2-24-13

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Godfather locks

NBA 1000* Dallas -3
College bball Mich -10

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Courtesy of Tom Battaglia

Gulfstream Park

2nd #4 Wildcat Thunder- Took a two month vacation and came back sharp. She finished second in back to back races and looks ready to payoff today.

Battagliaspicks 4-1-7


Fair Grounds

1st #3 Au Moon- has a ton of back class but was injured and took almost 2 years off. He drops to an all time low and could give the big favorite a run for his money.

Battagliaspicks 3-5-2

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Xpert Picks

• Play Michigan -11.5 over Illinois (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
1:00 PM EST

Illinois has lost 7 of the last 11 games against the spread when the
total posted is between 130 and 139.5 points and they have also lost 5
of the last 6 games against the spread after covering four of the last
five games. Illinois has lost 10 of the last 13 games against the
spread coming off five or more wins and they have also lost 8 of the
last 12 games against the spread coming off a game with five or less
offensive rebounds.


• Play Duke -16.5 over Boston College (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
2:00 PM EST

Duke has covered the spread in 102 of the last 172 home games when
playing as a favorite of 125 points or more and they have also covered
the spread in 77 of the last 131 home games when playing their 2nd
game in a week. Duke has covered the spread in 110 of the last 192
games after scoring 85 points or more in their last game and they are
averaging 81 points a game at home this season.


• Play Virginia -9.5 over Georgia Tech (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 5% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
2:00 PM EST

Virginia has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games coming off a
road game and they have also covered the spread in 8 of the last 10
games coming off two or more losses. Virginia has covered the spread
in 11 of the last 13 games when playing as a home favorite and they
are only allowing an average of 54 points a game this season.



• Play Miami -13 over Cleveland (TOP NBA PLAY)—RISK 2% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• Play New York -10 over Philadelphia (TOP NBA PLAY) RISK 2% OF YOUR BANKROLL

================================================== ============================


Sunday Hockey

Play New Jersey -170 over Winnipeg (TOP NHL PLAY)--RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Pittsburgh -175 over Tampa Bay (TOP NHL PLAY)—RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL


SUNDAY BASEBALL

• Play Washington -150 over Miami TOP PLAY
• Play Detroit -130 over Philadelphia
• Play St. Louis -130 over Boston

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Larry Ness 80 play

St Johns

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The Philly Godfather

My Moves

• [833] TEMPLE -1½- 250: -1.5
• [819] PITTSBURGH -5½ 250: -5.5
• Game 825/826 Cinci/ Notre Dame 250: Over 124
• [839] FLORIDA STATE -1½-110 500: -1.5
• [825] CINCINNATI +3½-110 250: +3.5

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LIQUID SPORTS

Illinois +10
Virginia -9.5

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JACK JONES



NCAA-B Feb 24 '13 (2:00p)
GEORGIA TECH vs Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers
-9½-106 at 5dimes15* ACC GAME OF THE DAY on Virginia -9.5

I fully expect the Virginia Cavaliers to roll by double-digits at home today over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in ACC action. The Cavaliers (18-8) are a bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament and they need to finish strong if they want to be playing in the Big Dance.

Off two straight road losses to North Carolina (81-93) and Miami (50-54), Virginia will be highly motivated for a victory when it returns home today to face lowly Georgia Tech (14-11). The Cavaliers are a sensational 15-1 SU & 11-2 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by a whopping 17.7 points/game.

Virginia actually lost at Georgia Tech 60-66 in their first meeting of the season. The revenge factor only adds more fuel to the Cavaliers' fire today. They'll be up against a Yellow Jackets squad that is just 2-5 in true road games this season. Georgia Tech is just 6-22 ATS in its last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Virginia is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. These two trends combine for a 14-0 system backing the Cavaliers. Bet Virginia Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BONES BEST BET

NHL

Today's board has quite a few mismatches - and we are going to play with those.

Hurricanes / Islanders OVER 5.5 -115 *1 Unit*
Two over teams that play to overs against each other. They have gone 7-3 to the over their last 10 and both teams have played more overs then unders so far this season.

Ducks PL -1.5 +175 *0.75 Units*
Colorado is on a back to back against one of the best teams in hockey - not liking their chances. The Ducks are 12-2-0-1 on the season and have had very little trouble scoring.

Penguins PL -1.5 +175 *0.75 Units*
10 of 12 Pittsburgh wins have been by 2+. The Lightning are on a B2B, and typically have struggled on the road and in general.

