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DAVE ESSLER
double dime bet - BYU+3.5 -
Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with the Dodgers Monday.
Tuesday it's the Heat. The deficit is 35 sirignanos.Comment
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Marc Lawrence 100% ATS Perfect NIT Tourney Play!
BYU at Baylor Apr 2 2013 7:00PM
Play On: BYU (Game 767) Note: When BYU battles Baylor in the NIT semifinals Tuesday night the Cougars will be in an enviable role tonight. That's because teams arriving to Madison Square Garden in the semifinal round of this tourney who played each of their previous NIT games at home are 6-13-1 ATS if they own a win percentage of .647 or less on the season, as do the Bears. Making matters worse for these same home loving teams is the fact that they are 1-11 SU and ATS if they scored 75 or more points in their previous game, including 0-9 SUATS if the foe scored less than 80 points in his last game. With Baylor 17-2 SU versus .666 or less opponents this season, and just 4-12 SU and 6-10 ATS versus greater than .666 opponents, we'll grab the points tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on BYU. Thank you and good luck as always.Comment
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Marc Lawrence 100% ATS Perfect NBA Super Play!
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers Apr 2 2013 10:35PM
Play On: Dallas Mavericks (Game 765) Note: When the Mavericks meet the Lakers at the Staples Center Tuesday night in the NBA, Dallas will be looking to avenge a pair of losses suffered earlier this season in this series. That sets the table for tonight's play as the Mavs are 18-4 ATS as road dogs with a win percentage of less than .630 when playing with same season double revenge-exact against a foe off a win. With the Lakers 0-12 ATS on Tuesdays against conference opponents, look for the Mavericks to get their revenge here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Dallas. Thank you and good luck as always.Comment
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NIT Semifinals: What Bettors Need to Know
BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears (-3, 153)
The first of the two National Invitation Tournament semifinal games at Madison Square Garden figures to be a high-scoring and entertaining one. Baylor comes in averaging 93.3 in its three previous NIT wins while Brigham Young is averaging 86.3 and scored 90 points in victories over Washington and Mercer.
BYU, which won NIT titles in 1951 and 1966, leads the all-time series with Baylor, 5-4. The two teams already met once this season with Baylor claiming a 79-64 win on Dec. 21 in Waco. The Bears also defeated the Cougars a year earlier in Provo, 86-83. This marks just the second time in school history that BYU has played a game in April. The Cougars lost to Colorado, 16-10, on April 2, 1903 in Provo. "I encouraged the guys today to score a couple more points than maybe that team did," Cougar coach Dave Rose joked to the Salt Lake Tribune.
TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2
ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (24-11, 16-17-1 ATS): The Cougars looked at the NIT as a chance for redemption and have made the most of it following a 72-69 loss to San Diego in the quarterfinals of the West Coast Conference tournament which snuffed out any chance for an NCAA at-large berth. BYU, which struggled with its 3-point shooting much of the season, connected for a season-best 11 treys in its 79-62 quarterfinal win at Southern Miss on Wednesday and has been hitting on all cylinders offensively in the NIT. BYU finished with 24 assists on its 26 field goals against the Golden Eagles. "We went to six straight NCAA Tournaments before this year, and I don't remember being any more excited than we are right now," Rose told the Salt Lake Tribune. "I mean, this is really good for our team. It is really good for our program." Sophomore guard Tyler Haws leads the Cougars in scoring (21.6) and is shooting 38.4 percent from 3-point range while lanky 6-9 senior forward Brandon Davies (17.8) is an NBA prospect who has 24 career double-doubles.
ABOUT BAYLOR (21-14, 15-15-0 ATS): Like BYU, the Bears come in on a roll offensively. Baylor shot a school-record 69.6 percent (16-of-23) from 3-point range in its 112-66 win over Long Beach State in its NIT opener and finished with 31 assists. The Bears had five turnovers in their 79-68 quarterfinal win over Providence, tying for the fewest in the 10-year Scott Drew coaching era. Senior point guard Pierre Jackson, who leads the Big 12 in scoring (19.7) and assists (6.9), set an NIT record with 16 assists in the Bears' 89-86 second round victory over Arizona State and has scored in double figures in 41 of his last 42 games. Junior forward Cory Jefferson (12.8) leads the Big 12 in field goal percentage (60.3) while 7-1 freshman center Isaiah Austin has 10 double-doubles and ranks third in the Big 12 in rebounding (8.3).
