsburgh (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #528 Towson (Pk) over Northeastern (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 11)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #532 N.C. State (+8) over Duke (Noon) AND Take #561 Ohio (-2) over Western Michigan (2 p.m.)

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball

4-0 in all sports the last 2 days, including 3-0 in College Ball on Thursday, 4 of 5 winning days in college ball, 7 of 10 winning days and on a 22-14 (61%) Run and 18-11 (62%) Run overall and a +$1990 Rise of late. This is nice run, but we have more work to do.

3-Unit Play. #569 Take Houston +12.5 over Southern Miss (Saturday @ 3pm est)

3-Unit Play. #574 Take SMU PK over Tulane (Saturday @ 3pm est)

6-Unit Play. #592 James Madison -2.5 over Drexel (Saturday @ 4pm est)

3-Unit Play. #635 Take Central Michigan +7.5 over Toledo (Saturday @ 7pm est)

3-Unit Play. #683 Take Washington +7 over Stanford (Saturday @ 11pm est)

Houston has covered this series the last 3 times they have played including beating Southern Miss last year by a score of 73-71. Although this is a revenge game for Southern Miss, this is a lot of points for a Houston team that had 15 wins last year and James Dickey's team has already started the year at 12-2 overall. This team is still young but is led by sophomore TaShawn Thomas and Danuel House but do have more leadership in Joseph Young and Leon Gibson. This is the toughest team that Houston has faced all year and its a top 100 team to boot but I suspect they will rise to the challenge here and can lose by single-digits just by their offensive scheme which they are accustomed to. This is a top 75 offense and its relatively free flowing and they are top 50 in turnover percentage which is one my most favorite stats as well as top 20 as it relates to the 3 point field goal percentage. Southern Miss comes off a big win against Rice and as good as this team has been this year one of the most glaring stats is that they are outside the top 300 in turnover percentage. And honestly the only teams this team has faced in the top 175 this year have been wins by just a few points such as UC Irvine or Georgia and their biggest such win was against Denver by 11 but that was early in the year. I think Turnover percentage is key here and I'll take Houston and their offense and taking care of the ball here with the points. Larry Brown's Southern Methodist team is 10-7 to start the year and considering this team had won 13 games all last year its a drastic improvement already. The last time they hooked up SMU beat this team by 14 and that was last year. This year as they come off a tough stretch losing 3 straight to Wyoming at home who is a top 50 team, Tulsa by 1 point at home as Danny Manning faced his former mentor in Brown and Houston by 11 on the road, this is a team that needs a big win at home and are still seeking their first conference win. I think SMU steps up with a big win at home as if they can nearly beat Wyoming at home who is a top 50 team, they can have success against Tulane who is outside the top 100 in most power rankings. James Madison and Drexel hook up in what should be a good game. Drexel swept this team last year winning by 7 on the road and an even better 17 at home despite James Madison with revenge. This year's JMU team is a bit better and more experienced. James Madison is 2-1 in conference play having defeated Old Dominion by 3 on the road and NC Wilmington by 28. This team has taken care of the ball well as they are top 100 in turnover percentage and have 4 seniors leading the way who are likely to remember getting swept by this team last year. James Madison has really shown some bite at home nearly beating Richmond who is a top 100 team and losing to them in overtime. Bruiser Flint's Drexel team won 29 games last year in total but has lost a lot of talent from that team and is currently 5-10 including losing their last 2 games to two teams between the 150-200 range. A great benchmark for this game is the East Tennessee State game when this team lost by 10 points on the road to them as East Tennessee State and James Madison are equivalent in many ways from power rankings to offensive efficiency. I think James Madison remembers the ugly losses the last 2 years and their seniors step up here for a big win. Central Michigan is grabbing points here and its worth it to take them for multiple reasons. For starters, this team has a great deal of revenge from last year's two tough close losses and lost to Toledo by 3 and 5 points. In fact, they have covered this series the last 6 of 8 times they have hooked up with Toledo not winning back to back covers since 2008/2009. This is a rivalry and it can be argued that Keno Davis's team is better this year than last year's squad with 11 wins as they have already produced 8 wins this year. Central Michigan has shown some real bite on the beating Pepperdine and losing to Iowa by just 12. Toledo has had its moments of let down such as beating Illinois Chicago at home by 19 who is a top 200 team only to Chicago State who is ranked outside the top 300 at home. Now as they come off their big win against Kent State on the road I suspect they might have a let down here and in what could be a low scoring game, the 7.5 points is worth it for us here. Finally, Washington is an underdog at Stanford and its an opportunity for us to take them here. For some reason Washington always seems to have Stanford's number including sweeping last year's team and beating them straight up 8 out of the last 9 times. That itself alone is a reason to take a closer look at the Huskies. Lorenzo Romar's team is 2-0 in conference play and 10-5 overall already defeating California and Washington State as they head into Stanford. This team is just outside the top 25 in offensive rebounding, top 25 in blocked shots, top 50 in offensive efficiency and are led by 3 upperclassman that have a nice flow to their game and a sense of confidence which really showed in their conference road wins this year. With Stanford coming off a nice win against Washington State but more than likely having a let down here but more importantly, I just think the flow of Washington is solid right now with their experience and they will play the dog tag well on the road on one of the last games on the board on Saturday night. Its a good opportunity for us to take a team with the points that could win this game Outright.

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Sean Michaels
100 DIME
NFL WINNER #29 of 40

DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR
Denver

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SB Professor Early Original NBA Picks 1/12
3:30 PM501. Orlando Magic +13 (service play)

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POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play Of The Day

NFL: San Francisco 49ers -3