1-13-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Sheet

SEATTLE (12-5) at ATLANTA (13-3)

Seattle 27– ATLANTA 23—Falcons boast their impressive home record,
now 35-5 SU with Matt Ryan at the controls (including their 22-17 semi-effort
defeat in their finale this season vs. going-nowhere Tampa Ba)y. However, still
prefer to side with red-hot Seattle, which continues to ascend.
Yes, the Seahawks go a big break last week when Washington QB Robert
Griffin III re-injured his sprained knee after lifting the fired-up Redskins to an
early 14-0 lead at FedEx field. Still, despite that early adversity, Seattle fought
its way back steadily by impressively doing what the Seahawks have been
doing for all of the six games in their current winning streak. They ran effectively
with the inspiring thrusts of Marshawn Lynch (1590 YR this season, behind only
Adrian Peterson and Alfred Morris). They converted on key third downs with
elusive QB Russell Wilson (17 TDs, only 2 ints. the last nine games) showing
decision-making ability beyond his years. And they defended like the top
scoring defense in the NFL (15.3 ppg), which they are.
Moreover, this does not appear to be a bad matchup for Seattle, which has
both the quick pass rush and the secondary talent & depth to disrupt the
Falcons’ strength, whish is its Matt Ryan-Roddy White-Julio Jones-Tony
Gonzalez quadruplets, who are arguably as good as any QB/WR/TE group in
the NFL. That being said, it must be noted that Ryan suffered 14 ints. this
season (Wilson had only 10). NFL insiders are lauding the overall combined
speed and physicality of the Richard Sherman-Kam Chancellor-Earl
ThomasBrandon Browner secondary, who figure to make things difficult all day for
White & Jones. And the improved speed in this year’s Seahawk LBing corp will
help keep TE Tony Gonzalez in check.
We have commented several times on these pages this season that Atlanta’s
low-ranking rush offense (29th in the NFL; only 3.7 ypc) might eventually hurt it
in the postseason. That might be this week if the Falcons’ OL can’t get the big
and deep Seattle DLmen moved around for powerful Michael Turner (800 YR,
but 3.6 ypc) and quicker but smaller Quizz Rodgers (362 YR, 3.9 ypc).
Meanwhile, the quickness and elusiveness of Russell Wilson (489 YR in the
regular season; a valuable 67 more YR last week in Washington) figures to be
a problem for the Falcon defense. Although that unit is more varied and
stubborn TY under new defensive coordinator Mike Nolan, it collected only 29
sacks, ranking way down the NFL list at 29th.
The Falcs have had a marvelous 13-3 season to capture the No. 1 seed in the
NFC. But recent history has shown that it is the hot team down the stretch that
is more likely to move on (note the Packers of 2010 and Giants of 2011). And
that’s the Seahawks, now 6-0 SU (5-1 vs. the spread) in December and
January, outscoring their foes 217-74.

HOUSTON (13-4) at NEW ENGLAND (12-4)

NEW ENGLAND 33 - Houston 19—Like Saturday’s Baltimore-Denver
matchup, Houston-New England is also a rematch of a December regularseason clash.
And as the case in Ravens-Broncos, the question is if dynamics
are different enough in the second meeting to change the outcome of a recent
one-sided result.
While we’re not expecting New England to dominate in the same manner as
it did in that 42-14 romp on Dec. 10, some of the specifics of the first meeting
remain troubling for Houston backers. Especially if forced to play from behind;
recent form does not suggest that struggling QB Matt Schaub (whose two TD
passes in the last five weeks have been split equally among his receivers and
opposing defenders) is up to a shootout against an in-form Tom Brady, who
even by his lofty standards has enjoyed a rich vein of form (24 TD P and
only five picks last 10) since midseason. The Texans seem to have peaked in
late September; as the season progressed, Schaub’s numbers decreased as
reliable targets aside from WR Andre Johnson failed to materialize. Only in
Saturday’s wildcard win over the Bengals, when Schaub re-established a
connection with TE Owen Daniels (10 catches), has a receiver other than
Johnson led the Texans in catches for a game since Week Ten.

