1-17-13

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Trend shows 'over' the play in overseas NBA games

It’s no secret the NBA is aggressively pursuing its options internationally, with commissioner David Stern predicting this month there will multiple franchises in Europe within 20 years.

A sell-out crowd will watch the Detroit Pistons take on the New York Knicks in London, England Thursday, in what will be the league's 16th regular season game in a foreign market.

We took a look back at all 15 foreign regular-season games and found an interesting trend. The last five overseas games have all played over the total in overwhelming fashion and the participating teams have combined to score an average of 229 points per game during that stretch. Nine of the 15 games have played over the number overall.

Here’s a look at the results of the last five games on foreign soil:

Played in London England:

Nets 137, Raptors 136 (3OT) - March 5, 2011 – total set for game: 205.5
Nets 116, Raptors 103 - March 4, 2011 – total set for game: 203.5

Played in Saitama, Japan:

Sonics 124, Clippers 105 – Oct. 31, 2003 – total set for game: 186
Sonics 109, Clippers 100 – Oct.30, 2003 – total set for game: 180.5

Played in Tokyo, Japan:

T-Wolves 114, Kings 101 – Nov. 6 1999 – total set for game: 205

Pete Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, is sending out a suggested total in the mid-190s for Thursday’s game at O2 Arena.

“They’re there to win the game,” Korner told Covers. “I’m sure they (Knicks/Pistons) don’t care about providing entertainment value.”

Korner doesn’t believe the trend holds much value from an oddsmaking perspective because of the variation in teams throughout the years.

“My advice would be to play it for what it’s worth,” says Korner.

So what is it worth to bettors?

“There’s definitely some value there,” says Covers Expert Bryan Power. “The only thing I might be concerned about is that many bettors could bet the number up.”

Here are a couple points to consider. Both teams haven’t played since the weekend, giving them ample time to prepare. The Knicks scored 100 points in a win over the Hornets, while the Pistons lost at home to Utah Saturday, managing only 87 points. However, Detroit topped 100 points in its two previous contests. The only prior meeting between the teams this season was very high scoring, 121-100 in favor of New York at MSG.

Online sportsbook BetOnline has set an early total of 196.5 for Thursday's game across the pond.

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New NCAAB coaches making and breaking bets

Plenty of college basketball teams swapped out their head coach this offseason, hoping a change on the sideline would spark a change on the floor.

For some programs, the move has paid off - and not just for the team. Bettors are seeing the benefits of the new coaching. However, other teams are struggling to adapt to new systems and philosophies, dragging bettors down with them.

Here’s a look at three teams thriving ATS and three struggling to cover the spread under their new head coach:

Best new coaches ATS

Donnie Tyndall – Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (13-4 SU, 10-4 ATS)

Tyndall has the Golden Eagles on top of C-USA and is making Southern Miss backers happy after former coach Larry Eustachy, who took the job at Colorado State, posted a 12-18 ATS record last season. The Golden Eagles have been tough away from Hattiesburg, going 5-3 ATS on the road.

Keno Davis – Central Michigan Chippewas (8-8 SU, 10-5 ATS)

Central Michigan lost star recruit Tyler Zeigler to transfer (Pitt) and then canned Zeigler’s dad, head coach Ernie Zeigler, after an 11-21 record (14-16-1 ATS) last season. The Chippewas rolled the dice on Davis, and so far it’s paid off – at least for bettors.

Dave Pilipovich - Air Force Falcons (9-5 SU, 6-3 ATS)

Pilipovich, an assistant under fired head coach Jeff Reynolds, has Air Force contending in the stacked MWC. The Falcons covered versus Florida in December and just missed an upset win over UNLV, losing in OT last weekend. Air Force is one of the better 3-point shooting teams in the country – always music to bettor’s ears.

