3-27-13

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The Duke's Sports

2 Units San Antonio -7

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SportsAtari NBA 3/27

Bucks +1

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Full court press. Under milk/Phil

ttsolutions. Cleveland

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Jt - bpo

Western Michigan + 5.5

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Vegas runner

Cle/Bos. Over 195

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Tony Del LA Clippers

Phil Villapiano Under 213.5 Golden State

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Seabass Report for Wednesday
All fo a 100 units:
OVER Providence
Weber State
Milwaukee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Youmans Ari +4 3/28/13

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Swami Site Capper

10 Top Side Play · [752] Cleveland Cavaliers
Blue Ribbon Sports Wed Mar 27th, 2013 7:05pm EDT

10 Top Side Play · [783] Providence Friars
Blue Ribbon Sports Wed Mar 27th, 2013 9:00pm EDT

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Wednesday 3/27/13 Plays...

4* 76ERS +1 (4:05PM PST)

---LEGIT PICK'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SMOOTH 44
BYU+6
W MICHIGAN +6
SANTA CLARA +1

NBA
Cleveland +3
memphis P

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Ness
Legend Play, Virginia-4
Santa Clara +1.5
Houston Rockets -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Falco

CBB

Weber St
Over BYU-S Miss

NBA

Heat

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes | NBA Total Wed, 03/27/13 - 8:35 PM Žˆ
dime bet 771 DEN / 772 SAN Under 208.0 5dimes Analysis:

NBA - 771 Denver Nuggets @ 772 San Antonio Spurs




Projected Line: 204 points





We are in front of two teams who are playing below their potential on their last few games. They have been winning most of them, but there's something missing in both teaÍms. San Antonio has been missing some consistency on offense. Tony Parker has returned to the lineup, but he isn't at 100% physically right now:




"I'm going to do my best to get back to 100 percent" Tony Parker said.




Tim Duncan has been simply amazing, but the Spurs's second unit has been surprisingly struggling as of late. The good news if that the Spurs have regrouped on defense against their awful defensive game against the Cavaliers, as they had defensive ratings of 101.33, 94.18 and 106.52 on their last three games against Golden State, Utah and Houston: good offensive teams!




On the other side, Denver's offensive machine is also struggling with consistency. Without Ty Lawson, the Nuggets lose their fastest player, their best dribble penetrator and their best outside shooter. Andre Miller is a good floor general, but he is a veteran and so, he is much slower than Lawson. Denver's outside shooting has been very inconsistent as well, as they are very predictable on offense without Lawson and so, San Antonio should be able to do a good defensive job today. The only problem the Spurs's defense has been having lately is on their 3pts defense with 45.2% 3pts allowed on their last 10 games, but Denver isn't a good outside shooting team. On the other hand, Denver's defense has been an elite unit on their last 10 games, excluding their last game in New Orleans, where they came out flat and with no energy. The Spurs's offense has been very inconsistent lately and so, I expect Denver to perform a good defensive bounce back today. Therefore, I don't expect this game to be similar to the first two games between these two teams this season that had 226 and 218 points. I expect a relatively low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 771/772 Under 208 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5dimes


Pick Made: Mar 27 2013 2:02PM PST

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Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Wed, 03/27/13 - 7:05 PM Žˆ
dime bet 754 CHL -2.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 753 ORL Analysis: NBA - 753 Orlando Magic @ 754 Charlotte Bobcats



Projected Lines: Charlotte by 6 points





This game might actually be a fun one to watch! Orlando is now playing without Nikola Vucevic and so, they are playing super small small. They are coming from a home loss against Miami, where Jameer Nelson and Beno Udrih played together on the backcourt for almost 40 minutes! The Magic had 31% volume on spot ups, 14% volume on transitions and 20% volume on isolations against the Heat, something normal considering their super small lineups. They will now playÆ at Charlotte and I believe Kemba Walker is going to have a big game against them tonight, as he won't have problems into penetrating into the basket against a poor Magic defense with no big bodies on the court and with no defensive worries at all. Charlotte's offense is mostly based on pick and rolls plus transition plays and considering Orlando's poor pick and roll defense and terrible transition defense (1.25 PPP allowed on their last 10 games), the Bobcats have a great chance of having a big offensive game tonight.