The current Bill Belichick edition also has a slightly different look and feel
than some of the Patriot teams that have slipped lately in the playoffs (indeed,
Belichick is only 1-4 vs. the line his last five postseason games at Gillette
Stadium and 1-6 vs. the spread overall his last seven playoff games, the lone
cover vs. Denver and Tim Tebow). But the “new” New England can run better
with Stevan Ridley (1253 YR), while multi-threat TE Rob Gronkowski has
returned to active duty and adds a special dimension. Moreover, this looks to
be Belichick’s best “D” since the Super Bowl teams early in the last decade,.
refortified with recent first and second-round picks and upgraded further with the
midseason addition of CB Aqib Talib, whose presence allows Devin McCourty
to move to a safety spot, where his ball-hawking tendencies can wreak more
havoc. Brady was also hardly touched (sacked only once) by the Texan pass
rush on Dec. 10, and if J.J. Watt & friends are effectively neutralized again, it’s
hard to see Houston keeping pace. And if we’re gauging the AFC correctly, get
ready for another Brady-Peyton Manning showdown next week

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS REPORTER

SEATTLE over *ATLANTA by 3
The Falcons are the designated “sucker team” of the current NFL playoff era, a decent enough squad that is nevertheless destined to play a freaky, streaking opponent
with a potentially game-changing defense and other good features that send Atlanta
home earlier than expected, unless, of course, you were expecting it. The streaking Seahawks have won five straight games, seven of their last eight, and have
beaten three division-winning opponents this season. We’re deeper in the playoffs
now, so no fair saying that “Seattle can’t play on the road.” How much do you think
we’ll downgrade the Seahawks for beating a Redskins team whose #1 quarterback,
Robert Griffin III, was clearly hobbled and unable to perform at 100% efficiency? Not
at all! The score was 0-14 against the Seahawks right away, before Griffin’s knee
strength began to unravel. An NFL playoff team like Washington is supposed to be
able to hand off for the rest of the game and hang on to its lead, perhaps have its
defense pick a pass or two and get some cheap scores, when the other team is down
0-14 and using a rookie quarterback. But that didn’t happen, because the Seahawks
can play. They have a legitimate, tackle-breaking, clock-controlling running back
(also good for beating crowd noise in noisy domes), and large receivers who can go
up in the air and get the ball. Wilson is an extra running back, and a guy who can get
the defensive linemen tired from chasing him. Neither of the Falcons’ first-season
coordinators – OC Dirk Koetter or DC Mike Nolan – has game-planned against the
Seahawks in recent seasons while employed with AFC teams. Now that the dust has
settled on the regular season, you see that the Falcons gained only 4 yards per game
more than they allowed. Seattle finished the regular season with a +45 net yardage
edge per game. The Seahawks’ worst Turnover Margin of the season was a solitary
-2 at St. Louis back in Week 4.
SEATTLE, 23-20.