Worst new coaches ATS

Jerod Haase – UAB Blazers (8-9 SU, 4-10 ATS)

Haase, an assistant at North Carolina, has tried to instill an up-tempo offense at UAB (73.6 points per game) but forgot about the defensive side of the playbook (299th in the country). The Blazers have been good at home (7-1 SU) but dismal on the road (1-6 SU).

Tony Benford - North Texas Mean Green (7-11 SU, 4-9 ATS)

Benford, an assistant at Marquette, inherited a contender in the Sun Belt when Johnny Jones took the job at LSU. However, the Mean Green have fallen short of those expectations under their new head coach. Injuries and the disappointing play of star forward Tony Mitchell is to blame.

Jay Spoonhour - Eastern Illinois Panthers (3-15 SU, 4-9 ATS)

The Panthers have lost 11 straight heading into Thursday’s date with OVC power Murray State, covering the spread in two of the nine lined games during that span. Spoonhour hasn’t had it easy in Charleston, inheriting no starters and having to rely on a slew of new players. That’s the big reason EIU is among the worst offensive teams in the country - 56.7 points per game.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Akron (-19 1/2) Wednesday.

No play Thursday. The surplus is 275 sirignanos.

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Gold Medal Club Selection 17/01/2013
CBB:
#575 Charleston -3

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Detroit won five of its last seven games (4-0 last four as U).
-- Clippers won five of last six games (5-2 AU).
-- Lakers won last two games, by 20-16 points (5-8 last 13 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost three of their last four games (3-8-1 last 12 F).
-- Minnesota lost last four games, all by 12+ points (1-3 last four HF).
-- Bucks lost six of last nine games (10-5 AU). Phoenix lost eight of last ten games (4-7 HF).
-- Miami is 3-4 in its last seven games (0-1 AU).


Totals
-- Three of last four Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Clipper games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Laker games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Miami is 2-3 vs spread if it played the night before.

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CBB

-- Florida allowed 48 ppg in winning its first two SEC games by 33-22 points; Gators are 3-1 in true road games, with only loss at Arizona in game they led by six in last minute. Texas A&M won its first two SEC games by 18-12 point, with win at Kentucky; they're shooting 38.9% on arc (#21 in US); how did they lose at home to Southern? SEC home dogs are 3-2 against the spread.
-- Valparaiso won five of last six games vs Detroit, but lost to Titans by 20 in Horizon League title game LY, third year in row teams met in the conference tourney. Crusaders won last two visits here, by 10-2 points. 13-5 Valpo was held to 54 or less points in four of five losses this year; they're 5-4 on road, with win at Murray State. Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-1 vs spread.
-- 16-1 Michigan lost for first time at Ohio State Sunday, its first loss in three true road games; Wolverines won three in row, seven of last eight games vs Minnesota, beating Gophers in OT in conference tourney last spring. Michigan is 3-0 in last three visits here, winning by 3-8-7 points. Big Dozen road teams are 5-3 vs spread if number is 5 or less. Gophers lost last game by 7 at Indiana, after being down 52-29 at the half.
-- Middle Tennessee is 3-0 in Sun Belt home games, winning by 17-18-10 points; Blue Raiders are 5-3 in last eight games vs Little Rock- home team won four of last five. UALR is 0-6 on road this year, losing league away games by 14-9-3 points. Trojans lost last two visits here, by 17-8 points. Sun Belt home favorites are 13-6 vs spread, 3-2 if laying double digits. Middle Tennessee is forcing turnovers 24.6% of time (#22).

