2-13-13

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JACK JONES
NBA Basketball Premium Picks

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NBA | Feb 13 '13 (7:05p) Charlotte Bobcats vs Indiana Pacers	Indiana Pacers -10-105 at 5dimes
25* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana Pacers -10 The Indiana Pacers will have no problem getting motivated to face the lowly Charlotte Bobcats tonight. This will be the final game for Indiana before the All-Star break, and it certainly wants to end on a positive note after what has transpired in the last few games. Indiana has lost its last two games in heartbreaking fashion to both Toronto and Brooklyn. Both losses came in overtime after the Pacers seemingly had the game won in the final seconds of regulation. Motivated to bounce back from those two defeats, I have no doubt the Pacers will roll tonight. Indiana is 20-5 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 7.7 points/game. Charlotte is just 5-20 on the road this season, getting outscored by a whopping 11.7 points/game. The Pacers beat the Bobcats in their previous meeting 103-76 on the road on January 15th. In fact, this has been a very one-sided series over the past few years. Indiana has won 11 of the last 12 meetings in this series with five of its last six victories coming by 14 points or more. The Bobcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Charlotte is 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win. The Bobcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games. The Pacers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. loss. Bet the Pacers Wednesday.

NBA | Feb 13 '13 (7:35p) Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets	Brooklyn Nets -1½-110 at 5dimes
15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Brooklyn Nets -1.5 The Denver Nuggets are in as tough of a spot tonight as you will find in the NBA. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days after losing in Toronto last night. The Nuggets are clearly fatigued, and making matters worse for them is their injury problems. Both Andre Iguodala and Danilo Gallinari sat out last night, and each is questionable to return tonight. Also, Javale McGee is doubtful, while Wilson Chandler is questionable. These are four key contributors for Denver. Deron Williams is expected to miss tonight's game for Brooklyn, but it proved it could win without him on Monday as it went into Indiana and came away with an 89-84 victory. Williams has been hobbled all season and he really hasn't been himself anyway. The Nuggets are just 11-17 on the road this season. The Nets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic Division foes. The home team has won four straight and six of the last seven meetings in this series. Take the Nets Wednesday.

NBA | Feb 13 '13 (8:05p) Portland Trailblazers vs New Orleans Hornets	Portland Trailblazers +5½-110 at betus
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 The Portland Trail Blazers are showing some of their best value of the season as a road underdog to the lowly New Orleans Hornets tonight. After falling to 25-27 on the season with four straight road losses coming in, the Blazers will certainly be motivated for a victory tonight. Portland cannot afford to lose any more ground on the 8th and final playoff spot in the West. This is its chance to go into the All-Star break on a high note, and I look for it to be giving 110% effort to try and get this victory tonight. New Orleans (18-34) has no business being favored here. It is getting too much respect for its win at Detroit last time out. It is just 8-15 SU & 10-13 ATS in all home games this season. Portland simply owns New Orleans in this head-to-head series. It has won five straight meetings with the Hornets dating back to last season. The Blazers have averaged 102.5 points in their last five games and should be able to find open looks against New Orleans, which has allowed 101.9 points per game over its last 13. This play falls into a system that is 26-7 (78.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off a road win by 10 points or more. New Orleans is 2-16 ATS in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Roll with Portland Wednesday.

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College Basketball Premium Picks

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NCAA-B | Feb 13 '13 (8:00p) TENNESSEE vs VANDERBILT	VANDERBILT -1-110 at BMaker
20* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Vanderbilt -1 The Vanderbilt Commodores are showing solid value as only a 1-point home favorite over the Tennessee Volunteers Wednesday night. This is an in-state rivalry that is always played closer to the vest. That's why I have no doubt Vanderbilt is going to be laying it all on the line to get a win in this one. The Commodores lost a heartbreaker to the Vols in their first meeting this season, dropping a 57-58 decision at Tennessee on January 29th as an 8.5-point dog. Tennessee is one of the most overrated teams in the country. It is just 1-6 in true road games this season. Home-court advantage has certainly been huge in this series recently. The home team has won three straight and five of the last six meetings. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Vanderbilt is 6-0 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. It is winning in this spot by an average of 14.9 points/game. The Commodores are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

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Northcoast Community Line:

5* New Mexico (large play)
4* Miami OH
4* Oregon St
3* Tulane
3* West Virginia

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Daily NHL Shots on Goal February 13, 2013 6:15 AM by Nick Pellegrino

Ottawa Senators (+160), at Pittsburgh

Results 2013 NHL Tue (3-1-0) Overall Record: 31-39-0

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GamingToday’s Consensus Picks February 13, 2013 6:29 AM by GT Staff

