3-9-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

David Chan

8* Cha/Wash Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Study Group: Saturday's Top 25 NCB Betting Notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for all of Saturday’s ranked college basketball games:

(9) Florida at Kentucky (+6, 131)

Florida visits Kentucky on Saturday having clinching the No. 1 seed in the SEC tournament with a 66-40 win over Vanderbilt on Wednesday. The Gators earned their fourth outright league title and second in the last three years, finishing a perfect 15-0 at home this season. Fourteen of their SEC victories came by double-digits, including a 69-52 rout of the Wildcats on Feb. 12. Kentucky is coming off back-to-back losses after falling to Georgia 72-62 on Thursday, but the Gators are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

UAB at (20) Memphis (-15.5, 143)

Memphis is chasing history as it heads into its regular-season finale Saturday afternoon against UAB. The Tigers are one win away from becoming the fifth Conference USA team to go undefeated in conference play, and the fourth Memphis team to post a perfect league record. A win guarantees UAB the No. 5 seed in the C-USA tournament, and would end a 12-game losing streak against the Tigers. Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last five Saturday games.

(16) Syracuse at (5) Georgetown (-1, 121)

The Hoyas lost a chance to clinch at least a share of the league title when they fell at Villanova on Wednesday, snapping an 11-game winning streak and falling into a tie with Louisville and Marquette, both of whom will play later Saturday. At the same time, Syracuse was in the process of ending its three-game slide with a 78-57 win over DePaul. During its three-game skid, all against ranked opponents, the Orange shot 39.5 percent from the floor and had more turnovers than assists. The Hoyas are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.

La Salle at (15) Saint Louis (-7.5, 131)

The Explorers could still garner a share of the A-10 title and the No. 1 tourney seed with a win over the Billikens and a VCU loss at Temple on Sunday, which would create a three-way tie for first place. Saint Louis comes in off a 77-66 overtime loss at Xavier on Wednesday, which snapped the Billikens' 11-game win and ATS streak. The road team is 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.

(10) Kansas State at (14) Oklahoma State (-6, 133)

A loss at Iowa State on Wednesday ended Oklahoma State's chance of capturing a piece of the Big 12 regular-season title. Now, locked into third place, the Cowboys look to play spoiler when they host Kansas State. Kansas State is tied with rival Kansas for the conference lead. The Wildcats have won six straight and will clinch at least a share of their first conference title since 1977 with a win at Gallagher-Iba Arena. The Cowboys are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

(17) Marquette at St. John’s (+5.5, 127)

Marquette can claim at least a share of the Big East regular-season title for the first time when it visits sliding St. John's. Marquette had already secured the coveted double-bye for the upcoming Big East tournament before it knocked off Rutgers 60-54 on Tuesday. At the same time, the Red Storm were bottoming out with a 26-point loss to the Fighting Irish that featured a late fight involving swingman Sir'Dominic Pointer. The sophomore, who leads St. John's in assists and steals, is suspended for the finale. The Red Storm have lost three straight and five of six.

(22) Pittsburgh at DePaul (+12, 135)

Pittsburgh routed DePaul 93-55 in their first matchup Jan. 26. The Blue Demons have won only one game in the last two months. Since that victory, a 75-69 result over Rutgers on Feb. 16, DePaul has logged five losses by an average of 17.6 points. Most recently, the Blue Demons dropped a 78-57 contest to the Orange on Wednesday. The Blue Demons haven’t held an opponent under 69 points since Dec. 22 and are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.

Clemson at (7) Miami-Florida (-13, 113)

The Hurricanes must beat visiting Clemson on Saturday to clinch the ACC regular-season title for the first time since joining the conference for the 2004-05 season. Miami has lost three of its last four games, including two straight, after a 14-game win streak and is coming off a 71-69 loss at home to Georgia Tech on Wednesday. Miami has taken the last two meetings, including 45-43 at Clemson on Feb. 17. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

(25) Oregon at Utah (+4, 125)

The Ducks get another chance to wrap up their first regular-season title since 2002 with a victory at Utah on Saturday. Oregon, UCLA and California entered the final week of the regular season with a chance to claim the title, but only the Ducks continue to control their own destiny. If they stumble, UCLA wins the title with a victory at Washington on Saturday. The Utes are No. 1 in the Pac-12 in scoring defense at 62.9 points while the Ducks are second at 63.3. Utah is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.

