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Play Over - Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a poor shooting team (40-42.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games.
102-54 since 1997. ( 65.4% 42.6 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.0 units )
CBB ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA
Play Against - Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (NEBRASKA) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 60 points or less.
109-26 since 1997. ( 80.7% 50.2 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% -1.5 units )
CBB MICHIGAN ST at WISCONSIN
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 or less after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers.
127-70 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.5% 50.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% -1.5 units )
NBA ORLANDO at DETROIT
Play On - Any team vs the money line (ORLANDO) good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), good ball handling team. (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
73-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.8% 38.4 units )
3-4 this year. ( 42.9% -0.3 units )
NBA BOSTON at CLEVELAND
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (BOSTON) after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
94-49 since 1997. ( 65.7% 40.1 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )
Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers (1, 201)
Chris Paul looked just fine in his return from a knee injury on Saturday, but testing it a second time did not produce the desired results. Paul will see how it holds up on the second night of a back-to-back when the Los Angeles Clippers host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Paul struggled to four points in a loss at Golden State on Monday and labored at times in the second half.
The Thunder, who lead Los Angeles and the San Antonio Spurs by a half-game for first place in the Western Conference, had a six-game winning streak snapped in an overtime loss at Denver on Sunday. Oklahoma City remains the only team in the NBA to have single-digit losses thanks in part to the boasting the top-scoring offense in the leagues. Kevin Durant has been on fire of late and Chris Paul will have his hands full trying to guard Russell Westbrook at less than 100 percent.
TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports Oklahoma (Oklahoma City), Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), NBATV
ABOUT THE THUNDER (32-9): Oklahoma City has played seven of its last nine games on the road and will play four more away before getting home on Jan. 31. Any fatigue that the team might be suffering has shown up on the defensive end the past two games, when the Thunder have been forced into overtime at Dallas and at Denver. Durant’s career-high 52 points helped them pull out the 117-114 win at Dallas but 37 from the MVP candidate was not enough in the 121-118 setback against the Nuggets. Durant is averaging 37.5 points over his last six games and has gone 41-of-42 from the free throw line in the last two contests. Westbrook nearly matched Durant with 36 points on Sunday and has gone over 30 points in four straight. Durant went for 35 points while Westbrook collected 23 and nine assists in a 117-111 overtime victory over Los Angeles on Nov. 21.
ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (32-10): Paul missed three straight games with a bruised kneecap but returned on Saturday and went for 22 points and 11 assists in a win over the Washington Wizards. The All-Star went 1-for-7 from the field in Monday’s 106-99 loss at Golden State, prompting coach Vinny Del Negro to tell reporters, “You could see he doesn’t have that extra burst like he usually has.” Paul will be a game-time decision for Tuesday. Aside from Paul’s performance, the big letdown Monday was by the defense, which allowed the Warriors to put up 33 points in the fourth quarter. Los Angeles is among the best teams in the NBA in terms of scoring defense and had held its previous two opponents under 90.
TRENDS:
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 8-2 in Thunder’s last 10 vs. NBA Pacific foes.
* Clippers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Thunder are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Los Angeles.
BUZZER BEATERS:
1. Oklahoma City has lost in each of its last four trips to face the Clippers.
2. Los Angeles F Blake Griffin scored 23 points in the first meeting and has averaged 21.3 points and 10 rebounds in nine career games against the Thunder.
3. Oklahoma City’s 13-6 road record is tied with the Clippers for tops in the Western Conference.
Two for Tuesday January 22, 2013 3:00 AM by GT Staff
2 for Tuesday by Richard Saber
1) Michigan State +5 at Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Just a great spot for the host Badgers, who are catching the Spartans off a huge home win against Ohio State. Line opened 4½ and moved up with the game in Madison. WISCONSIN.
2) Louisville -11½ at Villanova (Big East)
Rick Pitino really got his hair out of place in practice the last few days after the then No. 1 Cardinals lost at home as a 7-point chalk to Syracuse. Bad timing for Villanova. LOUISVILLE.
Richard Saber: Last week ATS: 0-2; 2013 record: 4-2.
2 for Tuesday by Mark Mayer
1) South Carolina +14½ at Missouri (SEC)
The Gamecocks are coming along under former K-State coach Frank Martin. They are 1-3 in the league, but their worst loss was by 7 to a good Vandy team. Can’t see Mizzou this big. S.CAROLINA.
2) Kentucky -3½ at Alabama (SEC)
The Wildcats are off double digit wins over Tennessee and Auburn. Calipari’s squad is showing signs of coming together. UK only lost by 3 at Louisville and Bama not in that class. KENTUCKY.
NCAA Basketball Play of the Day January 22, 2013 3:01 AM by GT Staff
Michigan State at Wisconsin -5½ at 4 p.m. PT ESPN
Wisconsin catches Michigan State in triple revenge mood and off their big win this past Saturday over Ohio State. Wisconsin has gone 7-2 ATS here in Madison against Michigan State.
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