TRENDS:
* Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12.
* Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Over is 6-2 in Cougars' last eight vs. Big 12.
* Over is 9-4 in Bears' last 13 non-conference games.
TIP-INS:
1. Haws, the WCC scoring leader (21.6), has scored 20 or more points in 24 games this season.
2. Baylor G Brady Heslip is shooting 58 percent (30-of-52) from 3-point range in seven career postseason games for Baylor.
3. PG Matt Carlino is averaging 17.7 points, nine assists and 6.3 rebounds in three NIT games for BYU while also connecting on 13-of-29 3-pointers (44.8 percent).
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins (+2.5, 136)
Maryland, which upset No. 1 seed Alabama, 58-57, in the quarterfinals, makes its third appearance in the National Invitation Tournament semifinals. The Terrapins, who captured the 1972 title with wins over Jacksonville and Niagara, fell in the 2005 semis to South Carolina. Maryland has won five of its last six games with the lone loss to North Carolina, 79-76, in the semifinals of the ACC tournament.
Iowa advanced to the NIT semifinals for the first time in school history with a 75-64 victory at Virginia on Wednesday, snapping the Cavaliers' 19-game home win streak. The Hawkeyes have won 10 of their last 13 games and have done so by an average of 13.2 points per game. It's the third meeting between the two schools. Maryland has won both including a 83-65 victory in 1999 in the last meeting.
TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2
ABOUT IOWA (24-12, 23-9-0 ATS): The Hawkeyes, who start just one senior in guard Eric May, are a team to keep an eye on in 2013-14. Since Feb. 6, only Ohio State (11) has more victories than Iowa (10) in the Big Ten. Six of the Hawkeyes' nine losses in Big Ten play were by margins of four points or less including two in overtime and one in double overtime. Junior guard Roy Devyn Marble leads the team in scoring (15.1) and is averaging 25.3 points, 5.3 assists and three steals in three NIT games. Alex Woodbury, a 7-1 freshman center, had 10 points and eight rebounds in the quarterfinal upset of Virginia and figures to play a key role defensively against Maryland 7-1 sophomore center Alex Len, a probable high NBA lottery pick in June. "It's a great challenge for him," Iowa coach Fran McCaffery told Hawkcentral.com. "He's gone against other lottery picks this year. We'll see how it goes. He'll be ready for the challenge."
ABOUT MARYLAND (25-12, 17-12-1 ATS): Maryland hit the 25-win mark for the ninth time in school history and did it with a 10-man rotation that features seven underclassmen. All eyes will be on Len who is coming in off a Alabama game in which he finished with 15 points, 13 rebounds and five blocks. Another sophomore, swingman Dez Wells, leads the team in scoring (13.2) and is averaging 18.3 points in the postseason. Maryland leads the ACC and ranks 10th nationally in field goal percentage defense (38.4) and has held 21 of its 37 opponents to under 40 percent shooting.
TRENDS:
* Hawkeyes are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
* Terrapins are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Big Ten.
* Over is 4-1 in Hawkeyes' last five vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Over is 7-1 in Terrapins' last eight vs. Big Ten.
TIP-INS:
1. Maryland tops the ACC and ranks fourth nationally in rebounding margin at plus-8.7 per game.
2. Iowa has blocked a school-record 178 shots this season.
3. Freshman G Seth Allen, who averaged 7.8 points and 2.3 assists for the Terps, is out for the season after fracturing his hand in practice on March 24.Comment
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See Spot. See Spot Bet: This Week's Best Spot Bet Opportunities
by Jason Logan
Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.
Lookahead Spot
It’s tough to look past your Opening Day opponents, with an offseason of preparation leading up to that series. But in the case of the Los Angeles Angels, a current three-game interleague matchup with the Cincinnati Reds doesn’t hold nearly as much weight as a road trip to Arlington to face the division rival Texas Rangers this weekend.
Not only are the Halos trying to avoid another slow start to the season – going 8-15 in April 2012 – but they’re also out to establish their dominance in the division after getting rolled by Oakland and finishing third in the AL West last year. On top of that, newly-acquired outfielder Josh Hamilton will make his return to Texas after jumping ship to L.A. this winter. The Reds hold great value at home versus an Angels club with bigger fish to fry.
Letdown Spot
The New York Rangers are in danger of sliding out of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference, entering the week with just one win in its last five games and a 3-7 mark in its last 10 overall. The eighth-placed Rangers have a home date against the Winnipeg Jets before a huge home-and-home set against the first-place Pittsburgh Penguins Wednesday and Friday.