(24) Notre Dame at (6) Louisville (-11.5, 122)

These teams engaged in the longest game in Big East regular-season history on Feb. 9 – a 104-101 five-overtime thriller in which Notre Dame overcame an eight-point deficit in the final 44 seconds of regulation and rallied in three of the first four overtime periods before prevailing. Eight of the last 13 meetings have been decided in overtime, including the last three. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.

Arizona State at (18) Arizona (-12, 134)

The Wildcats have won 29 of the last 37 meetings, including 71-54 on Jan. 19 in Tempe. Arizona State, which is 4-5 on the road and sixth in the Pac-12, looks to snap a three-game losing streak. The last five meetings at McKale Center have been decided by an average of 8.6 points and the Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

(3) Kansas at Baylor (+4.5, 142)

Kansas will know before it tips off at Baylor on Saturday whether it has a chance to win the Big 12 Conference title outright. The Jayhawks enter the weekend tied with Kansas State and their in-state rivals play at Oklahoma State earlier Saturday afternoon. Baylor has lost five of six to cripple its NCAA Tournament hopes but a win against Kansas and some wins at the conference tournament could help fix its resume. Kansas has held 18 opponents, including nine Big 12 opponents, to 60 points or fewer. The Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.

(11) New Mexico at Air Force (+3, 128)

New Mexico is on pace to shoot its lowest field-goal percentage in 51 years. The Lobos are hitting on 41.8 percent of their shots this season, making half their attempts or better in five games. They’ve excelled on defense, however, and have done an exceptional job avoiding turnovers, especially lately. During its current six-game winning streak, New Mexico is allowing an average of 57.3 points, while limiting the opposition to 37.3 percent from the floor. The Falcons are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games.

(4) Duke at North Carolina (-1.5, 153)

Duke needs a win and Miami to also lose to Clemson on Saturday to grab a share of its 23rd regular-season title. The Blue Devils have won six of the last eight meetings, including their 73-68 victory in February. North Carolina has won each of its last seven home games by double figures and is 7-0 ATS in its last seven overall.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Must - Win Weekend: Which NCAAB finales carry the most weight?

It’s the 11th hour for plenty of college basketball teams as the schedule heads into its final weekend.

Those programs with a weak NCAA resume are out for one more convincing win while others are jockeying for position before the conference tournament begins. Here’s a look at which weekend matchup carry the most weight:

Atlantic 10

La Salle Explorers at Saint Louis Billikens – The Explorers are on the tournament bubble and win over No. 15 SLU might do the trick. La Salle is also hoping to hold on to the No. 3 seed in the A-10.

UMass Minutemen at Rhode Island Rams – Massachusetts is another A-10 team on the fence and a win over the lowly Rams won’t do much to change that. The Minutemen are trying to stay among the top 8 in the conference.

VCU Rams at Temple Owls – Temple can boost its NCAA hopes with a victory over No. 19 VCU. The Owls are also in the hunt for the top 4 seed in the A-10 tournament and a first-round bye.

ACC

Clemson Tigers at Miami Hurricanes – Miami missed out on a chance at clinching its first outright ACC season crown vs. Georgia Tech Wednesday, losing its second straight game. Can the Canes avoid a late-season collapse versus Clemson?

Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels – This is a big game for both Tobacco Road rivals. Duke is trying to steal a share of the ACC title from Miami while UNC desperately needs a win over a ranked opponent to get off the bubble.

Maryland Terrapins at Virginia Cavaliers – Virginia can feel safe better about its NCAA destiny with a win over Maryland, which may have had its bubble burst in a loss to UNC Wednesday.

Big Ten

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Iowa Hawkeyes – Iowa has won five of its last seven and has a foot in the door when it comes to the NCAA conversation. A loss to Nebraska would likely slam the door on that foot.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Ohio State Buckeyes – The battle for No. 2 – or even a four-team logjam atop the standings – starts in Columbus Sunday. Ohio State need some help from rivals Michigan.

Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines – The Hoosiers can win the Big Ten season title – and possibly a No. 1 NCAA seed - Sunday or Michigan can spread the love over four different teams, barring outside upsets.

Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan State Spartans – MSU came up big with a win over Wisconsin and can win a share of the Big Ten title with a victory over Northwestern and some help from the Wolverines.

Big East

Syracuse Orange at Georgetown Hoyas - With a win, the Hoyas earn a share of the Big East season crown. This is the final regular season game between these two bitter rivals, with SU moving to the ACC next season.

