3-2-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 991- 736(57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat Clemson +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- None

Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost last seven games (5-2 last seven HF). Warriors lost last three games, by 11-4-8 (1-9 last ten AU).
-- Nets lost three of last four games (3-0 last three AU). Chicago is 1-3 in last four home games (6-18 HF).
-- Milwaukee lost four of its last five home games, but won last two on road (0-7 last seven HF). Raptors lost four of their last five games (7-1-1 last nine AU).
-- Minnesota lost its last four games (3-8-1 last 12 AU). Portland lost eight of last nine games (2-6 last eight HF).

Totals
-- Seven of last ten Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Minnesota games stayed under the total; eight of last ten Portland games went over.

Back-to-backs
-- Warriors are 6-4-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Brooklyn is 4-7 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Toronto is 9-3 vs spread if it played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- Syracuse (+7) won 70-68 at Louisville Jan 19, its third straight series win, despite turning ball over 16 times (-7); Cardinals won two of last three visits here, losing 52-51 LY- they've won seven of last eight games overall, winning last four, all by 14+ points. Syracuse is 4-5 in last nine games after an 18-1 start, losing last two games by 11-3 points. Big East home teams are 12-19 in games with spread of 4 or less points.
-- VCU won six of last seven games, but covered only three of last 12; they're 5-1 SU at home, 3-3 as home favorites, with four wins by 12 or more points. Butler split its last four games; they're 4-2 on A-16 road, with all four wins by six or less points. Bulldogs are 2-1 as an A-16 dog; four of their last five games were decided by 5 or less points. A-16 home favorites of 7 or less points are 27-14 against the spread.
-- Notre Dame lost four of last five visits to Marquette, losing by 13-2-26-22 points; home side is 8-3 in last 11 series games. Irish won seven of last nine games, allowing 42-41 points in last two; they're 4-3 on road in Big East, losing by 4-16-17. Marquette is 8-0 at home in Big East, 3-3 as home favorite, with four of last five home wins by 10+ points. Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 8-23 against the spread.
-- Delaware's last six games (5-1) were all decided by 1 or 2 points; Hens (+6.5) won 79-72 at George Mason Feb 9, outscoring Patriots 25-9 on foul line, in second straight win over Mason, after losing 13 of previous 14 meetings. Delaware won three in row, nine of last 11 games; they are 2-5-1 as CAA home favorite. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 10-20 vs spread. Mason won/covered its last four road games.

-- Valparaiso won 13 of last 15 games; they're 6-1 on Horizon road, with only loss by 12 at Youngstown; Crusaders (-8.5) beat Green Bay 73-61 at home Jan 23, forcing 16 (+8) turnovers, outscoring Green Bay 27-17 on foul line. Underdogs are 11-7 in Horizon games where spread is 3 or less points. Green Bay won four of last five games; they're 6-1 at home in Horizon, with only loss to Wright State, in double OT.
-- Kentucky won eight of last nine games vs Arkansas, losing 77-76 last visit here in OT; Wildcats won three in row, 8 of last 10 games, but they are 0-2 on road since Noel got hurt, losing by 17-30 points. Arkansas is 7-0 at home in SEC, with wins vs Florida/Mizzou; three of its last four games were decided by 5 or less points. SEC home favorites of 4 or less points are 9-10 vs spread. Kentucky is 2-3 as an underdog this season.
-- Miami (+3) shot 62% inside arc, held Duke to 4-23 outside arc- they crushed Blue Devils 90-63 Jan 23, 'canes' 2nd straight series win, after losing 11 of previous 12 series games. Miami won in OT at Cameron in LY's meeting. Quick turnaround for Duke club that lost Thursday nite at Virginia; they're 7-0 at home in ACC, with six of seven wins by 13+. ACC home favorites of 6+ points are 25-11 against the spread.
-- Denver won 14 of last 15 games, with lone loss 53-42 (+2) Jan 23 at New Mexico State; Pioneers made just 3-18 from arc, were outscored on foul line, 12-3. Aggies won 13 of last 14 games, losing last away game, at Utah State; they're 3-6 vs spread as an underdog this year. Denver is 5-1 as a WAC home favorite, winning home games by 11+ points. WAC home favorites are 16-31 against the spread, 9-16 if laying 8+ points.
-- Kansas State (-4.5) beat Baylor 81-61 two weeks ago, holding Jackson to 7 points while forcing 19 turnovers (+13), making 11-25 from arc in its fifth series win in last seven tries. Wildcats won eight of last nine, are 5-2 on Big X road, losing at Iowa State/Kansas. Favorites are 11-7 in Big X games with spread of 4 or less points. Baylor lost six of last nine, but is 5-2 at home in Big X, losing only to Oklahoma/Iowa State.

