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6 Unit Play. Take #518 Utah -2 over Indiana (9:35 p.m., Saturday, January 26 NBATV)
(Game of the Month) Tonight I'm looking for a better overall team game from the Jazz and I see big numbers being piled up by Paul Milsap and Al Jefferson. Both players had mediocre games last night against the Lakers but the Pacers don't have guys down low like Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol. Both teams are coming off bad losses as the Jazz lost last night to the Lakers on the road and the Pacers lost Wednesday night to the Blazers on the road. Both losses for both teams were by double-digits so tonight I see a hard fought game but I lean towards the small home favorite tonight. Salt Lake City is a hard place to steal a road victory winning 14 out of 18 home games and the Jazz have won 5-straight home games. If Utah can score in the high 90's tonight and keep the Pacers ?d? on their heels I see the Jazz coming out on top with ease. Utah is 5-1 ATS following a SU loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and the Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games playing a team with a winning home record.
2 Unit Play. Take 2564 Calgary -120 over Edmonton (10:05 p.m., Saturday January 26)
The Calgary Flames haven't tasted victory yet in this shorten young season but tonight at home I see the Flames getting their 1st 'W'. The Flames last year took 4 out of 6 games against Edmonton but and the Oilers took the last 2 meetings. The Flames have had great success at home against the Oilers wining 4 out of 5 games and with forwards Jiri Hudler set to make his debut tonight I see the Flames coming out on top.
Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Saturday, Jan 26 2013 6:00PM
615 Xavier, Ohio5.5(-110) Hilton vs 616 St. Joseph's double-dime bet
Analysis: St. Joe's has been overrated from the start. The Hawks have failed to cover in their last four lined home games with outright losses in their last two home contests to Butler and St. Bonaventure.
The Hawks also are 1-5 ATS in their la Ïst 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Xavier has the strong perimeter defense that can frustrate St. Joe's, which has been inconsistent all season. Xavier ranks No. 2 in the Atlantic 10 in defensive field goal percentage, 3-point defense and scoring defense giving up 60.8 points a game.
This is huge because St. Joe's heavily relies on its 3-point shooting. However, St. Joe’s is shooting 33.9 percent from the arc as a team. That's down from the 36.3 percent the Hawks shot last season. Three of their top four 3-point shooters are shooting worse than last season.
Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Saturday, Jan 26 2013 4:00PM
573 New Mexico4.5(-110) Hilton vs 574 San Diego St. double-dime bet
Analysis: This has become a real rivalry matchup. The Lobos have beaten the Aztecs twice in a row, knocking them off in San Diego, 77-67 last year, and then in the Mountain West Conference Tournament.
New Mexico has a higher RPI (No. 6) rating than San Diego State (which is 34th). The Lobos have covered eight of the last 10 times versus foes with a winning record. The Aztecs are 2-6 ATS in their past eight home games.
New Mexico has covered nine of the last 10 times on the road against the Aztecs. A key for the Lobos is they have a balanced attack with Kendall Williams and Tony Snell providing a good perimeter game to go with a strong frontcourt featuring 7-footer Alex Kirk, who didn't play last year due to back surgery, and 6-foot-9 Cameron Bairstow. The Mountain West is more of a perimeter league so the Lobos present uni Ïque matchup problems.
Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Saturday, Jan 26 2013 3:00PM
690 S. Dakota St-2.0(-110) Hilton vs 689 N. Dakota St double-dime bet
Analysis: This is an under-the-radar matchup where the home Jackrabbits should be more than a basket favorite. South Dakota State is 9-0 at home this season.
The Jackrabbits average 76.7 points at home, while holding foes to 66.3. North Dakota State is 6-4 on the road and averaging 64.3 points away from home.
South Dakota State is the superior free throw shooting team and is 8-3 ATS versus foes with a winning percentage above .600. North Dakota State, by contrast, is 3-7 ATS when its taken on foes with a Ï winning record.
Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Saturday, Jan 26 2013 6:00PM
615 Xavier, Ohio5.5(-110) Hilton vs 616 St. Joseph's double-dime bet
Analysis: St. Joe's has been overrated from the start. The Hawks have failed to cover in their last four lined home games with outright losses in their last two home contests to Butler and St. Bonaventure.
The Hawks also are 1-5 ATS in their la Ïst 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Xavier has the strong perimeter defense that can frustrate St. Joe's, which has been inconsistent all season. Xavier ranks No. 2 in the Atlantic 10 in defensive field goal percentage, 3-point defense and scoring defense giving up 60.8 points a game.
This is huge because St. Joe's heavily relies on its 3-point shooting. However, St. Joe’s is shooting 33.9 percent from the arc as a team. That's down from the 36.3 percent the Hawks shot last season. Three of their top four 3-point shooters are shooting worse than last season.
Stephen Nover | NBA Sides - Saturday, Jan 26 2013 9:35PM
518 UTA-2.0(-110) 5Dimes vs 517 IND double-dime bet
Analysis: Indiana is playing its third of four consecutive road games. The Pacers are 10-14 away from home and have a losing road spread record. Indiana averages less than 88 points on the road. Only one team averages less.
Utah is one of the top home-court teams. Utah is 14-2 in home games not involving the Clippers, surrendering less than 93 points per game in Salt Lake City.
The Jazz are particularly strong in their home high altitude versus Eastern Conference clubs winning 13 of the past 14 times. They are 5-0 at home versus Eastern teams this season with their average victory margin being 12 points. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS the last five times they've hosted Indiana.
Utah is playing well going 6-2 in its last eight games. The Jazz did lose to the Lakers on the road last night, one of the few times this season the Lakers actually showed up. But none of Utah's starters logged big minutes.
The Jazz have a big, physical fro Ðntline that won't be intimidated by the Pacers' pushing and shoving. The Jazz also have revenge for a 104-84 road loss to the Pacers on Dec. 19.
4.5-STAR Golden State +2 over MILWAUKEE - This is a matchup of teams which play the same style of basketball. The thing is that the Warriors are better at it and play in the better conference. They are healthy again here and should pick up a road win tonight.
You might think Golden State would struggle in these back-to-back situations but it's not the case. The Warriors are 9-0 ATS (9.6 ppg) since November 27, 2010 as a road dog on Saturday after playing on Friday. Also, the Warriors are 10-0 ATS (12.7 ppg) since January 15, 2012 when playing the second of back-to-back road games after losing the first.
Golden State lost last night, 104-87. They were led by David Lee with 23 points as Klay Thompson had 13. The Warriors are 14-0 ATS (9.7 ppg) since March 05, 2012 on the road after a loss in which Klay Thompson was not the Warriors' high scorer. Also, the Warriors are 8-0 ATS (7.4 ppg) since March 05, 2012 on the road after a loss in which David Lee was the Warriors' high scorer.
We mentioned the difference in conferences in the open and Milwaukee has struggled against Western teams. The Bucks are 0-8 ATS (-11.5 ppg) since January 22, 2011 at home when playing an isolated non-conference opponent (vs non-conf with two conf opponents before and after).
Milwaukee meanwhile seemed in control last night before falling to Cleveland 113-108. They led after each of the first three quarters and by 20 points before falling in that game. The Bucks are 0-6 ATS (-9.7 ppg) since November 22, 2006 with no rest off a loss in which they led at the end of each of the first three quarters. Also, the Bucks are 0-6 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since March 16, 2004 at home with at most one day of rest off a loss as a favorite in which they led by 10+ points.
Milwaukee was successful on threes in that game going 14-of-28 from beyond the arc. The Bucks are 0-8 ATS (-12.2 ppg) since March 24, 2010 at home after a game in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line.
That led to plenty of assists with 34 on 43 baskets. The Bucks are 0-8 ATS (-10.9 ppg) since December 29, 2007 after a road loss in which more than 70% of their baskets were assisted. Also, the Bucks are 0-7 ATS (-13.1 ppg) since March 22, 2012 after a game in which they had at least thirty assists.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Golden State 112, MILWAUKEE 101
4-STAR Chicago and Washington Under 185.5 - Washington has put up a couple of big scores recently but they've been in games against opponents not focused on defense. Chicago is a team which lives on defense. With both teams unrested we expect a low scorer here.