Marquette Golden Eagles at St. John’s Red Storm – Marquette can at least win a share of the Big East title with a victory over the Johnnies.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Louisville Cardinals – Louisville is also in the hunt for a piece of the Big East pie. The Cardinals will get a share of the conference crown if they win, and could win outright if GT and MU go down.

Providence Friars at UConn Huskies – The Friars have quietly become the hottest team in the Big East, winning seven of their last eight and propping themselves on the NCAA bubble heading into the weekend.

Big 12

Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys – KSU is currently tied with KU for first in the conference and will win at least a share of the conference crown with a win.

Iowa State Cyclones at West Virginia Mountaineers – ISU may have moved off the bubble with a huge win over OSU Wednesday. However, a letdown loss to WVU could erase that momentum.

Kansas Jayhawks at Baylor Bears – Kansas it trying to hang on to a share of the Big 12 title while Baylor has one last chance to impress the selection committee with a marquee win over KU.

Oklahoma Sooners at TCU Horned Frogs – The Sooners are another bubble team with everything to lose if they come out flat versus TCU. OU is holding on to No. 4 in the Big 12 heading into the weekend.

C-USA

Central Florida Knights at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles – Southern Miss is on the bubble heading into the final game of the season. Tuesday’s loss to Marshall may have been the nail in the coffin though.

MWC

Fresno State Bulldogs at UNLV Runnin’ Rebels – UNLV is trying to hold on to the No. 2 spot in the MWC and win its sixth in a row.

San Diego State Aztecs at Boise State Broncos – San Diego State is clutching to a No. 4 seed and a first-round bye while Boise State is on the NCAA bubble, needing another convincing MWC win.

Nevada Wolf Pack at Colorado State Rams – CSU is knotted with UNLV for the second spot in the conference and needs a win over Nevada to avoid sliding back.

Pac-12

Oregon Ducks at Utah Utes – Oregon crumbled under the pressure with a chance to clinch the Pac-12 title in Colorado and now must win out to at least get a share of the conference crown.

UCLA Bruins at Washington Huskies – Thanks to Oregon’s loss, UCLA is alive in the Pac-12 hunt and needs to win in Washington in order to stake a claim of the conference crown.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats – The Wildcats are trying to stay among the top 4 seeds in the conference while the Sun Devils are gasping for their NCAA lives. A win over No. 18 Arizona would give them a chance.

SEC

Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats – This is UK’s last chance to dance. After a loss at UGA Thursday, the defending champs need a win over UF and hope the selection committee takes pity on them.

Mississippi Rebels at LSU Tigers – Ole Miss is on the NCAA bubble while also locked in a four-team battle for No. 2 in the SEC.

Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide – Bama is very bubbly heading into the season finale with a dangerous UGA team. The Tide are one of those four programs jammed into the No. 2 spot right now.

Missouri Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers – The Vols need another marquee win to secure a spot in the field of 68 while the Tigers are trying to break away from the pack and grab the No. 2 seed in the SEC tournament.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Syracuse at Georgetown: What Bettors Need to Know

Syracuse Orange at Georgetown Hoyas (-1, 121)

With all the turmoil surrounding Big East basketball, it seems fitting there is a regular-season finale between Syracuse and Georgetown with a title on the line. The fifth-ranked Hoyas can clinch at least a share of the crown and a possible No. 1 seed in the conference tournament when they host the 16th-ranked Orange on Saturday in the 89th meeting between the rivals, their last before Syracuse joins the ACC and Georgetown helps establish the new Big East with the rest of the Catholic 7.

The Hoyas lost a chance to clinch at least a share of the league title when they fell at Villanova on Wednesday, snapping an 11-game winning streak and falling into a tie with Louisville and Marquette, both of whom will play later Saturday. At the same time, Syracuse was in the process of ending its three-game slide with a 78-57 win over DePaul. The Orange enter in a three-way tie for fourth with Notre Dame and Pittsburgh, only one of which will earn the coveted two-day bye at the conference tournament in Madison Square Garden.

TV: 12 p.m. ET, ESPN.

ABOUT SYRACUSE (23-7, 11-6 Big East): During their three-game skid, all against ranked opponents, the Orange shot 39.5 percent from the floor and had more turnovers than assists. In bouncing back against the last-place Blue Demons, some of the offensive numbers remained ugly, or even worse. However, Syracuse's defense stepped up, forcing 18 turnovers, recording 12 blocks and posting a 47-38 advantage on the glass. James Southerland made all 11 of his free throws en route to 22 points, C.J. Fair added 16 and Brandon Triche chipped in 15.

