2-21-13

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JACK JONES

College Basketball Premium Picks

NCAA-B | Feb 21 '13 (7:00p) GEORGIA vs Arkansas	Arkansas -10-103 at 5dimes
15* Georgia/Arkansas ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Arkansas -10 The Arkansas Razorbacks (16-9) are making a nice push here of late to stake their claim in an NCAA Tournament bid. They have won four of their last five, including home wins over Tennessee (73-60), Florida (80-69) and Missouri (73-71) to really boost their resume. They realize they need to finish out the season strong to make the Big Dance so they have every reason to be motivated tonight. Off back-to-back losses to Alabama (45-52) at home and Ole Miss (74-84) on the road, the Georgia Bulldogs have little to play for. They had won five straight prior, but now all of their momentum is gone. I look for them to suffer a hangover effect because of it and to simply just play out their season and look forward to the SEC Tournament. They aren't "in the now" mentally like the Razorbacks are. Arkansas has been one of the best home teams in the country all season. It is 15-1 at home this year while outscoring opponents by a whopping 17.7 points/game. Georgia is just 3-7 in all road games this season, scoring a mere 59.0 points/game. It won't be able to keep up with a Razorbacks team that is scoring 83.7 points/game at home this year. The Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games. The Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Arkansas is 8-1 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Take Arkansas Thursday.

NCAA-B | Feb 21 '13 (8:15p) PENN STATE vs Illinois	PENN STATE +16-103 at 5dimes
15* Big Ten GAME OF THE NIGHT on Penn State +16 The Penn State Nittany Lions are way undervalued heading into this game with the Illinois Fighting Illini. That's because they are winless in Big Ten play despite coming so close so many times. There's no question this team is going to continue to fight to try and earn that first conference victory, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them get it tonight as a 16-point road underdog at inconsistent Illinois. Penn State has shown that it is not going to throw in the towel. It has gone 2-0 ATS in its last two games with a 72-74 home loss to Iowa as an 8-point underdog, and an impressive 71-79 loss at Michigan as a 22-point dog. There's no way this team should be catching this big of a number against the Fighting Illini tonight. Illinois comes in overvalued due to its current four-game winning streak which includes victories over Indiana, Minnesota, Purdue and Northwestern. With Michigan on deck, this is a big letdown spot for the Illini as they'll simply be overlooking the Nittany Lions. Remember, this is the same Illini team that has ugly losses to Purdue (61-68), Minnesota (67-84), Wisconsin (51-74), Northwestern (54-68) and Michigan (60-74) on its resume. I have no doubt the Nittany Lions can hang tonight. Illinois is 0-7 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. As you can see, it tends to let down and not play well following a blowout home win. I look for that to be the case against tonight. Roll with Penn State Thursday.

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NBA Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

NBA | Feb 21 '13 (10:35p) San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Clippers

Total 200½ un-105 at 5dimes

20* Spurs/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 200.5 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this match-up between two of the top three teams in the Western Conference in the San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Clippers. This is a high-profile game that will bring out the best in both teams defensively. That has certainly been the case when these teams have gotten together in recent meetings. The Clippers and Spurs have combined for 201 or fewer points in six straight meetings dating back to their playoff series last year. The two meetings this season alone have been very low-scoring. Los Angeles beat San Antonio at home 106-84 on November 7th for 190 combined points. The Clippers also beat the Spurs on the road 92-87 on November 19th for 169 combined points. These teams have combined to average just 179.5 points/game in two meetings this season, and 189.2 points/game in their last six meetings. Both Chris Paul and Tony Parker tend to struggle when they play one another, which is huge for the UNDER. Parker had a season-low four points on 2-of-7 shooting in a 106-84 loss at Staples Center on Nov. 7, and scored 11 in a 92-87 home defeat Nov. 19. Parker also shot just 36.1 percent while averaging 17.3 points in the four-game sweep of the Clippers in the second round of last season's playoffs. Paul scored 12.8 per game on 36.8 percent shooting in that series. The UNDER is 11-2-2 in Spurs last 15 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 12-4 in Clippers last 16 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 41-20 in Clippers last 61 Thursday games. The UNDER is 19-4-1 in the last 24 meetings in Los Angeles. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

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Paul Leiner

100* Spurs / Clippers Over 200

50* Oregon-5

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Randy Vegas

NBA : Spurs/Clips Under 200 10u
CBB : Uconn +1 5u
NHL : Flyers/Panthers Over 5.5 5u

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JDWarriors5
2/21


Spurs/Clippers over 200 (-105)

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Robert Ferringo

2* San Francisco, San Diego
1* Georgia, Temple, Delaware

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Chicago Syndicate

Big East Game of the Year - Uconn +1

Top - Under Duke

Reg - Under Heat, Over Georgia

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LA Syndicate

Top - Spurs, BYU, Utah U

Reg - Oregon, Uconn

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball


Nice 3-0 Sweep yesterday, 4 of 5 winning days 8-2 run including the 5* GOTW Winner yesterday on the Under in the Ohio State/Wisconsin game. We expected a 10 point cover and we got it.

