2-28-13

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Study Group: Thursday's Top 25 NCAAB Betting Notes

Ohio State Buckeyes at Northwestern Wildcats (+10, 122)

Ohio State has slipped to the fringe of the Big Ten race as it visits struggling Northwestern on Thursday. The No. 15 Buckeyes are in fifth place in the bunched-up conference, two games behind first-place Indiana with three games remaining. Ohio State is just 3-3 over its last six games and a visit to Indiana looms after playing the Wildcats. Northwestern has lost five straight games and seven of eight. The Wildcats averaged 41.7 points over their last three defeats.

Northwestern’s closest loss in the five-game skid came during a visit to Ohio State when it lost 69-59 on Feb. 14. Since then, the Wildcats have lost by 21 to Illinois, 28 to Wisconsin and 31 to Purdue last Saturday. The Buckeyes have won seven of the last eight meetings in Northwestern’s home building. Ohio State is 3-5 on the road this season with its most recent away win coming against lowly Nebraska on Feb. 2. The Buckeyes delivered an impressive 68-60 victory over Michigan State on Sunday.

Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers (+2, 135)

Duke has a showdown with first-place Miami looming on Saturday, but first the No. 3 Blue Devils face a tough contest when they visit Virginia on Thursday. The Cavaliers have won 15 consecutive home games and sold-out John Paul Jones Arena figures to be rocking at the sight of Duke. The Blue Devils have won eight of their past nine games but are just 4-3 on the road. Virginia is tied for third in the Atlantic Coast Conference.

The Cavaliers know their next victory will be No. 20 and would like it to come against Duke, the only ACC program Virginia hasn’t beaten in Tony Bennett’s four seasons as coach. “I’m really looking forward to the challenge,” senior point guard Jontel Evans said. “I know it’s going to be a battle.” Duke is bracing for the upcoming return of senior forward Ryan Kelly, who has missed the last 12 games with a foot injury. “I’ve been doing most of my running in the pool, but I feel really good about it and my foot’s feeling good,” Kelly said. “As this week progresses, I think I can become more and more a part of practice.”

Gonzaga Bulldogs at BYU Cougars (+6, 146)

Despite a slew of accomplishments over the past 15 years, Gonzaga has never been the top-ranked team in the nation. The second-ranked Bulldogs may have a chance to climb atop the rankings if they win at Brigham Young on Thursday and finish the regular season by beating Portland on Saturday. Top-ranked Indiana lost to Minnesota on Tuesday, setting the state for the Zags to claim the top spot with back-to-back solid victories.

Brigham Young badly needs an upset of Gonzaga to bolsters its resume in terms of a possible NCAA tournament berth. The Cougars notched an 83-73 home win over the Zags last season but were routed 83-63 when they visited Gonzaga earlier this season. BYU has lost three of five games, including a 64-57 loss to Saint Mary’s in its last West Coast Conference game on Feb. 21. Gonzaga coach Mark Few said it is an honor for the Bulldogs to be ranked second this late in the campaign. “The polls mean a lot more this time of year than they do in November and December, even January, so all of us are being judged on the true body of work,” Few said. “It’s definitely rewarding.”

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Betting the Bubble: Teams Fighting for Their Tournament Lives

The Minnesota Golden Gophers’ upset win over the No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers Tuesday should quiet all doubters that didn’t have Tubby Smith’s squad making the NCAA tournament cut.

The Gophers’ 77-73 win is not only damaging to the Hoosiers’ bid for the top seed in the NCAA but is crushing to those programs balancing on the tournament bubble, hoping to slide in front of a struggling Minnesota team.

Plenty of schools are still fighting to have their names announced on Selection Sunday, which can offer some added value when it comes to covering the spread. Here are four NCAA bubble team bettors should keep an eye on as the regular season winds down:

Tennessee Volunteers (17-10 SU, 15-10 ATS)

Key wins: Florida, Wichita State, UMass

The other big upset on Tuesday’s card was the Volunteers’ 64-58 home win over Florida. Tennessee is one of the hottest teams in the land, winning six in a row SU and ATS, and the victory over UF puts it in the bubble conversation.

The Vols don’t have the best overall resume but when it comes to the selection committee, it’s like Janet Jackson: What have you done for me lately? Tennessee runs the risk of a huge letdown spot at Georgia this weekend, then plays at Auburn and hosts Missouri in the finale.

