1-18-13

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Warriors at Spurs: What Bettors Need to Know

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs (-12, 203)

After jumping out to a hot start as one of the surprise teams in the league, the Golden State Warriors have hit their first rough patch. Friday's visit to the San Antonio Spurs, who have won 13 straight at home, is going to make it difficult to pull out of the slump. The Warriors have dropped four of their last five and hope to have Stephen Curry back from an ankle injury by Friday.

The Spurs own the best home record in the NBA at 17-2 and have won their last two at AT&T Center by an average of 19.5 points. Manu Ginobili will miss his second straight game on Friday due to a hamstring strain but the Spurs did not appear to miss their sixth man in a 103-82 won over the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday. Golden State has lost back-to-back games but has yet to drop three in a row this season. To avoid that third straight setback, the Warriors will need to win in San Antonio for the first time since 1997.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, CSBA (Golden State), FSSW (San Antonio)

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (23-14, 20-16-1 ATS): Golden State has dropped 15 straight overall to the Spurs and 27 in a row at San Antonio. Curry, who stepped on a teammate’s foot and rolled his ankle in practice on Wednesday morning, is listed as day-to-day. Without their top scorer available against the Miami Heat on Wednesday, the Warriors went down early and were blown out 92-75 at home. Jarrett Jack moved into Curry’s starting spot, weakening what has been a very strong bench. The lack of offense has been a big problem during the recent slump as Golden State has failed to reach 90 points in three of its last four setbacks. The Warriors’ struggles are coming during a long stretch against top competition, with the Denver Nuggets, Memphis and Los Angeles Clippers marking the other three recent defeats. Golden State still has to face the Clippers, Oklahoma City and the Chicago Bulls as part of five games in eight days.

ABOUT THE SPURS (30-11, 24-16-1 SU): Four of the last five teams to come to the AT&T Center have failed to reach 90 points as San Antonio continues to improve its defense. The Spurs held the Grizzlies to 26.6 percent in the second half of Wednesday’s triumph and limited the Minnesota Timberwolves to 37.1 percent in Sunday’s 106-88 win. Ginobili is expected to miss up to two weeks with the hamstring strain but San Antonio has the pieces to cover a short absence. Stephen Jackson and Gary Neal each got over 20 minutes off the bench on Wednesday and Boris Diaw received some extra time as part of a bigger lineup. The Spurs are closing out a three-game homestand with the Warriors and will play three of their next four on the road beginning Saturday at Atlanta.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 20-6-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
* Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.
* Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in San Antonio.
* Warriors are 7-19-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
* Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Warriors are 5-16 ATS in the last 21 meetings in San Antonio.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Spurs G Tony Parker has averaged 18.8 points on 51.7 percent shooting and seven assists in 38 career games against the Warriors.

2. Golden State F David Lee has recorded four straight double-doubles.

3. San Antonio is 3-2 without Ginobili this season

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POINTWISE

NBA BASKETBALL

FRIDAY, JANUARY 18 SCORE

(7:05) Charlotte Bobcats 94 - ORLANDO MAGIC 93
(7:05) Toronto Raptors 92 - PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 89
(7:05) BOSTON CELTICS 93 - Chicago Bulls 89 (ESPN)
(7:05) Houston Rockets 118 - INDIANA PACERS 110
(7:35) BROOKLYN NETS 107 - Atlanta Hawks 102

(8:05) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 96 - Sacramento Kings 94
(8:35) SAN ANTONIO SPURS 119 - Golden State 111

(9:05) DENVER NUGGETS 103 - Washington 98
(9:35) Oklahoma City 104 - DALLAS MAVS 97 (ESPN)

BEST BETS: TORONTO (3), HOUSTON, SACRAMENTO

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES

FRIDAY, JANUARY 18

NO REGULAR COLLEGE GAMES SCHEDULED

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WINNING POINTS

NBA

Friday, January 18

*Orlando over Charlotte by 5
Orlando heavily relies on its perimeter shooting, especially with Glen Davis out and
Hedo Turkoglu back in the lineup. Charlotte ranked dead last in defense and was second from the bottom in three-point defense. But backing the Magic as a favorite has
been a money-drainer as Orlando is only 2-6 ATS laying points this season.
ORLANDO 107-102.

