3-12-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd 3/12


(CBB) 3* Nevada +4
(CBB) 3* Howard +4.5
(NBA) 3* Heat/Hawks UNDER 197
(NBA) 3* Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES
College Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

NCAA-B | Mar 12 '13 (7:00p) SOUTH FLORIDA vs SETON HALL	SOUTH FLORIDA 0-107 at 5dimes
20* USF/Seton Hall Big East ANNIHILATOR on South Florida PK Remember, the South Florida Bulls made the NCAA Tournament last year due to a hot finish to the season. They returned several players from that team this year. While an NCAA Tournament appearance is highly unlikely in 2013, this team comes into the Big East Tournament playing its best basketball of the season. South Florida has won two of its last three games with its only loss coming at Cincinnati in overtime as a 12.5-point underdog. It beat DePaul 83-73 at home before destroying a very good Connecticut team 65-51 at home as well. This team is certainly feeling good about itself heading into this showdown with the Pirates. Seton Hall has lost 11 of its last 12 games overall with its only victory coming by a single point at home over Villanova. While the Bulls are hot entering the Big East Tournament, the Pirates are certainly ice cold and lacking confidence. I believe you will see that play out on the court tonight as the Bulls roll and get revenge from their 47-55 loss at Seton Hall in their lone meeting of the season on January 23rd. South Florida is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. It is beating these teams 70.8 to 59.3, or by an average of 11.5 points/game. Seton Hall is 0-6 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. It is losing in this spot 58.3 to 68.2, or by an average of 9.9 points/game. The Bulls are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Roll with South Florida Tuesday.

NCAA-B | Mar 12 '13 (9:30p) DePaul vs RUTGERS	RUTGERS -3-102 at 5dimes
15* DePaul/Rutgers Big East BAILOUT on Rutgers -3 This one is as easy as it gets folks. The DePaul Blue Demons are one of the worst teams in the entire country and they have zero confidence heading into the Big East Tournament. That's because they come in having lost 15 of their last 16 games overall. Sure, that one win was against Rutgers at home by a final of 75-69 in their first and only meeting of the regular season. However, that places the Scarlet Knights in revenge mode here. While Rutgers has lost five of its last seven games overall, four of those losses came by single-digits to the likes of DePaul, Villanova, Providence and Marquette. The other was a 13-point loss at Big East champ Georgetown. This team is clearly playing better than DePaul heading into the Big East Tournament. The Blue Demons are 0-7 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Rutgers is 7-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog this season. DePaul is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games overall. These three trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the Scarlet Knights. Bet Rutgers Tuesday.

[ back to top ]

NBA Basketball Premium Picks

NBA | Mar 12 '13 (7:05p) Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Bobcats	Charlotte Bobcats +11-104 at 5dimes
15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte Bobcats +11 The Charlotte Bobcats are showing awesome value as a double-digit home underdog to the Boston Celtics tonight. Sure, Charlotte has gone 0-10 SU & 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games overall, but as a result the betting public is completely off of them. The books can't set this number high enough to get the public on them. The Celtics come in overvalued due to going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They are coming off a 79-91 loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday, which puts them in a hangover situation here. Off such a big loss to a great team, they'll have a hard time getting motivated to face the Bobcats tonight. Charlotte comes in on two days' rest having last played on Saturday, so it will be ready to go tonight. The Bobcats have proven they can play with the Celtics as each of the last eight meetings have been decided by 12 points or less with Charlotte winning three times. That includes a 94-91 home victory on February 11th in their most recent meeting this season. The underdog is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. This play falls into a system that is 51-23 (68.9%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread. Boston is just 12-19 SU & 12-17-2 ATS in all road games this year. The Celtics are 8-19 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 2-12 ATS in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics are 11-24 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take the Bobcats Tuesday.