ABOUT GEORGETOWN (23-5, 13-4): Star forward Otto Porter Jr. led the Hoyas with 17 points in the loss to Villanova. However, he was just 2-for-9 from 3-point range and contributed to the sloppy performance from Georgetown, which had a season-high 22 turnovers. Even more glaring was the massive discrepancy at the free-throw line, where the Hoyas had 34 fewer attempts (42-8) than the Wildcats. Head coach John Thompson III indicated his team was not lacking in motivation. "We needed this game, also," he told reporters. "We're playing for a championship. That's something just as important. We were desperate coming into this game, also."

TRENDS:

* Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
* Hoyas are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Under is 4-0 in Orange’s last four vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
* Road team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. According to Elias, the last time a top-5 team took at least 30 fewer free throws than its opponent was March 1, 2008, when Texas Tech took 43 foul shots, compared to 13 for No. 5 Texas.

2. Due to two wire-to-wire efforts and a double-overtime game, Porter is averaging 42 minutes over his last four games. He had 33 of Georgetown's 57 points in a win at Syracuse on Feb. 23.

3. Triche has missed 12 straight 3-pointers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Duke at UNC: What Bettors Need to Know

Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5, 153)

Ryan Kelly was still rehabbing a foot injury while P.J. Hairston was making his debut as a starter the last time North Carolina played Duke on Feb. 13. When these bitter rivals meet again in Chapel Hill to close out the regular season Saturday, Kelly and Hairston will likely square off against each other in a game that still might have ACC regular-season title implications for the fourth-ranked Blue Devils.

While Duke needs a win and Miami to also lose to Clemson on Saturday to grab a share of its 23rd regular-season title, one of the main reasons the Blue Devils are even in a position to contend is because of Kelly’s dramatic return against the Hurricanes one week ago. The Tar Heels are 6-1 – with the only loss coming against Duke – since Hairston became a regular starter prior to the first showdown with Duke. The Blue Devils have won six of the last eight meetings, including their 73-68 victory in February.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT DUKE (26-4, 13-4 ACC): Seth Curry scored 20 points in Tuesday’s home win over Virginia Tech, extending the Blue Devils’ streak of at least one player scoring at least 20 to six games. Four different players have eclipsed the 20-point mark over that stretch, with Curry doing so four times. With 18 more points, he will reach 2,000 for his career. Mason Plumlee, the only starter not to reach the 20-point threshold over the last six games, is five blocks away from becoming the third Duke player (joining Shelden Williams and Mike Gminski) to top 1,000 points, 1,000 rebounds and 200 blocks in a career.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (22-8, 12-5): The insertion of Hairston (13.6 points) into the starting lineup has led a slight increase in field goal percentage during conference play (plus-3.9), but the biggest change has come beyond the arc. The Tar Heels are shooting 42.3 percent from 3-point range since his promotion, a seven-percent increase from the team’s first 10 ACC games. Hairston is also averaging 17.5 points over that span, but the biggest beneficiary may be Reggie Bullock (14.4 points, 6.4 rebounds). The 6-7 junior has recorded three double-doubles in that time – matching the same number he managed over his first 90 career games.

TRENDS:

* Tar Heels are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Under is 5-0 in Tar Heels’ last five overall.
* Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to UNC.

TIP-INS:

1. Neither team has won both regular-season meetings in the same season since North Carolina swept in the 2008-09 season.

2. Duke is 17-0 with Kelly in the lineup this season and has won 89.2 percent of its games when he plays – the third-highest winning percentage for a player in school history.

3. North Carolina has won each of its last seven home games by double figures.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UNC seeks 7th straight win hosting Duke Saturday

by Robert Livingstone

Dean E. Smith Center – Chapel Hill, NC
Tip-off: Saturday, 9:00 p.m. ET
Line: Even

Tobacco Road rivals No. 3 Duke and North Carolina will finish the regular season against each other at the Dean Dome in Chapel Hill Saturday night.

