2-9-13

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB S FLORIDA at VILLANOVA

Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (S FLORIDA) playing only their 3rd game in a week, with a losing record.
193-114 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.9% 67.6 units )
14-13 this year. ( 51.9% -0.3 units )

CBB NEBRASKA-OMAHA at IUPUI

Play On - A road team vs. the money line (NEBRASKA-OMAHA) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO) after 15+ games.
62-59 over the last 5 seasons. ( 51.2% 42.4 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% 4.1 units )

CBB LONG BEACH ST at CS-NORTHRIDGE

Play On - An underdog vs. the 1rst half line (LONG BEACH ST) after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games.
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% -2.3 units )

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Chicago Sports Connection

STRAIGHT BET Feb 09 NBA [506] DAL MAVERICKS -5-120 (B+½)
STRAIGHT BET Feb 09 NBA [508] MIL BUCKS -7-110

LARGE play on DALLAS as they are rested and play vs a GST team that is playing their 4th in 5 nights ,and are playing their last game of road trip....it's a very tough spot for them....especially since DALL is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 and are getting comfy during this 5 game homestand.
LARGE on DALLAS for Tincup

MEDIUM play on MILW because they are playing a DETR team that is playing their 5th in 7 nights.DETR beat the Spurs last night in Detroit ,so this could be a letdown spot also.
MILW-who beat DETR by 27 in DETR on 01-29- was on a good roll before this last 5 game stretch where they had 4 very tough games.
I forget the games now ,but I remeber them losing @ Denver + Utah and VS Chicago and @ NY also....
Good spot for a rebound effort here.

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Bob Balfe

Saturday Basketball 5 Pack

NBA

Kings -1

NCAAB

WVU -6.5

PSU +6.5

Cal Davis +7

Mich State -4.5

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JACK JONES
College Basketball Premium Picks

NCAA-B | Feb 09 '13 (1:00p) MISSISSIPPI vs Missouri	Missouri -6½-110 at 5dimes
15* SEC GAME OF THE DAY on Missouri -6.5 The Missouri Tigers will be looking to bounce back from a tough 68-70 loss at Texas A&M on Thursday. While they have struggled on the road all season, it has been a completely different story at home. Missouri is a perfect 13-0 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by a whopping 20.0 points/game. It is 5-0 at home in SEC play with four of its five wins coming by 14 points or more. Ole Miss is one of the most overrated teams in the country. That has shown in recent games as it has lost two of its last three once it took a step up in competition. The Rebels fell at home vs. Kentucky 74-87 on January 29th before going on the road and losing at Florida 64-78 on February 2nd. This play falls into a system that is 26-6 (81.2%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OLE MISS) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games. Missouri is 9-1 ATS in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games since 1997. Take Missouri Saturday.

NCAA-B | Feb 09 '13 (1:45p) Arkansas vs VANDERBILT	VANDERBILT +1½-106 at 5dimes
15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Vanderbilt +1.5 The Arkansas Razorbacks are in a huge letdown spot Saturday. I don't even expect them to show up at Vanderbilt after knocking off No. 2 Florida at home on Tuesay by a final of 80-69. They simply did everything right to win that game. It's human nature for a team like Arkansas to have a letdown following such a big win. I look for the Razorbacks to continue to struggle on the road in this one. They are 0-5 in true road games this season, getting outscored by 13.4 points/game. Off three straight losses by a combined six points, including two by exactly one point, the Commodores are clearly motivated for a victory Saturday. This team is the definition of a squad that is better than its record. I look for Vanderbilt to come out and prove that with a blowout home win over the Razorbacks here. Arkansas is 0-7 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. It is getting outscored by 14.7 points/game in this situation. The Razorbacks are 9-25 ATS in their last 34 games following a S.U. win. Arkansas is 18-45 ATS in its last 63 road games. Roll with Vanderbilt Saturday.

NCAA-B | Feb 09 '13 (2:00p) ST. JOSEPHS vs MASSACHUSETTS	MASSACHUSETTS -3-110 at BMaker
15* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE DAY on UMass -3 The UMass Minutemen should be a much bigger home favorite over the St. Joseph's Hawks Saturday. I'll gladly take advantage and back them in what I believe is going to be a blowout victory for the home team in this one. UMass is looking to boost its resume after a 15-6 start to the season. It cannot afford to lose this game if it wants to make the Big Dance, and it certainly knows it. At 13-8 on the season, the Hawks are basically just waiting for the Atlantic 10 Tournament to roll around as that is their only chance of getting in. The home team is a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in this series since 2010 with all five wins coming by 3 points or more, and four by 8 points or more. In both meetings last season, the home team rolled to 9 and 11-point victories. The Minutemen are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UMass is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less. The Hawks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bet UMass Friday.