NBA | Mar 12 '13 (7:05p) Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers	Total 191 un-108 at 5dimes
15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Cavaliers UNDER 191 The books have clearly set the bar too high in this contest between the Washington Wizards and Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. I'll gladly take advantage and back the UNDER in this contest. Cleveland is without leading scorer Kyrie Irving (23.0 PPG) for the next 3-4 weeks, and until he returns the Cavs are going to struggle offensively. Washington has quietly been one of the better defensive teams in the league. It is giving up just 95.1 points/game overall this season, including 90.4 points/game in its last five games. However, the Wizards are scoring a mere 91.7 points/game this season, including a woeful 86.4 points/game on the road. A look at the recent meetings between these teams and it's easy to see that this number has been inflated. The UNDER is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between the Wizards and Cavaliers. In fact, each of the last four meetings have seen 187 or fewer points. They have combined to average 179.3 points/game in their last four meetings, which is roughly 12 points less than tonight's posted total. Roll with the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

-= TOP PLAY =-

NBA | Mar 12 '13 (7:05p) Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic	Orlando Magic +8½-110 at betus
25* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Orlando Magic +8.5 The Los Angeles Lakers come into this game with the Orlando Magic way overvalued due to their recent run. Los Angeles has won eight of its last ten games overall to get to 33-31 on the season and in the playoffs if the season were to end today. The betting public has flocked to them, providing us with ample value to back the Magic tonight. Los Angeles has a way of always playing to its competition. Only three of its eight wins during this run have come against teams with winning records. The Lakers had to come from behind to beat both the Hornets and Raptors in two of their last three games. They are just 11-20 SU & 11-20 ATS on the road this season with just five of those wins coming by more than 7 points. Orlando has gotten healthy here of late and it is playing better basketball because of it. It has won two of its last four games with a 105-102 victory at New Orleans, and a 99-9-1 triumph at home over Philadelphia. It also lost 96-97 at Miami as a 15.5-point underdog after a last-second layup by Lebron James. This team is fully capable of playing with the Lakers, and it showed that by winning in Los Angeles 113-103 as a 13.5-point dog on December 2nd in their first meeting of the season. In fact, the Magic have now won four of their last five meetings with the Lakers, including three straight home meetings. The underdog is 12-4-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Los Angeles is 1-12 ATS in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. It is actually losing in this spot by 7.7 points/game on average. The Lakers are 1-9 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite this season. Los Angeles is 19-41-1 ATS in its last 61 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Lakers are 13-37-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win. Bet the Magic Tuesday.

NBA | Mar 12 '13 (7:35p) Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat	Atlanta Hawks +10-108 at 5dimes
15* Hawks/Heat NBA TV No-Brainer on Atlanta +10 The Miami Heat are way overvalued right now due to their 18-game winning streak heading into this game with the Atlanta Hawks. That has been evident in recent games during this streak as they are just 3-5 ATS in their last 8 games overall. They cannot possibly live up to the expectations they have created for themselves in the eyes of the public and thus the oddsmakers. Off a huge win over Indiana by a final of 105-91 on Sunday, the Heat are in a big letdown spot here. They had lost the previous two meetings this season with Indiana, so they wanted that one pretty badly. They won't be able to give the kind of effort it takes to beat a solid Atlanta team by double-digits tonight. Meanwhile, the Hawks not only come in motivated to put an end to Miami's winning streak, they also want to bounce back following losses in five of their last six games overall with four coming to playoff contenders. They come in on two days' rest having last played on Saturday, so they'll certainly be ready to go. Plus, Atlanta wants revenge from two earlier losses to Miami this season by finals of 92-101 on December 10th and 90-103 on February 20th after blowing a fourth quarter lead. Miami is 5-17 ATS in home games after 9 or more consecutive wins since 1996. Atlanta is 15-5 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is actually coming back to win in this spot 92.9 to 91.4 on average. The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS loss. The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The road team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Bet the Hawks Tuesday.