Villanova Wildcats (18-11 SU, 16-9-1 ATS)

Key wins: Marquette, Syracuse, Louisville

A bad loss to Seton Hall all but erases a victory over Marquette last week, leaving the Wildcats bouncing on the bubble heading into their final two games. Jay Wright has had the entire week to prepare for Sunday’s clash at Pittsburgh, which thumped Villanova in their previous meeting.

That game against the Panthers could be the deciding factor on whether or not the Wildcats go dancing. Following that crucial matchup, Villanova wraps up the schedule versus Georgetown at home on March 6. Win or lose Sunday, the game with the Hoyas stinks of letdown.

Virginia Cavaliers (19-8 SU, 16-7-1 ATS)

Key wins: Wisconsin, Tennessee, North Carolina, N.C. State

The Cavs have been the best bet in the ACC in recent weeks, building a 5-1 ATS count in their last six games. However, when it comes to making the field of 68, success against the spread has nothing to do with it.

Virginia missed opportunities to boost its NCAA resume versus Miami and UNC, and now a win over Duke at home Thursday may be its only hope. The Cavaliers’ win over Tennessee gained some shine after the Vols’ upset over UF. The deciding game for Tony Bennett’s kids could be the season finale versus Maryland, another ACC bubble team.

Baylor Bears (16-11 SU, 10-12 ATS)

Key wins: Kentucky, St. John’s

Baylor is mired in a three-game losing skid and its tournament bubble is on the brink of bursting. The only things that can stop it are wins over Kansas and Kansas State in its final four games. Luckily for Baylor, both of those matchups come in Waco. The Bears haven’t been great bets at home but will be leaving it all on the court versus the Kansas schools.

Baylor does come with a warning, having dangerous lookahead/letdown spots against West Virginia and Texas on the road. The trip to Morgantown Wednesday takes them 1,300 miles from home – BU’s longest conference road trip ever.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Slowing the Fastbreak Key to Covering NBA Spreads

There are plenty of fingers flying in La-La Land, directing the blame for the Los Angeles Lakers’ disappointing season. That latest, according to the Los Angeles Times, is pointing at the Lakers’ inability to slow down opponents in transition.

Los Angeles sits dead last in the NBA in fastbreak points allowed, watching teams run the floor for 16.3 points per game. The Lakers were rolled by the Denver Nuggets’ transition offense in a 118-109 loss to the Denver Nuggets Monday, getting outscored 33-3 on the fastbreak.

"You have to almost overexaggerate getting back on defense. Literally, nobody can go to the offensive boards," Los Angeles guard Kobe Bryant told the L.A. Times when asked for a solution.

All those easy looks and layups being scored by the Lakers’ opponents have led to a dismal 23-34-1 ATS record. And L.A. isn’t alone when it comes to poor transition defense spoiling success against the spread.

The five worst transition defenses in the NBA – L.A. Lakers, Sacramento, Milwaukee, Charlotte, Minnesota – all have ATS records in the red and have a combined ATS mark of 117-159-6 heading into Wednesday.

Here’s a closer look at those five teams getting beat by the fastbreak:

Los Angeles Lakers (28-30 SU, 23-34-1 ATS) – 16.3 fastbreak points allowed

Sacramento Kings (19-39 SU, 24-32-2 ATS) – 16.1 fastbreak points allowed

Milwaukee Bucks (27-28 SU, 26-29-0 ATS) – 15.3 fastbreak points allowed

Charlotte Bobcats (13-44 SU, 20-36-1 ATS) – 14.5 fastbreak points allowed

Minnesota Timberwolves (20-34 SU, 24-28-2 ATS) – 14.2 fastbreak points allowed

Note: The best teams versus the fastbreak – Indiana, Miami, Philadelphia, New York/Washington (tied), Toronto – have a combined ATS mark of 176-151-5 and only the 76ers and Knicks own sub .500 ATS records.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Clippers at Pacers: What Bettors Need to Know

Los Angeles Clippers at Indiana Pacers (-2, 187)

The Indiana Pacers will be without center Roy Hibbert when they seek their sixth straight win Thursday at home against the Los Angeles Clippers. Hibbert was ejected after a brawl with Golden State on Tuesday, and received a one-game suspension. Star forward David West, who also picked up a technical for his role, managed to avoid any discipline. West had a team-high 28 points in the 106-97 victory, which kept Indiana six games behind East-leading Miami.

