3-2-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Falco

CBB

LaSalle
Indiana
La Tech
Central Mich

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Justice
san diego -5.5
arizona state +3
arizona state +1.5 half

Kentucky +3.5
Over unlv 1st half
Missouri 1st half

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns 10* NBA Personal Favorite

Philly

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Silver Key Pick for Saturday NCAA Basketball

Samford +6 over WESTERN CAROLINA (4:30 et)

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Saturday 3/2/13 Plays...

3* MIAMI OHIO +2 (12PM PST)

---LEGIT PICK'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo 10* SEC GOY

Auburn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VR

3* ucla/ az over
3* Canadians
2* duke under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4_SEASONS Power Play of the Day
HARVARD -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob



NBA

2 Star Selection
Golden State (-1.5) over PHILADELPHIA (Rotation: 501)
02-Mar-13 04:05 PM Pacific
Golden State has dropped 3 straight games and the 76ers have lost 6 straight games, but it’s the Warriors that are likely to get the much needed win tonight. Golden State applies to a very good 83-25-3 ATS road bounce-back situation tonight and the Warriors are 39-18 ATS the night after a loss, including 23-4 ATS against a team with a losing record. I’ll take Golden State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or better.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at -2 or better.
COLLEGE

2 Star Selection
Miami Florida (+8) over DUKE (Rotation: 603)
02-Mar-13 03:00 PM Pacific
Duke is not a better team than Miami and should not be favored by more than the home court advantage in this game. Using all games for each team would yield a prediction of Duke by 7 points but Duke isn't as good without star forward Ryan Kelly and Miami is much better with everyone healthy. The Hurricanes struggled in the first 3 games of the season without Durand Scott and also in an 8 game stretch in the middle of the season without big man Reggie Johnson, who is a very good rebounder and defender in the paint. Miami is 15-1 straight up and 11-4-1 ATS when both Scott and Johnson are both playing while Duke is 9-4 straight up and 6-7 ATS without Kelly. Miami hasn't been quite as good away from home but they've only lost that one game straight up and won at North Carolina (without Johnson) and at NC State. Duke has been better at home without Kelly but most of those were against bad teams and the Blue Devils are relatively worse against better teams while Miami is relatively better against good teams. My ratings favor Duke by only 3 1/2 points even when applying a stronger than normal home court advantage. Duke may have revenge for a 63-90 loss at Miami but that game reflects the fact that the Hurricanes are simply too good for Duke without Kelly in the lineup. Duke is just 17-21-2 ATS in ACC regular season revenge games and they failed to cover at home the only other time that they've been revenging a loss of 20 points or more in the last 23 years.I'll take Miami in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more.
Note: This game was released this morning when the line was +8. Miami is still a Best Bet at +7 or more.
2 Star Selection
DENVER (-8.5) over New Mexico State (Rotation: 608)
02-Mar-13 03:00 PM Pacific
Denver is 14-1 straight up and 13-2 ATS since freshman guard Jalen Love joined the starting lineup and the Pioneers' only loss was at New Mexico State. Denver has a habit of struggling on the road against good teams but the Pioneers should get revenge here at home, where they are 69-37-4 ATS the last 9 years. Denver sometimes lets down when hosting bad teams but they Pioneers are 53-15-2 ATS when hosting a team with a win percentage of .420 or higher, inclduing 37-8-2 ATS in conference games. New Mexico State gets F Tyrone Watson back from suspension but they Aggies weren't much worse without him and using New Mexico State's games with Watson and Denver's games with Love in the starting lineup would yield a prediction of Denver by 11 points using a standard home court advantage. Denver has a stronger than normal home court edge and New Mexico State has struggled on the road against average or better teams, going 1-5-1 ATS visiting such teams. I'll take Denver in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at -9 or less.
2 Star Selection
Dartmouth (+17) over PRINCETON (Rotation: 611)
02-Mar-13 03:00 PM Pacific
Ivy League teams are just 41% ATS as double-digit home favorites since 1990 (as far back as my database goes) and Ivy favorites of 17 points or more are 47-81-1 ATS. The slower pace that Ivy League teams play at, as well as a similar level of athletes throughout the league, are factors that don't lend themselves to blowout wins. I can certainly see Princeton relaxing a bit today after beating first place Harvard to match them in the loss column. Princeton also already beat Dartmouth by 18 points on the road, which gives them another reason to overlook this game, and the Big Green have been pretty pesky as a double-digit dog in Ivy play with 8 straight spread wins in that role. My ratings favor Princeton by only 15 1/2 points in this game and I'll take Dartmouth in a 2-Star Best Bet at +16 points or more.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at +16 or more.
3 Star Selection
FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+1.5) over Florida International (Rotation: 616)
02-Mar-13 04:00 PM Pacific
Florida Atlantic lost by 19 points at FIU earlier this season but the Owls apply to a very good 61-17 ATS last home game revenge situation and my ratings favor FAU by 1 point, which is where the line opened. We have a good situation and the line move has given us value. I'll take Florida Atlantic in a 2-Star Best Bet at +1 or more and for 2-Stars at pick or -1.
Play Strength: 3-Stars at +1 or more, 2-Stars at pick or -1.
2 Star Selection
Iowa (+14) over INDIANA (Rotation: 635)
02-Mar-13 04:30 PM Pacific
Iowa nearly beat Indiana at home despite making just 3 of 17 3-point shots and the Hawkeyes are in a good spot to keep this game competitive too. Iowa has only had one bad loss in Big 10 play, a 28 point defeat at Michigan back in early January. All the rest of Iowa's conference losses have been competitive, as the Hawkeyes have 6 Big 10 losses by 4 points or less and their other conference loss was a 9 point loss as a 10 point dog at Ohio State. Iowa qualifies in a very good 119-33-3 ATS big road underdog situation that is in part based on Indiana's loss at Minnesota and the line on this game is fair (I get Indiana by 13.6 points using conference games only). I'll take Iowa in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more and for 3-Stars at +15 or more.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at +13 or more, 3-Stars at +15 or more.
3 Star Selection
Missouri Kansas City (UMKC) (+1) over IUPUI (Rotation: 713)
02-Mar-13 04:30 PM Pacific
IUPUI has now lost 14 straight games and the Jaguars were either favored or a pick in 4 of those losses, including two straight Best Bets wins going against them in the past week. IUPUI has covered in only 1 of 11 games since losing star John Hart to injury and UMKC is actually an underrated team with all their starters playing. I can understand the line on this game based on the entire season but my ratings based on current personnel favor UMKC by 5 1/2 points and I'll take UMKC in a 3-Star Best Bet at +1 or more and for 2-Stars from pick to -2.
Play Strength: 3-Stars at pick or dog, 2-Stars up to -2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo
creighton

