4-7-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Iwakuma vs Sale
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.67 units)

The White Sox won this afternoon's game 4-3 over Seattle, after the Mariners had won Friday night's opener 8-7. The Mariners are 3-3 now after splitting their opening 4 game series with Oakland. The Mariners have scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their 6 games, and are averaging 4 runs per game so far this year. The White Sox are 3-2 on the season, and they've scored 18 runs over their 5 games (just 3.6 runs per game). Sunday's starter for Seattle will be Hisashi Iwakuma who pitched 6 innings giving up 2 hits and 1 earned run in a win over Oakland in his first start of the year. Last season as a rookie he was 9-5 with a 3.16 ERA, .248 opponents batting average (OBA) and a 1.28 WHIP. Chicago will send Chris Sale to the mound. Sale went 7.2 innings allowing 7 hits but 0 earned runs (7 strikeouts and 1 walk) in a 1-0 victory over Kansas City in his first start. He is looking to have another great season after going 17-8 last year with a 3.05 ERA, .235 OBA and 1.14 WHIP. He was even better at home last year with a 9-3 record, 2.30 ERA, .215 OBA, and 0.98 WHIP. Note that dating back to last season the UNDER is 12-5-3 in the Mariners last 20 games vs a left handed starter. The UNDER is 37-18-3 in the White Sox last 58 games vs a right handed starter and 7-3 in Sale's last 10 starts overall. We've got two very solid pitchers on Sunday and two teams that aren't doing too much damage with the bats right now early in the year. I'm on the UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

English Breakfast: Premier League Betting Notes

Here's a quick look at this week's round of fixtures in the English Premier League. The home/draw/away lines are all courtesy of americas bookie.

Sunday, April 7:

Liverpool v West Ham -300 +425 +800

Fifteen of Liverpool's last 16 games have gone over 2.5 goals. West Ham has a joint-worst nine away goals on the season and it will be without striker Andy Carroll (loan complication).

Tottenham v Everton -117 +275 +300

Tottenham have not won a game without Gareth Bale scoring a goal since a 3-1 win over Reading on New Year's day.

Chelsea v Sunderland -300 +400 +900

Sunderland has conceded at least two goals in its last five away matches. Chelsea has defeated Sunderland in the previous four meetings.

Newcastle v Fulham +105 +240 +260

Newcastle has won its last three Premier League home matches versus Stoke, Southampton, and Chelsea. Fulham is unbeaten in its last five Premier League matches.

Queens Park Rangers v Wigan +130 +240 +210

QPR has scored at least two goals in its last four matches. Eight of Wigan's last nine away matches have gone over 2.5 goals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ACCU-SCORE SOCCER

Written by Shahan Ahmed
Director’s Football - Pick of the Week

(1) Queens Park Rangers to win at 2.420 over Wigan Athletic
QPR is deep in the relegation battle, and Harry Redknapp’s Rangers army may not have enough to beat a top side, but even this shambolic side can win at home against a fellow relegation contender. I was clear to say that they can win, not that they will win. However, the computer feels quite strongly that Queens Park Rangers will win.

The computer favors QPR to win by an average score of 2-1. Further, Rangers won 57 percent of the 10,000 simulations. With bookies calculating 40.5 percent value on a QPR win based on public odds, there is value on this pick. Also with the payoff at 2.42, this a good return on investment. Sure, take ‘Arry and Queens Park Rangers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS

OKC Thunder

Milw Brewers

Texas Rangers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Weather Report: Winds Blowing out in Philly

A look at notable weather for today's games around the majors. Domes will likely be closed in Toronto and Milwaukee.

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Site: Great American Ball Park

There could be a few showers with a 40 percent precipitation. Game-time temperatures will be in the low-60s and winds will blow from left field to right field around 10-15 mph.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Site: Citi Field

Winds will blow out to left-center around 19 mph. Skies will be partly cloudy with temperatures in the mid-50s.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants
Site: AT&T Park

Skies will be partly cloudy and winds will blow out to right-center field at 14 mph. Temperatures should be in the high-50s.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Site: Dodger Stadium

Mostly sunny skies and a game-time temperature around 70. Winds will blow out to right field around 12 mph.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
Site: Coors Field

Forecasts are calling for isolated thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the low-60s and winds at 7 mph from left field to right field.

Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles
Site: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Strong winds blowing to dead-center at around 17 mph. Skies will be partly cloudy with temperatures in the mid-60s.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
Site: Rangers Ballpark in Arlington

Winds will blow in from right field around 19 mph. Mostly cloudy skies and game-time temperatures in the mid-70s.

Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Site: Citizens Bank Park

Partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low-60s. Winds will blow out from home plate to dead center at 19 mph.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lakers at Clippers: What Bettors Need to Know

Los Angeles Lakers at Los Angeles Clippers (-5, 203)

The Los Angeles Clippers attempt to finish off a four-game season sweep of the Los Angeles Lakers as well as clinch the Pacific Division title when the teams square off at the Staples Center on Sunday afternoon. The Clippers will sew up their first division crown with either their next victory or Golden State’s next loss. The Lakers are a half-game ahead of the Utah Jazz for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

The Lakers have won three consecutive games after edging the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Utah holds the tiebreaker edge so Los Angeles has to win one more game than the Jazz to claim the postseason berth. The Clippers had lost four of five games before posting a 126-101 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. They are battling Denver and Memphis for the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference and also trying to regain their earlier form that saw him rattle off 17 consecutive wins. “We’re going to have to up our level of play here at the end of the season and there’s a responsibility that goes with that for everybody,” Clippers coach Vinny Del Negro said.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE LAKERS (40-36): The fear of missing the playoffs has fueled a solid late-season run that has seen Los Angeles go 23-11 since being eight games under .500 in late January. Guard Kobe Bryant has challenged his teammates with both his play and his words and the supporting class received the messages. “These are must-win games and I don’t want to go home,” forward Earl Clark said after the Memphis victory. “I want to make the playoffs. I don’t want to be on the Laker team that didn’t make it to the playoffs. I don’t want to be remembered that way.” Clark is averaging 15 points and 8.5 rebounds over the last two games.

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (50-26): Forward Blake Griffin has been battling a calf injury that has hindered his production. Griffin is averaging just 13.4 points and 6.3 rebounds over the past eight games and collected just 13 total rebounds in the last three outings. Griffin has just one double-digit outing on the boards in 12 games. “Blake’s had a softball in his calf for seven games or eight games or whatever it is,” Del Negro said. “He’s been battling through that.” The Clippers last played Wednesday and Griffin was given plenty of rest in the three-day span with no games.

TRENDS:

* Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
* Over is 6-1 in Clippers’ last seven overall.
* Over is 8-0 in the last eight meetings.
* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The Clippers routed the Lakers 125-101 on Feb. 14 after winning the first two meetings by a combined 15 points.

2. Clippers PG Chris Paul is averaging 24 points and 13.7 assists in the three wins over the Lakers.

3. Bryant has missed all 15 of his 3-point attempts over the past four games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday Night Baseball: Angels at Rangers
by Steve Merril

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers (-144, 8.5)

It's an AL West showdown on Sunday Night Baseball as the Rangers host the Angels.

Yu Better Believe It

Yu Darvish makes his second start of the season as he tries to top the one-hitter he threw against the Astros this past Tuesday. Darvish was magnificent against Houston although performances like that will probably be the norm against the Astros’ weak-hitting lineup. Now he takes a step-up in class against the Angels whom he faced six times last season. Darvish allowed 19 runs in those six games with 48 strikeouts. The righty actually had more struggles against Los Angeles at home where he had one of his worst starts of the season back on August 1. Darvish allowed seven runs on four hits and six walks in just five innings in that game which turned into an 11-10 victory.

Dream Weaver

Jered Weaver got a no-decision in his last start despite giving up only a single run and two hits in six innings at Cincinnati on Monday. His problem was the first three innings where he threw 63 pitches which was the reason why he couldn't go deep into the game. Weaver is not the biggest fan of pitching in Arlington, posting a 6.48 ERA in his three starts there last year. Most of that damage came in one outing back on May 13 when he allowed eight runs and 10 hits in just over three innings. He beat the Rangers on September 28 in Arlington after yielding only two runs and five hits in seven innings.

Injury Report

The injury reports for these two teams are relatively clean. The Angels are without Ryan Madson who is recovering from Tommy John surgery. He'll be big for their bullpen when he returns. Texas has a few key names that aren't available right no, including pitchers Colby Lewis, Joakim Soria, and Neftali Feliz who is expected to be out until early August due to ligament transplant surgery. The former Royals' closer, Soria, hopes to be back by late May after undergoing his own Tommy John surgery. Finally, Lewis also had elbow surgery and hopes to be back by late May.