Like the Pacers, the Clippers are still hoping to chip away at the top spot in their respective conference. Having won six of seven, they entered Wednesday 4 1/2 games behind front-running San Antonio in the West. Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, who could have field days with Hibbert out, combined to go 17-for-20 from the floor in a 106-84 rout of Charlotte on Wednesday. Chris Paul had 13 of Los Angeles' season-high 34 assists.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), Fox Sports Midwest (Indiana)

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (41-18, 33-26-0 ATS): The easy win over Charlotte came without two key reserves. Super sub Jamal Crawford, who ranks second on the team to Griffin in scoring, missed the game after his wife gave birth to a daughter Monday in Seattle. Fellow guard Eric Bledsoe sat with a sore left calf. Crawford is expected to return against Indiana. Bledsoe, the top assist man off the bench, is day-to-day. Veteran Grant Hill was questionable Tuesday night with a bothersome back, but managed to play 21 minutes as the Clippers finished a 2-1 homestand.

ABOUT THE PACERS (36-21, 33-24-0 ATS): While it will be shorthanded up front, Indiana may begin to lean a bit more on swingman Danny Granger, who will be playing his third game since returning from a left knee injury suffered just before the season began. Granger, who led the Pacers in scoring the previous five seasons, has predictably struggled a bit since coming back. He is just 2-for-17 from the floor in a total of 38 minutes, but one of his makes helped Indiana keep its edge in the fourth quarter Tuesday.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings.
* Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Indiana.
* Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Indiana.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Pacers are 30-8 all-time against the Clippers at home.

2. Each of Los Angeles' last nine games have been decided by double digits. In that span, it has won seven games by an average of 15.7 points. The two losses have come by an average of 24.

3. Indiana has won 19 of its last 21 home games.

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Clemson
S. Carolina
BYU

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BONES BEST BET

PGA Honda Classic

Alright here we go with another big tournament with the world's number 1 and 2 golfers participating. This Jack Nicklaus designed golf course requires the most accurate golf and we've put together a group of some of the best ball strikers in the world. The defending champ here is Rory but until he figures out his new Nike sticks - he will be a fade play for us. If we had to pick one guy and one guy only to win this thing it would be Justin Rose.

Good luck guys and let's keep rocking it!

Futures (2.5 units total)

Schwartzel +1200 *0.75 units*

Rose +1250 *0.75 units*

Westwood +2500 *0.33 units*

McDowell +2800 *0.33 units*

Jacobson +3000 *0.33 units*

Top 5 (0.5 units total)

Rose +295 *0.5 units*

Top 10 (3 units total)

Schwartzel +120 *1 unit*

Rose +145 *1 unit*

McDowell +235 *1 unit*

Matchups (7 units total)

Schwartzel -110 over McIlroy *1.5 units*

Rose -124 over Oosthuisen *1 unit*

Bradley +100 over Dufner *1 unit*

Jacobson -115 over Kaymer *1 unit*

McDowell -115 over Els *1.5 units*

Howell -115 over De Jonge *1 unit*

Parlay (1 unit total)

Woods over McIlroy + Westwood over Johnson +186 *1 unit*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Medal Club Selections 28/02/2013
CBB:

25* #514 Temple -4.5

#523 Utah State +6.5

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Clippers won six of last seven games (6-3 AU). Indiana won its last five games, all by 11+ points (7-2 last nine HF).
-- Lakers won three of last four games (7-12 last 19 HF).

Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost last six games, scoring 89.3 ppg (5-11 last 16 AU). Chicago lost seven of last ten games (5-18 HF).
-- Timberwolves lost eight of last ten games (3-8-1 last 12 AU).

Totals
-- Over is 3-1 in last four games for both Clippers/Indiana.
-- Seven of last ten Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games stayed under the total; four of last five Laker games went over.

Back-to-backs
-- None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Ottawa won its last five games, allowing seven goals. Bruins won last four games, allowing six goals.
-- Penguins won five of last seven games.
-- Jets won four of their last five games.
-- Chicago won its last six games, allowing nine goals.
-- Coyotes won four of last five games. Minnesota won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Lightning lost three of last four games. Rangers lost last four games, outscored 13-6.
-- Islanders lost last three home games, outscored 15-3. Toronto lost three of last five.
-- Carolina lost four of last five games.
-- Sabres lost six of their last eight games. Florida lost seven of last nine.
-- Devils lost four of their last five games.
-- Blues lost five of their last six home games.
-- Oilers lost seven of their last ten games. Dallas lost four of last seven.
-- Flames lost three of their last four road games. Colorado lost last three games, scoring six goals.
-- San Jose lost nine of its last eleven games.