Bruins PL -1.5 +200 *0.75 Units*
The Bruins are 6-2 on the road, while the Panthers are just 2-6 at home. Florida have dropped 6 of 7 overall and 5 straight at home. While the 10-4 Bruins are on 3 days rest and will be ready to go.

Blackhawks PL -1.5 +105 *0.75 Units*
Chicago is playing the worst team in the NHL, which is why this PL is almost juicy. The Hawks have won 9 of 10 against CLB, and are an NHL record 14-0-3 to start the season. The Jackets are on a B2B and are just 5-14 on the season.

Parlays

Ducks ML + Penguins ML +144 *0.75 Units*

Bruins ML + Blackhawks ML +121 *0.75 Units*

Ducks ML + Penguins ML + Bruins ML + Blackhawks ML +439 *0.5 Units*

Ducks -1 + Penguins -1 + Bruins -1 + Blackhawks -1 +1159 *0.25 Units*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Denver Money NHL ML - Sunday, Feb 24 2013 8:05PM

ML 16 CALGARY (-105) Bookmaker.com vs 15 PHO double-dime bet

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Red Dog

4*Old dominion
4* Portland nba

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The Philly Godfather

ADDED:

My Moves

NBA #801 Lakers 250: +3

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GamingToday’s Consensus Picks February 24, 2013 6:45 AM by GT Staff

NBA Basketball

802 Dallas Mavericks -3

801 Los Angeles Lakers/Dallas Mavericks OVER 216

812 New York Knicks -6½

NCAA Basketball

820 St. Johns +5½

828 Rhode Island +7

836 Purdue -7

840 Virginia Tech +1

842 Hofstra +2

Results

2012-13 NBA Sat (2-3-0) Overall Record: 197-196-5

2012-13 NCAA BK Sat (4-6-0) Overall Record: 186-220-11

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Lakers won seven of last ten games (3-7 AU). Dallas won five of its last six games (10-3 last 13 HF).
-- Grizzlies won their last six games (7-2 last nine AF). Nets won four of last five games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Cavaliers are 5-3 in their last eight games (7-5 last 12 AU). Miami won its last ten games, winning three since All-Star break by 13-19-24 points (5-2 last seven HF).
-- Last game of 9-game rodeo road trip for Spurs, who won five of last six games (3-7 last ten AF).

Cold Teams
-- Minnesota lost six of its last eight games (2-6-1 HU). Warriors lost last five road games, four by 14+ points (4-2-1 AF).
-- New Orleans is 0-3 vs All-Star break, losing by 4-5-9 points (5-4-1 as HF). Sacramento lost eight of last ten games (3-8 last 11 AU).
-- 76ers lost five of last six games (2-7 last nine AU). Knicks lost four in a row, scoring 88 points in losing last two home games (6-11 L17 HF).
-- Suns lost six of last seven games (2-5 last seven HU).
-- Celtics lost three of last five games (6-8-2 AU). Portland lost its last seven games (1-6 last seven HF).
-- Oklahoma City lost three of last four games (8-2 last ten HF). Bulls lost five of last eight games (8-2 last ten AU).

Totals
-- Four of last five Laker games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Memphis games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Golden State games went over total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Sacramento games.
-- Six of last eight Miami games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Portland games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Thunder games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Cleveland is 6-4 vs spread if it played night before. Miami is 4-4, 1-2 at home, if it played night before.

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Cbb

-- Pitt won seven of last eight games vs St John's, losing by 1 here two years ago; they beat Red Storm twice LY, by 14-20 points. Panthers lost last two games, scoring 55.5 ppg, after winning seven of previous eight- they're 4-3 on Big East road, with three wins by 10+ points. Five of six St John's losses in Big East have been by 12+ points- they won last five at home. Big East home underdogs of 6 or less points are 7-15 vs spread.
-- Michigan State (-2) beat Ohio State 59-56 Jan 16, jumping out to 13-2 lead, then surviving 15-0 Buckeye run right after that; OSU hit 10-25 on arc, only 9-22 inside. Spartans won 11 of last 13 games (losses by 5-4), winning five of last six on road (lost at Indiana). Ohio State is 2-3 in last five games but is 5-1 at home in conference, losing to Indiana by 13. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 12-6 vs spread.
-- Duke (-11) beat Boston College 62-61 two weeks ago, as they flew up and back same day because of snow issues; game was 27-27 at half. BC shot 53% inside arc, but couldn't finish game at end. Blue Devils are 6-0 at home in ACC, with all six wins by 13+ points. Eagles lost last five road games, with three losses by five or less points. ACC double digit home favorites are 11-5 against the spread.
-- Notre Dame won four of last five games with Cincinnati, winning first meeting this year 66-60 (+4.5) Jan 7, making 9-16 from arc, while UC was just 5-11 on foul line. Bearcats lost four of last five games, losing last two on road, by 4-7 points. Irish won six of last eight games, taking last three at home, last two in OT. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-17 against the spread.

