2-24-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Earn-Tips

24.2.2013

League: NBA
LA Lakers vs DAL Mavericks
tip: Lakers +1.5
odd:1.91

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DENVER MONEY NHL

2* Vancouver ML (-125) over Detroit
1* Boston -1.5 (+200)over Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS
12-6 NHL RUN

Winnipeg vs. New Jersey - February 24, 2013 - 5:00 PM
Pick: 7* New Jersey -155
I'm playing on NEW JERSEY. Both these teams were in action yesterday afternoon. The Devils lost 5-1 at Washington. The Jets coughed up a lead at Philadelphia, losing 5-3. I expect that scheduling situation to favor the Devils.
Despite suffering a loss the last time it was in that situation, New Jersey is an impressive 10-3 the last 13 times that it played the second of back-to-back games.
On the other hand, the Jets are an ugly 3-12 the last 15 times that they played the second of back-to-back games, 2-11 when doing so on the road.
The Devils have dominated the Jets. They're 6-1 the last seven in this series and 15-5 the last 20. That includes a 5-0 mark at New Jersey. The most recent meeting resulted in a 5-1 NJ victory. All signs point to more of the same here. *7 personal favorite


Winnipeg vs. New Jersey - February 24, 2013 - 5:00 PM
Pick: *9 blue chip @ Under 5.5 -135
I'm playing on New Jersey and Winnipeg to finish UNDER the total. Both teams saw their game yesterday finish above the total, each giving up five goals. I expect both to be motivated to improve defensively here.
The last time that the Devils allowed five goals (2/16) they saw their next game finish with a score of 2-1. Including that result, the UNDER is 172-102-30 the last 300+ times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game. That includes a 29-18-7 UNDER mark when they've been in that situation the past couple of seasons.
The UNDER is 4-2 the last six times that the Devils played the second of back-to-back games.
The UNDER is 9-7-4 the last 20 times that these teams met, dating back to when the Jets were the Thrashers. Thirteen of those 20 games produced five or fewer goals. I expect this one to do the same.*9 blue chip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB BOSTON COLLEGE at DUKE

Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (DUKE) an explosive offensive team (>=76 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games.
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

CBB TEMPLE at CHARLOTTE

Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) excellent defensive team (<=40%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO) after 15+ games.
65-32 since 1997. ( 67.0% 31.3 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.5 units )

CBB LONG ISLAND at WAGNER

Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (WAGNER) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA CLEVELAND at MIAMI

Play Over - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
34-11 since 1997. ( 75.6% 21.9 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )

NBA PHILADELPHIA at NEW YORK

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (NEW YORK) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses.
193-86 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.2% 68.2 units )
9-2 this year. ( 81.8% 3.5 units )

NBA CHICAGO at OKLAHOMA CITY

Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
76-37 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.3% 35.3 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% 1.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY (ALL SPORTS)

2:00PM Boston College vs Duke
[823] Boston College +16.5 -110

3:05PM Boston Bruins vs Florida Panthers
[1] UNDER 5.5 -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Medal Club Selections

CBB
#819 Pittsburgh -5.5
#845 South Dakota +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ACE ACE ALLEN EASTMAN

36-22 NBA RUN
2* Portland -2

CBB
2* Notre Dame -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TODAYS BEST BETS

St Johns +6 (5 UNITS)

Illinois +11 (4 UNITS)

Duke -16.5 (4 UNITS)

Notre Dame -2.5 (5 UNITS)

Michigan State +3.5 (5 UNITS)

Purdue -6.5 (3 UNITS)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Line Beaters Sports

Today's Top Selections

nba ---- Blazers -2

ncaab ---- Illinois ML +450

ncaab ---- Michigan State ML +150

nhl ---- Blackhawks -1.5 +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

UNDERDOG WINNER

10 DIME
OFF LINE
MONEY MOVE

Charlotte 49ers +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Boston vs. Florida - February 24, 2013 - 3:00 PM

Pick: 6* Florida @ +1.5 (-212)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* St Johns +5.5

50* La Salle -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Around the Rink: Sunday's NHL Betting Notes

Check out our betting notes on all eight NHL games on tap Sunday:

Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers (+144, 5.5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Tuukka Rask (BOS), Jacob Markstrom (FLA)

Boston won its second straight game and improved to 6-1-1 on the road with a 4-2 triumph over Tampa Bay on Thursday. Tuukka Rask has won four of five career outings versus Florida while posting two shutouts and registering an ultra-slim 0.97 goals-against average. The Panthers are 0-1-3 during their last four home games - and they weren't too impressive in a 3-1 road loss to Pittsburgh on Friday. The Bruins are 5-0 in their last five Sunday games.

Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils (-158, 5.5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Ondrej Pavelec (WSH), Martin Brodeur (NJ)

New Jersey has won its last five home meetings with Winnipeg dating back to its days as the Atlanta Thrashers. The Devils hardly looked like an elite club in their 5-1 road loss to Washington on Saturday afternoon, but they'll return home where they have collected points in eight of nine games (6-1-2). Special teams are killing Winnipeg as it has failed to score on its last 21 power-play opportunities. The Jets are 1-6 in the last seven meetings.