NBA | Mar 12 '13 (7:35p) New Orleans Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets

New Orleans Hornets +6½-110 at SIA

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Hornets +6.5 This is an excellent spot to fade the Brooklyn Nets who are overvalued due to winning three of their last four games overall. Two of those victories came against the Wizards and Bobcats, while the other was a victory over an Atlanta team that was clearly looking ahead to tonight's game against Miami. My biggest reason for fading Brooklyn tonight is the fact that it is in the toughest situation it can be in. The Nets will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days tonight. They started showing signs of wearing down last night, falling 97-106 at Philadelphia despite coming in as a 6.5-point favorite. New Orleans is one of the most underrated teams in the league this season. It continues to give max effort every night despite its record, which was evident in a 98-96 home victory over Portland on Sunday. The Hornets want revenge from a 97-101 home loss to Brooklyn on February 26th in their first meeting this season just two weeks ago. I like their chances of getting it considering how tired the Nets will be tonight. The Hornets are 38-23 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. New Orleans is 17-5 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Nets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southwest division opponents. Brooklyn is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 home games. The Nets are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the Hornets Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

POD

NCAAB: Texas-San Antonio -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsAtari NBA 3/12

Celts/Bobcats Under 190 with a 1 point buy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Boston at Charlotte (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston -10.5 (-110)
The Charlotte Bobcats were the worst team in the NBA a year ago. They had high hopes as they opened this season at 7-5. They have reverted back to the horrible team they are, having gone 6-45 since. This team has an eye-opening stat, as testament of just how uncompetitive they are. Charlotte has the dubious distinction of losing more games by double-digits than any other team in the NBA at 30! Boston feared its season may be over after Rajon Rondo went down with a torn ACL. It has actually been a blessing. Rondo is a great player, but often termed a "cancer" in the locker room and is showing some truth to that. Boston has stepped-up and is 14-5 ATS sine his departure. Take the Celtics.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fantasy sports game time
Nevada+3
MtStMarys+4
DePaul+3
Wright st +3
San Jose St +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winnow hoops report
Celtics-11
Wizards+1.5
Lakers over 207
Heat over 196.5
Hornets+7
Dallas mavs +2
Spurs Over194
Blazers +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Xpertpicks
ncaab:
South Florida pk over Seton Hall
DePaul +3 over Rutgers
Wright State +8 over Valparaiso
Nevada +3 over Wyoming
Texas State +4 over Seattle

nba:
San Antonio -9 over Minnesota

nhl:
Washington -140 over Carolina
Pittsburgh -140 over Boston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ferringo CBB
LIU-Brooklyn -4
OVER 123.5 ND state/SD state *minus a half*
FIRST HALF: Valpo -4.5 *minus a half*
Valpo -8 *minus a half*

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Tuesday 3/12/13 Plays...

5* COPPIN STATE +5.5 (1PM PST)

---LEGIT PICK'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ness
Hawks
Princeton/Penn over 124
LIU Brooklyn-3.5
Free Pick-Portland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe
SELECTION:


SETON HALL PK
This is virtually a home game for Seton Hall. The Pirates have better shooters and the lack of any offense is going to be South Florida’s downfall. The Bulls play good defense, but they just can’t score. On the road its going to be tough for them to win a close low scoring game. Seton Hall plays scrappy defense themselves, but if this game comes down to that final shot or two I like Seton Hall. Take the Pirates.


SELECTION:


DALLAS MAVERICKS +2
Both teams have been on the road for a few games. Dallas is having an excellent road trip while the Bucks are just setting back in from being on the road. In the earlier game this year the Bucks came back from being down at the half to beat Dallas on the road. The Mavs had only one three pointer in that game as they shot just 5%. That is not going to happen tonight. The Bucks might have gotten a little too settled in after a far long road trip sleeping in their own beds last night. Tough to get back to basketball after that. Take Dallas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz
Pay after you win: Orlando
Late phones: Howard

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang
40 Dime
South Dakota St. +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo 10* NBA Enforcer

3-0 Last 2 days

Minnesota