Charlotte's defense is an overall very poor unit, but their perimeter defense is especially poor. However, Orlando isn't a great outside shooting team, especially since Arron Afflalo got injured. Therefore, I believe Charlotte is going to comfortable win this game. Even though this has possibly gone under the radar for a lot of people, the Bobcats have been playing quite nicely recently for their usual level. They defeated Washington and Toronto at home, while they lost against Detroit down the stretch. I believe this will be a very fast paced game, with both teams using very small lineups, but with Charlotte taking advantage of Orlando's defensive problems with Kemba Walker having a big game tonight. Considering the fact that the Bobcats have been playing better than Orlando lately, they have a big edge on pick and rolls with Kemba Walker tonight and they play at home, I believe they will have a surprisingly comfortable win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 754 Charlotte Bobcats (-2,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker


Pick Made: Mar 27 2013 3:18PM PST

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Andre Gomes | NBA Total Wed, 03/27/13 - 7:35 PM Žˆ
dime bet 759 MEM / 760 NYK Under 186.0 Bookmaker.com Analysis:
NBA - 759 Memphis Grizzlies @ 760 New York Knicks




Projected Line: 182 points





Memphis defeated Boston at home without Marc Gasol by playing small ball, while pushing up the pace against the undersized Celtics. Then, they went to Washington DC to face the Wizards without Nene Hilario and their strategy was the same from the previous game, with defensive specialist Tony Allen playing just 16 minutes, with Jerryd Bayless playing 28 minutes coming off the bench! However, things didn't work well for the Grizzlies, as John Wall had an insane performance and torched Memphis apart.




Therefore, the Grizzlies are in bounce back mode tonight and they will have a much easier matchup for them, as the Knicks don't have someone like John Wall at the PG position. In fact, they have one of the slowest backcourt units with Raymond Felton, Pablo Prigioni and Jason Kidd. The Knicks are known for theÆir spot up shooting, but they won't be very lucky tonight, as Memphis's perimeter defense has been ridiculously good lately by allowing just 26.3% 3pts on their last 10 games (#1 in the league). Besides that, the Knicks's key offensive players won't have easy individual matchups. J.R. Smith had a dream matchup last night in Boston against Jason Terry and Jordan Crawford, while he will have to face Tony Allen tonight. On the other hand, Carmelo Anthony will also have a tough opponent in Tayshaun Prince.




On the other hand, the Grizzlies's offense loses a lot without Marc Gasol. He is the team's best post up player and he would have had a field day tonight, as the Knicks's post up defense is quite poor without Tyson Chandler. The Grizzlies will try to explore their size edge over the Knicks on the frontcourt, but Zach Randolph and Ed Davis are raw on offense and they're prone to take some really poor shots, even though they have a lot of hustle and then grab a lot of rebounds as well. The Knicks's defense should be good enough to stop the Grizzlies's average offense, who will be deeply missing Marc Gasol tonight. I expect a very slow paced game in here, as the Knicks have been playing at a ridiculously slow pace lately and Memphis is comfortable with that kind of game, while the Grizzlies should make a great defensive job on the Knicks's offense tonight, but they should struggle on offense on their own without their best playmaker on the court tonight. Therefore, I expect a very low scoring game tonight and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 759/760 Under 186 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker


Pick Made: Mar 27 2013 3:18PM PST

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Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Wed, 03/27/13 - 8:05 PM Žˆ
dime bet 764 MIN 5.0 (-110) Bodog vs 763 LAL Analysis:
NBA - 763 Los Angeles Lakers @ 764 Minnesota Timberwolves




Projected Line: LA Lakers by 1 point





The Lakers will be playing tonight without Metta World Peace, so they will use an undersized starting backcourt formed by Kobe Bryant, Jodie Meeks and Steve Nash. This will be a good matchup for Minnesota, who also uses a 3-guards rotation on their starting lineup. With the Lakers's defense being lazy and having no foot speed, Minnesota's guards will be able to attack off the dribble, while having good edges on pick and roll ball handler plays and transitions on tonight's game. Minnesota will also have another clear edge on turnovers, as the Lakers are very prone to commit them and the Wolves have been very good on pressuring the opposing ball handler and then easily score on fast breaks.




