4-7-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Reds +105

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Today's MLB Picks

Boston at Toronto

The Red Sox look to bounce back from yesterday's 5-0 loss and take advantage of a Blue Jays team that is 0-5 in its last 5 games after allowing 2 runs or less in its previous game. Boston is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, APRIL 7 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Miami at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Fernandez) 15.189; NY Mets (Laffey) 14.652 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-150); 8 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+130); Under

Game 903-904: Washington at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.461; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.807 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Over

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 14.027; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.981 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Over

Game 907-908: Arizona at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.506; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.638 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); Under

Game 909-910: St. Louis at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.374; San Francisco (Cain) 15.947 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+125); Over

Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 14.457; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 17.334 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3; 7 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-165); Under

Game 913-914: San Diego at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 14.973; Colorado (Chacin) 14.616 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 11 Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 10 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Over

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 13.960; Detroit (Verlander) 16.754 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3; 6 Vegas Line: Detroit (-180); 7 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-180); Under

Game 917-918: Boston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.940; Toronto (Dickey) 14.629 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+110); Over

Game 919-920: Minnesota at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hernandez) 15.689; Baltimore (Hammel) 16.980 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-180); 9 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-180); Under

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 13.943; Tampa Bay (Price) 17.043 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 6 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 7 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-200); Under

Game 923-924: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.049; White Sox (Sale) 15.555 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-170); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+150); Over

Game 925-926: Oakland at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 14.996; Houston (Harrell) 15.324 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Oakland (-155); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+135); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.351; Texas (Darvish) 15.001 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+120); Under

Game 929-930: Kansas City at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 15.355; Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.928 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Ottawa at Florida

The Senators look to build on their 20-6 record in their last 26 games at Florida. Ottawa is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, APRIL 7 Time Posted 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: St. Louis at Detroit (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.068; Detroit 11.364 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-115); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-105); Under

Game 3-4: Dallas at San Jose (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.715; San Jose 11.377 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-200); 5 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+170); Over

Game 5-6: Minnesota at Columbus (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.568; Columbus 11.734 Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-120); 5 Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-120); Under

Game 7-8: Ottawa at Florida (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.183; Florida 11.030 Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-130); Over

Game 9-10: New Jersey at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.912; Buffalo 10.401 Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-120); 5 Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+100); Over

Game 11-12: Tampa Bay at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.209; Washington 12.555 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-150); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under

Game 13-14: Nashville at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.542; Chicago 11.179 Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-185); 5 Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+165); Over

Game 15-16: Los Angeles at Anaheim (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.325; Anaheim 11.589 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NASCAR betting: STP Gas Booster 500

The Sprint Cup Series shifts to Martinsville, Va. for the STP Gas Booster 500 at Martinsville Speedway this Sunday.

Thirty of the last 32 races held at the smallest track (.526 miles) have featured a double-digit number of caution flags.

Hendrick Motorsports teammates Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson lead all active drivers with seven victories each at Martinsville.

Favorite: Jimmie Johnson (+500)

Johnson has seven wins, tying Dover (Del.) International Speedway for his career-best total at a single track on the circuit. A win Sunday would make him the winningest active driver at the half-mile oval. Johnson holds the series’ best driver rating for the track and has finished outside the top-10 only three times in 22 races.

Live dog: Dale Earnhardt Jr. (+1,200)

Earnhardt has never visited Victory Lane at Martinsville in 26 attempts, but Virginia is one of his best tracks statistically. He has led more laps at Martinsville (868) than at any other track and his 14 top-10 finishes there ranks second only to Daytona, where he's posted 15 top 10s.

Long shot: Ryan Newman (+2,500)

Ryan Newman won last year's spring race at Martinsville. After a slow start, Newman has posted a seventh-place finish at Bristol and 10th at Fontana. Newman has one win, seven top 5s and 11 top 10s in 22 races at Martinsville.

Key stat: No active driver has scored his or her first Cup win at Martinsville. Also, the race winner at Martinsville has started from the pole 20 times, the most productive starting position of any track.

Notable quotable:

"I remember the first several races I ran there (Martinsville), I ran into everything. I ran into other race cars, walls, pace cars, just about everything that could be ran into, I found it." Dale Earnhardt Jr. on his early history at Martinsville.