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Rosica
100 DIME
WINNER # 3 IN A ROW!
Miami.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfather Locks
1000* NCAA BASKETBALL HOME CHALK WINNER
Duke -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer " Tap-Out Underdog " GOY


Game: Cal Davis at Fullerton State Mar 2 2013 9:00PM
Prediction: Cal Davis
Reason: I'm taking the points with UC-Davis on Saturday night. The favored CS-Fullerton Titans are an absolute mess and I expect things to get worse. Leading scorer D.J. Seeley injured his toe last time out and may not play a single minute. Even if he does give it a go, it's said he's far from 100% healthy. Then there's Sammy Yeager, averaging almost 16 ppg. The 6'4 forward from Modesto has missed some game action of late due to a back injury. He may not be in the lineup again tonight - and he's less than 100% if he does make an appearance. If both of these players miss tonight's game the Titans will be down to four scholarship players, thanks to a few more who're already out for the season. CSUF would then have just one player, Kwame Vaughn, averaging in double figures in scoring. It also looks like the school is searching for someone else to coach the team with interim coach Andy Newman likely getting his walking papers at season's end. There's a lot of talk coming out of Fullerton on a lot of issues regarding this team and none of it is positive. UC-Davis lost by 7 points to Fullerton on January 24. But the Aggies have played much better basketball of late. UC-Davis has won four of their last five SU and ATS. They're one of the top shooting teams in the nation, making over 47% of their shots, including 39.9% from behind the arc, which is the 9th most accurate mark in college basketball. Arizona State transfer Corey Hawkins has been on fire over the last several weeks. Let's also not forget the Titans come-from-behind win over UC-Davis was fueled by the aforementioned Seeley's 32 points on 11 of 16 shooting, including 5 of 8 from behind the arc. Fullerton made 55% of their shots in the January win, including a 12 of 23 performance from the 3-point line. Since then, the Titans have won just 3 of 9 games. Meanwhile, the Aggies have made nearly 50% of their shots over the last five games, including 44% of their 3-pointers. During the same span, the messy Titans have made just 40.8% of their shots, while allowing their opponents to make 47.7% of their FGA. And the Titans are getting out-rebounded by more than 9 rpg over their last five contests. The Titans are on a 1-8 ATS slide at home, while UC-Davis is on a 4-0 ATS run in Big West play. Finally, the underdog in this series is on a perfect 9-0, 100% winning run. I'm betting on more of the same. I'm grabbing the points with UC-Davis on Saturday night. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RickJ's Handicapping Picks Sat Plays

Saturday College Hoops
1/2 Unit Play
633 Fordham +14


Saturday NHL PLay
1/2 Unit
Florida +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsmemo - Ian Cameron

20* CBB ACC Game Of The Month: VIRGINIA TECH PK