Since Duke beat the Tar Heels 73-68 at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Feb. 13, North Carolina has gone 6-0 SU and ATS. One of the key changes began in that game against the Blue Devils, going with a smaller lineup and starting P.J. Hairston, who is averaging 17.6 PPG in the past seven games since getting inserted into the starting lineup. Duke, however, is also improved from the first meeting with PF Ryan Kelly back in the fold after missing a 12-game stretch, including the win against the Tar Heels. Kelly has 27.0 PPG and 8.0 RPG in two games since returning from his injury. When these two teams met at the Dean Dome last year, the Blue Devils won on a last-second 3-pointer from the hands of Austin Rivers. Duke is 6-2 SU (4-4 ATS) in the past eight meetings between these rivals, but this year’s Blue Devils have really struggled on the road (4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS) and have yet to beat a team in the top-half of the ACC on the road. The Tar Heels meanwhile have dominated in the Dean Dome this year, going 14-1 SU and 10-3 ATS.

Senior PF Mason Plumlee (17.0 PPG, 10.2 RPG) led the Blue Devils past the Tar Heels at Cameron, finishing with 18 points and 11 boards. Plumlee, who is hitting 59% of his field goals this season, has struggled lately, averaging just 12.0 PPG and 5.7 RPG over his past three contests. The other star of that game for Duke was sophomore PG Quinn Cook (12.6 PPG, 5.3 APG), who added 18 points and four steals. SG Seth Curry (17.0 PPG), struggled, however, with just 11 points on 3-of-10 shooting, getting frustrated by North Carolina’s great size with their wing players. The one player who really needs to step up his play for Duke is freshman SG Rasheed Sulaimon (11.7 PPG), who is averaging just 5.3 PPG over his past three games. The biggest difference on this team though, between the first meeting is the return of PF Ryan Kelly (15.0 PPG, 5.7 RPG) who has been one of the best 3-point shooters in the nation, making two treys per game at a 53.1% clip. He also adds 1.6 BPG and should challenge the Tar Heels defensively with his size.

Hairston broke out in that first game against Duke, starting his second game of the season, going for 23 points and was one of three Tar Heels to add eight boards. North Carolina owned the offensive glass (18 offensive rebounds) against Duke, something that will be harder to replicate with Kelly back in action. PF James Michael McAdoo (14.6 PPG, 7.8 RPG) was one of the players to grab eight rebounds in that game, but scored just nine points. McAdoo has 15.6 PPG in his past five games. He and Reggie Bullock (14.4 PPG, 6.4 RPG) lead the Tar Heels offense. Bullock is averaging 18.3 PPG and 11.0 RPG in his past four games, incredible rebounding stats for a 6-foot-7 wing player. In the backcourt, UNC has two guards who have put the Tar Heels second in the nation in assists at 17.6 APG. SG Dexter Strickland (7.9 PPG, 4.1 APG) leads the ACC in assist-to-turnover ratio (3.39), coughing it up just 1.2 times per game. Freshman PG Marcus Paige (7.8 PPG, 4.5 APG) is also good at distributing the ball (1.85 Ast/TO ratio) and has come into his own with this new lineup. But he committed eight turnovers in Wednesday win at Maryland, something he can ill-afford to do Saturday against the No. 3 team in the country.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

No. 5 Georgetown hosts No. 17 Syracuse on Saturday
by Robert Livingstone

Verizon Center – Washington, D.C.
Tip-off: Saturday, 12:00 p.m. ET
Line: Georgetown -2.5

Two long-time rivals meet for the final time in the regular season as Big East foes when No. 17 Syracuse visits the Verizon Center looking to give No. 5 Georgetown its second consecutive loss.

Before losing to Villanova this week, the Hoyas had won 11 in a row SU (9-1-1 ATS). That included a 57-46 drubbing against the Orange, in which Syracuse was favored by eight points at the Carrier Dome. Syracuse is coming off a thumping of DePaul, winning SU and ATS, snapping a three-game skid of ATS and SU losses. Although Georgetown is 4-1 ATS in its past five meetings against Syracuse, the Orange have a knack for winning in the nation's capital, where they are 3-1 ATS in their past four trips. But the Hoyas are 15-1 SU (6-6 ATS) at home this season and 13-4 SU (12-4-1 ATS) in Big East play. Syracuse is just 5-4 SU (4-5 ATS) on the road, but appeared to get their groove back in their last game against DePaul and are 11-8 ATS coming off an SU win this season.