Totals
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Tampa Bay games.
-- Four of last five Toronto-Islander games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-2 in last ten Ottawa games.
-- Four of last five Pittsburgh games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Buffalo games stayed under total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six New Jersey-Winnipeg games.
-- 10 of last 15 Chicago-St Louis games went over the total.
-- Last eight Dallas-Edmonton games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Calgary games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-1-2 in last thirteen Minnesota games.
-- Last six San Jose games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Rangers won three of last four games with Tampa Bay.
-- Islanders lost five of last seven games with Toronto.
-- Bruins won 21 of last 26 games over Ottawa.
-- Penguins won last three games vs Carolina, allowing five goals.
-- Sabres lost three of last four games against the Sabres.
-- Devils won nine of last twelve games with Winnipeg.
-- Blackhawks won seven of last nine games with St Louis.
-- Oilers lost 11 of last 12 games with Dallas Stars.
-- Avalanche won their last three games with Calgary.
-- Coyotes won nine of last thirteen games with Minnesota.
-- Sharks won four of last five games with Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- North Carolina won 14 of last 15 games vs Clemson, winning last four by 10-2-5-22 points; UNC won four of last five visits here, winning by 19-22-2-2. Tar Heels are 9-3 in last 12 games but 2-3 in last five on road, winning by 12 at both BC/Ga Tech. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 11-5 vs spread. Clemson lost five of last six games, losing its last two home games by total of three points.
-- Ohio State (-17) outscored Northwestern 14-2 on foul line, won by 10 (69-59) over Wildcats two weeks ago; NU made 11-26 from arc. OSU is 3-4 on Big Dozen road, losing last two, at Michigan/Wisconsin- they've got Indiana on deck. Northwestern lost its last five games, last three by 21+ points- four of its five home losses are by 20+. 13 of last 18 OSU games stayed under total. Big Dozen single digit home dogs are 11-13.
-- Detroit is 8-6 against #18 non-conference schedule in country; Titans lost two of last three road games, are 2-5 vs teams in top 75, with three of five losses by 13+ points. Quick turnaround for Titans after winning by point on Senior Night vs Loyola Tuesday. Temple won five of last six games, scoring 80 ppg; they won six of last seven home games, have games with two A-16 lightweights on deck, so no looking ahead here.
-- Louisiana Tech (-2.5) survived 51-48 brickfest at Utah State Jan 26, as Tech shot 33% from floor, State 27.3%; Bulldogs won last 16 games- its last three home wins were by 13-13-15 points. State won five of its last seven games; they're 5-2 on WAC road, with losses by 13-11 points. Shaw was 9-16 inside arc in first meeting; other Aggies were 3-25. WAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 4-14 against the spread.

-- San Diego (+5.5) won 70-66 at San Francisco Jan 10, making 11-22 on arc, ending 6-game series skid. USF won last three visits here, by 2-10-11 points. Toreros lost eight of last ten games, losing last four, scoring just 56.3 ppg in last three. USF won four of last five road games; visiting team won six of their last seven games. WCC home teams are 2-10 when spread is 5 or less points. USD lost three of last four at home.
-- Cal Bears won last five games, allowing 61 ppg, to get back on bubble; they beat Utah 62-57 (-1) Jan 24, forcing 17 turnovers (+8). Cal won its last five home games, with three of five by 8+. Utah is 1-6 on road, with all six losses by 9+ points, but they're 5-2 vs spread in those setbacks. Cal is 4-2 as home favorite, covering last three. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 4-9 vs spread. 14 of last 18 Cal games stayed under total.
-- Missouri (-14) outscored South Carolina 28-11 on foul line in 71-65 home brickfest over Gamecocks Jan 22, where teams combined to make 11-47 behind arc. Mizzou is 1-5 on SEC road, with only win at dreadful Miss State; they're 3-5 in last eight games as favorites. Carolina is 1-7 in last eight games; they're 6-5 as SEC underdogs, 2-2 at home. SEC home underdogs of 11 or less points are 18-10 against the spread.
-- Duke won eight in row, 14 of last 15 vs Virginia, winning last three in this arena by 16-18-15 points; Blue Devils are 4-3 on ACC road, 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, 0-3 vs teams in top 60; #17 Virginia is 7-0 at home in ACC, with six wins by 9+ points. Cavaliers lost two of last threr games. ACC home teams are 10-3 when spread is 2 or less points. Duek has revenge game with Miami coming up Saturday.
-- Cal Poly shot 57% inside arc, outscored Northridge 24-12 on charity stripe in 75-64 (-6.5) win Jan 26, its third win in last four series games. Home side won last eight series games; Mustangs lost last five visits to Northridge, with four losses by 12+ points. Big West home favorites of less than 5 points are 12-14 vs spread. Matadors lost last three games, by 3-7-12 points; they're 1-4 vs spread as Big West home favorites.