-- Home side won seven of last eight South Florida-Rutgers games; USF lost lost three of last four visits here, losing by 18-3-9 points. Big East home favorites of 6 or less points are 0-8 vs spread. Bulls scored 45 ppg in losing first three league games by 11-8-26 points; they're only winless team in Big East. Rutgers is 2-2 in conference, but wins were by total of seven points, with Knights scoring just 59 ppg in four games.
-- New Mexico State is 4-2 in WAC after winning pair of road games by total of 3 points last week; they won two home games by 20-11 points. Utah State is 5-0 in WAC, with three of five wins by 7 or less points. Home side won 11 of last 15 USU-NMS games, as USU lost five of last seven visits to Las Cruces, losing by 3-7-30-3-20 points. WAC home favorites are 3-11 against the spread, 1-7 if laying single digits.
-- 14-3 VCU hasn't lost since Thanksgiving weekend; they've won 12 in a row, winning first two Atlantic 16 games by 12-7 points. Rams force turnovers 30.7% of time, #1 in country. St Joe's won four of last five, losing at home by 6 to Butler. Hawks are #38 in country at protecting ball; they're 4-2 on road- only one of their five losses was by more than seven points. A-16 home favorites are 9-5 vs spread.
-- Oregon State is 0-3 in Pac-12 play, losing three home tilts; they beat UCLA in Corvallis LY, ending 13-game series losing skid. Beavers lost last eight visits here, by 11-8-18-47-35-25-9-8 points. Bruins are 14-3 after slow start, 4-0 in Pac-12, winning its home games by 14-8 points. Beavers won by 5 at Portland State in its only true road game this year. Pac-12 home favorites are 6-16 vs spread, 1-4 if laying 8+ points.
-- Fullerton won five of last seven games vs Irvine, winning last three in its home gym, all by six points; Titans are 3-1 in conference, winning its two home games by by 7-2 points. Anteaters beat Fullerton in Big West tourney last spring. Home team is 5-0 SU in Irvine's Big West games, as Anteaters lost two road games, by 3-5 points. Big West home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-8 against the spread.

-- This is USC's first game since firing O'Neill; chances are they'll play a little faster. 7-10 Trojans have played #12 schedule in country, that did not help the former coach. Oregon won last five games vs USC, winning last two here by ten points each; Ducks are 2-1 on road, with wins at UNLV/Oregon State, losing at UTEP in triple OT. Pac-12 underdogs are 21-6 vs spread, 5-0 at home. USC is 2-1 at home in conference.
-- Belmont scored 87.8 ppg in winning first four OVC games, winning at home by 35-37 points, but Eastern Kentucky is also 4-0 in OVC, while allowing only 60.8 ppg. Three of EKU's wins were at home, but they've won at Murray State, scoring 20 unanswered points in that game. OVC double digit home favorites are 4-6 vs spread. EKU lost at Illinois by 13, West Virginia by 7, in its only two top 100 games.
-- Western Illinois won its last ten games, but best team they beat in the 10 games was #149 Ill-Chicago; WIU lost its last seven games vs South Dakota State, losing to Jackrabbits in OT in Summit finals last March. State won last three visits here, by 1-31-6 points; they're 9-2 vs teams outside top 100, but just 3-6 in true road games. Summit home favorites are 5-9 vs spread, 3-5 if laying single digits.
-- Tennessee State won four of last six games vs Jacksonville State, with 66-57 road win 12 days ago, when Gamecocks shot just 34.2% at home, 19-34 from foul line. Tigers won last six games after 3-7 start; they are 5-0 in OVC, winning home tilts by 8-32-12 points. JSU allowed 57 ppg in winning all three of its conference road games. OVC home favorites are 7-9 against spread, 3-3 if laying single digits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

College of Charleston at Georgia Southern

The Cougars look to take advantage of a Georgia Southern team that is coming off a 70-57 win over Davidson and is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS victory. College of Charleston is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Cougars favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, JANUARY 17 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 509-510: Florida at Texas A&M (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 76.637; Texas A&M 64.250 Dunkel Line: Florida by 12 1/2; 125 Vegas Line: Florida by 9 1/2; 122 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida (-9 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Valparaiso at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 58.787; Detroit 64.287 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5 1/2; 137 Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 142 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Troy at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Troy 46.581; Florida Atlantic 53.126 Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 8 Dunkel Pick: Troy (+8)