-- Boise PG Marks played only 9 minutes, Eliorraga didn't play at all in 77-57 (+9.5) loss at Colorado State Jan 30; Rams shot 55.6% inside arc, but missed 16-35 foul shots, or it would've been worse. Boise won four of last five games, covered six of last seven; they've won last five home games, but are just 1-4 vs top four in MWC. Rams won eight of last nine games. Dogs are 8-3 in MWC games with spread of 3 or less points.
-- Wichita State (-2.5) beat Creighton 67-64 Jan 19, its fourth series win in last five tries, holding Bluejays other than McDermott to 36.1% from floor. Shockers won last two visits here, by 14-21 points. Wichita is 4-4 in last eight games, Creighton 3-3 in last six, so at-large bid not lock for either side. Wichita's last four road games were all decided by 5 or less points. MVC home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-5 vs spread.
-- UCLA (+8.5) raced to 21-5 lead, won 84-73 at Arizona Jan 24, ending 6-game skid in Tucson; Wildcats lost six of last seven visits here, losing by 22-7 points last two years- they're 3-3 in last six games overall, 5-3 on Pac-12 road, allowing 76.7 ppg in losses, 66 or less in wins. Bruins won five of last six games, are 3-4 as home favorites (5-2 SU), with four wins at home by 8+. Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-20.
-- Canisius (+1) shot 58% inside arc, won 67-50 at Rider Jan 25, second Griffin win in last seven series games; Broncs won seven of last nine in this gym, won last four games overall- they're 4-1 as MAAC road dog this year. MAAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-15 vs spread. Canisius won six of last seven home games; they're 3-5 against spread as home favorites. 11 of last 15 Canisius games stayed under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Senators won five of their last six games. Philly won four of last six.
-- Bruins won last five games, allowing seven goals.
-- Winnipeg won five of its last six games.
-- Canadiens won seven of their last nine games.
-- Anaheim won eight of its last nine games.
-- Los Angeles won its last five games, allowing six goals.

Cold teams
-- Lightning lost four of their last five games.
-- Washington lost three of its last five games.
-- Devils lost five of their last six games. Buffalo lost four of last five at home.
-- Penguins lost last two games, allowing ten goals.
-- Florida lost eight of its last ten games. Carolina lost four of last six.
-- Coyotes lost three of their last four games.
-- Canucks lost five of their last seven games.
-- Predators lost five of their last seven games. San Jose lost 10 of last 12.

Totals
-- Under is 5-0-2 in last seven Ottawa games.
-- Last four Tampa Bay-Boston games went over.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Washington-Winnipeg games.
-- Nine of last 12 Buffalo-New Jersey games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Montreal games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Carolina-Florida games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Anaheim games.
-- Under is 10-2-2 in last fourteen LA-Vancouver games.
-- Eight of last ten Nashville-San Jose games stayed under.

Series records
-- Flyers lost four of last six games with Ottawa.
-- Lightning lost their last five visits to Boston.
-- Jets won seven of last nine games against Washington.
-- Devils won three of last four games with Buffalo.
-- Penguins won three of last four games with Montreal.
-- Carolina lost six of last seven games to the Panthers.
-- Coyotes lost three of last four games with Anaheim.
-- Kings won five of their last six games with Vancouver.
-- Sharks lost four of last five games with Nashville.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB S DAKOTA at W ILLINOIS

Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (W ILLINOIS) off a close home win by 3 points or less, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent.
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )

CBB TENNESSEE at GEORGIA

Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (GEORGIA) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
135-76 since 1997. ( 64.0% 52.3 units )
3-8 this year. ( 27.3% -5.8 units )

CBB TEXAS at OKLAHOMA ST.