The Orange shot a pitiful 17-of-50 (34%) against the Hoyas in their first meeting. PG Michael Carter-Williams (12.4 PPG, 7.8 APG) went just 2-of-6 from the field in that game, scoring just seven points and adding five dimes. SF C.J. Fair (14.6 PPG, 7.3 RPG) led the Orange with 13 points against the Hoyas and has been hot lately, averaging 18.3 PPG in his past three contests. PF James Southerland (14.1 PPG), Jim Boeheim’s super-sub, added 13 points in the game and is coming off a 22-point, 10-rebound performance against DePaul. He is also a dangerous shooter, hitting 2.4 threes per game. SG Brandon Triche (14.3 PPG) is Syracuse’s other top scorer, though he must improve off his 4-of-13 performance when Georgetown lost to the Orange.

Otto Porter (16.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG), a National Player of the Year hopeful, carried the Hoyas past Syracuse, dropping 33 points on 12-of-19 shooting, including 5-of-10 from deep. He also added eight boards and five steals and was the only Hoyas player to make it into double-digits for the game. He has continued to be red-hot, averaging 25.0 PPG in his past four contests. The 6-foot-8 forward is hitting 44.4% of his threes this year and 50.3% of his field goals. The other key Georgetown player to watch out for is guard Markel Starks (12.2 PPG, 2.8 APG), who is also a threat to stretch the Syracuse 2-3 zone, hitting 41% threes this year. He and PF Nate Lubick (7.6 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 3.0 APG) lead Georgetown’s ball distribution. Lubick went just 2-of-7 from the field in that first meeting but has been efficient since then, hitting 8-of-11 FG in the past three games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Desperate Kentucky hosts No. 11 Florida on Saturday
by Brian Graham

Tip-off: Saturday, 12:00 p.m. ET
Line: Florida -6.5

Slumping Kentucky is in need of a big win, and has a great opportunity to get one on Saturday afternoon when No. 11 Florida pays a visit.

The Gators are 14-3 SU (10-7 ATS) in conference play this season, but have lost two straight road games at Missouri and Tennessee. They have also been a terrible wager since the start of February, going 3-7 ATS in those 10 games. Kentucky has started March with two straight double-digit losses, falling 73-60 at Arkansas and 72-62 at Georgia. The Wildcats also lost big at Florida on Feb. 12, dropping a 69-52 decision and seeing their best player, C Nerlens Noel, go down with a torn ACL that night. Despite the recent struggles, Kentucky is 12-2 SU (8-5-1 ATS) in the past 14 home meetings with Florida, pounding them 78-58 last season.

Florida scores 72.5 PPG for the season, but has just 62.7 PPG over the past three games and 59.0 PPG in the past two road tilts. However, the Gators defense remains one of the stingiest in the land, giving up a paltry 53.0 PPG, including limiting its two March opponents to 46.0 PPG (wins versus Alabama and Vanderbilt). The Gators are 7-4 (SU and ATS) on the road this season, and have been a great wager after an ATS win at 10-3 ATS (77%). The dangerous thing about this team is their great depth, as eight players log at least 16 MPG and all eight of those players score at least 5.6 PPG. Guards Kenny Boynton (12.6 PPG, 3.0 APG) and Mike Rosario (12.6 PPG) lead the team in scoring and both are nearly automatic from the foul line at 83% FT and 85% FT, respectively. Six-foot-10 PF Erik Murphy (12.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG) also shoots well from the charity stripe (82% FT), but his greatest value is that he knocks down 47% of his threes. C Patric Young (10.5 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 1.8 BPG) controls the paint and takes high-percentage shots at 62% FG. And the offense flows very well through PG Scottie Wilbekin (9.1 PPG, 5.2 APG), who is an excellent floor general with a robust 2.52 Ast/TO ratio. All five of these players scored at least nine points in the win over Kentucky, with Young grabbing 11 boards and Wilbekin dishing out eight assists. Top reserve, swingman Casey Prather (6.6 PPG, 3.6 RPG), also played well against Kentucky with 12 points on 6-of-8 shooting.