Game 515-516: Duquesne at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 49.465; Massachusetts 57.328 Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 8; 158 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 10 1/2; 154 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+10 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: Michigan at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 74.624; Minnesota 78.676 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 4; 133 Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 139 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Under

Game 519-520: Idaho at Louisiana Tech (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.248; Louisiana Tech 63.848 Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-8 1/2)

Game 521-522: North Texas at Florida International (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 48.798; Florida International 51.252 Dunkel Line: Florida International by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida International by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+4 1/2)

Game 523-524: UL-Lafayette at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 49.762; Western Kentucky 58.942 Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 9 Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 8 Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-8)

Game 525-526: AR-Little Rock at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 53.859; Middle Tennessee State 65.696 Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12 Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15 Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (+15)

Game 527-528: UL-Monroe at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 45.945; South Alabama 58.348 Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: South Alabama by 11 Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-11)

Game 529-530: Seattle at TX-Arlington (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 49.862; TX-Arlington 56.073 Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 6 Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 9 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+9)

Game 531-532: Cleveland State at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 52.110; WI-Milwaukee 47.869 Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 1 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-1)

Game 533-534: Youngstown State at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 50.197; WI-Green Bay 56.731 Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 7 Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+7)

Game 535-536: Northwestern at Illinois (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 58.028; Illinois 69.922 Dunkel Line: Illinois by 12; 128 Vegas Line: Illinois by 10; 132 Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-10); Under

Game 537-538: South Florida at Rutgers (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 59.463; Rutgers 63.625 Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 4; 128 Vegas Line: Rutgers by 5 1/2; 123 1/2 Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+5 1/2); Over

Game 539-540: Utah State at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.863; New Mexico State 60.161 Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 5 Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+5)

Game 541-542: Georgia Tech at Duke (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 58.237; Duke 79.931 Dunkel Line: Duke by 21 1/2; 126 Vegas Line: Duke by 16 1/2; 128 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-16 1/2); Under

Game 543-544: St. Joseph's at VCU (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 63.562; VCU 71.861 Dunkel Line: VCU by 8 1/2; 138 Vegas Line: VCU by 10; 133 Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+10); Over

Game 545-546: Oregon State at UCLA (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 57.622; UCLA 71.318 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 13 1/2; 157 Vegas Line: UCLA by 15; 153 Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+15); Over

Game 547-548: San Jose State at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 50.809; Denver 64.936 Dunkel Line: Denver by 14 Vegas Line: Denver by 15 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+15 1/2)

Game 549-550: UC Davis at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 48.887; CS-Northridge 52.316 Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+5 1/2)

Game 551-552: Gonzaga at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 69.852; Portland 50.106 Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 19 1/2 Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 16 Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-16)

Game 553-554: Long Beach State at UC-Riverside (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 54.815; UC-Riverside 44.545 Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (-7 1/2)

Game 555-556: Santa Clara at San Francisco (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 57.463; San Francisco 58.904 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: San Francisco by 1 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-1)

Game 557-558: UC-Irvine at CS-Fullerton (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 54.818; CS-Fullerton 55.784 Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 1 Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 5 Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+5)

Game 559-560: Oregon at USC (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 69.627; USC 65.087 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 128 Vegas Line: Oregon by 2 1/2; 131 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-2 1/2); Under

Game 561-562: Pacific at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 57.331; Hawaii 57.554 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Hawaii by 1 Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+1)

Game 563-564: Manhattan at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 48.338; Canisius 58.216 Dunkel Line: Canisius by 10 Vegas Line: Canisius by 8 Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-8)

Game 565-566: Siena at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Siena 43.544; Niagara 60.422 Dunkel Line: Niagara by 17 Vegas Line: Niagara by 14 Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-14)

Game 567-568: Rider at St. Peter's (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rider 51.619; St. Peter's 51.991 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Rider by 4 Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+4)

Game 569-570: UMKC at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 41.622; Oakland 55.699 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 14 Vegas Line: Oakland by 13 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-13)