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off an upset win as an underdog.
262-161 since 1997. ( 61.9% 84.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA MINNESOTA at PORTLAND

Play Against - Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record.
66-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% 31.9 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.0 units )

NBA TORONTO at MILWAUKEE

Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing with 2 days rest.
27-4 since 1997. ( 87.1% 21.3 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -2.1 units )

NBA MINNESOTA at PORTLAND

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points after having lost 3 of their last 4 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games.
92-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.2% 38.1 units )
18-18 this year. ( 50.0% -1.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVID BANKS

CBB WEEKEND LEAN SHEET

Alabama at Florida, Saturday, Mar. 2, 12:00 ET
These are the top two teams in the SEC with Florida still leading the way at 12-3 despite losing at Tennessee on Tuesday and Alabama one game back at 11-4 after suffocating Auburn 61-43 that same night, and points should be at a premium in this contest. The Gators are third in the country in defensive efficiency, sixth in effective field goal percentage allowed and eighth in two-point defense, which is important because Alabama is a poor three-point shooting team that gets most of its points inside. The Crimson Tide rank 28th in defensive efficiency and they have held 12 of their last 13 opponents below 60 points. The 'under' is 11-2 in the last 13 Alabama games when coming off of an 'under'.
LEAN: UNDER

Notre Dame at Marquette, Saturday, Mar. 2, 2:00 ET
The top of the Big East is quite surprising in the wake of Marquette knocking off Syracuse on Monday as Georgetown now leads the conference at 11-3 with the Golden Eagles only one-half game back at 11-4. The Eagles are now a perfect 15-0 here at home this season while winning by an average of nearly 11 points per game, and Marquette is up to 13th in the country in offensive efficiency. Notre Dame does not apply much pressure, ranking a dismal 339th in defensive turnover percentage, so the Golden Eagles should be able to run their sets basically unabated. This appears to be a tough matchup for a Fighting Irish defense ranked 115th in efficiency, especially at this venue. Marquette is 37-17-1 ATS in its last 55 conference games when coming off of a home game.
LEAN: MARQUETTE

Massachusetts at Xavier, Saturday, Mar. 2, 2:00 ET
The 16-11 Xavier Musketeers are playing much better lately as they followed up a narrow 75-71 loss to a VCU team that owns the most efficient offense in the conference with an upset of nationally ranked Memphis on Tuesday, snapping the Tigers' 18-game winning streak. Massachusetts has taken a step back since a 16-6 start, although the Minutemen did snap a three-game losing streak with a 76-66 win over Dayton to go to 17-9. UMass has had some issues defensively, allowing a disgusting 89.3 points per game during the three-game losing steak, and the Minutemen are now 111th nationally in defensive efficiency and 134th in effective field goal percentage allowed. Also the last head-to-head meeting went safely 'over' in an 80-73 Massachusetts win. The 'over' is 10-2 in the last 12 Xavier games when coming off of three ATS wins.
LEAN: OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vincent Rizzo Sports

CBB Twitter play: Towson -10.5 (1Unit)

Twitter plays 11-0 ATS,+11.00 Unit's.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nets at Bulls: What Bettors Need to Know

Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls (-5, 177.5)

The Chicago Bulls could be severely shorthanded when they host the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday. Starters Richard Hamilton and Luol Deng are expected to be game-time decisions for Chicago, which capped off a dismal month of February with a 93-82 home victory over the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday behind a monster performance from center Joakim Noah. It was only the fifth win in 13 games for the Bulls, who trail the Central Division-leading Indiana Pacers by 3 1/2 games.

Brooklyn dropped a 98-90 home decision to the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. It was the third loss in four games for the Nets, who hold a half-game edge on the Bulls for fifth place in the Eastern Conference. Brooklyn's chances of winning the Atlantic Division title have taken a major hit following a stretch in which it has dropped six of nine home games. The Nets trail division leader New York by three games and are five back of the Knicks in the loss column.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, YES (Brooklyn), WGN (Chicago)

ABOUT THE NETS (34-25): Guard Joe Johnson had turned in two of his best performances of the season before injuring his foot in a win at Milwaukee on Feb. 20. Johnson sat out three games before returning to the lineup Friday and, not surprisingly, struggled by scoring 11 points and committing four turnovers. Deron Williams had his third consecutive game with at least 24 points but also was plagued by the turnover bug, matching his season high with seven as Brooklyn committed 20 to negate a 44-31 rebounding edge.