Trends

Angels are 20-6 in Weaver's last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record
Under is 35-17-3 in Weaver's last 55 starts vs. a team with a winning record

Rangers are 11-4 in Darvish's last 15 home starts
Over is 5-2 in Darvish's last seven home starts

Hitters to Watch

Mike Trout 6-for-17 vs. Darvish
Albert Pujols 4-for-17 vs. Darvish

Elvis Andrus 23-for-60 vs. Weaver
Adrian Beltre 13-for-65 vs. Weaver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Louisville (-10 1/2) Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Thunder. The deficit is 248 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Cueto is 2-0, 1.98 in his last five starts. Strasburg is 1-0, 2.81 in his last three starts.
-- Samardzija is 2-1, 1.98 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 4-1, 2.63 in his last six starts.
-- Cain is 1-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin is 1-0, 2.81 in his last five starts; bullpen lost all four ND's.

-- Shields is 1-2, 1.27 in his last four starts. Hamels is 4-1, 4.13 in his last nine outings.

-- Verlander is 8-1, 1.47 in his last nine starts.
-- Lester is 1-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.
-- Hammel is 1-1, 3.12 in his last five starts.
-- Price is 4-0, 2.72 in his last six starts. Masterson is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
-- Iwakuma is 4-0, 2.16 in his last four starts. Sale is 3-2, 2.95 in his last six.
-- Anderson is 5-3, 2.44 in his last eight starts. Harrell is 1-2, 1.59 in his last three outings.
-- Darvish is 3-1, 2.00 in his last six starts. Weaver is 2-1, 2.66 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- This is Fernandez' MLB debut; he is 14-2, 2.02 in 27 minor league starts, all at Class A level. Laffey is 1-1, 9.41 in his last five starts.
-- Hudson is 2-2, 4.45 in his last five starts.
-- Gallardo is 1-1, 6.75 in his last four home starts.
-- Wainwright is 1-1, 6.46 in his last three starts.
-- Ryu allowed three runs (one earned) in 6.1 IP in losing his MLB debut, 3-0. Locke is 1-2, 6.63 in his last four starts.
-- Volquez is 2-3, 6.00 in his last six starts.

-- Sabathia is 0-2, 10.38 in his last two starts.
-- Dickey is 1-1, 4.58 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez allowed eight runs, 12 hits in four IP in his only MLB start, last July at Fenway, when he was on the White Sox.

Totals
-- Four of last five Laffey starts went over the total.
-- Last three Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Four of five Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Gallardo starts.
-- Seven of last ten Wainwright starts went over total.
-- Four of five Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Volquez road starts.

-- Five of last six Shields starts stayed under the total.

-- Seven of last nine Sabathia starts went over the total; four of Verlander's last five starts stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in Lester's last ten starts.
-- Last three Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Price starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Mariner games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Harrell starts.
-- Six of last nine Darvish starts stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Cincinnati won three of its last four games. Nationals won four of their first five games.
-- Giants won three of their last four games.
-- Braves won four of their first five games.
-- Arizona won four of its first five games.
-- Colorado won its last four games, scoring 26 runs.
-- Dodgers won last two games, both shutouts.

-- Detroit won its last two games, scoring eight runs both games.
-- Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.
-- Minnesota won three of its last four games.
-- Rangers won three of their last four games.
-- Oakland won its last four games, scoring 28 runs.

Cold teams
-- Miami lost four of its first five games.
-- Cubs lost three of their last four games.
-- Milwaukee lost last four games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Padres lost four of their last five games.
-- Pittsburgh lost four of its first five games.

-- Bronx Bombers lost four of first five games.
-- Angels lost three of their last four games.
-- Indians lost their last three games, allowing 20 runs.
-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.
-- Astros lost their last four games, scoring five runs.

Umpires
-- Wsh-Cin-- Seven of last eight Meals starts went over the total.
-- Mia-NY-- Underdogs are 7-5 in Wolf's last dozen games.
-- StL-SF-- Home teams won seven of last nine Eddings games.
-- Chi-Atl-- Road teams are 9-4 in last 13 Marquez games; underdogs covered four of last five.
-- Az-Mil-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Nauert games.
-- SD-Colo-- Underdogs are 7-6 in Emmel's last thirteen games.
-- Pitt-LA-- Underdogs are 9-6 in last 15 Iassogna games, with four of last five staying under the total.

-- KC-Phil-- Home side won six of last eight Cooper games.