4-Unit Play. #529. Take California +5.5 over Oregon (Thursday @ 9pm est).

4-Unit Play. #523. Take Colorado -12.5 over Utah (Thursday @ 10pm est).

Coach Montgomery apologized for his conduct regarding pushing a player and I suspect that his team will rally behind him today. California is having a good season but though he let the heat of the moment get to him, all coach was doing was to inspire and to get his player's head into the game. It was taken the wrong way by man though but the player himself in question does not have a problem with it and this team is ready to move on. Sure this team beat Oregon earlier this year and Oregon does have revenge but an event like that which gets national attention brings teams together. California is a good team that can win this game outright and I suspect the oddsmakers know that Cal can rally together whereas this line should be 7.5 I suspect is 5.5 for this very reason. I've always believed the 5.5 line favors the underdog and I believe that is the case here as well. This is the same Cal team that beat Arizona on the road who is a top 15 team, same team that beat UCLA at home by double-digits, sports a top 100 turnover percentage and are led by juniors. For as good as Oregon is, they are outside the top 200 when it comes to turnover percentage. I like Cal to rally here and to do well despite Oregon with revenge and with the option of winning outright in a low scoring game, the points are useful as well. Finally, though I am not a huge fan of laying this many points, Colorado is the better team here and they are likely irritated from losing to Utah earlier this year. Wanting to avoid getting swept by the Utes in a season series, look for Colorado to step-up and in particularly coming off a loss as well look for them to step at home. Tad Boyle's team is 17-8 and the last time they lost, they went on the road to defeat Oregon Outright by a point. This team beat Arizona by 13 and Stanford by 21 so they are certainly capable of beating Utah by double-digits. I have them winning by 15+ this evening for the cover. Utah is still a very young team and if they can lose by 18 to Oregon State, they can certainly look to lose by a similar margin here against Colorado who has revenge.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball


4-Unit Play. #602. Take Under 186.5 Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls (Thursday @ 8:05pm est).

These two teams are familiar with each other and this is a huge benchmark game for the Bulls. Imagine how deep these Bulls are. Without Rose, this team has still managed to remain relevant in the East and that speaks volume to Coach T and what he has done with the Bulls. Its a format of taking what he learned with Boston and installing it in Chicago and he has done a great job with it. The Heat come off having revenge against the Bulls and whenever the Heat have revenge they do so by on the defensive end. With this being one of just two games on the TNT docket tonight and in the NBA, don't be surprised to see the public get buried here taking the Over but rather this is a very competitive defensive type of contest with a playoff atmosphere. The Bulls certainly don't want an up-tempo transition game with Miami who is athleticism will be too great but I can see them taking this game into a half-court type of contest. The last 5 of 6 in this series have gone under the posted total and the Under is 5-1 for the Heat when they face a team with a straight up winning record and the Under is 5-1 for the Bulls as well when they face a team with a winning record.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey


Nice win with Colorado yesterday, let's keep rolling today:
4-Unit Play. #59. Under 5 Goals New York vs. Ottawa (Thursday @ 7:35 pm est)
This game is going to be about the ?Men between the Pipes?. These teams played a nerve racking seven-game series in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals last season, with the top-seeded Rangers beating the Senators (2-1) in Game 7. The Senators Craig Anderson was spectacular in the net during the playoff series only to be upstaged by counterpart Henrik Lundqvist. With injuries to star Defender Erik Karlsson and center Jason Spezza, the defense and goaltending must carry this Senators team if Ottawa is to survive. Rick Nash was the most important addition to the New York Rangers and arguably the best player to change NHL teams this offseason and the ?Blue Shirts? hoped he is the final piece to the Cup Puzzle. With Rick Nash now sidelined the ?Blue Shirts? looked punch-less in a loss to Montreal. The Under is (38-15-7) in the last (60) meetings, (8-2-6) in the last (16) meetings at the Scotiabank Place, Ottawa, Ontario with the Under (18-6-3) in Senators last (27) overall, (14-4-3) in Senators last (21) home games and (45-20-19) in Rangers last (84) road games.

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Robert Ferringo's Picks For NHL Hockey
4-Unit Pick Take #54 Washington (-1.05) over New Jersey (7 pm, Thursday, February 21)

Big game tonight in Washington with the Devils coming to town with a 9-3-4 record but haven't been that impressive over their last four games going 1-2-1 giving up thirteen goals during that span. Washington clicking scoring 15 goals before heading into New York last Sunday night losing 2-1 to the Rangers at the tail end of a road trip but still played well. The Cap's are fresh and were even giving the Thursday morning skate off after a couple of practices while I think we're seeing a Devils team that I think has hit a wall. Playing in this building has giving hall of famer Devils goalie Martin Brodeur trouble in his last three starts here with a 0-3 record with a high 5.25 goals against in his last three starts here. I will back the fresh and hungry Capitols.