-- Pacific lost its last two visits to Fullerton by 3-5 points; Tigers made 8-13 from arc in 71-67 (-7) home win over Fullerton Jan 26; Titans were 12-24 from arc, in first series loss in last five games. Pacific lost four of last six games; they lost last four road games, by 5-13-5-9 points. Titans are 1-6 vs spread as Big West home favorite, with one win by more than 7. Big West home teams are 14-18 when spread is less than five points.
-- Oregon (-2) shot 61% inside arc, won 79-66 in Corvallis Jan 6, fourth win in last five series tilts; State won two of last three visits to Eugene- they're 5-1 as Pac-12 road dogs, losing away games by 10-1-3-8-10, with win at Wash State. Four of last five Beaver games stayed under the total. Pac-12 single digit home favorites are 19-36 vs spread. Oregon won four of last five games; they're 1-6 vs spread as a Pac-12 home favorite.
-- Gonzaga shot 70% inside arc, was up 40-21 at half of 83-63 win over BYU Jan 24, its third win in row over Cougars, by 11-19-20. Zags won last 10 games in row; five of their seven WCC road wins are by double digits. BYU lost three of last five games; they're 5-2 at home in WCC, losing by point to St Mary's, 12 to USF. WCC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 2-7 vs spread. Zags playing for #1 seed in tourney now.
-- Rider (+2.5) shot 53% inside arc, beat Niagara 72-69 (+2.5) Feb 7, 6th win in last seven series games for Broncs, who won two of last three at Niagara, winning by 1-17 points. Rider won five of last six games, giving up 61.3 ppg in last three; they're 4-3 on MAAC road, losing by 6-10-7. Niagara won 10 of last 13 games; six of its last eight games were decided by 4 or less points, or in OT. MAAC single digit home faves are 16-23.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/28/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 3329-1140 (.745)
ATS: 1537-1572 (.494)
ATS Vary Units: 4415-4722 (.483)
Over/Under: 426-410 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 442-481 (.479)

Gotham Classic
Round Robin at campus sites
TEMPLE 83, Detroit 74

America East Conference
ALBANY 63, New Hampshire 50
HARTFORD 67, Umbc 53
Stony Brook 61, BOSTON U. 59
Vermont 66, BINGHAMTON 48

Atlantic Coast Conference
Duke 67, VIRGINIA 65
North Carolina 70, CLEMSON 62

Atlantic Sun Conference
LIPSCOMB 78, Jacksonville 72
Mercer vs. FLORIDA GULF COAST: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NORTHERN KENTUCKY 62, North Florida 61
STETSON 81, Kennesaw State 59

Big Sky Conference
EASTERN WASHINGTON 75, Northern Colorado 74
NORTHERN ARIZONA 69, Idaho State 63
PORTLAND STATE 74, North Dakota 70
SOUTHERN UTAH 79, Montana State 70
Weber State 72, SACRAMENTO STATE 60

Big Ten Conference
Ohio State 64, NORTHWESTERN 53

Big West Conference
Cal Poly 70, CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE 69
CAL STATE FULLERTON 76, Pacific 73
HAWAI'I 78, UC Santa Barbara 64
UC Davis 69, UC RIVERSIDE 64

Colonial Athletic Association
Drexel 65, OLD DOMINION 61

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
CANISIUS 72, Saint Peter's 59
NIAGARA 73, Rider 66

Northeast Conference
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 79, Saint Francis (Pa.) 68
LONG ISLAND 91, Sacred Heart 75
Mount St. Mary's 75, MONMOUTH 70
Robert Morris vs. BRYANT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ST. FRANCIS (N.Y.) 73, Quinnipiac 72
Wagner 82, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 67