ABOUT THE BULLS (33-25): Noah's dominant performance in Thursday's game was still the talk of Chicago a day later. He recorded the third triple-double of his career with some staggering numbers: 23 points, 21 rebounds and a career-high 11 blocked shots. Teammate Carlos Boozer referred to the totals as "legendary stuff" while coach Tom Thibodeau raved about both the performance and its impact. "When you get an effort like that that, it ignites and inspires your team," Thibodeau said. "It makes other guys do the same."

TRENDS:

* Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Under is 4-1 in Nets’ last five overall.
* Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Bulls are 1-6 ATS in their last seven Saturday games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The teams have split two meetings this season that were decided by a total of five points.

2. Brooklyn handed Chicago one of its seven home losses last season.

3. Hamilton missed Thursday's game with back spasms while Deng had some teeth loosened when he was elbowed in the head.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

Syracuse -1.5 (5 UNITS)

Miami (FL) +7 (5 UNITS)

Baylor -2.5 (5 UNITS)

UCLA -1 (5 UNITS)

Notre Dame +6 (4 UNITS)

Oklahoma State -12 (4 UNITS)

Wake Forest +1 (3 UNITS)

Arizona State +3.5 (3 UNITS)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Wake Forest
Marquette
Vanderbilt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher
Golden State Warriors +1.5 over Philadelphia 76ers
(System Record: 68-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 68-49-1

Hockey Crusher
Carolina Hurricanes -155 over Florida Panthers
(System Record: 23-1, won last game)
Overall Record: 23-16

Soccer Crusher
Colon + Estudiantes OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 364-14, lost last game)
Overall Record: 364-316-43

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RickJ's Handicapping Picks Saturday College hoops:

1/2 Unit Play

590 Nevada Over 138.5
670 Georgetown Under 122

[Can'tPickAWinner]

spartan | CBB Sides Sat, 03/02/13 - 4:00 PM
triple-dime bet 585 St. Louis -6.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 586 George Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

SATURDAY, MARCH 2 SCORE
(12:00) WAKE FOREST 78 - Maryland 75
(12:00) NORTHEASTERN 72 - Old Dominion 69
(12:00) SYRACUSE 63 - Louisville 62 (CBS)
(12:00) VA COMMONWEALTH 79 - Butler 78 (ESPN2)
(12:00) FLORIDA 92 - Alabama 67 (ESPN)

(1:00) Memphis 80 - CENTRAL FLORIDA 64 (FSN)
(1:45) Tennessee 69 - GEORGIA 63
(1:45) OKLAHOMA 81 - Iowa State 71

(2:00) KANSAS 85 - West Virginia 66 (CBS)
(2:00) MARQUETTE 67 - Notre Dame 62 (ESPN)
(2:00) CINCINNATI 70 - Connecticut 68
(2:00) George Mason 73 - DELAWARE 69 (NBCS)
(2:00) WISCONSIN 78 - Purdue 52
(2:00) MINNESOTA 79 - Penn State 70
(2:00) TEMPLE 74 - Rhode Island 67
(2:00) Massachusetts 65 - XAVIER 61 (CBSC)
(2:00) LASALLE 83 - Duquesne 59
(2:00) NORTHERN IOWA 71 - Illinois State 64
(2:00) EVANSVILLE 68 - Indiana State 67

(2:00) MISSOURI STATE 72 - Bradley 63
(2:00) Ohio U 69 - BOWLING GREEN 62
(2:00) TOLEDO 70 - Ball State 77
(2:00) EASTERN MICHIGAN 65 - Western Michigan 58
(2:00) WRIGHT STATE 67 - Youngstown State 60
(2:00) ILLINOIS-CHICAGO 76 - Detroit 75 (BIG10)
(2:00) HOUSTON 71 - Marshall 59

