3-4-13

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Today's NHL Picks

Anaheim at Phoenix

The Ducks look to bounce back from a 5-4 loss to the Coyotes on Saturday and take advantage of Phoenix' 2-5 record in its last 7 games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Anaheim is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 4 Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: New Jersey at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.088; Toronto 12.291 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-120); 5 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Under

Game 3-4: Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.638; Pittsburgh 11.370 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-185); 6 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+165); Over

Game 5-6: Anaheim at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.489; Phoenix 11.652 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-105); Over

Game 7-8: Nashville at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.496; Los Angeles 13.343 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-155); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-155); Under

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 994- 737(57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner MON: Montana -2

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Cappers Access

Louisville -10
Texas +2

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Savannah St. +3 over N.Carolina A&T

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PAUL LEINER

100* Cincy +10

50* Baylor -2

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5Lines

Total Line for 03/04/2013

(Lost last 3 games) Today's Winning Team is: NBA - Atlanta Hawks : o211 Cost: -110

Run Line for 03/04/2013

(Won last 4 games) Today's Winning Team is: NBA - Denver Nuggets : -10 Cost: -110

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DAVID BANKS

March 04, 2013

Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves The Miami Heat (43-14, 30-27 ATS) overcame a 16-point deficit to beat the Knicks Sunday and make it 14 wins in a row, and they look to make it 15 vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (20-36, 34-25 ATS) at the Target Center in Minnesota Monday at 9:05 ET on NBA TV. LeBron James filled out the stat sheet as usual vs. the Knicks with 29 points, 11 rebounds, seven assists, three steals and one blocked shot, helping Miami avenge two earlier losses to New York. Minnesota is coming off of a 109-94 loss at Portland on Saturday, and this team has simply been undermanned since Kevin Love re-fractured his hand back on January 3rd. The shaky Minnesota defense makes the Timberwolves unlikely candidates to slow down the Miami Express.The Miami 14-game winning steak began when James began his historic streak where he became the first player in NBA history to score at least 30 points and shoot at least 60 percent from the field in six straight games, and over the entire 14-game streak, James is averaging 28.9 points, 7.9 rebounds and 8.3 assists. James is now shooting an impressive 56.3 percent over the entire season, helping propel the Heat to a league leading 49.6 percent shooting percentage as a team overall. Miami also ranks second the three-point shooting at 39.3 percent and the end result has been a fifth best 103.7 points per game. Now the Heat have not cared much about the regular season since James arrived two seasons ago, as they are in fact only 101-103-1 ATS since then during the regular year. They have successfully flipped the switch when it mattered most once the playoffs began in both seasons, but this is now the best regular season stretch for Miami since LeBron came to South Beach, and the Heat now find themselves tied in the loss column with the team with the best record in the NBA in the 46-14 San Antonio Spurs, pending the Spurs' result Sunday night.The Timberwolves have had trouble competing without Love, going 5-21 straight up since he went down, and things have gotten worse as of late with Minnesota winning only twice in the last 11 games, and those two wins coming vs. a Philadelphia team that cannot score and a Cleveland team that cannot play defense. The Timberwolves have shown nothing to indicate that they can hang with a team of Miami's caliber, especially on the defensive end. For the entire season, Minnesota is ranked 16th in points against at 97.9 per game, 23rd in field goal percentage allowed and 20th in three-point defense. The defense has gotten considerably worse in the 26 games since Love went down though, allowing 100.4 points per game in that time, and it is allowing a disgusting 107.2 points per game on a bloated 49.1 percent shooting over the last five contests. All the Wolves have to do now is contain the best shooting team in the league with the hottest player on the planet.The Timberwolves are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, and Minnesota is 7-16-2 ATS in its last 25 games overall. The Heat are on an 8-3 ATS run overall and Miami is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games vs. the Northwest Division.
Pick: OVER 196

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John Harrison
Heat OV 196

Bobcats UN 198.5

Warriors OV 203.

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xpertpicks 3/4

ncaab:
Kansas -24.5 over Texas Tech
Louisville -10 over Cincinnati
Baylor -2 over Texas

nba:
Portland -12.5 over Charlotte

nhl:
Pittsburgh -185 over Tampa Bay
Los Angeles -155 over Nashville

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Atlanta at Denver (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Denver -10 (-110)
The Denver Nuggets have become the top home team in the NBA. They own a decisive advantage in the high altitude and have used it to go 25-3 on the season. The Nuggets have won ten straight games here and their last 12 attempts at covering double-digits has been a successful 8-4 ATS. Atlanta has been a pedestrian road team where they are 15-15 on the season. This will also be their sixth straight game on the road. In addition, having played yesterday, they are going to be weary in the high altitude against a very good team that likes to play fast. The Nuggets have covered six of their last seven here and will put the Hawks away late in this one. Play on Denver.