That two-game set with the star-studded Pens could leave New York open for a big letdown versus the Carolina Hurricanes Saturday. Carolina is just one point back of N.Y. in the standings entering this week and has three of its next four games at home, including Saturday’s tilt with the Rangers. The Canes will be out to avenge a 2-1 shootout loss in New York two weeks ago.
Scheduling Spot
The Dallas Mavericks are quietly climbing the Western Conference standings thanks to a 4-1 record in their last five games entering this week. The Mavs are just a game and a half behind the eighth-place Utah Jazz and ninth-place Los Angeles Lakers, who Dallas kicks off a busy week against. The Mavericks travel to the Staples Center Tuesday, opening a four-game, six-night road run that takes them to L.A., Denver, Sacramento, and Portland.
The toughest task on this stretch is making the move from sea-level Los Angeles to the thin air of Denver Thursday – a classic spot bet opportunity. The games at Sacramento and Portland are no cake walks either. The Kings are playing their best basketball of the season and the Rose Garden is still one of the NBA’s toughest venues.Comment
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Champions League Betting Notes for Tuesday
European soccer's premier club football competition returns Tuesday and here are four points on each of Tuesday's quarterfinal first legs:
Paris Saint-Germain v Barcelona (+400, +290, -133)
--PSG striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic has been cleared by UEFA to play after getting his two-game Champions League suspension reduced. He has scored two goals and leads the competition with five assists.
--Barcelona manager Tito Vilanova will travel to Paris after receiving cancer treatment in the United States.
--PSG is tied for the best goal differential in the competition, with Juventus, scoring 17 goals and allowing four in eight Champions League games.
--Barcelona has been held scoreless only twice this season in all competitions. Both times coming in the Champions League against Benfica and AC Milan.
Bayern Munich v Juventus (-167, +300, +550)
--Both teams are well ahead of the pack in their domestic leagues. Juventus is nine points up on Napoli in Serie A; Bayern Munich is 20 points ahead of Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga.
--Despite not having a single player with 10 goals, Juventus is tied for second in Champions League scoring with 17 goals.
--Bayern Munich has scored 15 goals in its past five games.Comment
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Hondo 4/12/2013 Mrs. Niese’s lucky skivvies did the trick yesterday for the Mets, which helped enable Hondo, who also scored with the Sawx and Nats, to vault into the wonderful world of positive digits at 75 monbouquettes.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch is whirling with Darvish in Houston 10 units on the Rangers to make the ’Stros look like the division doormats they’re supposed to beComment
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NBA
Hot Teams
-- Washington won its last seven home games. Bulls won four of their last five games overall (5-0 last five U).
-- Heat won 29 of last 30 games (3-1 last four HF). New York won last eight games, was underdog in four of them.
-- Dallas won four in row, 10 of last 13 games (13-3 last 16 U). Lakers won seven of last eight at home (4-6 last ten HF).
Cold Teams
-- None.
Totals
-- Over is 7-1-1 in Chicago's last nine games.
-- Five of last seven Knick games went over the total.
-- Last six Maverick games went over the total.
Back-to-backs
-- None.Comment
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CBB
Baylor (-7) beat BYU 79-64 Feb 21 in Waco, after falling behind 19-8 in first 8:00; Bears made 9-18 from arc- they've lost six of last seven road-neutral contests, with only win in stretch by 3 at West Virginia. BYU is 4-3 in last seven road/neutral games, winning at Southern Miss by 17 to get here. Cougars lost by 21 at Iowa State in its other game vs Big X foe.
Iowa lost by 16 at Va Tech in November, won by 11 at Virginia to get here, their two games vs ACC opponents; Hawkeyes won 10 of last 13 games, splitting last six road/neutral games. Inexperienced Iowa (#294 in experience) subs a lot (#34 in bench minutes). Maryland won five of last six games, losing by 3 to UNC in ACC tourney- they beat N'western by 20 in only game vs ACC foe. Mayrland is #322 in experience but they sub a lot too (#37 in bench minutes).
East Carolina won eight of last ten games but this is first time they'll be on road in this tournament; Pirates are #40 team in experience in nation, are 4-3 in last seven road/neutral games. Weber State should've been in NCAAs- they were best team in Big Sky. Wildcats won 17 of last 18, with only loss by 3 at Montana in Big Sky title game- their close win at Northern Iowa last game is very impressive. Weber has won 14 in a row at home since losing to BYU before Christmas.Comment
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MLB
Hot pitchers
-- Estrada is 5-2, 2.77 in his last eight starts.