Odds to win the STP Gas Booster 500 courtesy of JustBet:
Jimmie Johnson 4/1
Brad Keselowski 6/1
Kyle Busch 6/1
Jeff Gordon 8/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 12/1
Kasey Kahne 12/1
Tony Stewart 12/1
Matt Kenseth 12/1
Kevin Harvick 15/1
Mark Martin 15/1
Carl Edwards 15/1
Clint Bowyer 15/1
Greg Biffle 20/1
Joey Logano 25/1
Ryan Newman 25/1
Martin Truex Jr. 30/1
Kurt Busch 40/1
Brian Vickers 40/1
Jeff Burton 50/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 50/1
Jamie McMurray 60/1
Aric Almirola 60/1
Paul Menard 75/1
Juan Montoya 75/1
Marcos Ambrose 75/1
Danica Patrick 300/1
Regan Smith 300/1
Field 50/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence
Los Angeles Lakers at Los Angeles Clippers Apr 7 2013 3:30PM
Play On: L.A. Lakers

The Lakers and Clippers meet in this cross-town rivalry at the Staples Center Sunday with Kobe and company looking to avenge three losses suffered in this series this season. That sets the table for today's play as .485 or greater teams are 14-5 ATS when seeking same season revenge against the Clippers this campaign, including 3-0 ATS when the Clippers are off a win of more than 20 points. In fact, visiting teams in this identical role are 6-0 ATS in these same games against the Clippers dating back to 1990. With the Lakers in serious must-win mode to make the playoffs, and 7-1 ATS as a dog of more than 2 points from Game 70 out when seeking same season triple revenge-exact, the points become the play here today. We recommend a 3-unit play on the Lakers. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

3-3 MLB

Phillies -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

Cliff Notes - Sunday NL Baseball

Marlins at Mets: There is no chance of me taking Aaron Laffey in this game. He's been on four teams in three years, the Fish CA hit LHP pretty well, and the Mets have no bullpen. Jose Fernandez was the 14th overall pick in the draft last year, but has no experience above "A" ball. The kid DOES have impressive stuff, and starting on the road against a team that hasn't seen him, and with the better bullpen, tells me it's the Marlins or nothing.

Washington at Cincinnati: This may be about as cheap as Strasburg is all year, while perhaps the same can be said about the Reds and Cueto at home. Strasburg has only pitched at Great American once, and it was not a great outing, but that was also back in 2010 and one he likely remembers. Cueto owned the Angels, but what might concern me is that he was over 100 pitches this early in the season. He was 10-3 at home last season, and simply didn't walk many at all. Last year he didn't have a 100+ pitch game until the third game, and lost his second start at home to the Cardinals. Not sure what real bearing that has here, and have to think runs will be at a premium. Then again, it's going to be mild with perhaps a helping R-L breeze.

Cubs at Atlanta: Samardzija may still be under valued, even after the great game in Pittsburgh. And Hudson is Hudson and simply not a young man capable of throwing 100+ pitches and deep, should the Cubs be able to get his pitch count up. The Phillies hit him around pretty good last week, and a couple if the younger Cubs have seen him at least enough to not assume Atlanta is the winner here. Samardzija has pitched well enough against Atlanta to keep the Cubs in this, so I lean Cubs, at the very least the RL, probably.

Arizona at Milwaukee: With Ramirez shelved for some time and Hart out for a while, even more falls on Braun, who is simply not healthy, apparently. Kennedy threw 94 pitches (not a lot for him) in beating St. Louis, only walking one, which against the patient Cardinals is perhaps the most glaring thing for me. Kennedy was 3-0 last April, but helped a ton by offense, as his stats (.299 BAA) wasn't great. Gallardo was lit up by the Rockies, lasting only five innings. And typically in April he's been terrible. So, I lean Arizona and depending on the number, which may be 1/2 run lower because of the starters, over. It's still the Brewers bullpen.

St. Louis at San Francisco: After the first inning, when Cain threw a bunch of pitches, he was a freak and left after six having given up nothing to the Dodgers on the road. But here we've got an entire Cardinal lineup that's had some success against him, so my initial lean is to St. Louis because my guess is that we'll get a decent price on Wainright, who didn't fare well against the D-backs in Arizona. Remember he is coming off Tommy John surgery, and was hit by a ball. Most of the Giants have hit Wainright, however, so perhaps the Giants are the right side. It'll be interesting to see the lineups, especially if Posey is going to be in again. Giants pen has been uncharacteristically off this season. Maybe the unthinkable over if the weather is cooperative and the lineups are right.

Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers: Ryu threw strikes in his debut against the Giants, if nothing else. He didn't walk anyone, but without overpowering stuff did give up 10 hits in six innings, and of course they limited his pitch count as he left throwing only 80. Probably that will happen again. You'd have to think Locke will be a serious underdog here, having given up nine bombs in only 51 Big League innings. He CAN strike people out and keep the ball on the ground when he's right, but there's simply not enough history for me to put my money on the fact that he will.