When these teams have played in Washington it has led to a streak of low scorers. The Wizards are 0-9 OU (-12.1 ppg) since April 15, 2007 at home versus the Bulls.
Washington won last night, 114-101 over Minnesota. They shot 57.8% of the field. The Wizards are 0-7-1 OU (-10.1 ppg) since April 13, 2009 at home after a win in which they shot at least 50% from the field. Washington was so hot there they only needed 10 points from the foul line. The Wizards are 0-9 OU (-10.7 ppg) since December 15, 2007 at home after a double digit win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
They were led by Jordan Crawford off the bench with 19 points as John Wall had 14. The Wizards are 0-5 OU (-22.9 ppg) since January 11, 2012 with no rest after a win in which John Wall was not the Wizards' high scorer.
Chicago won big last night, 104-87 over Golden State. That was despite have just 22 assists on 41 baskets. The Bulls are 0-11 OU (-10.6 ppg) since March 11, 2006 on the road with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points lower than their season-to-date average.
Chicago won 87-77 when these teams met in late December. Luol Deng, who is unlikely to play tonight, went 4-of-13 in that game. The Bulls are 0-12 OU (-10.8 ppg) since February 23, 2005 on the road after winning the previous matchup at home in which Luol Deng shot worse than 33% from the field.
Joakim Noah didn't do any better going 4-of-11 with nine points in that win. The Bulls are 0-6 OU (-13.5 ppg) since March 28, 2012 after winning the previous matchup in which Joakim Noah scored fewer than 10 points.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Chicago 89, WASHINGTON 85
4-STAR New York -3.5 over PHILADELPHIA - New York has found itself on the defensive end and their offense shouldn't be a problem here. Likely getting Ray Felton back gives another weapon and we look for them to come out sharp here.
New has done well in Philadelphia in recent seasons. The Knicks are 7-0 ATS (8.9 ppg) since January 24, 2009 on the road versus the Seventysixers.
New York is coming off a big 89-86 win in Boston. Their offense wasn't great in that game and they had just 12 assists on 32 baskets. The Knicks are 7-0 ATS (9.4 ppg) since February 02, 2008 with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which less than 40% of their baskets were assisted.
Philadelphia lost on Tuesday, 110-102 to Milwaukee. They had just 10 made free throws in that game. The Seventysixers are 0-10 ATS (-12.2 ppg) since December 14, 2001 at home with two or more days of rest after a road loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
Jrue Holiday was active in that game with 12 assists. The Seventysixers are 0-6 ATS (-6.8 ppg) since January 03, 2011 after a loss on the road in which Jrue Holiday had at least 10 assists.
However he also committed eight turnovers. The Seventysixers are 0-5 ATS (-22.3 ppg) since February 17, 2012 at home after a loss in which Jrue Holiday had at least 5 turnovers.
Evan Turner had a nice game there with 23 points including 4-of-7 on threes. The Seventysixers are 0-7 ATS (-10.3 ppg) since January 11, 2011 after a loss on the road in which Evan Turner shot better than 50% from the arc.
These teams haven't met since the first week of the season here where New York won 110-88. However Philly had jumped out to a 12-2 lead in that game. The Seventysixers are 0-7 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since February 05, 2009 when seeking revenge for a loss as a home favorite in which they led by double digits.
New York was led by Carmelo Anthony with 21 points. The Knicks are 6-0 ATS (9.6 ppg) since March 17, 2011 after winning the previous matchup on the road in which Carmelo Anthony was the Knicks' high scorer.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: New York 108, PHILADELPHIA 95
4-STAR HOUSTON -3 over Brooklyn - The Rockets had really been in a stretch of poor play but are breaking out of it. They played a dominating game in New Orleans last night and we see them building on it here against a road wary team.
Houston won last night, 100-82 in New Orleans despite committing 21 turnovers. Only eight of those were steals from the Hornets. The Rockets are 11-0 ATS (11.5 ppg) since January 09, 2008 after a win in which they has more than 10 refereed turnovers.