-- Cahill was 4-1, 2.36 in five starts last September. Garcia is 3-0, 2.49 in his last four starts.
-- Price is 4-0, 2.68 in his last five starts (2-0, 0.40 vs O's LY (3 starts)).
-- Dickey is 5-2, 2.62 in his last eight starts.
-- Darvish is 4-1, 2.32 in his last seven starts. Harrell was 1-2, 2.70 in his last three starts LY.
-- Iwakuma was 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts LY (0-2, 7.36 vs A's).
Cold pitchers
-- de la Rosa was 0-2, 11.81 in three starts LY.
-- Bumgarner is 2-3, 6.57 in his last five starts (4-1, 2.34 last five vs LA). Ryu is making major debut here after pitching his whole career in Korea.
-- Hammel is 0-5, 5.22 in his last eight starts.
-- Masterson is 0-3, 6.11 in his last five starts (1-0, 0.60 vs Jays LY (2s)).
-- Parker is 2-2, 4.74 in his last four starts (1-1, 5.40 vs M's).
Totals
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Estrada's last five road starts.
-- Over is 7-4 in Garcia's last eleven starts.
-- Four of last five Bumgarner starts went over total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Price's last six starts.
-- 10 of Dickey's last 13 starts stayed under the total (NL starts).
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Harrell starts.
-- Five of last six Parker starts stayed under the total.
Umpires
-- Colo-Mil-- Over is 6-1-1 in Vanover's last eight games behind plate.
-- StL-Az-- Underdogs are 8-6 in Iassogna's last fourteen games.
-- SF-LA-- Over is 19-4-1 in Emmel's last 24 games behind plate.
-- Tex-Hst-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Nauert games.
-- Sea-A's-- Home teams won last five Hernandez games.Comment
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NHL
Hot teams
-- Islanders won four of last five games.
-- Capitals won four of last five away games.
-- Senators won six of their last eight games.
-- Penguins won last 15 games, haven't allowed a goal in last three.
-- Lightning won last four home games, scoring 15 goals.
-- Kings won three of their last four games.
Cold teams
-- Jets lost last three games, outscored 11-3.
-- Hurricanes lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Bruins are 3-5 in last eight games, but won five of last six at home.
-- Buffalo lost its last four games, scoring eight goals.
-- Panthers lost last three road games, scoring three goals.
-- Avalanche lost nine of its last eleven games. Nashville lost last three, allowing 11 goals.
-- Coyotes lost eight of their last nine games.
Totals
-- Six of last eight Winnipeg games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Carolina games; over is 3-1-1 in last five Washington games.
-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Boston games.
-- Under is 9-0-1 in last ten Pittsburgh games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Florida games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Nashville home games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Los Angeles games.
Series records
-- Islanders won three of last four games with Winnipeg.
-- Capitals won five of last seven visits to Raleigh.
-- Bruins won 12 of last 13 games against Ottawa.
-- Penguins won nine of last eleven games with Buffalo.
-- Lightning won its last seven games with Florida.
-- Avalanche lost their last six visits to Nashville.
-- Kings won seven of last nine games with Phoenix.
Back-to-backs
-- Islanders are 0-5 if they played night before. Winnipeg is 3-2 playing second straight night on road, 2-1 if they lost first night.
-- Carolina is 4-2 if it played night before, 0-1 at home.
-- Nashville is 3-2 if it lost night before. Colorado is 1-4 if it played the night before.Comment
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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
04/02/13 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 3902-1363 (.741)
ATS: 1900-1924 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 5268-5584 (.485)
Over/Under: 633-596 (.515)
Over/Under Vary Units: 728-729 (.500)
National Invitation Tournament
Semifinals at Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Baylor 80, Byu 78
Iowa 67, Maryland 66
CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament
Championship at Cedar Falls, IA
WEBER STATE 77, East Carolina 69Comment
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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
04/02/13 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 720-344 (.677)
ATS: 579-513 (.530)
ATS Vary Units: 1446-1276 (.531)
Over/Under: 563-529 (.516)
Over/Under Vary Units: 746-673 (.526)
WASHINGTON 92, Chicago 91
MIAMI 104, New York 93
L.A. LAKERS 107, Dallas 105Comment
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