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854 illinois -1
854 illinois -1
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Fezzik | CBB TotalFri, 03/22/13 - 8:00 PM
triple-dime bet855 Ariz. St / 856 Baylor OVER 146.0 HiltonAnalysis:In sharp Contrast to the NCAA Tournament, the NIT Tourny early games are typically higher scoring. In particular, we look to play teams that were "Bubble" or Win their Conf Tourney to get in NCAA teams. These teams often HAVE been playing very tight, as every one of their games was critical down the stretch.
However, as soon as their fate is sealed, and they head to the NIT, the importantance of the games is greatly diminished. The natural result is that the pace of play increases sharply, especially in games that are nationally televised.
We have a perfect candidate here for an NIT over, with a Friday Night ESPN 2 Home Game and two teams that would have preferred to be in the Big Dance that should be ready and happy to run the Court tonight.
Baylor put up 112 points themselves in their 1st NIT game vs. LBSt, and note that despite having a 59-34 lead at half, there was zero letup in scoring (as there often is in blowouts), as the 2h had 85 points scored.
ASU's 1st game only hit 151 points vs. Det, but that was because Det went 2-20 from Area Code 3, and 20/58 from the field in the ASU 83-68 win.
I recommended in my Bet Like A Pro Program that clients bet 1 unit on 1st Half OVER, 2 uniˆts on game OVER as I do expect the pace from the start to be lightning fast.Comment
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Root Inner Circle GOY
VillanovaComment
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Seabass Report for Friday(Early Edition):
200 Miami
200 Wisconsin
500 CincinnatiComment
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PPP Early:
2 Albany
3 Creighton
3 Indiana
2 Temple
5 Wisconsin
3 KState
5 Miami
4 ColoradoComment
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HOT SHOT SPORTS
4* Creighton
4* Ohio State
4* NC
4* K State
3* Detroit in NBAComment
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Marc lawerence
ALL 3*s
pacific
florida
temple
uclaComment
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Ben Burns:
10* Mavs
10* NHL Flames Under
10* San Diego State (Opening Rd GOY)Comment
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NBA
Hot Teams
-- Knicks won last two games, but lost four of last five on road (3-0 last three AF).
-- Pacers won last two games, by 21-22 points (2-4 last six HF).
-- Miami won its last 24 games (2-5 last seven HF).
-- Hawks won four of last five games (4-2 last six HF).
-- Grizzlies won eight of last ten games (6-0 last six AF).
-- Rockets won three of last four games (2-4 last six HF).
-- Spurs won seven of last nine games (2-3 last five HF).
-- Wizards won five of their last six games (3-4 last seven AU). Lakers won six of their last eight games (4-3 last seven HF).
Cold Teams
-- Toronto lost seven of its last ten games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Bucks lost four of their last six games (5-2 last seven AU).
-- Thunder lost last two games, to Denver/Memphis. Orlando lost its last five games, four by 9+ points (2-6 last eight HU).
-- Pistons lost their last nine games (2-7 vs spread).
-- Portland lost three of last four on road (4-1 last five AU).
-- Hornets lost seven of last nine games (2-4 last six HU).
-- Cavaliers lost six of last seven games (5-1 last six AU).
-- Boston lost its last three road games, scoring 79.7 ppg (6-4 last ten AU). Mavericks lost three of last five games (7-4 last 11 HF).
-- Jazz lost seven of their last nine games (4-7 last 11 AU).
-- Minnesota lost six of its last eight games (2-5 last seven AU). Suns lost five of their last six games (0-3 last three HF).
Totals
-- Five of last seven New York road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Indiana games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Oklahoma City road games.
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Portland games.
-- Last five Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Lakers' last six games stayed under the total.
Back-to-backs
-- Portland is 3-7 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 5-8 vs spread on road if it played night before.Comment
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NHL
Hot teams
-- Blue Jackets won seven of their last nine games.
-- Penguins won last ten games, allowed six goals in last six.
-- Anaheim won seven of its last eight games.
-- Winnipeg won three of its last four home games.
Cold teams
-- Flames lost their last eight road games, allowing 33 goals.