-= TOP PLAY =-

NCAA-B | Feb 09 '13 (4:00p) Kansas vs Oklahoma	Kansas -3-110 at BetOnline
25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Kansas -3 The Kansas Jayhawks are going to be more motivated for a win Saturday than they have been all season. That's because they are coming off back-to-back losses with a home setback to Oklahoma State, and an embarrassing road defeat at TCU. You can bet your bottom dollar that the Jayhawks will be playing angry and with a chip on their shoulder Saturday as they travel to face the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners are not playing well themselves, losing two straight and four of six coming in. I look for Oklahoma to be overmatched once again in this one, just as it was the first time these teams got together on January 26th. Kansas rolled to a 67-54 home victory as a 12.5-point favorite in a game that wasn't even as close as the final score would indicate. Kansas has won 10 straight meetings with Oklahoma dating back to 2006. Each of its last eight wins in this series have come by 9 points or more, including seven by 11 or more. This has been a one-sided series to say the least, and it will continue to be that way Saturday. Bet Kansas Saturday.

NCAA-B | Feb 09 '13 (7:30p) MISSOURI ST vs WICHITA STATE	MISSOURI ST +16½-110 at BMaker
15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE DAY on Missouri State +16.5 The Missouri State Bears are one of the most underrated teams in the country. I have been riding them with a ton of success in Missouri Valley play, and I'm going to continue riding this money-maker Saturday night. Missouri State is an insane 11-1 ATS in conference play this season despite being just 5-7. The biggest reason this team is underrated is because bettors overlook them due to their 7-17 record on the season. However, this team is much better than its record would indicate, and that has been proven by its incredible ATS mark in MVC action. Wichita State is simply not as good as it is cracked up to be. The Shockers have been stunned in each of their last three games, going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS with losses to Indiana State, Northern Iowa and Southern Illinois. The Bears also enter this game with revenge in mind following their 52-62 home loss to Wichita State as an 11-point underdog on January 23rd. Missouri State has not lost to Wichita State by more than 15 points in any of their last 17 meetings dating back to 2006. That makes for a perfect 17-0 system backing the Bears pertaining to tonight's spread of 16.5. Roll with Missouri State Saturday.

NCAA-B | Feb 09 '13 (9:00p) Louisville vs NOTRE DAME

Total 128 un-110 at BMaker

15* Louisville/Notre Dame ESPN Saturday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 128 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between Louisville and Notre Dame. I fully anticipate a low-scoring, defensive battle in this one. Both teams will struggle to reach 60 points, and the first to it surely wins. The UNDER is 4-0 in Louisville's last 5 games overall. It has combined with its last four opponents for 125 points or less in each game, including an average of 116.5 points/game. Remarkably, six of the last 10 meetings between Louisville and Notre Dame have gone to overtime. I think that's a big reason why this total is inflated, and the chances of them going to OT again are slim to none. A look at both meetings last season and it's easy to see that there is a lot of value with the UNDER tonight. Notre Dame won the first meeting 67-65 (OT) in a game that was tied 50-50 at the end of regulation for 100 combined points. Louisville won the second 64-50 for 114 combined points. Notre Dame is 11-1 to the UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. We're seeing an average combined score of 114.0 points/game in this spot. Louisville is 16-1 to the UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 6-0 to the UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. These three trends combine for a 33-2 (94%) system backing the UNDER. Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA GOLDEN STATE at DALLAS

Play Against - Home favorites (DALLAS) double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road loss.
137-78 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.7% 51.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

NBA UTAH at SACRAMENTO

Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher.
46-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.7% 27.4 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% 2.4 units )

NBA DENVER at CLEVELAND

Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, with a losing record,
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )

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Hockey Crusher
New York Islanders -115 over Buffalo Sabres
(System Record: 10-0, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 10-8

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Basketball Crusher
Saint Joseph's +3 over Massachusetts
(System Record: 59-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 59-37-1

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Soccer Crusher
Boca Juniors + Quilmes UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 353-14, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 353-308-42

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Gold Medal Club Early Selections 09/02/2013
CBB:
#516 Wisconsin +2.5
#541 St. Josephs +3.5
#566 Portland -2.5
#683 South Dakota State -2.5

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special k 20* michigan

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PAUL LEINER

100* Creighton -10

50* Over 197 Jazz / Kings

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big Al
Vandy
Wichita st
Unlv
San Diego
Sacramento NBA

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Jimmy Boyd

5 Tennessee St +7

4 Kansas St -5
4 Dallas Mavericks -5.5

3 DePaul +15
3 UNLV -5
3 Nuggets / Cavaliers Over 215

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Todays Best Bets

Michigan -2 (5 UNITS)

Indiana State -12 (4 UNITS)

North Carolina +7.5 (3 UNITS)

Cincinnati -1 (5 UNITS)

Arizona State -2 (5 UNITS)

Notre Dame +5.5 (3 UNITS)

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Brandon Lang

60 DIME
ODDSMAKER ERROR

Northeastern Huskies