-- LaSalle won six of last eight games, losing at Temple Thursday, first loss in last four road games; Explorers beat Rhode Island last two years, by 1-14 points, after losing previous five games to Rams. URI lost seven of last nine games; they're 1-5 at home in league, losing by 8-1-6-6-13; its one was by 3 over Dayton. A-16 home underdogs of 7 or less points are 6-12 vs spread. LaSalle is 12-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
-- Georgia Tech (+2.5) beat Virginia 66-60 Feb 3, its first win in last six series games; Cavaliers were up 57-48 with 8:12 left- Jackets shot 58.1% inside arc. Tech lost last two visits here, by 7-8 points. Virginia lost last two games, but is 6-0 at home in league, with wins by 9+ points. Tech is 2-3 since upsetting Virginia but won both road games, at Va Tech/Wake. ACC double digit home favorites are 11-5 vs spread.
-- USC (+10) upset UCLA 75-71 in OT at Pauley Jan 30, shooting 55%, which offset -10 turnover ratio (17-7); it was first win in last five series games for Trojans, who won four of last five games overall- they're won last three home games, by 1-4-11 points. Pac-12 underdogs are 28-12 in games where spread is 5 or less points. UCLA is 7-0 in league when it allows less than 75+ points, 2-4 when it allows 75+.
-- Temple won last two road games by point each; five of their last six games were decided by a point. Owls. (-9) beat Charlotte 89-88 at home Feb 6, 6th series win in last seven tries for Owls, who won last three by 9-1-22 points. Home teams won seven of last eight series games; Temple lost three of last four visits here, winning by 14 in last visit LY. A-16 home teams are 3-11 in games where spread is 2 or less points.
-- Northwestern (-2) beat Purdue 75-60 at home Feb 2, shooting 65.2% inside arc in game it never trailed (led 23-8 after 10:00), first series win in last five tries for Wildcats, who lost four of last five visits here. Purdue lost five of last six games, with only win vs Penn State; Boilers are 9-3 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Big Dozen home favorites of 7 or less points are 13-7 vs spread. Wildcats lost last four games, all by 10+.

-- Streaky Illinois won last five games after 3-8 skid (after 12-0 start to season); Illini (+5.5) lost 74-60 at home to Michigan Jan 27, fourth loss in row to Wolverines, who shot 59% inside arc. Big Dozen double digit home favorites are 10-9 vs spread. Illini is 3-3 on road, winning last two on foreing soil; its road losses are by 7-23-5 points. Michigan lost three of last five games, but is 6-0 at home, with four wins by 15+ points.
-- Florida State lost four of last five road games, with all four losses by 18+ points, only win by hoop at Ga Tech; Seminoles are 5-2 in their last seven games vs Virginia Tech, sweeping Hokies LY in games decided by 1-4 points. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 9-3 vs spread. Hokies lost last nine games, losing by 32 at home to Duke in last game; three of their last four losses were by 10+ points.
-- Old Dominion is 4-23 this season, 2-3 since changing coaches; they're 1-6 on CAA road, with only win at Drexel- they're won last six games vs Hofstra, but lost three of last four visits here, winning by 11 in last visit two years ago. Hofstra lost 11 of last 12 games, scoring 49.3 ppg during 4-game losing streak; they've lost last five home games. CAA home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-8 vs spread.
-- MAAC is #14 conference, Big South #29, so class edge to Siena team that is awful, scoring 55.2 ppg while losing last five games. Saints have one win this season by more than five points. Radford lost four of last five games, losing four of last five on road; three of their last four wins were by 3 or less points. Siena split its last six home games, but almost impossible to endorse either side in this battle of lightweights.
-- Montana State lost last four games, allowing 80.8 ppg; its 55.7 eFG% is 4th-worst in country, but Bobcats won five of last seven home games vs D-I opponents. South Dakota lost its last six games, with four of last five losses by 13+ points; Coyotes lost last three road games, by 13-19-15 points. South Dakota makes 37.4% behind arc, so they should get some good shots vs Bobcats' porous defense.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Play of the Day February 24, 2013 6:49 AM by GT Staff

Old Dominion -3 at Hofstra

ODU is 4-23 and favored on the road! Hofstra isn’t much better at 6-22, but we’ll gladly take the points against a 1-9 road team.

842 Hofstra +3