James Harden was the biggest culprit with eight turnovers. The Rockets are 5-0 ATS (10.4 ppg) since November 12, 2012 after a win in which James Harden had at least 5 turnovers.
Brooklyn meanwhile was crushed by Memphis last night 101-77. Prior to that they had won three straight games. The Nets are 0-7 ATS (-6.4 ppg) since February 14, 2007 as a dog with at most one day of rest off a loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak.
Deron Williams had just 12 points in that game as they were led by Brook Lopez with 18. The Nets are 0-6 ATS (-5.4 ppg) since February 04, 2012 with no rest after a loss in which Deron Williams was not the Nets' high scorer.
Coming off the bench, Kris Humphries had just two points but six boards in 19 minutes. The Nets are 0-6 ATS (-6.7 ppg) since April 21, 2012 after a loss in which Kris Humphries had more rebounds than points. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: HOUSTON 102, Brooklyn 92
2-Units Pick Take #64 Calgary (-1.25) over Edmonton (10 pm, Saturday, January 26)
1-Unit Pick Take #65 Nashville (-1.10) over Anaheim (10:35 pm, Saturday, January 26)
3-Unit Play. Take #506 Washington +1 over Chicago (7:05 p.m., Saturday January 26 NBATV)
Talk about a totally different team in Washington! The Wizards are play some outstanding basketball and the Wizards are coming off a big home win last night against the T-Wolves. The Wizards are playing well since John Wall has been back in the lineup and since Wall has been back Nene game has improved and the Wizards are also getting great bench play. The Bulls are hot as well but I believe the Wizards will make this game a fast pace game and with the Bulls still playing without Luol Deng again I see Washington pulling off the home upset. The Wizards have won 4-straight home games and two of those games the Wizards were home underdogs so again Washington covers this game, wins this game, and continue to play well because they are healthy.
5-Unit Play. #62 Take Phoenix Coyotes +125 over Los Angeles Kings (Saturday @ 8:05 pm est)
Game of the Week
The Kings were rewarded with a ticket to the Stanley Cup Finals for the first time in (19) seasons. What was impressive for Los Angeles last postseason is how they have trounced the better team's in the Western Conference. The defending Western Conference champion Vancouver Canucks lasted just five games and the St. Louis Blues were swept in four. Los Angeles was the first No. 8 seed to claim the Stanley Cup, but the Kings' level of dominance en route to the title was even more stunning. They went (16-4) in the postseason, missing a chance to tie the 1988 Edmonton Oilers for the fewest losses since the tournament expanded to need (16) wins in 1987 when the New Jersey Devils won twice to avoid elimination in the Final. We've seen more teams regress from unexpected playoff success than replicate that unexpected form in the past. And we have doubts that GK Jonathan Quick can be as dominating as he was when winning the Conn Smythe Trophy last spring, especially since he's off back disk surgery in the offseason. There was no love lost between these teams during the Western Conference Finals last season. The series ended in five games just seconds after the Kings' Dustin Brown hit Michal Rozsival after a whistle in overtime. Dustin Penner scored (12) seconds later as Coyotes captain Shane Doan barked at officials from the bench. This game will be played on a powder keg. Phoenix's HC Dave Tippett is very disciplined in how he approaches the game. Dave Tippett has proven he's one of the elite coaches in the NHL. He has helped Phoenix withstand roster losses and deal with distractions -- and, most importantly, figure out a way to outperform outside expectations. They place their emphasis on disciplined positioning and counterattacking to win games. The players apply the game plan and are rarely in the wrong spots. The Coyotes produced the most successful season in franchise history, having captured the first division title in the franchise's (32) year NHL history. The Coyotes won a playoff series for the first time since moving to the desert in 1996 and doubled the organization's series win total before losing to the eventual champs, the Los Angeles Kings, in the Western Conference Finals. Not many things are more dangerous than a hungry group of Coyotes in the desert night. ?Yotes? get their Payback on home ice.
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