Vancouver Canucks at Detroit Red Wings (+112, 5.5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Roberto Luongo (VAN), Jonas Gustavsson (DET)

Detroit snapped a five-game winless streak on Saturday, defeating the Nashville Predators 4-0 at home. The Canucks also shut out the Predators as Roberto Luongo stopped 23 shots at Nashville on Friday and are 2-0-1 on their four-game road trip. The under is 4-0-3 in the Red Wings’ last seven Sunday games.

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders (-110, 5.5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Cam Ward (CAR), Kevin Poulin (NYI)

The Hurricanes will face the Islanders at New York on Sunday after posting a 6-4 victory there on Feb. 11. The six goals Carolina scored in that game matched a season high, but the club has struggled offensively in the three games since losing Jeff Skinner to a concussion, getting outscored 12-5. The Islanders are beginning a season-high seven-game homestand, but New York has been less effective at home this season, posting a 2-6-0 record. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

Columbus Blue Jackets at Chicago Blackhawks (-254, 5.5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Steve Mason (CBJ), Corey Crawford (CHI)

Columbus has lost eight straight games in the all-time series between the teams since posting a 4-3 victory in Chicago on Feb. 18, 2011. It now has the daunting task of trying to hand the Blackhawks their first regulation loss of the season. Chicago improved to 14-0-3 after posting a 2-1 victory over the San Jose Sharks on Friday, setting the record for most games without a regulation loss to start a season. Columbus has allowed 37 goals during its losing streak against Chicago while scoring only 15.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins (-170, 6)

Probable starting goaltenders: Anders Lindback (TB), Marc-Andre Fleury (PIT)

The Pittsburgh Penguins will have to move forward without second-leading scorer Evgeni Malkin for an indefinite period. The reigning Hart Trophy winner experienced concussion-like symptoms after sliding awkwardly into the boards and hitting his head in Friday’s victory over the Florida Panthers. Pittsburgh has won the last three meetings, outscoring Tampa Bay 18-6 in the process.

Phoenix Coyotes at Calgary Flames (-106, 5.5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Mike Smith (PHX), Danny Taylor (CGY)

The Phoenix Coyotes attempt to post their second win over the Calgary Flames in seven days. Phoenix posted a 4-0 home triumph over Calgary on Monday and has taken seven of the last nine meetings between the clubs. The Flames are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.

Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks (-168, 5.5)

Probable starting goaltenders: J.S. Giguere (COL), Viktor Fasth (ANH)

Anaheim hasn't played since extending its winning streak to five games with a 3-2 triumph over Columbus on Monday. Viktor Fasth, who is 9-0-0 with a 1.78 goals-against average, turned aside 31 shots in a 3-0 victory over the Avalanche on Feb. 6. Colorado has scored just one goal in each of its last two contests and the under is 4-0 in the Avalanche’s last four games vs. a team with a winning record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WGC - Accenture Match Play
by Matt Fargo

Semifinal

After crazy days with snow in Arizona and all four top seeds getting bumped after the first two rounds, we are finally back to normal at the WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship. Two rounds on Saturday were not expected but everything worked out fine and we are left with a great Sunday Final Four. True golf fans cannot dislike any of the remaining four players (well maybe).

The weather wanted to get in the way again on Saturday with an early frost delay but the WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship got off as expected and was able to finish both rounds. With 12 of the top 16 players in the field already gone, there were not many options for upsets but there was certainly not a lot of drama. In Round 3, only one match made it to #18 when Steve Stricker took out Scott Piercy 1 up. Four of the eight matches didn’t even make it past #15.

The quarterfinals saw some tighter matches with Jason Day and Hunter Mahan both winning 1 up while Matt Kuchar and Ian Poulter were able to close out their matches on #16. There is no true underdog left as we have two defending champions remaining (Poulter and Mahan), a player who is 13-3 in this event (Kuchar) and the unflappable Aussie (Day) which makes for some exciting golf in the semifinals on Sunday.

Listed are two Semifinal Round Matchup Best Bets (All for 2 Units):

Hunter Mahan +120 over Ian Poulter

Hunter Mahan is the underdog despite being the defending champion and rightfully so…sort of. Considering Ian Poulter took as much time off as he did and is playing as well as he is, is impressive. He is now an incredible 19-3-2 in his last 24 matches in this format which is off the charts. But the fact that Mahan has gone 151 consecutive holes without trailing is even more impressive. This is going to be an incredible match if it plays out like it should and the value is on the defending champion.

Matt Kuchar -140 over Jason Day

As much as I hate taking the chalk, I have to back Matt Kuchar here. He is still alive in our futures at 30-1 and we can root along for that only but we has a good edge here. He took out one of the hottest players in the tournament in Robert Garrigus as he started strong and would not led down, building a four-hole lead and winning 3 and 2. Jason Day defeated two Majors winners in one day and while he played well in the quarters, his opponent Graeme McDowell gave it to him.