(3:00) WISC-GREEN BAY 74 - Valparaiso 66 (ESPNU)
(3:00) Kent State 78 - MIAMI-OHIO 73
(3:00) LOYOLA-CHICAGO 75 - Cleveland State 66
(3:00) SAN DIEGO 67 - Pepperdine 66
(3:00) UAB 59 - Smu 49
(3:00) SO CALIFORNIA 80 - Arizona State 75 (FSN)
(3:00) Idaho 76 - TEXAS STATE 64

(4:00) TOWSON 67 - Hofstra 50
(4:00) OKLAHOMA STATE 91 - Texas 71 (ESPN)
(4:00) DAYTON 78 - Richmond 66
(4:00) MISSOURI 72 - Lsu 63
(4:00) TEXAS TECH 64 - Tcu 54
(4:00) Saint Louis 75 - GEORGE WASHINGTON 63
(4:00) TULSA 71 - Tulane 64
(4:00) Unlv 70 - NEVADA 67 (NBCS)
(4:00) ARKANSAS 79 - Kentucky 76 (CBS)

(5:00) NEW MEXICO 76 - Wyoming 57
(5:00) Mississippi 72 - MISSISSIPPI STATE 64 (FSN)
(5:00) LA-MONROE 73 - La-Lafayette 72
(5:00) GONZAGA 88 - Portland 48
(5:00) CALIFORNIA 74 - Colorado 65 (ESPNU)

(6:00) DUKE 86 - Miami-Florida 73 (ESPN)
(6:00) WILLIAM & MARY 72 - James Madison 67
(6:00) DENVER 67 - New Mexico State 50
(6:00) Harvard 76 - PENNSYLVANIA 61 (NBCS)
(6:00) PRINCETON 75 - Dartmouth 48
(6:30) Mid Tennessee St 74 - WESTERN KENTUCKY 69

(7:00) Florida International 80 - FLORIDA ATLANTIC 70
(7:00) TEXAS A&M 71 - South Carolina 62 (ESPNU)
(7:00) TEXAS SAN ANTONIO 74 - Seattle 73
(7:00) COLUMBIA 65 - Brown 58
(7:00) Akron 67 - BUFFALO 66
(7:00) ST BONAVENTURE 82 - Charlotte 73
(7:00) CORNELL 69 - Yale 67
(7:00) DREXEL 71 - UNC-Wilmington 58
(7:00) BAYLOR 76 - Kansas State 75
(7:00) ST JOSEPHS 77 - Fordham 64
(7:30) INDIANA 98 - Iowa 85 (BIG10)

(8:00) SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 74 - East Carolina 70
(8:00) Pacific 67 - CAL-RIVERSIDE 51
(8:00) Utah State 73 - TEXAS-ARLINGTON 68
(8:00) ILLINOIS 76 - Nebraska 56 (BIG10)
(8:00) PROVIDENCE 71 - St Johns 70
(8:00) VIRGINIA TECH 74 - Clemson 73
(8:00) Colorado State 67 - BOISE STATE 66
(8:00) CREIGHTON 72 - Wichita State 65
(8:00) DRAKE 76 - Southern Illinois 70
(8:00) NORTHERN ILLINOIS 68 - Central Michigan 63
(8:00) Utep 79 - RICE 64
(8:00) LOUISIANA TECH 75 - San Jose State 59
(8:00) ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK 73 - Arkansas State 67
(8:30) TROY 70 - South Alabama 65

(9:00) Vanderbilt 77 - AUBURN 69 (ESPN2)
(9:00) UCLA 82 - Arizona 81 (ESPN)
(9:00) GEORGETOWN 74 - Rutgers 49 (ESPNU)
(9:00) CAL-FULLERTON 77 - Cal-Davis 76

(10:00) CAL-NORTHRIDGE 73 - Cal-Santa Barbara 70
(10:00) Long Beach State 76 - CAL-IRVINE 72
(10:00) Air Force 81 - FRESNO STATE 77
(10:00) SAINT MARYS 82 - Santa Clara 76

(11:00) Byu 73 - LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT 59 (ESPNU)
(12:30) HAWAII 80 - Cal-Poly Slo 67

BEST BETS: MEMPHIS, GEORGIA, OKLAHOMA, EASTERN MICHIGAN,
WISCONSIN, IDAHO, SAINT LOUIS, TULSA, DUKE, DENVER, UTAH ST,
ST BONAVENTURE, VANDERBILT, HAWAII