Ohio Valley Conference
Eastern Kentucky 72, TENNESSEE TECH 66
MURRAY STATE 86, UT Martin 62
Southeast Missouri vs. AUSTIN PEAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TENNESSEE STATE 78, Morehead State 69

Pacific-10 Conference
CALIFORNIA 68, Utah 53
OREGON 76, Oregon State 64

Southeastern Conference
Missouri 74, SOUTH CAROLINA 64

Southern Conference
APPALACHIAN STATE 70, Samford 66
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 59, Wofford 53
THE CITADEL 71, Furman 63
WESTERN CAROLINA 78, Chattanooga 69

Southland Conference
Central Arkansas 77, LAMAR 75
Oral Roberts 72, McNEESE STATE 67
SAM HOUSTON STATE 70, Nicholls State 63
Southeastern Louisiana 62, TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI 59

Southwestern Athletic Conference
Alabama A&M 67, GRAMBLING STATE 57
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 69, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE 64
JACKSON STATE 69, Alabama State 59
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M 64, Alcorn State 56
TEXAS SOUTHERN 65, Southern 57

Summit League
South Dakota 79, IUPUI 76
South Dakota State 83, OMAHA 74
WESTERN ILLINOIS 66, Kansas City 47

Sun Belt Conference
Arkansas State 69, NORTH TEXAS 61
Fairleigh Dickinson 74, ULM 65
Middle Tennessee 71, TROY 55
UALR 74, UL Lafayette 67
WESTERN KENTUCKY 69, South Alabama 67

West Coast Conference
Gonzaga 78, BYU 69
SAN DIEGO 69, San Francisco 68
SANTA CLARA 74, Loyola Marymount 60

Western Athletic Conference
LOUISIANA TECH 69, Utah State 64
TEXAS STATE 74, Seattle 72
UT ARLINGTON 67, San Jose State 53
UT SAN ANTONIO 70, Idaho 69

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/28/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 549-277 (.665)
ATS: 438-409 (.517)
ATS Vary Units: 1157-1040 (.527)
Over/Under: 438-410 (.517)
Over/Under Vary Units: 618-551 (.529)

INDIANA 95, L.A. Clippers 92
CHICAGO 93, Philadelphia 83
L.A. LAKERS 107, Minnesota 97

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

02/28/13 Predictions

Season: 101-78 (.564)

BOSTON 3, Ottawa 2
Toronto vs. N.Y. ISLANDERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Tampa Bay vs. N.Y. RANGERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Pittsburgh 4, CAROLINA 3
Buffalo vs. FLORIDA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
New Jersey vs. WINNIPEG: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Chicago vs. ST. LOUIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DALLAS 3, Edmonton 2
COLORADO 3, Calgary 2
PHOENIX 3, Minnesota 2
SAN JOSE 3, Detroit 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

St. Peter's at Canisius

The Golden Griffins look to take advantage of a St. Peter's team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games. Canisius is the pick (-12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Griffins favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-12 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 28 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 507-508: North Carolina at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 67.870; Clemson 66.246 Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1 1/2; 128 Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 132 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+3 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Drexel at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 51.857; Old Dominion 54.667 Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 3; 133 Vegas Line: Drexel by 2; 127 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+2); Over

Game 511-512: Ohio State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 67.871; Northwestern 63.000 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 5; 118 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 10; 122 Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+10); Under

Game 513-514: Detroit at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 62.858; Temple 63.165 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Temple by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5 1/2)

Game 515-516: Arkansas State at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 61.994; North Texas 50.409 Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-4 1/2)

Game 517-518: South Alabama at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.787; Western Kentucky 55.991 Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 3 Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 5 Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+5)

Game 519-520: San Jose State at TX-Arlington (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 43.347; TX-Arlington 58.921 Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 15 1/2 Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 11 Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-11)

Game 521-522: Seattle at Texas State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 48.927; Texas State 51.808 Dunkel Line: Texas State by 3 Vegas Line: Texas State by 1 Dunkel Pick: Texas State (-1)

Game 523-524: Utah State at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 59.389; Louisiana Tech 66.912 Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6 Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-6)

Game 525-526: Idaho at TX-San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 51.904; TX-San Antonio 49.226 Dunkel Line: Idaho by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Idaho by 1 Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-1)