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Ferringo CBB
Under 136 Montana/Utah Valley State

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JACK JONES

NCAA-B | Mar 04 '13 (7:00p) CINCINNATI vs Louisville	CINCINNATI +11-110 at betus
15* Cincinnati/Louisville ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Cincinnati +11 The Cincinnati Bearcats are showing awesome value as a double-digit road underdog to the Louisville Cardinals Monday night. I like Cincinnati to cover this spread for a number of reasons tonight with the biggest being their play on the road this year. The Bearcats have played their best basketball away from home during the 2012-13 season. They are 8-4 in all road games this year with wins over the likes of Iowa State (78-70), Oregon (77-66), Xavier (60-45), and Pittsburgh (70-61). They also played Syracuse to a 2-point game (55-57) as an 8.5-point underdog. Speaking of Syracuse, the Cardinals are in a huge letdown spot off their upset 58-53 road victory over the Orange on Saturday. Off such a big win, it will be very though for Louisville to come back and give the kind of effort it will take to beat these Feisty Bearcats by more than 11 points. Louisville is known for its press which can give teams fits. However, Cincinnati has the perfect antidote with two of the best guards in the country. Leading scorers Sean Kilpatrick (17.7 PPG) and Cashmere Wright (12.6 PPG) will have no problem handling this press. Also, third-leading scorer JaQuon Parker (11.0 PPG) can handle the ball as well. Cincinnati is one of the few teams that is lucky enough to have its three best players being guards. This play falls into a system that is 45-13 (77.6%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (LOUISVILLE) - after scoring 60 points or less against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less. When you look at the recent history between these teams, it's easy to see why I'm taking the points tonight. Each of the last seven meetings dating back to 2008 have been decided by 9 points or less. Cincinnati has won four of those seven contests outright. That makes for a perfect 7-0 system backing the double-digit underdog Bearcats tonight. The Bearcats are 10-0 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS in road games off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. The Bearcats are 6-0 ATS in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. These last four trends combine for a perfect 29-0 system backing the Bearcats. Take Cincinnati Monday.

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NBA Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

NBA | Mar 04 '13 (8:05p) Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves	Minnesota Timberwolves +10-105 at 5dimes
20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Minnesota Timberwolves +10 The Minnesota Timberwolves are showing arguably their best value of the season as a double-digit home underdog to the Miami Heat. They come in undervalued due to their current 5-game losing streak which has seen four of those losses come on the road. The other was a 99-100 home loss to Western Conference playoff contender, Golden State. Miami comes in way overvalued due to its 14-game winning streak. They won No. 14 in a row Sunday at New York as they erased a double-digit halftime deficit. That was a huge win for the Heat as they had lost the previous two meetings with the Knicks this season. Now, playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days, the Heat are in for a big letdown tonight. This play falls into a system that is 51-21 (70.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. The Heat are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Timberwolves are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Minnesota is 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 vs. Eastern Conference foes. Bet the Timberwolves Monday.

NBA | Mar 04 '13 (10:35p) Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors -6-105 at 5dimes

15* Raptors/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -6 The Golden State Warriors come into this game with the Toronto Raptors highly motivated for a victory. They want to get back on track following a tough 5-game road trip in which they lost their final four games. I like their chances of getting back on track in a big way against this struggling Raptors squad. Toronto has lost four straight while going 0-4 ATS in the process in its last four games. All four losses came by 6 points or more. It was playing without Rudy Gay (back) in a 114-122 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday, and he is questionable to return tonight. I like the Warriors to roll regardless of whether or not Gay plays. If he's out it would only be an added bonus. Golden State has been dominant at home this season. It is 18-7 SU & 15-10 ATS in all home games this year. That's not good new for the Raptors, who are just 8-21 in all road games this year. The Warriors won the first meeting 114-102 with the Raptors on January 28th on the road. I like for them to put a similar beat down on Toronto at home this time around. Golden State is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. The Raptors are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 meetings, including 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Golden State. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. These last three trends combine for a perfect 15-0 system backing Golden State. Roll with the Warriors Monday.

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Rob Vinciletti

NBA	Mar 04 '13 8:05p	Orlando Magic vs New Orleans Hornets Take: New Orleans Hornets -9½-110		in 6h
On Monday the NBA Power System Play is on the New Orleans Hornets. Game 704 at 8:05 eastern. Orlando gets blown out on a regular basis these days and fresh off another loss they travel to New Orleans to take on a Hornets teams that is 7-0 ats in the series and has won the last 5 from Orlando. The Magic also fit a big system that plays against road teams that scored 90 or less as a home dog of 5 or more, vs an opponent that scored 90 or more as a home favorite and shot 45% or less. These road teams lose by an average 19 points and have failed to cover every time the last 18+ years if not getting 15 or more. The Magic are 7-21 ats vs losing teams and 1-8 of late in this role.The Magic are 1-4 ats on the road with no rest off a home game and all teams going into New Orleans with no rest off a home game are 1-6 ats. Look for the Hornets to get the win and cover.

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Sports Cash System Play of the Day:


Kansas -24.5 over Texas Tech (buy half point to Kansas -24 if possible)

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Sports Cash System Free Pick for 3/4

Baylor -1.5 over Texas (buy half point to -1 of possible) (NCAA College Basketball)