NBA Basketball

Minnesota Timberwolves -1½

Portland Trailblazers +5

Dallas Mavericks -10½

NCAA Basketball

Boston College -5½

St. Bonaventure +3

Florida State +6

U Conn +4

Toledo +4

Evansville +1

Texas +1½

Auburn +1

Colorado State -4


Results

2012-13 NBA Tues (2-5-0) Overall Record: 177-183-4

2012-13 NCAA BK Tues (4-1-0) Overall Record: 156-187-6

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Wunderdog Free Pick

Game: North Carolina at Duke (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: North Carolina +11.5 (-110)
This is always an intensely physically played game, and I expect nothing different tonight. These teams meet twice every year during the regular season. Regardless of who has the better team, the Tar Heels have almost always managed to stay in it. They have suffered just one loss of more than 11 points since the 2002-03 season. Under Roy Williams, North Carolina is 43-18 ATS when coming off a loss and 55-36 ATS vs. top-level teams (those at .800 or better). Cameron Indoor Stadium is a tough place to play, but the Heels have experienced this so many times, and have a great track record as they have gone 6-1 ATS in the last seven trips. Take North Carolina.

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JACK JONES
College Basketball Premium Picks

NCAA-B | Feb 13 '13 (7:00p) NEBRASKA vs INDIANA U	NEBRASKA +24-110 at SIA
15* Big Ten GAME OF THE NIGHT on Nebraska +24 The Nebraska Cornhuskers are simply catching way too many points against the Indiana Hoosiers tonight. I believe Nebraska is one of the most underrated teams in the country, and it will be a profit maker from here on out. While Nebraska is just 3-8 SU in Big Ten play, it is a very profitable 7-4 ATS in those 11 contests. It has not been prone to the blowout, either. It has not lost any of its last 10 Big Ten games by more than 19 points. It is 3-1 ATS in its last three games overall, which includes blowout victories over Northwestern (64-49) and Penn State (67-53). Indiana remains the No. 1 team in the country, which means it has a big target on its back. Off a huge 81-68 win at Ohio State on Sunday, the Hoosiers are certainly in a letdown spot tonight as they return home to face Nebraska. They won't be motivated enough to win this game by 24-plus point. This play falls into a system that is 72-36 (66.7%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet on home favorites of 20 or more points (INDIANA) - red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=50% of their shots. This play falls into another system that is 74-35 (67.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 20 or more points (INDIANA) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games. Indiana is 0-6 ATS after a game being called for 10+ less fouls than opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Hoosiers are 8-19 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more since 1997. Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games. Take Nebraska Wednesday.

NCAA-B | Feb 13 '13 (7:00p) DePaul vs NOTRE DAME	DePaul +11½-110 at betus
15* Big East GAME OF THE NIGHT on DePaul +11.5 The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are in a huge letdown spot tonight. They're coming off a 5 Overtime thriller Saturday, outlasting Louisville 104-101. Off such a huge win over a Top 10 team, the Irish will have a very hard time showing up tonight against DePaul. The Irish will also find it hard to show up for this game considering they just beat DePaul on the road 79-71 (OT) on February 2nd less than two weeks ago. They clearly won't bring the kind of effort it takes to put away the Blue Demons by double-digits. Conversely, DePaul comes in highly motivated to avenge that overtime loss to rival Notre Dame. It also is hungry for a victory following eight straight losses in Big East play, five of which have come by 11 points or less. The Blue Demons will have no problem getting up to face the rival Irish tonight. This has been a very closely-contested rivalry throughout the years. 10 of the last 12 meetings in this series have been decided by 11 points or less, including six of the last seven being decided by 10 points or fewer. This play falls into a system that is 25-6 (80.6%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (DEPAUL) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games. DePaul is 11-3 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Notre Dame is 15-29 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. The road team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings dating back to 2008. Roll with DePaul Wednesday.

NCAA-B | Feb 13 '13 (11:00p) Oregon vs WASHINGTON U

WASHINGTON U -2-102 at 5dimes

15* Oregon/Washington Late-Night BAILOUT on Washington -2 The Washington Huskies will be highly motivated for a victory tonight against the Oregon Ducks. I look for them to roll to a blowout home victory Wednesday because of it. Washington has lost two straight and six of its last seven coming in with five of those losses coming by single-digits. That includes a 76-81 loss at Oregon on January 26th, which has the Huskies motivated for revenge. Oregon is ripe for the picking right now as it has lost three of its last four with its only victory coming at home over lowly Utah 73-64 as a 13-point favorite. It lost at Stanford 52-76, at Cal 54-58 and home vs. Colorado 47-48. Home-court advantage has been absolutely huge in this series between Washington and Oregon over the last few years. The home team has gone a perfect 7-0 SU in the last 7 meetings dating back to 2011, winning each time by 4 points or more. The Ducks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Oregon is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Washington is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. These last five trends combine for a perfect 28-0 system backing the Huskies. Bet Washington Wednesday.