*NEW ENGLAND over HOUSTON by 3
‘Oh, Bill Belichick with Two Weeks to Prepare! That’s an incredible, money-making
angle! I read it everywhere! It’s historical and everything! Nobody has ever lost any
money betting on Bill Belichick with Two Weeks to Prepare! And New England has already blown out Houston! How can the Texans go back to New England and possibly
compete after that humiliating defeat, when they are playing Bill Belichick with Two
Weeks to Prepare!?’ From Sports Reporter’s Super Bowl issue last year:
“The Patriots had two weeks to prepare for Pittsburgh this season and lost.
They had two weeks to prepare for Baltimore last season and were tied at
the end of regulation. They had two weeks to prepare for the Jets in the
divisional playoff round last season and lost. They had two weeks to prepare for Super Bowl XLVII against the Giants and lost. They had two weeks to prepare for the Eagles and Panthers in previous Super Bowls and didn’t cover the spread in victory.”
Guess what Bill Belichick with Two Weeks to Prepare did this season? Layed -13,
failed to cover in a 37-31 win vs. the lousy Buffalo Bills. Maybe we’ll look silly for
mocking this so-called “angle,” but this match-up, and the line, seem very similar
to when the Patriots were favored against the Jets in this playoff round, on this field,
on January 16, 2011, and lost 28-21. Just as New England waxed Houston (42-14)
in Foxboro on Monday Night in December this season, New England had waxed New
York 45-3 in Foxboro on a Monday Night in December during that regular season.
We remember writing that New England’s ridiculously over-the-top turnover ratio
heading into that Jets game had them overvalued by 6 points if the game ended with
an “even” Turnover Ratio. For this game, New England’s +25 Turnover Ratio for the
regular season is more than twice as large as the AFC’s second-best, Houston (+12).
At 4 points per turnover difference of 13, 52/16 games = 3.25 points of Patriots
over-valuation. We’ll take Houston’s NFL-leading Time of Possession – highlighted
in last week’s Best Bet win on Houston over Cincinnati – and shave more points off
New England’s forecasted margin. Tom Brady can’t lead the Patriots’ offense to a
touchdown when he is standing on the sidelines. Texans’ QB Matt Schaub, for all the
knocks, isn’t Mark (Ugh!) Sanchez, Ryan (Ugh!) Fitzpatrick, or Ryan (Ugh!) Tannehill,
who the Patriots were happy to face a total of six times this season on the way to
racking up all the defensive turnovers that helps to inflate their power rating. When
the Texans were blown away at New England, it was a third straight road game. Who
wins those, when they are off two wins, in a division sandwich, and playing a very
good home team? Nobody, right? So, Houston had every right to be blown out of that
game. They came, they saw, they tanked, they took note, they come back… and
they’ll get screwed somehow in the end.
NEW ENGLAND, 27-24.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Points

*Atlanta over Seattle by 7
Yes, Atlanta’s NFC-best 13-3 record isn’t as fancy as it looks, having been built on
playing the league’s easiest schedule. But this line is short. The Falcons did go 6-0
versus non-division NFC foes and beat the Broncos and Redskins, the two playoff
teams on their schedule. They are a fantastic home team, having lost only seven
times in Georgia Dome during the five-year Mike Smith era. Atlanta’s only home
loss this season came during Week 17 to Tampa Bay when the Falcons already had
clinched home-field. Until that meaningless loss, Atlanta had won 11 straight
home contests. Matt Ryan is 33-5 in regular-season home games. Ryan is riding a
hot hand, too, with an 11-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in his last five
games. Ryan only has been sacked seven times during this span. The Seahawk may
be without their top pass rusher, Chris Clemons, who injured his knee in the win
against Washington. The Falcons are rested and healthy as the bye week allowed
defensive end John Abraham (ankle) and cornerback Dunta Robinson (concussion) time to get over their injuries. The Falcons also are expected to have strong
safety William Moore available. Moore had missed the last four games with a hamstring injury. The Seahawk lost five of their eight regular-season road games with
one of their victories occurring at neutral site Toronto versus Buffalo. Now the
Seahawks are a long way from home for the second consecutive week and playing
inside a dome on an off-surface. The Falcons’ quick-strike passing attack is perfectly suited for their indoor stadium. The Seahawks have covered 14 of their last
17 as a ‘dog under Pete Carroll. Most of those came as a home ‘dog, though, where
they are 10-1 ATS in that role. Seattle allowed a league-low 15.3 points per game.
The Seahawks haven’t surrendered more than 17 points in a game since Week 12.
However, the only really good offense they faced during their last nine games was
the Redskins this past Sunday and Robert Griffin III was at far less than 100 percent. Atlanta ranks in the top eight in the major offensive categories. Ryan led the
NFL in completion percentage and ranked in the top five in touchdowns, yards
and passing ratings throwing to Julio Jones, Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez. The
only time the Seahawks encountered this type of attack in a dome setting was playing at Detroit in Week 8 – and the Lions beat the Seahawks, 28-24, behind
Matthew Stafford’s three touchdown passes and 352 passing yards. Much is being
made of Atlanta’s 0-3 postseason record in the Ryan-Mike Smith era. Keep in
mind, though, that two of those defeats came on the road.
ATLANTA 26-19.