Kentucky's offense is even more potent than Florida's, scoring 74.3 PPG, but the team has been held to 61.0 PPG on 41.0% FG and 9-of-40 threes (22.5%) during its two-game losing skid. The defense holds teams to 64.9 PPG this season, but has allowed 70+ points in five of the six games since Noel got hurt. Like Florida, the Wildcats have great offensive balance with six players tallying at least 9.4 PPG. SG Archie Goodwin (14.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG) leads the team in scoring, but makes just 44% FG and 28% threes. PF Alex Poythress (11.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG) is much more accurate from the field (59% FG), and also leads the club with a 43.3% clip from three-point range. SF Kyle Wiltjer (10.8 PPG, 4.3 RPG) provides accurate long-range shooting (38.2% threes) despite his 43% FG mark. PG Ryan Harrow (10.2 PPG, 3.0 APG) runs the point with a decent 1.93 Ast/TO ratio. SG Julius Mays (9.4 PPG) is the top reserve, while C Willie Cauley-Stein (8.5 PPG, 6.1 RPG) has been getting more minutes since Noel went down, averaging an excellent 12.4 PPG and 9.2 RPG in his past five contests. Cauley-Stein and Mays were the only Wildcats to score in double-figures in Gainesville last month, with each of them scoring exactly 10 points. Goodwin scored eight points with four turnovers, Poythress scored five points on a horrible 1-of-9 shooting, Wiltjer had seven points in 23 minutes, and Harrow was held scoreless (0-for-3 FG) in 19 minutes in the loss to Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Akron (-9 1/2) Friday.

Saturday it’s Oklahoma State. The surplus is 20 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/09/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 3608-1237 (.745)
ATS: 1686-1721 (.495)
ATS Vary Units: 4798-5113 (.484)
Over/Under: 474-441 (.518)
Over/Under Vary Units: 523-514 (.504)

America East Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at SEFCU Arena, Hartford, CT
Albany 68, Maine 59
HARTFORD 67, Umbc 51
Stony Brook 71, Binghamton 43
Vermont 60, New Hampshire 52

Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament
Championship at University Center, Macon, GA
MERCER 68, Florida Gulf Coast 61

Big South Conference Tournament
Semifinals at HTC Center, Conway, SC
Charleston Southern 86, Vmi 74
Gardner-Webb 71, Liberty 63

Colonial Athletic Association Tournament
Quarterfinals at Richmond Coliseum, Richmond, VA
Delaware 69, Hofstra 59
Drexel vs. George Mason: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
James Madison 67, William & Mary 64

Horizon League Tournament
Semifinals at Athletics-Recreation Center, Valparaiso, IN
Detroit 71, Wright State 65
VALPARAISO 71, Green Bay 59

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at MassMutual Center, Springfield, MA
Iona 83, Canisius 78
Loyola (Md.) 61, Manhattan 58
Niagara 74, Siena 65
Rider 58, Fairfield 54

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament
Semifinals at Scottrade Center, St. Louis, MO
Creighton 72, Indiana State 62
Wichita State 71, Illinois State 70

Northeast Conference Tournament
Semifinals at campus sites
ROBERT MORRIS 76, Mount St. Mary's 70
WAGNER 84, Long Island 79

Ohio Valley Conference Tournament
Championship at Nashville Municipal Auditorium, Nashville, TN
Belmont 80, Murray State 68

Patriot League Tournament
Semifinals at campus sites
BUCKNELL 67, Army 57
LAFAYETTE 71, Lehigh 66

Southern Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at U.S. Cellular Center, Asheville, NC
Appalachian State 74, Furman 62
College of Charleston 67, Western Carolina 64
Davidson 73, Georgia Southern 56
Elon 76, UNC Greensboro 69

Summit League Tournament
Quarterfinals at Sioux Falls Arena, Sioux Falls, SD
South Dakota State 87, Iupui 61
Western Illinois 64, South Dakota 59

Sun Belt Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at Convention Center Court, Hot Springs, AR
Ualr 70, Fairleigh Dickinson 66
Western Kentucky vs. South Alabama: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Quarterfinals at Summit Arena, Hot Springs, AR
Arkansas State 68, Troy 59
Middle Tennessee 78, UL Lafayette 60

West Coast Conference Tournament
Semifinals at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Gonzaga 75, Loyola Marymount 55
Saint Mary's 76, San Diego 60

Atlantic 10 Conference
BUTLER 66, Xavier 60
Dayton 69, GEORGE WASHINGTON 67
Massachusetts 74, RHODE ISLAND 69
RICHMOND 83, Duquesne 66
Saint Joseph's 71, CHARLOTTE 68
SAINT LOUIS 71, La Salle 63
ST. BONAVENTURE 83, Fordham 67