-- Bos-Tor-- Home team won eight of last 12 Davidson games.
-- Sea-Chi-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Danley games.
-- NY-Det-- Last nine O'Nora games and 18 of last 22 stayed under.
-- LA-Tex-- Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Vanover games.
-- Min-Balt-- Under is 13-1-1 in last fifteen Kulpa games.
-- Clev-TB-- Four of last five Miller games went over the total.
-- A's-Hst-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Everitt games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Knicks won last 11 games, covered 11 of last 12. Oklahoma City won six of last seven games, covered five of last six (3-0 last three HF).
-- Grizzlies won four of last five games (3-1 last four F).
-- Wizards won three of last four games (0-4 vs spread last four A).
-- Bulls won six of their last eight games (2-4 last six AF).
-- Jazz won six of last seven games, covered eight of last ten. Warriors won nine of last 12 games (4-1 last five HF).
-- Mavericks won 11 of their last 16 games (5-1 last six AF).

Cold Teams
-- Clippers lost three of their last four games (1-4 last five vs spread at Staples). Lakers won last four games, three by five or less points.
-- Kings lost five of their last six games (0-5 vs spread at home).
-- Boston lost eight of last eleven games (2-8 vs spread last ten).
-- Magic lost 12 of their last 13 games (9-4 last 13 AU). Cavaliers lost ten of their last 11 games (5-1 last six F).
-- Pistons lost 15 of their last 17 games (6-2 vs spread last eight).
-- Hornets lost four of last five games; they're 0-8 vs spread on the road since the All-Star break. Suns lost last seven games (3-0 last three HU).
-- Trailblazers lost their last seven games (1-6 vs spread).

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Thunder games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Clipper games went over the total; last three Laker games all stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Sacramento games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Washington road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Utah games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Hornet games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Dallas games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Washington is 14-4-1 vs spread if it played nite before (0-2 last two).
-- Detroit is 1-5 vs spread at home if it played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Blues won their last three games, allowing five goals.
-- San Jose won its last seven games, allowing ten goals.
-- Blue Jackets won three of their last four games.
-- Panthers won three of their last four games.
-- Buffalo won its last two games, 4-2/4-1.
-- Washington won seven of its last nine games.
-- Blackhawks won three of their last four games.
-- Los Angeles won five of its last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Detroit lost three of its last four home games.
-- Dallas Stars lost four of their last six games.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
-- Ottawa lost its last three games, outscored 11-4.
-- New Jersey lost its last six games, scoring ten goals.
-- Lightning lost four of its last five away games.
-- Nashville lost five of its last six games.
-- Ducks lost six of their last nine games.

Totals
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten St Louis games.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Dallas games.
-- Six of last eight Columbus home games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Florida games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Buffalo-New Jersey games.
-- Eight of last ten Lightning-Washington games went over.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Nashville games.
-- Five of last six Anaheim games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Red Wings won six of last eight games with St Louis.
-- Sharks won seven of their last nine games with Dallas.
-- Minnesota is 3-5 in its last eight visits to Columbus.
-- Senators won 11 of last 12 games with Florida.
-- Devils won four of last six games with Buffalo.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of last 12 games with Washington.
-- Blackhawks won 1-0 in Nashville yesterday, their 4th win in row over Preds.
-- Kings won six of last eight games with Anaheim.

Back-to-backs
-- Florida Panthers are 0-5 if they played the night before.
-- New Jersey is 1-3 at home if it played night before.
-- Tampa Bay is 2-3 if it played the night before. Washington is 3-4, 2-1 at home.
-- Chicago is 8-0 if it played the night before. Nashville is 4-2 if it lost the day before.
-- Los Angeles is 5-1 if it played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

04/07/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 746-353 (.679)
ATS: 595-532 (.528)
ATS Vary Units: 1500-1335 (.529)
Over/Under: 583-546 (.516)
Over/Under Vary Units: 774-694 (.527)

OKLAHOMA CITY 105, New York 96
L.A. CLIPPERS 106, L.A. Lakers 99
BOSTON 96, Washington 91
CLEVELAND 103, Orlando 97
Memphis 102, SACRAMENTO 97
Chicago 95, DETROIT 90
GOLDEN STATE 104, Utah 101
PHOENIX 98, New Orleans 97
Dallas 104, PORTLAND 103

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

04/07/13 Predictions

Season: 217-138 (.611)

DETROIT 3, St. Louis 2
SAN JOSE 3, Dallas 2
Ottawa 3, FLORIDA 2
COLUMBUS 3, Minnesota 2
WASHINGTON 4, Tampa Bay 2
CHICAGO 3, Nashville 2
BUFFALO 3, New Jersey 2
ANAHEIM 3, Los Angeles 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1013-751 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner Sun: Red Sox w/ Lester + 130