-- Islanders lost three of their last four home games.
-- Red Wings lost four of their last six games.
-- Capitals are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
Totals
-- Six of last eight Calgary-Columbus games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Detroit games.
Series records
-- Flames won four of last six visits to Columbus.
-- Capitals beat Winnipeg twice this season, 4-0/3-0.
-- Penguins won 22 of last 29 games with the Islanders.
-- Red Wings won six of last nine games with Anaheim.Comment
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Alan Boston
Iona +14 med
Fla Gulf Coast +14 medComment
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Uncle Harry picks
Creighton -3.6
Northwestern st +20.5
Kansas -20Comment
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Dave Essler:
WARNING: Earlier in the week he was on Minnesota ML. He has now changed his pick to UCLA+3 (double)
Iowa State/ND UNDER (triple)
Pacific (Double)Comment
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Ben Burns +14.5 PACIFIC
I'm playing on PACIFIC. I've won with the Hurricanes on multiple occasions this season, so I'm well aware of what they bring to the table. That said, I feel this line has climbed a little too high - and that they're going to be in for a tougher challenge than most will be expecting.
The Tigers have no pressure on them, they're playing with confidence and they're riding an "emotional wave," as their long-time coach (Thomason is in his 25th year at his alma matter) is retiring after this season.
Pacific's top scorer, Lorenzo McCloud noted: 'That was one of my personal goals in the beginning of the year to make sure that coach will be able to leave on a great note. I'm thankful that he can retire in a good way.''
Thomason isn't ready to go quite yet though: ''We're trying to make a better script. This turned out really well.''
Pacific has been playing very stingy defense of late and that's led to seven straight wins. Over their last five games, the Tigers have allowed an average of only 57.8 points. For the season, they're allowing just 63.5.
When a team only gives up 60 or so a game, its often hard to beat them by "two touchdowns."
Note that Miami is only 2-3 ATS its last five against teams which allow 64 or fewer points per game.
The Hurricanes are indeed very good - and they'll likely advance here. However, this is their first time in the tournament in some time - and I believe they'll be feeling some pressure - with many people labeling them as the best team in the country.
Pacific obviously doesn't face nearly the same level of competition. The Tigers have beaten the likes of Xaver and St. Mary's though and they've played at Gonzaga - so they aren't totally unfamiliar with the type of opponent that they'll face here.
Remember, two No. 15 seeds - Lehigh and Norfolk State - won in last year's NCAA tournament. I won't go so far as to call the upset here - but I do think the Canes will be in for a far tougher test than most will be expecting. 9*Comment
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Ben Burns ILLINOIS +1.5
I'm playing on ILLINOIS. The Illini enter the tournament on a bit of a down note and that will likely have many looking to play against them here. I feel that's created very fair value though, as we now essentially just need them to win the game, in oder to get paid.
True, the Illini have lost four of their last six. However, a closer look at those four games shows that they came on a neutral court vs. Indiana and on the road vs. Ohio State, Michigan and Iowa. (The other two games that they won came on a neutral court vs. Minnesota and vs. Nebraska.) With the possible exception of the loss at Iowa, those losses are "forgivable."
Prior to that 2-4 stretch, the Illini had won five in a row, including a win vs. Indiana. Let's keep in mind that this Illini team had wins vs. Ohio State and at Gonzaga (and Butler) earlier in the season. While those came some time ago, they are far more impressive feats than anything the Buffaloes accomplished.
By comparison, Colorado, which lost three of it last five overall, defeated Baylor and Colorado State, arguably their biggest non-conference wins. While I was beaten by a Pac-12 team (Oregon) yesterday, I still maintain that the conference was a little down this year. So, Colorado's conference wins weren't as big, at least in my opinion, as Illinois' wins in the Big 10.
While Colorado was outscored by an average of 65.5 to 62.4 on the road, Illinois outscored opponents by a 68.5 to 66.4 margin on the road.
The Illini are 20-7 ATS their last 27 neutral site games, when the O/U line was in the 120s. I expect them to step up and get it done. 9* annihilatorComment
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