*New England over Houston by 16
Aside from pass rushing terror J.J. Watt, the Texans lack the necessary ingredients
to stay within double digits of New England on the road. This already has been
proven when the Patriots buried the Texans, 42-14, in Foxboro barely more than
a month ago. Houston was playing a lot better at the time, too, having entered the
matchup riding a six-game winning streak. Since that loss, the Texans split with
the Colts, lost at home to Minnesota by 17 points and this past Saturday slipped
past Cincinnati, 19-13, in unimpressive fashion. The Patriots are the team that
exposed the Texans as nothing more than paper tigers. Houston is most effective
when playing with a lead. That way the Texans can keep feeding the ball to Arian
Foster while enabling limited Matt Schaub to carefully pick his throwing spots.
Foster is the only player to rush for 100 yards during each of his first three playoff games. He’s a magnificent player, but passing trumps running in today’s NFL.
The Patriots held Foster to 46 yards rushing in the first meeting. Schaub and his
superb wideout Andre Johnson can’t keep pace with Brady and his multitude of
weapons. The Patriots defeated the Texans by 28 points despite missing tight end
Rob Gronkowski. Now they have Gronkowski back from a broken arm. His presence creates space for the Patriots’ other star tight end, Aaron Hernandez, and
keeps double teams off Wes Welker. The Texans, who are missing a key defensive
player in linebacker Brian Cushing, need multiple defenders to shadow
Gronkowski. Houston is averaging just 16.8 points in its last five games. The rested Patriots led the NFL in the major offensive categories, including averaging 34.8
points per game and 427.9 yards a game. The Patriots are playoff-test. No coach
is more dangerous with extra preparation time than Bill Belichick. This is just the
second year the Texans have made the post-season. They lost 20-13 to Baltimore
in their lone road playoff contest last season. Schaub has never started a playoff
game. He doesn’t have the talent or weapons to trade points with Brady. The
Patriots are vulnerable to opponents who can provide a strong pass rush without
blitzing and have big-play strike ability themselves. That’s not the Texans. The
Texans’ defense has regressed and their offense is methodical. The Patriots kept
Watt away from Brady in the first meeting. Given time, Brady should again pick
apart a vulnerable Texans secondary that was fortunate to go against Andy Dalton
last week. Nothing has changed from the team’s first meeting except the Texans
have gotten worse.
NEW ENGLAND 33-17.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATFOX

FORECASTER
SEATTLE 24
ATLANTA 19
Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - off 2 or more consecutive unders, with a good scoring defense - allowing 17 or less points/game.

(27-5 Over) Play = Over the total

Series history – Last 5 Seasons:

ATLANTA is 2-1 ATS (3-0 SU) vs. SEATTLE (1-0 ATS, 1-0 SU at home.)

StatFox Six Pack: ATLANTA is 24-7 OVER at home after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-0 UNDER after having won 2 out of their last 3 games this season.
ATLANTA is 41-18 OVER after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 10-0 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the L2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-5 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the L2 seasons

FORECASTER
HOUSTON 22
NEW ENGLAND 30

Betting SyStem:
Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points - revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points, with a winning record in the second half of the season. (24-4 ATS)
Play = HOUSTON against the spread

Series history – Last 5 Seasons:

NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 ATS (1-1 SU) vs. HOUSTON (1-0 ATS, 1-0 SU at home.)

