3-10-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn
- Won early phone play on Ohio St
- - Late phone service for afternoon Delaware

[Can'tPickAWinner]

mike hook

oakland -top

kings - nba

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Hook | CBB Sides Sun, 03/10/13 - 7:00 PM ^¡²
triple-dime bet 852 Oakland, Mich -3.5 (-110) 5dimes vs 851 Ind.-Pur.-Ft. Wayne Analysis: OAKLAND -3.5 is a TRIPLE STAR CBB PLAY for Sunday, March 10th!

The SUMMIT LEAGUE? Really?

ABSOLUTELY. I love this conference from a betting standpoint. I find it to be the 3rd most exploitable conference, right behind it's neighbor, the BIG SKY.

Oakland is a very sound team, top to bottom. They possess things that i look for when making a big bet. I love that they shoot a lot of free throws and DONT turn the ball over that much considering the pace that they play at. I also like how they get extra possessions by being one of the best mid majors at stealing the ball from their opponent. More possessions mean extra chances at points, which i love. In conference tournament play, i like that they don't play their bench. I want the 5 most reliable guys possible playing as many minutes as possible. At this stage in the season, you are in shape. PERIOD.

IPFW has finished the season strong, after losing some terrible games in non conference play and to start league play. I mean, they were terrible. I give them credit for turning things around. Of their final 5 wins to end the regular season, 2 of them came against OAKLAND. In other words, we have DOUBLE REVENGE here for Oakland. It's hard to beat a team 3 straight times in as season. It's even HARDER to do so 3 straight times in ONE MONTH.

I just don't see that happening. We have the team that is simply the better overall team, who happened to play the far, far harder schedule this season. In fact, OAKLAND played the 2nd hardest NON CONFERENCE SCHEDULE in the ENTIRE NATION. IPFW- they played one of the 40 easiest non conference schedules in the nation. Oakland is PREPARED for this moment RIGHT NOW. Add in the DOUBLE REVENGE, and i like our chances, ALOT.

The fact they lost the regular season meetings with IPFW gives us this current line of -3.5. I'm buying, because i know better. Way too many people are going to see the recent resu°lts of IPFW, as well as see they won both games this season against Oakland, and just blindly bet IPFW. WRONG!

Another thing i love here, THE TOTAL. OAKLAND likes to play uptempo, as they are one of the 50 fastest teams in the country. This total sits between 147 and 147.5. Yes please! I love it.

Lastly, for all the talk about how great IPFW played to end the regular season, let's not forget how Oakland played as well. Down the stretch, Oakland finished 8-2 SU to end the season, with both losses coming to IPFW. Revenge is in order.

OAKLAND -3.5 wins this game by at least 8 points. It's our TRIPLE STAR play for today!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Denver Money

2* (846) Manhattan +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines

Total Line
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 198.5
Cost: -110

Run Line
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Los Angeles Clippers-14
Cost: -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Hook | NBA Sides Sun, 03/10/13 - 9:05 PM ^¡²
double-dime bet 816 SAC -1.5 (-110) 5dimes vs 815 MIL Analysis: The SACRAMENTO KINGS -1.5 are a DOUBLE STAR NBA PLAY for Sunday, March 10th!

First things first with this play. I know alot of you have purchased this package, and i want nothing more than for YOU to get the best number. So with that said, wait as close to tip off as possible before betting this game. Based on how this line opened, and where it sits now, it's very likely that this line swings the other way to Milwaukee -1.5. That's when you want to bet this game, and i suspect that line comes later today. If this line move doesn't happen, it makes me like Sacramento that much more.

With that out of the way, let's be clear why we are on this play. I watched the Bucks game last night on replay. Larry Sanders is a beast, and it will be fun to watch him today. The Kings actually match up well with the Bucks, as they BOTH have some fast guards and some athletic young bigs.

Milwaukee is heading home after this game. They are in the playoffs barring a historic meltdown. They could also move up in the standings. Last nights game in Oakland was emotional for the Bucks, as they had Monta Ellis playing against his former team. Now they go a bit east to face the Kings before flying back home. Not exactly the perfect situational spot for the Bucks.

That being said, it's a great spot for the Kings, who are playing a WEEKEND game at home against a playoff team. Sacramento and it's fans, along with it's players, will be "up" for this game. They've been playing better of late, and Milwaukee has been playing to the tempo the Kings play their best at.

Because of these factors, i see the Kings winning this game by at least 5 po°ints. I suspect it will be a little bit more than that, but this was my TRUE LINE. Yes, Kings -5. Not all scenarios are created equally, and you have to remember that i love to get into the mentalities of players. This is a great spot for Sacramento to show off, and they will do just that.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVID BANKS

Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat
The Miami Heat (46-14, 31-29 ATS) have won 17 straight games and they now
face the last team to beat them and probably their biggest threats in the
East in the Indiana Pacers (39-23, 35-27 ATS) at American Airlines Arena in
Miami Sunday at 6:00 ET on NBA TV. In fact, Indiana is 2-0 vs. the Heat this
season, although both of those Pacer wins came at home, but make no mistake,
the Pacers are probably the only team in the East and may even the entire NBA
that can challenge Miami in a seven-game series because of their tenacious
defense. They will not be intimidated by playing in South Beach either after
winning here during the playoffs last season, so this could turn out to be
one of the best games of the year!

The Pacers probably have the best defense in the NBA. They are in a virtual
tie with the Memphis Grizzles for first in points against at 89.5 per game,
and they lead the league outright in field goal percentage allowed at 41.4
percent, three-point defense at 31.9 percent and in defensive efficiency,
grading out at 95.3 points per 100 possessions, significantly better than the
Grizzlies in second (97.2). The only reason that the Grizzlies are right
there in points allowed is because they play at the third slowest pace in the
league. The Pacers meanwhile can boast that they have one of the best
perimeter defenders in the NBA in Paul George and also one of the best interior
defenders in Roy Hibbert, so it is no wonder that teams have not been able to
score against them, and that includes Miami, which has scored 77 and 89
points respectively in the two losses this year. Furthermore, those two Indiana
wins came before the improvement of its offense. While the Pacers still rank
just 25th in the NBA in scoring at 94.1 points per game, that average has
shot up to 101.5 points over the last 10 games with Indiana going 8-2 in those
contests, and one of the two losses came when Hibbert sat out a one-game
suspension vs. the L.A. Clippers.

Now the entire Miami team and LeBron James in particular have obviously
been on a different plane than the rest of the league lately, and the natural
knee-jerk reaction here would be to expect somewhat of a blowout as Miami
avenges its two losses to the Pacers. The only problem with that logic is that
it would be hard to argue against Indiana having the superior defense in
this game and the Pacers easily have a better defense than any team that the
Heat have beaten during the 17-game win streak. Yes, James has been out of
this world as he is threatening to become the first player in NBA history to
average at least 26 points, eight rebounds and seven assists per game while
shooting at least 56 percent from the field over an entire season. However,
George has shadowed LeBron well in the first two meetings, as while James
averaged 25.0 points, he needed a lot of shots to do so shooting 51.4 percent.
The revenge motive may drive the Heat to victory, but it should be far from
easy and it is difficult to pass up a decided underdog that plays defense the
way that Indiana does.

The Pacers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall and 9-1 ATS in their
last 10 games after scoring at least 100 points in their previous game. As
hot as Miami has been on the court, the Heat are just 2-5 ATS in their last
seven games overall, and they are also 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs.
the Central Division.

PICK: MIAMI HEAT-7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ness late breaking tourney play
9* Delaware -1