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EastCoastCapper:

Vandy -2
Northern Iowa +2.5
Air Force +3.5

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Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: San Diego State at Colorado State Feb 13 2013 10:00PM
Prediction: Colorado State
Reason: My 10* MWC Game of the Month is on Colorado St at 10:00 ET




Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: UNLV at Air Force Feb 13 2013 9:00PM
Prediction: Air Force
Reason: My 10* Club-80 Play is on Air Force at 9:00 ET.

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Kelso 100 unit

Wichita State -14.5

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Bryan Leonard | CBBSides - Wednesday, Feb 13 2013 10:00PM
810 Colorado St. -5.5 vs 809 San Diego St. double-dime bet

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Joe Gavazzi | NBA Sides - Wednesday, Feb 13 2013 7:05PM
705 CHL 11.0 vs 706 IND double-dime bet

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Powerplay Wins

Texas A&M +1

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VSI-LOST LAST 7 PLAYS

6 Unit Play. Take #718 New Orleans -5 over Portland (8:05 p.m., Wednesday, February 13)
(Game of the Month) Why do we like the Hornets at home tonight? Because the Blazers defense couldn't stop a Division II college offense right now! The Blazers defense has given up an average of 112.5ppg in their last 4 games and last night the Heat offense easily threw up 117 points against the Blazers ?D?. The Hornets have won 3 out of 4 games and the Hornets have also won 5 out of 7 home games. The Hornets probably get back Eric Gordon tonight as well since New Orleans hasn't played since Monday so this should help the offense of New Orleans. Portland is 1-7 ATS after their opponent scores 100 points or more in their last game and the Blazers are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. New Orleans is 10-4 ATS against Western Conference teams and tonight look for the Mardi Gras crowd to give the Hornets the extra push to bring home another home victory. Tonight we snap out of our NBA losing streak and cash our Game of the Month.

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DAVID BANKS BEST BET

February 13,2013

Houston Rockets vs. Los Angeles Clippers The Los Angeles Clippers (37-17, 30-24 ATS) are in a tough scheduling spot for several reasons when they return home to host the Houston Rockets (28-25, 28-24-1 ATS) at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, CA on Wednesday night at 10:30 ET on NBA TV. First, the Clippers are playing their first home game following an eight-game road trip, which is already a lethargic spot in and of itself and they will be doing it with only one day off after playing on the east coast in Philadelphia on Monday. Second, they could already have an eye on a big date with the Lakers on Thursday. And third, they are playing probably the worst possible team stylistically for a team in the Clippers' situation.That is because the Rockets play at the fastest pace in the NBA, in fact leading the league with a tempo rating of 98.6 possessions per game, which is almost one whole possession more than the second place team in that category, the Denver Nuggets at 97.7 possessions. Houston combines that fast pace with good shooting, ranking sixth in the league in field goal percentage at 46.2 percent and ninth in three-point percentage at 36.6 percent, and it also boasts the fifth leading scorer in the NBA in All-Stat James Harden, as "The Beard" is averaging 26.2 points in his first year as a starter after being the top sixth man in the NBA with Oklahoma City the last several years. Add all of this up and the Rockets are now up to second in the NBA in scoring with 106.1 points per game, and they are drawing ever so closer to the first place Oklahoma City Thunder (106.4). You can bet that the Rockets' game plan will be to run as much as possible given how much the Clippers have been traveling lately, which is what Houston normally likes to do anyway.Now the Clippers do have the defense on paper to slow the Rockets down, as they rank fourth in the NBA in both points allowed at 93.5 per game and field goal percentage allowed at 43.5 percent, as well as ranking sixth in defensive efficiency. The question though is will they have the legs to slow Houston down? Teams returning home from long road trips, especially following cross-country flights, often start that first home game sluggishly, and if that happens here, the Rockets can run their way to a big early lead. If that happens, the Clippers may not have the same resiliency that they normally would to fight back due to the combination of tired legs and wanting to save themselves for the Lakers on Thursday, so they may clear the bench early if facing a big deficit. The Rockets are also playing with revenge as Los Angeles went into Houston on January 15th and came away with the 117-109 road win.The Clippers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games following a road trip of seven or more games, while the Rockets are 14-4 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Los Angeles.
Pick: HOUSTON ROCKETS +10.5

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Dave Price

7* Florida State +6.5

6* Texas Tech +12.5
6* Air Force +3
6* Minnesota Timberwolves -2