Game 527-528: UL-Lafayette at AR-Little Rock (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 47.879; AR-Little Rock 56.024 Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 8 Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 6 Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-6)

Game 529-530: Florida International at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 49.335; UL-Monroe 46.749 Dunkel Line: Florida International by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida International by 7 Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+7)

Game 531-532: Middle Tennessee State at Troy (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 66.126; Troy 53.921 Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12 Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Troy (+13 1/2)

Game 533-534: San Francisco at San Diego (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 56.363; San Diego 60.332 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4 Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-2 1/2)

Game 535-536: Utah at California (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 56.788; California 70.621 Dunkel Line: California by 14; 129 Vegas Line: California by 10; 125 1/2 Dunkel Pick: California (-10); Over

Game 537-538: Missouri at South Carolina (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 70.982; South Carolina 57.413 Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 133 Vegas Line: Missouri by 9; 138 Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-9); Under

Game 539-540: Duke at Virginia (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duke 70.376; Virginia 74.134 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 3 1/2; 133 Vegas Line: Pick; 129 Dunkel Pick: Virginia; Over

Game 541-542: Cal Poly at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 57.718; CS-Northridge 53.512 Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 4 Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+2 1/2)

Game 543-544: Pacific at CS-Fullerton (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 54.320; CS-Fullerton 51.046 Dunkel Line: Pacific by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 1 Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+1)

Game 545-546: Oregon State at Oregon (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 59.653; Oregon 66.949 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7 1/2; 137 Vegas Line: Oregon by 10; 141 Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+10); Under

Game 547-548: Gonzaga at BYU (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 70.505; BYU 66.370 Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 4; 143 Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 6; 147 Dunkel Pick: BYU (+6); Under

Game 549-550: Loyola Marymount at Santa Clara (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 49.035; Santa Clara 64.950 Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 16 Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 14 Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-14)

Game 551-552: UC-Davis at UC-Riverside (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 55.061; UC-Riverside 46.549 Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (-3 1/2)

Game 553-554: UC-Santa Barbara at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 50.093; Hawaii 53.739 Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Hawaii by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+8 1/2)

Game 555-556: Samford at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Samford 47.575; Appalachian State 51.499 Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 4 Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 3 Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-3)

Game 557-558: Chattanooga at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 45.837; Western Carolina 50.425 Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 8 Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+8)

Game 559-560: Furman at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Furman 38.780; The Citadel 40.133 Dunkel Line: The Citadel by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: The Citadel by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Furman (+4 1/2)

Game 561-562: Morehead State at Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 47.997; Tennessee State 57.846 Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 10; 144 Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 7; 140 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-7); Over

Game 563-564: Rider at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rider 52.774; Niagara 58.326 Dunkel Line: Niagara by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Niagara by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Rider (+8 1/2)

Game 565-566: St. Peter's at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 43.673; Canisius 59.844 Dunkel Line: Canisius by 16 Vegas Line: Canisius by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-12 1/2)

Game 567-568: Wofford at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 46.742; College of Charleston 57.546 Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 11 Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 8 Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-8)

Game 569-570: South Dakota at IUPUI (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 43.536; IUPUI 43.167 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: South Dakota by 2 Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+2)

Game 571-572: South Dakota State at NE-Omaha (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 61.949; NE-Omaha 48.144 Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 14 Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 11 Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-11)

Game 573-574: Tennessee-Martin at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 39.615; Murray State 54.964 Dunkel Line: Murray State by 15 1/2 Vegas Line: Murray State by 20 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+20)

Game 575-576: SE Missouri State at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 47.921; Austin Peay 49.527 Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay

Game 577-578: Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee Tech (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 58.673; Tennessee Tech 49.675 Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 9 Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-5 1/2)

Game 579-580: UMKC at Western Illinois (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 40.443; Western Illinois 62.950 Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 22 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 15 Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-15)

Game 581-582: Idaho State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 43.875; Northern Arizona 48.600 Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-3 1/2)

Game 583-584: Montana State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 37.495; Southern Utah 47.511 Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 10 Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (-4 1/2)

Game 585-586: Northern Colorado at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 48.015; Eastern Washington 47.538 Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 1 Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+1 1/2)

Game 587-588: Weber State at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 60.268; Sacramento State 48.085 Dunkel Line: Weber State by 12 Vegas Line: Weber State by 8 Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-8)

Game 589-590: North Dakota at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 46.027; Portland State 48.091 Dunkel Line: Portland State by 2 Vegas Line: Portland State by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+3 1/2)