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There is obviously no NBA today due to the All-Star Festivities underway. Here is Today's College Basketball picks to NBA clients just to say thank you. We've been on a bit of a down tick in the NBA as we approach the half way point of the season and will work towards turning it around the second half for a strong push that we are capable of. Thanks for trust and patronage as always:
3-Unit Play. #806. Take Dartmouth +10 over Princeton (Friday @ 7pm est).
3-Unit Play. #807. Take Penn +11.5 over Harvard (Friday @ 7pm est).
3-Unit Play. #809. Take Wisconsin-Milwaukee +10.5 over Youngstown State (Friday @ 7pm est).
Friday Night Lights are always interesting and fun in college basketball. For as long as I've been doing this, it works well with the Underdog style of play that we do as Friday's are heavy public wagering days on favorites and therefore because there are only so many games on the board as it is a travel and rest day for most teams, it makes for a good opportunity for the public to get buried and buried behind the eight-ball before Saturday even begins. Fridays in general are great days to take underdogs. We look motivation as our standard bearer in games and such is the case here here with Dartmouth at home catching points against Princeton. Sure, Princeton is the better team but this game is expected to reach 120 and for us to be given 1/12th of the points before the game even starts in what is a rivalry game is worth it. Dartmouth is a very young team gaining confidence as well. Though they are 6-14 overall right now, they are 4-3 since early January and come off a bad loss to Cornell on the road they would like to forget. This is a team that hung tough Harvard on the road and lost in overtime who is the standard bearer of this conference for some time. I like Dartmouth here to hang tough and to continue to play good basketball and to keep this game likely in the single digits. The Tigers or Princeton are 0-4 ATS when facing teams with a winning percentage of less than 40% meaning they do not cover large spreads well. And the Big Green of Dartmouth are 4-1-1 ATS coming off a straight up loss. Penn is the type of dog that I love to play. Its beautiful. You have a team here that is 5-17, facing a 13-7 team, a public fade on a Friday Night to boot which makes it appealing for us. Penn will likely get no post-season and they are going no where as it relates to big upcoming games. So, this is their playoff or postseason game if you will. They get to play a dominant squad such as Harvard who they have been a little born thorn to for quite some time. Penn has covered the last 4 of 6 times these two teams have played and though they are 5-17, they recently crushed Brown at home to get some confidence and although I am a bit worried they might have a let down, I do think they get up for this game. This is the same team that lost to Temple by 7 points on the road, Princeton by 12 on the road, Butler by 13 on the road and a good LeHigh team by 7 on the road. I like Penn to hang tough in a game that is expected to go to 132 and wouldn't be surprised if they come through in a backdoor. Sure Harvard comes off a loss but Harvard is likely looking ahead to a date with Princeton on the horizon in their next game. Finally, Wisconsin-Milwaukee is a nice underdog for us to look at today. This is a team that lost to Youngstown State by just 3 points at home and sure that doesn't necessarily mean they will be competitive on the road against a State team who will look to flex their muscle today. But, only 135 points are expected here and for a WM team that just beat Loyola Chicago and has a senior and junior leading the way and facing a State team that has dropped 3 of its last 4, its not a far cry to say that WM hangs in there after starting off the game slow. State also has an important date with Wisconsin Green Bay on the horizon who is one of the better teams in conference play and its hard to expect them to get up for this game. The Penguins of Youngstown State are 0-3-1 ATS when facing teams with a winning percentage of 40% of better (meaning they struggle to cover larger spreads against weaker teams) and the Penguins are 3-12-2 ATS covering on Friday Night games as they are typically public favorites on such limited Friday Night cards and typically lead to a public loss.
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball There is obviously no NBA today due to the All-Star Festivities underway. Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey 3 Straight Winning Days on the Ice, 4-0 Run, 7-2 Run and we look to keep it going today:
3-Unit Play. #55. Take Philadelphia Flyers +125 vs. New Jersey (Friday @ 7:05 pm est) The New Jersey Devils are an opportunistic, defensive-oriented team and they put themselves in position to clinch their fifth trip to the Stanley Cup Final last season. After their surprise run to the Stanley Cup Final, the Devils bid farewell to team captain Zach Parise, who signed a 13-year contract with Minnesota. The coaching staff also took some hits with the departures of highly respected assistants Adam Oates, who was hired as Washington coach, and Larry Robinson, who took an assistant job with San Jose. An old rival show up at the Prudential Center on Friday Night and they are going to be in a very bad mood. The Boys from the "City of Brotherly Love" have a score to settle after the Devils sent them packing in last season's Stanley Cup Playoffs. Goaltender Ilya Bryzgalov was brought in prior to last season and signed to a nine-year contract with the hope he could solve the franchise's long-term quest for stability in the net. Though Bryzgalov played well at times, he was wildly inconsistent on and off the ice. Look for Philadelphia to get some revenge and shock the Devils!