2-Unit Pick Take Over (5.5) New York Islanders at Montreal (7:35, Thursday, February 21)

This total opened at 5.5 under minus a quarter then was played down a little only to move back up to heavy under money attached at about -1.45 to the under. I don't see it, Montreal has played to the under in four straight games but was on a 7-2 run to the over in their prior nine games. Montreal plays a up tempo style of hockey which the Islanders can match despite scoring just one goal in their last two games they did manage 13 in the three prior games. Montreal put a season low 18 shots on net in their last game vs Carolina which I think that total will grow tonight against a offensive minded Islanders team. The Islanders power play has been strong this year and while Montreal
man advantage has struggled lately they were blazing hot to start the year. I think we have good value with this nice take back here tonight.

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Jeff Scott (NBA)

TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

Miami -3 over CHICAGO: The heat seam to be able to turn off an on when they want to play. Well in this revenge spot and on national TV, this is one of those games that they will show up and play. Miami has won 8 in a row and that stretch has included road wins over Oklahoma City and Atlanta, plus double digit home wins over the Clippers and San Antonio. Yes this game is on the road, but Chicago has not really been all that great at home, going just 15-12 SU and while they play great defense at home (88.9 ppg), they don't really score all that well, putting up just 91.8 ppg. I feel that Miami and the hot shooting James will come out and look to dominate this game from the beginning and in the end they should win this one by at least 10 points.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAY

Clippers/ Spurs Over 200

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Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Arkansas/ Georgia Over 132.5: This game is similar to when Georgia visited Ole Miss.That game went to OT, but still 140 points were scored in regulation, because Georgia ran with the Rebels and I expect them to be in another uptempo game here. Georgia has scored 68.3 ppg in their last 3 road games and Arkansas allows 66.3 ppg at home, so we can expect the mid 60’s at least from the Dawgs. Arkansas comes in averaging 82.5 ppg on their home floor and they have scored at least 73 points in each of their last 5 SEC home games. Georgia has played some good defense this year, but they have allowed 67 ppg on the road and let’s remember that the Hogs put up 80 points on a very tough Florida defense on this floor. I do not see the Hogs being held under 70 points in this one. 75-65 sounds about right for this one.

ST MARY'S -8 over BYU: The Cougars have won 2 in a row, but are not playing all that well right now. They have been 8 or more point faves in their last 4 games and are just 2-2 SU & 0-4 ATS in those games. In their last game they beat Utah State at home by just 2 points and prior to that they beat Portland State by just 14 and were outplayed in the second half. Now they travel to take on a St Mary's squad, who's only home loss on the year was by 17 points to Gonzaga. Despite that crushing loss and the fact that the Gaels are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games, they have still outscored opponents by 18.2 ppg on their home floor this year. The Gaels score 80.7 ppg on 50.3% shooting at home and that is really not good news for a BYU squad that has allowed 72.8 ppg on 46.7% shooting away from home. The Cougars have really struggled on defense overall of late, allowing 78.7 ppg on 47% shooting in their last 5 games, and as I stated they were pretty sizeable favorites in 4 of those 5 games. St Mary's won by just 1 point at BYU earlier in the year, but I feel that the are playing much better than the Cougs right now and will win this one by DD.

Stanford/ Oregon State Under 147.5: Only reason I see that this OU line is this high is because the first meeting put up 154 points, but generally the 2nd game in a season series tends to be a bit lower scoring. Oregon State home games have averaged 143.8 ppg and just 2 of their Pac-12 games overall have put up more than tonight's total. Stanford road games have averaged just 138.2 ppg and they also have had 2 Pac-12 games this year go over tonight's total. Stanford's offense has struggled some on the road as they average 68.4 ppg on 41.1% shooting. They really don't shoot well on the road and OSU allows just 40.3% shooting at home, while allowing 68.3 ppg. Oregon State has averaged 75.5 ppg at home, but Stanford allows 68.8 ppg on the road and they have allowed 65 points or less in 6 of their last 10 games. Both teams do play uptempo, but I feel that tonight's the defenses will play better than the first meeting.

3 TEAM 8 POINT TEASER--- St Mary's PK, Utah +20.5 & Temple +8


OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAY

Drexel/ Delaware Over 130

Utah/ Colorado Under 123.5

Duke/ Virginia Tech Under 147


1 UNIT PLAYS

Temple Pk over LaSalle

Penn State/ Illinois Over 130

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From NC Community line
Free service plays

Billy Coleman - 3* Temple
Friends of Mike Lee - 3* Oregon St.

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Matt Fargo 9* Ultimate Underdog

NY Isles

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Brandon Lang
10 DIME

UNDERDOG
SHOCKER

#4 IN A ROW - Portland (NCAA) +2

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Jt-bpo

BYU + 8.5