Even though the Lakers easily defeated the Wolves in the first two games of the season, the truth is that I don't expect the same to happen tonight. The first contest was weird, as Minnesota had better FG% number than the Lakers but got completely outrebounded by the LA team. On the second contest, Andrei Kirilenko didn't play and Nikola Pekovic got injured and played just 9 minutes, so the Timberwolves couldn't be competitive. This time, I expect the Wolves to take advantage of the Lakers's poor backcourt defense to torch them with their small ball, turning this game into a very competitive one. Therefore, I'll be taking Minnesota tonight.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 764 Minnesota Timberwolves (+5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada


Pick Made: Mar 27 2013 3:19PM PST

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Andre Gomes | NBA Total Wed, 03/27/13 - 8:05 PM Žˆ
dime bet 765 IND / 766 HOU Under 197.0 Bodog Analysis:
NBA - 765 Indiana Pacers @ 766 Houston Rockets




Projected Line: 193 points





Houston has been improving on defenseÆ lately and this has been noted on several areas. They are having better defensive numbers on FG%'s allowed, while they are also rebounding better on their own basket. Meanwhile, they are also taking their opponents to the free throw line less times. Their transition defense is also improving a lot lately and they have allowed just 8, 6 and 7 fast break points on their last three games! They will now face a Pacers team that would be a horrible matchup for them if David West was playing, but without him the Rockets's defense should be able to do a nice job today.




Without West, Indiana's offense is a lot more predictable. To make things worse for them, George Hill is also banged up and so, only Paul George has the skills and the physical condition to have a good offensive game tonight. On the frontcourt, Roy Hibbert should also have a tough matchup against Omer Asik. On the other side, Indiana's defense is a tough matchup for Houston's offense who has a super volume of their shots at the rim and from the 3pts line, two areas where the Pacers's defense is an elite team. The Pacers are also #1 in the league on transition defense and #4 on isolation defense, so they have indeed the perfect defense to stop the Rockets's offense tonight. On a matchup between a top offensive team and a top defensive team, I believe Indiana will make a great defensive job, while struggling on offense, so I expect this game to be a low scoring game. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 765/766 Under 197 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada


Pick Made: Mar 27 2013 3:19PM PST

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Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Wed, 03/27/13 - 10:35 PM Žˆ
dime bet 775 SAC 9.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 776 GSW Analysis:
NBA - 775 Sacramento Kings @ 776 Golden State Warriors




Projected Lines: 217 points | Golden State by 6 points





The Warriors are coming from an excellent home win against the Lakers, but where for the second game in a row they disappeared during the fourth quarter. The Lakers's defense offered the Warriors's offense a dream matchup, as they were able to do whatever they wanted with their guards: 9-19 FG and 0.95 PPP on pick and roll ball handler plays; 1.12 PPP on spot up plays; 7-8 FG and 1.50 PPP on cuts! The good news for Golden State in that game was that their poor perimeter defense wasn't exposed by the Lakers, who dished just 17 assists during the whole game!




The main difference for tonight's game is that Sacramento will be a much tougher opponent on offense than the Lakers were last Monday night. The Kings have been shooting extremely well from the perimeter and they will exposed the Warriors's poor perimeter defense without much trouble, especially on a letdown spot for Golden State. DeMarcus Cousins is coming from a poor game against Philadelphia where he shot just 3-9 FG, so I believe he will bounce back today and he has a good matchup to do it as well.