StatFox Six Pack:
NEW ENGLAND is 14-1 OVER after 2 consecutive games w/ turnover margin of +1 or better over L2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 21-5 OVER after gaining 400+ total yards in their previous game over L3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-1 OVER vs. good rushing teams - averaging 130+ rush yards/game over L3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-0 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the L2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-1 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game over the L2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-7 ATS against conference opponents over the L2 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES

SUNDAY, JANUARY 13 SCORE

(12:00) SETON HALL 70 - Providence 61

(1:00) MICHIGAN STATE 68 - Nebraska 45 (BIG10)
(1:00) Massachusetts 77 - FORDHAM 76
(1:30) Michigan 63 - OHIO STATE 58 (CBS)

(4:30) Wichita State 66 - EVANSVILLE 65
(5:30) NORTHWESTERN 73 - Iowa 70 (ESPNU)

(8:00) Maryland 79 - MIAMI-FLORIDA 76 (ESPNU)
(9:00) PURDUE 72 - Penn State 53 (BIG10)
(9:00) OREGON 76 - Arizona State 57

BEST BETS: SETON HALL, MICHIGAN, OREGON

NBA

SUNDAY, JANUARY 13 SCORE

(12:05) NEW YORK KNICKS 103 - New Orleans 89
(1:05) Milwaukee Bucks 106 - TORONTO RAPTORS 94

(6:05) BROOKLYN NETS 103 - Indiana Pacers 102
(7:05) SAN ANTONIO SPURS 111 - Minnesota 98

(8:05) Golden State Warriors 105 - DENVER 101
(9:05) Oklahoma City Thunder 104 - PORTLAND 90
(9:35) LOS ANGELES LAKERS 99 - Cleveland Cavs 98

BEST BETS: MILWAUKEE (3), SAN ANTONIO, OKLAHOMA CITY (1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Points

Sunday, January 13

Seton Hall* over Providence by 9
Michigan State* over Nebraska by 22
Massachusetts over Fordham* by 7

Ohio State* over Michigan by 6
Buckeyes got a dose of humble pie against Illinois, but a very highly ranked foe is now
coming into their house, and they will be ready to defend like they weren’t ready to
defend against Illinois.
OHIO STATE, 67-61.

Wichita State over Evansville* by 3
Iowa over Northwestern* by 5
Miami-FL* over Maryland by 3
Purdue* over Penn State by 8

**PREFERRED
Oregon* over Arizona State by 21
Smokin’ Herb, out on the road for the second of the Oregon trip. Oregon was invited to two post-season tournaments in coach Dana Altman’s first two seasons and won
multiple games each time. Smokin’ Herb’s Sun Devils haven’t been invited to a postseason tournament since they lost a first-round home game to Jacksonville in March,
2010. Ha-ha. Who do you like? OREGON, 83-62

NBA

Sunday, January 13
*New York over New Orleans by 8
After eight days of being in New Orleans, the Hornets begin a three-game East Coast
journey beginning with this matchup at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks have
struggled a bit without point guard Raymond Felton. New York destroyed the
Hornets, 102-80, on the road back in November.
NEW YORK 104-96.

*Toronto over Milwaukee by 2
The Raptors have played their best defense of the season minus Andrea Bargnani and
Jonas Valanciunas. The Bucks, though, had covered nine of their first 15 road contests
and were 3-2 ATS the past five times they’ve been a road ‘dog through this past
Tuesday.
TORONTO 96-94.

***BEST BET
*Brooklyn over Indiana by 12
Perhaps under Avery Johnson, the Nets wouldn’t be physical enough to handle the
rugged Pacers. But that’s not the case now under hard-nosed P.J. Carlesimo. Brook
Lopez is playing well and the Nets hold a backcourt edge with Deron Williams and
Joe Johnson. Brooklyn also has an increased confidence level having knocked off the
Thunder in Oklahoma City just 11 days ago. The Pacers ranked in the bottom in scoring and shooting percentage.
BROOKLYN 98-86

*San Antonio over Minnesota by 14
The T’wolves pulling out a surprising win at Denver 10 days ago. That should keep
the Spurs focused. San Antonio has defeated Minnesota 17 of the past 19 times.
SAN ANTONIO 106-92.