Atlantic Coast Conference
BOSTON COLLEGE 65, Georgia Tech 59
MIAMI (FLA.) 68, Clemson 51
NC State 75, FLORIDA STATE 69
NORTH CAROLINA 80, Duke 75

Big 12 Conference
Iowa State 78, WEST VIRGINIA 74
Kansas 76, BAYLOR 66
Oklahoma 74, TCU 58
OKLAHOMA STATE 70, Kansas State 66
Texas 73, TEXAS TECH 64

Big East Conference
CINCINNATI 60, South Florida 49
CONNECTICUT 69, Providence 66
GEORGETOWN 62, Syracuse 57
LOUISVILLE 68, Notre Dame 57
Marquette 66, ST. JOHN'S 60
Pittsburgh 76, DePAUL 61

Big Sky Conference
IDAHO STATE 69, Portland State 67
MONTANA 81, Northern Arizona 64
MONTANA STATE 69, Sacramento State 66
NORTH DAKOTA 75, Southern Utah 66
WEBER STATE 85, Eastern Washington 63

Big Ten Conference
IOWA 66, Nebraska 54
Minnesota vs. PURDUE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Big West Conference
CAL POLY 77, Cal State Fullerton 64
PACIFIC 69, Long Beach State 67
UC DAVIS 71, UC Irvine 69
UC SANTA BARBARA 65, UC Riverside 56

Conference USA
EAST CAROLINA 82, Marshall 74
MEMPHIS 79, Uab 63
SMU 58, Utep 56
SOUTHERN MISS 76, Ucf 68
TULANE 78, Houston 74
Tulsa 72, RICE 64

Great West Conference
HOUSTON BAPTIST 69, Chicago State 60
Njit 66, TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN 65

Ivy League
Columbia 58, DARTMOUTH 57
HARVARD 76, Cornell 57
Princeton 61, BROWN 54
YALE 68, Penn 60

Mid-American Conference
BALL STATE 69, Northern Illinois 50
EASTERN MICHIGAN 59, Toledo 55
OHIO 78, Miami (Ohio) 59
WESTERN MICHIGAN 74, Central Michigan 63

Mountain West Conference
BOISE STATE 68, San Diego State 63
COLORADO STATE 78, Nevada 60
New Mexico 66, AIR FORCE 59
UNLV 68, Fresno State 53

Pacific-12 Conference
ARIZONA 72, Arizona State 62
COLORADO 75, Oregon State 60
Oregon 65, UTAH 62
WASHINGTON 71, Ucla 69
WASHINGTON STATE 65, Usc 64

Southeastern Conference
ALABAMA 58, Georgia 55
ARKANSAS 70, Texas A&M 62
Florida 68, KENTUCKY 62
LSU 77, Ole Miss 73
MISSISSIPPI STATE 66, Auburn 64
Missouri 74, TENNESSEE 73
VANDERBILT 65, South Carolina 52

Southland Conference
NICHOLLS STATE 73, McNeese State 66
NORTHWESTERN STATE 76, Sam Houston State 61
Oral Roberts 81, CENTRAL ARKANSAS 74
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA 76, Lamar 57
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 64, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 44

Western Athletic Conference
DENVER 67, Louisiana Tech 58
IDAHO 73, Seattle 66
NEW MEXICO STATE 70, UT Arlington 57
SAN JOSE STATE 72, Texas State 69
UTAH STATE 72, UT San Antonio 58

Non-Conference
CSU Bakersfield 71, UTAH VALLEY 67

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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/09/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 602-289 (.676)
ATS: 473-440 (.518)
ATS Vary Units: 1217-1112 (.523)
Over/Under: 466-447 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 647-588 (.524)

ATLANTA 98, Brooklyn 92
NEW YORK 102, Utah 96
WASHINGTON 101, Charlotte 87
MEMPHIS 97, New Orleans 85
DENVER 113, Minnesota 98
Houston 107, PHOENIX 104
GOLDEN STATE 106, Milwaukee 102

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DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

03/09/13 Predictions

Season: 127-89 (.588)

BOSTON 4, Philadelphia 3
Washington vs. N.Y. ISLANDERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Detroit vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN JOSE 3, St. Louis 2
Pittsburgh 4, TORONTO 3
CAROLINA 3, New Jersey 2
Montreal vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NASHVILLE 3, Minnesota 2
PHOENIX 3, Dallas 2
LOS ANGELES 3, Calgary 2

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Angels -138

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 995-739(57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat UNLV -14