***BEST BET
*Philadelphia over Toronto by 16
Huge revenge spot for Philadelphia, which was embarrassed nine days by the Raptors,
90-72. The 76ers were dead tired in that matchup playing for the sixth time in nine
days and second in two nights. Now the 76ers are rested having been home all week
and idle since Tuesday, while Toronto is playing for the third in four days.
PHILADELPHIA 103-87.

*Boston over Chicago by 2
Carlos Boozer is playing his finest ball since joining the Bulls three seasons ago and
Chicago was 14-3 ATS when playing on Friday.
BOSTON 94-92.

*Indiana over Houston by 7
Indiana’s defense should trump Houston’s offense with the Pacers at home and ranking in the top two in scoring defense and defensive field goal percentage. The Pacers
were 7-3 ATS during their past 10 home matchups.
INDIANA 97-90.

*Brooklyn over Atlanta by 3
The two teams just met Wednesday in Atlanta. Brook Lopez is playing at a high level,
but Deron Williams’ health remains a concern. Brooklyn was 4-8 ATS in its last 12
home games through this past Sunday.
BROOKLYN 103-100.

***BEST BET
*Memphis over Sacramento by 22
Sacramento ranks among the bottom five rebounding teams. The Kings’ lack of board
strength is going to get exposed against the Grizzlies’ ace front line of Marc Gasol,
Zach Randolph and Rudy Gay. The Grizzlies buried the Kings, 113-81, on the road
just 11 days ago.
MEMPHIS 112-90.

*San Antonio over Golden State by 7
The surprising Warriors would like to prove they’re for real with a strong road showing in this tough venue. Golden State was 10-7-1 ATS during its first 18 road contests.
The Spurs, though, had covered 62 percent of their first 17 home games.
SAN ANTONIO 105-98.

*Denver over Washington by 9
Denver was 4-3 when laying double digits, but Washington is in a good situational
spot as this matchup is a Thunder sandwich for the Nuggets. The Nuggets take on
Oklahoma City on the road and then meet the Thunder again at home in between
this matchup.
DENVER 105-96.

Oklahoma City over *Dallas by 10
Dirk Nowitzki has finally shown signs of coming around, but the Mavericks have horribly regressed dropping 13 of their last 17 through this past Sunday.
OKLAHOMA CITY 107-97.

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Chicago Sports Connection

STRAIGHT BET Jan 18 NBA [808] TOTAL u195-110 (HOU ROCKETS vrs IND PACERS)

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/18/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 2049-646 (.760)
ATS: 857-897 (.489)
ATS Vary Units: 2853-3036 (.484)
Over/Under: 219-232 (.486)
Over/Under Vary Units: 261-304 (.462)

America East Conference
Stony Brook 55, VERMONT 53

Atlantic Sun Conference
NORTH FLORIDA 76, Jacksonville 66

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
IONA 77, Fairfield 71

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/18/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 379-182 (.676)
ATS: 281-291 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 820-776 (.514)
Over/Under: 297-275 (.519)
Over/Under Vary Units: 467-415 (.529)

BOSTON 90, Chicago 87
PHILADELPHIA 96, Toronto 91
ORLANDO 102, Charlotte 90
INDIANA 101, Houston 96
BROOKLYN 96, Atlanta 93
MEMPHIS 105, Sacramento 91
SAN ANTONIO 111, Golden State 97
DENVER 107, Washington 93
Oklahoma City 107, DALLAS 100

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Today's NBA Picks

Houston at Indiana

The Pacers look to bounce back from their 97-86 loss to Orlando and build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Indiana is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JANUARY 18 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: Charlotte at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 108.423; Orlando 114.085 Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 5 1/2; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7 1/2; 196 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Toronto at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 116.846; Philadelphia 115.342 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 195 Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 190 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+4); Over

Game 805-806: Chicago at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 116.747; Boston 122.132 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 195 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 807-808: Houston at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 116.809; Indiana 124.829 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 195 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5); Under