Manhattan +2.5 8 units
8 Unit Play Take #816 Manhattan +2.5 over Iona (7:00pm est):
One of the biggest mysteries early this season in all of CBB was what was wrong with the Manhattan Jaspers? Returning all five starters from last year's biggest surprise team in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference, most predicted that this group would only improve in 2nd year head coach Steve Masiello's system. That wasn't the case early on this season as a few key injuries combined with a fairly tough schedule and overall poor play led to a slow start for this group. Things finally started to fall into place a few weeks back despite the fact they lost two very tough games on the road against two quality foes at Niagara and Canisius, losing both road games by just four points each. A road win at Rider and three straight victories, the last being the most impressive on the road versus Fairfield has the Jaspers playing as well as they have all season long right now. They rank first in the conference in two point defensive field goal percentage, a sure sign this team is playing much better than their 7-7 conference record. Now they come home here with ESPNU in town and what's expected to be a very enthusiastic crowd to face one of their top rivals here in this one.
Iona comes in losers of three of their last four games overall and also three of their last four on the road. Iona hasn't looked very good away from home in conference play most of this season with losses at St. Peter's, at Rider, at Niagara and at Canisius. Not an easy spot here as the Gaels also must go on the road this coming Monday and face off against one of the top conference teams at Fairfield in what should be another huge conference contest. This should be a battle of strength on strength here in this one as Iona is known as the top offensive school in league play but usually it's the defense that wins these kinds of battles.
Perfect spot for a Manhattan team here at home in what is a big Friday night home game and one that they know they must win. It's also "white out" night here in this one as everyone on campus knows just how big this game is overall. The betting market is grading this team more on their season long resume when the reality is this team is nothing like the team they were back a few months ago. If you throw those games out and focus just how this team has played the last six weeks or so you notice a much better team all around. Manhattan should be able to shut Iona down and get the win here in this one. Take Manhattan here in this game. Big weekend on tap as Saturday CBB is where I have made my mark here in 2013 with a record of 15-6 overall for this particular day. With so many games too choose from let me find the one's where the books are making their biggest mistakes. Lots of games going tomorrow that I like and should overall be another profitable day on the CBB hardwoods. Keep in mind that I have had four perfect Saturday's already so far this year and this is also with multiple plays of two or more on each card.
2-Unit Pick Take #55 Philadelphia (+1.25) over New Jersey (7pm, Friday, February 15)
1-Unit Pick Take #57 Anaheim (+1.05) over Detroit (7:35pm, Friday, February 15)
1-Unit Pick Take #61 St.Louis (-1.20) over Calgary (9pm, Friday, February 15)
OT included. Detroit has allowed 36 goals in 13 games. Not terrible but it does mask a current issue. The Red Wings are allowing far too many quality scoring chances and against this group of sharpshooters it could spell trouble. The Wings aren’t scoring as much as previous years either. They miss the presence of Tomas Holstrom in front of the net in addition to the 30 minutes that Nicklas Lindstrom logged every night for 20 years. For the first time in years, the Red Wings are not a lock to make the playoffs.
Because the Ducks play on the West Coast, we’re not sure people realize how good this team really is. 12 games in and the Ducks are 9-2-1. They rank among the leaders in both goals scored and goals against and it’s not like they’ve played an easy schedule either. Anaheim opponents win % sits at .626, making it the most difficult in the league. The Ducks can win shootouts as they did in recent 6-5 and 7-4 wins over St. Louis and Los Angeles respectively. They can win tight games as they displayed in recent 3-1 and 2-1 wins over Minnesota and San Jose. As a pooch against a team that is struggling defensively like the Red Wings, there is nothing but value on this unheralded visitor.
Dallas +171 over VANCOUVER
OT included. After a slightly shaky start, the Canucks have shot up the standings with six straight wins, outscoring their opposition by a sick 19-6 combined. However, a close look reveals that only one team in the group that Vancouver disposed of is currently above .500. That’s not to knock the Canucks. They’re certainly among the elite teams but in this season of parity and unpredictability, the price in this one will dictate the play.
Dallas is coming off a 7-4 loss to the Flames but the score is worse than the performance. Backup goaltender Richard Bachman was simply awful, allowing six goals on 16 shots before getting yanked. Dallas scored four times on 34 shots. Prior to that, the Stars had won five of six games and they’re one of only two clubs to defeat the Ducks this season. Winning in Vancouver is not an easy task but Dallas is a quality club that has scored 17 times over it last five games and that is very capable of defeating anyone on a given night. For this one, the reward outweighs the risk.
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