Game 571-572: The Citadel at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 36.459; Davidson 60.457 Dunkel Line: Davidson by 24 Vegas Line: Davidson by 25 Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (+25)

Game 573-574: Furman at Elon (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Furman 44.321; Elon 56.186 Dunkel Line: Elon by 12 Vegas Line: Elon by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Furman (+13 1/2)

Game 575-576: College of Charleston at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 52.904; Georgia Southern 45.485 Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3 Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3)

Game 577-578: Appalachian State at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 51.089; Chattanooga 47.886 Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State

Game 579-580: North Dakota State at IUPUI (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 61.593; IUPUI 51.038 Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 13 Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+13)

Game 581-582: South Dakota at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 46.655; IPFW 50.037 Dunkel Line: IPFW by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: IPFW by 5 Dunkel Pick: IPFW (+5)

Game 583-584: Marist at Loyola-MD (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Marist 45.603; Loyola-MD 58.045 Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-11 1/2)

Game 585-586: Eastern Illinois at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 40.903; Murray State 54.327 Dunkel Line: Murray State by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Murray State by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+16 1/2)

Game 587-588: Morehead State at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 47.686; SE Missouri State 49.263 Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+2 1/2)

Game 589-590: Eastern Kentucky at Belmont (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 55.125; Belmont 66.669 Dunkel Line: Belmont by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Belmont by 14 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+14)

Game 591-592: South Dakota State at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 58.519; Western Illinois 61.410 Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 3 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois

Game 593-594: SIU-Edwardsville at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 41.687; Austin Peay 48.817 Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 8 Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 5 Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-5)

Game 595-596: Western Carolina at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 48.116; Samford 48.015 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Samford (+1 1/2)

Game 597-598: Eastern Washington at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 43.687; North Dakota 48.950 Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: North Dakota by 4 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (-4)

Game 599-600: Jacksonville State at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 50.964; Tennessee State 52.270 Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+4 1/2)

Game 601-602: Northern Arizona at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 40.127; Weber State 63.721 Dunkel Line: Weber State by 23 1/2 Vegas Line: Weber State by 17 Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-17)

Game 603-604: Sacramento State at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 45.416; Idaho State 42.131 Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (-2 1/2)

Game 605-606: Portland State at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 47.806; Northern Colorado 47.611 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Portland State by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+1 1/2)

Game 607-608: Southern Utah at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 44.977; Montana 58.567 Dunkel Line: Montana by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Montana by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+14 1/2)

Game 609-610: (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 40.127; Weber State 63.721 Dunkel Line: Weber State by 23 1/2 Vegas Line: Dunkel Pick:

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/17/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 2007-626 (.762)
ATS: 831-875 (.487)
ATS Vary Units: 2789-2975 (.484)
Over/Under: 217-224 (.492)
Over/Under Vary Units: 260-297 (.467)

Atlantic 10 Conference
MASSACHUSETTS 85, Duquesne 71
VCU 75, Saint Joseph's 61

Atlantic Coast Conference
DUKE 77, Georgia Tech 53

Atlantic Sun Conference
FLORIDA GULF COAST 83, Lipscomb 68
MERCER 65, East Tennessee State 53
STETSON 73, Northern Kentucky 63
USC Upstate 75, KENNESAW STATE 63

Big East Conference
RUTGERS 61, South Florida 57

Big Sky Conference
MONTANA 75, Southern Utah 58
NORTH DAKOTA 73, Eastern Washington 69
Portland State 77, NORTHERN COLORADO 74
Sacramento State vs. IDAHO STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
WEBER STATE 85, Northern Arizona 62

Big Ten Conference
ILLINOIS 70, Northwestern 63
MINNESOTA 70, Michigan 66

Big West Conference
CAL STATE FULLERTON 82, UC Irvine 74
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE 81, UC Davis 74
Long Beach State 70, UC RIVERSIDE 61
Pacific vs. HAWAI'I: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Horizon League
Cleveland State 66, WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE 62
DETROIT 70, Valparaiso 69
GREEN BAY 68, Youngstown State 62