Game 809-810: Atlanta at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.657; Brooklyn 122.943 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 9 1/2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6; 192 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-6); Under

Game 811-812: Sacramento at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 108.480; Memphis 127.147 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 18 1/2; 197 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 813-814: Golden State at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 116.860; San Antonio 129.207 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 12 1/2; 200 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 203 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-12); Under

Game 815-816: Washington at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 114.436; Denver 121.302 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 7; 207 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 11; 203 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+11); Over

Game 817-818: Oklahoma City at Dallas (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 127.366; Dallas 121.878 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4; 205 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4); Under

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Stony Brook at Vermont

The Seawolves look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Stony Brook is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Seawolves favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (-3). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, JANUARY 18 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 819-820: Fairfield at Iona (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 56.441; Iona 64.220 Dunkel Line: Iona by 8; 138 Vegas Line: Iona by 6; 142 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Iona (-6); Under

Game 831-832: Stony Brook at Vermont (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 60.252; Vermont 54.092 Dunkel Line: Stony Brook by 6; 120 Vegas Line: Stony Brook by 3; 115 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (-3); Over

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 966- 720 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner FRI SA Spurs - 11

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Toronto Raptors +4

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Boston won six of its last seven games (3-5 last eight HF). Bulls won six of last eight games (9-7 vs spread on road).
-- Pacers won 14 of last 19 games (1-4 last five HF).
-- Nets won nine of eleven since changing coaches (4-1-1 last six HF).
-- Kings won last two games; this is their first road games in 13 days (8-9 AU).
-- Spurs won last 13 home games, covering nine of the 13.
-- Wizards won three of last four games, covered eight of last ten (9-6-1 AU). Denver won six of last seven games (11-6 HF).
-- Dallas won/covered last four games (2-4 HU). Thunder won last five games, four by 12+ points (10-5 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost 11 of last 13 games (2-5 HF). Charlotte lost its last five games (5-8 last 13 AU).
-- 76ers lost eight of last ten games (2-6 last eight AF). Toronto lost its last three games, allowing 109 ppg (8-9-1 AU).
-- Rockets lost last five games (1-4 last five AU).
-- Hawks lost six of last eight games (3-6 AU).
-- Grizzlies lost last three games (10-7-1 HF).
-- Warriors lost four of last five games (8-4-2 AU).

Totals
-- 11 of last 12 Orlando games went over the total. Under is 5-1-1 in Bobcats' last seven road games.
-- Last three Toronto games, three of Sixers' last four games went over.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Boston's last six home games.
-- Nine of last ten Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Brooklyn games went over total.
-- 11 of last 13 Sacramento games went over the total; nine of last eleven Memphis games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten San Antonio games. Four of Warriors' last five road games went over.
-- Last eight Washington road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Thunder's last nine road games.

Back-to-backs
-- None.

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CBB

Iona won three of last four games with Fairfield, but lost by 10 to Stags in semis of MAAC tourney last March; home teams won 10 of last 11 in series- Fairfield lost its last five visits to New Rochelle, by 15-4-10-5-5 points. Gaels won last five games, scoring 87 ppg in last three- they are 3-0 at home in MAAC, winning by 11-8-10 points. Fairfield lost its last three games by 4-5-3 points. MAAC home favorites of six points or less are 3-6 against the spread this season.

Vermont won 51-43 at Stony Brook in America East finals LY; they are 6-4 in last ten series games, with Sea Wolves losing nine of last ten visits here. Stony Brook is 10-1 vs teams outside top 100, losing November 18 to Sacred Heart by a hoop- they're 4-0 in conference this year, with all four wins by 14+ points. Catamounts are 3-0 at home in America East, winning by 25-15-24 points; they're 1-1 vs top 100 teams, losing by 18 at UConn, winning at Harvard.

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Basketball Crusher
Oklahoma City Thunder + Dallas Mavericks OVER 205.5
(System Record: 44-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 44-31-0



Soccer Crusher
Lyon + Evian TGFC OVER 2.5
This match is happening in France
(System Record: 344-14, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 344-299-40

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CAPPERS ACCESS

76ers