*Denver over Golden State by 3
The Warriors have the versatility to match up to the Nuggets and were 20-8 ATS the
past 28 times they were on the road vs. a winning home record.
DENVER 106-103.

***BEST BET
Oklahoma City over *Portland by 16
Oklahoma City has defeated Portland in seven of the past nine meetings and was 6-0
ATS when laying four or more points on the road through Jan. 5.
OKLAHOMA CITY 108-92.

*Los Angeles Lakers over Cleveland by 14
This may be a tank spot for the Cavaliers with a winnable game looming Monday
against Sacramento. Steve Nash has settled the Lakers down and Kobe Bryant has
adjusted to playing small forward in Mike D’Antoni’s redesigned rotation averaging a
league-best 30 points.
LA LAKERS 105-91.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

1:00PM Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons
[113] Seattle Seahawks +3 -109

4:30PM Houston Texans vs New England Patriots
[115] OVER 48.5 -105

2:00PM Canisius vs Iona
[841] Canisius +7 -110

GOODFELLAS

1:30PM Michigan vs Ohio State
[822] Ohio State -2 -110

4:30PM Wichita State vs Evansville
[823] Wichita State -3 -110

9:05PM Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trailblazers
[811] Oklahoma City Thunder -5 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB MICHIGAN at OHIO ST.

Play Against - Road teams as an underdog or pick (MICHIGAN) an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG), after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.
79-39 since 1997. ( 66.9% 36.1 units )
4-3 this year. ( 57.1% 0.7 units )

CBB WICHITA ST at EVANSVILLE

Play On - Any team (EVANSVILLE) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (<=32%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their 3 point shots or better.
45-26 since 1997. ( 63.4% 25.7 units )

CBB NEBRASKA at MICHIGAN ST.

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 60.5 or less off a road loss against a conference rival against opponent off a close road win by 3 points or less.
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA NEW ORLEANS at NEW YORK

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, on Sunday games.
112-60 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.1% 46.0 units )
9-6 this year. ( 60.0% 2.4 units )

NBA MILWAUKEE at TORONTO

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
167-126 since 1997. ( 57.0% 65.8 units )
1-6 this year. ( 14.3% -6.3 units )

NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at PORTLAND

Play Against - Road favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
112-60 since 1997. ( 65.1% 46.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

2000♦
Double Your Wager
Divisional Playoff Lock

Atlanta Falcons -2.5

Adams Note: At the time I release this selection, the Falcons are -2 1/2 point favorites.
If your price should move to -3 or -3 1/2, I want you to buy the half point down on the Falcons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo
4-5 playoffs

Seattle & Under
Pats & Over

1-3 yesterday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

New Orleans at New York

The Knicks look to build on their 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 games versus the Hornets. New York is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 13 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: New Orleans at New York (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.488; New York 123.885 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10 1/2; 190 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 192 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New York (-6 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Milwaukee at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 118.440; Toronto 119.469 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 192 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+2 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Indiana at Brooklyn (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.528; Brooklyn 125.081 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 199 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 807-808: Minnesota at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.738; San Antonio 130.445 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 15 1/2; 194 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 198 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-12); Under

Game 809-810: Golden State at Denver (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.903; Denver 125.287 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 215 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6; 208 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+6); Over

Game 811-812: Oklahoma City at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.874; Portland 120.028 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 193 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 199 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2); Under

Game 813-814: Cleveland at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.368; LA Lakers 120.736 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 215 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo

10* Houston
10* Atl/Sea Over 45
9* Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS CONSULTANTS

3* Nebraska +18.5 ov Michigan State 6:00pm

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Intpicks

4* Seattle @ Atlanta -2.5 (play up to 3)

4* Houston +9.5 @ New England

3* Seattle @ Atlanta UNDER 46

3* OKC -5 @ Portland

3* Arizona St @ Oregon -9

Freebie: Golden St @ Denver UNDER 209.5