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
CANISIUS 71, Manhattan 66
LOYOLA (MD.) 72, Marist 58
NIAGARA 76, Siena 60
Rider 66, SAINT PETER'S 57

Northeast Conference
BRYANT 77, Mount St. Mary's 62
Long Island 83, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 80
ROBERT MORRIS 79, Quinnipiac 64
Sacred Heart 73, SAINT FRANCIS (PA.) 68
ST. FRANCIS (N.Y.) 76, Monmouth 64
Wagner 72, CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 67

Ohio Valley Conference
AUSTIN PEAY 75, Siue 69
BELMONT 80, Eastern Kentucky 60
MURRAY STATE 74, Eastern Illinois 52
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI 74, Morehead State 70
TENNESSEE STATE 66, Jacksonville State 57

Pacific-10 Conference
Oregon 69, USC 60
UCLA 84, Oregon State 68

Southeastern Conference
Florida 66, TEXAS A&M 54

Southern Conference
Appalachian State 74, CHATTANOOGA 71
College of Charleston 64, GEORGIA SOUTHERN 60
DAVIDSON 83, The Citadel 56
ELON 73, Furman 61
Western Carolina 69, SAMFORD 67

Southland Conference
NORTHWESTERN STATE 87, Nicholls State 69
Oral Roberts 70, TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI 62
SAM HOUSTON STATE 79, Central Arkansas 66
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 67, Southeastern Louisiana 45

Summit League
FORT WAYNE 77, South Dakota 72
North Dakota State 77, Iupui 64
OAKLAND 82, Kansas City 66
South Dakota State vs. WESTERN ILLINOIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Sun Belt Conference
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 72, North Texas 68
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 70, Troy 61
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 70, Ualr 57
SOUTH ALABAMA 73, Ulm 62
WESTERN KENTUCKY 73, UL Lafayette 68

West Coast Conference
Gonzaga 77, PORTLAND 60
SAN FRANCISCO 79, Santa Clara 74

Western Athletic Conference
DENVER 70, San Jose State 53
LOUISIANA TECH 75, Idaho 65
NEW MEXICO STATE 72, Utah State 68
UT ARLINGTON 76, Seattle 65

Non-Conference
Penn 66, NEW JERSEY TECH 65

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/17/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 376-181 (.675)
ATS: 279-289 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 814-769 (.514)
Over/Under: 295-273 (.519)
Over/Under Vary Units: 464-413 (.529)

New York 98, DETROIT 96
L.A. Clippers 102, MINNESOTA 96
PHOENIX 100, Milwaukee 98
Miami 102, L.A. LAKERS 101

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Basketball Crusher
Northwestern +10.5 over Illinois
(System Record: 43-3, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 43-31-0

Soccer Crusher
Atletico Madrid + Real Betis UNDER 3
This match is happening in Spain
(System Record: 343-14, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 343-299-40

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 965 - 720 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner Thurs Mich + 2 1/2

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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at LA Lakers

The Heat look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games versus the Lakers. Miami is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JANUARY 17 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: New York at Detroit (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.434; Detroit 115.850 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 189 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: LA Clippers at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.970; Minnesota 116.456 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Milwaukee at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.791; Phoenix 119.149 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 196 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1); Under

Game 507-508: Miami at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.535; LA Lakers 120.736 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 212 Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2 1/2; 206 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Over

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Cappers Access

Michigan +3
USC +2.5
Lakers -2.5

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Chicago Sports Connection

Lost on the OVER N.O/Boston game yesterday...Back to our bread-n-butter play...the hated UNDER bet.
We've won a bunch in a row here...lost yesterday...so be careful not to give back the profit ...take it light here.
Historicaly ,when a win streak is snapped ,a couple losses are due, but hoping not.


STRAIGHT BET Jan 17 NBA [506] TOTAL under 196½-110 (MIL BUCKS vrs PHO SUNS)