I expect this contest to be a fast paced game, with both teams taking advantage of their good offense and their opponent's poor defense to have great offensive games. Therefore, I expect this contest to be a pure shootout and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. On the other hand, I don't trust Golden State to cover blowout lines, as their defense isn't good enough to allow them to have big wins most of the times. Sacramento is a good offensive team and they'll clearly outplay Golden State's defense tonight, especially with the Warriors being on a clear letdown spot after their big win over the Lakers. Therefore, IÆ'll be taking the Kings in here as well.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 775/776 Over 213 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 775 Sacramento Kings (+9) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker


Pick Made: Mar 27 2013 3:20PM PST

©2010 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Total Wed, 03/27/13 - 10:35 PM Žˆ
dime bet 775 SAC / 776 GSW Over 213.0 Bookmaker.com Analysis:
NBA - 775 Sacramento Kings @ 776 Golden State Warriors




Projected Lines: 217 points | Golden State by 6 points





The Warriors are coming from an excellent home win against the Lakers, but where for the second game in a row they disappeared during the fourth quarter. The Lakers's defense offered the Warriors's offense a dream matchup, as they were able to do whatever they wanted with their guards: 9-19 FG and 0.95 PPP on pick and roll ball handler plays; 1.12 PPP on spot up plays; 7-8 FG and 1.50 PPP on cuts! The good news for Golden State in that game was that their poor perimeter defense wasn't exposed by the Lakers, who dished just 17 assists during the whole game!




The main difference for tonight's game is that Sacramento will be a much tougher opponent on offense than the Lakers were last Monday night. The Kings have been shooting extremely well from the perimeter and they will exposed the Warriors's poor perimeter defense without much trouble, especially on a letdown spot for Golden State. DeMarcus Cousins is coming from a poor game against Philadelphia where he shot just 3-9 FG, so I believe he will bounce back today and he has a good matchup to do it as well.




I expect this contest to be a fast paced game, with both teams taking advantage of their good offense and their opponent's poor defense to have great offensive games. Therefore, I expect this contest to be a pure shootout and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. On the other hand, I don't trust Golden State to cover blowout lines, as their defense isn't good enough to allow them to have big wins most of the times. Sacramento is a good offensive team and they'll clearly outplay Golden State's defense tonight, especially with the Warriors being on a clear letdown spot after their big win over the Lakers. Therefore, I'll be taking the Kings in here as well.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 775/776 Over 213 @ -110 / 1.91 on BookmaÆker

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 775 Sacramento Kings (+9) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker


Pick Made: Mar 27 2013 3:20PM PST

©2010 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Wed, 03/27/13 - 10:35 PM Žˆ
dime bet 777 Brooklyn 3.5 (-110) 5dimes vs 778 POR Analysis:
NBA - 777 Brooklyn Nets @ 778 Portland Trailblazers




Projected Line: pk line





This isn't a good spot at all for Portland, who is returning home from a road trip and they have been especially terrible on this spot this season by going 0-5 ATS and 1-4 SU on their first home game against a road trip of at least 3 games: 90-103 vs LAC; 80-99 vs SAC; 125-119 (OT) vs ORL; 98-102 vs PHX; 97-102 vs MEM. But it's not only the spot that is poor for the Blazers tonight, as the Nets offer them a tough overall matchup as well. Brooklyn is the right team to make Portland struggle on the two positions where they've been struggling on defense all season long: Center + Point Guard! Brook Lopez will crush Portland down low, as the Blazers's interior defense is poor and so, no wonder that they are #27 on post up defense with 0.88 PPP allowed this season and 0.91 PPP allowed on their last 10 games. Then, Deron Williams will outplay the rookie Damian Lillard, who is still very raw on defense and has no size to stop Deron's dribble penetrations.




Besides that, Brooklyn will also have a nice rebounding edge tonight due to their bigger size and frontcourt depth. Reggie Evans will also physically punish LaMarcus Aldridge tonight, who has been struggling physically for a while now. Portland's offense depends a lot from their outside shooting nowadays and the only positive factor coming from Joe Johnson's absence is that Brooklyn is starting Keith Bogans at the SG position, who is a very nice defender. In fact, Brooklyn's perimeter defensive has been having nice numbers lately with 37% FG allowed from 16-23 feet and 30% 3pts defense (#2 on theÆ league) on their last 10 games. With the Nets having matchup edges on the PG and Center positions, a rebounding edge, a better bench and with LaMarcus Aldridge struggling physically, I expect Brooklyn to pick up the win today.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 777 Brooklyn Nets (+3,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes


Pick Made: Mar 27 2013 3:21PM PST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie sports

500
charlotte over 198.5
memphis +1
76 over 197.5