San Diego at Colorado: Volquez was simply torched by the Mets, not getting past the third inning in New York. I suppose the good news is that his pitch count was down. The Rockies have seen enough of him to make me think it's possible that scenario happens again, as any success he did have last year was a direct result of pitching in Petco. On the road he was just awful, up to and including at Coors Field. Chacin has all the potential in the world, if he can learn how to pitch in this park, which he's really struggled to do. He's pitched well against these current Padres in limited exposure, so PERHAPS the total will be a bit high and PERHAPS we can make a case for the Padres if the price is right.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA CHICAGO at DETROIT

Play Against - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) after 2 or more consecutive losses, in April games
42-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.4% 24.4 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

NBA NEW YORK at OKLAHOMA CITY

Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
92-73 since 1997. ( 55.8% 46.8 units )
2-4 this year. ( 33.3% 2.4 units )

NBA ORLANDO at CLEVELAND

Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ORLANDO) revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets


MLB ARIZONA at MILWAUKEE

Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games
35-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.4% 21.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB OAKLAND at HOUSTON

OAKLAND is 56-36 (+29.6 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.4) , OPPONENT (3.7)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

BASEBALL

OAKLAND - 153 HOUSTON (2PM)

TEXAS/LAA OVER 8.5 +100 (8PM)

NHL

(KINGS RANSOM 2 UNIT PLAY) TB/WASHINGTON OVER 5.5 -125 (7PM)

CHICAGO -180 NASHVILLE (7PM)

NBA

MEMPHIS/SACRAMENTO OVER 197 (6PM)

PERRY ( SOCCER PLAYS)

ITALY

Cagliari (ITA-A) vs Catania (ITA-A) UNDER 2.5-129

Genoa (ITA-A) vs Napoli (ITA-A) OVER 2.5-129

ENGLAND

Fulham (ENG-P) vs Newcastle (ENG-P) UNDER 2.5+104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Point Spread Edge

Memphis At Sacramento +5

The Memphis Grizzlies are still aiming to chase down the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference as they visit the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. Memphis is 1 1/2 games behind the Denver Nuggets with six games left and the Los Angeles Clippers also loom in the hunt. Once the Clippers clinch the Pacific Division crown, they are assured of at least the No. 4 spot, meaning the Grizzlies and Nuggets are battling for home-floor advantage for the opening round.

The Kings are 0-3 on a five-game homestand as they play out what could be their final season in Sacramento. Whether the Kings stay put or gain approval to move to Seattle is expected to be decided later this month. Memphis had won four straight games before falling to the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. The Grizzlies are 3-0 against Sacramento this season, winning the games by an average of 18.3 points.

PREDICTION: Grizzlies 106, Kings 102

Dallas At Portland +3.5

The Dallas Mavericks’ Western Conference playoff hopes are on life support and the Portland Trail Blazers have been eliminated. Dallas can’t afford any more losses as it visits Portland on Sunday. The Mavericks are three games behind the eighth-place Los Angeles Lakers and trail the ninth-place Utah Jazz by 2 1/2 games with six contests remaining. Portland was officially eliminated with a 116-98 loss to Houston on Friday. The defeat was the seventh in a row for the Trail Blazers.

Portland is 10 games under .500 after its disappointing slide. The Trail Blazers wilted when they needed to play with an increased sense of urgency and guard Wesley Matthews openly criticized the club’s lack of heart after Friday’s game. Dallas has made the playoffs in each of the last 12 seasons but time is running out. The Mavericks are 1-2 on a four-game trip that ends against Portland before playing four of their final five games at home. Dallas is 2-1 against the Trail Blazers this season.

PREDICTION: Mavericks 111, Trail Blazers 110

MLB

Mets -130

Royals +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) - 2:10 PM EDT

Pick: Total: 7.5/101 Under

*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks got rid of a lot of offense in the offseason. The Diamondbacks are going to win quite a few games this year because of their pitching staff, but I suspect a lot of those games are going to stay under the total. Ian Kennedy has turned into one of the better pitchers in the National League the past couple years. He has consistently put up nice numbers against everyone. Yovani Gallardo is a solid pitcher, and his numbers against Arizona are nothing short of stellar. Gallardo owns a 1.02 ERA against the Diamondbacks in 6 career starts. Ryan Braun may miss this game again and Aramis Ramirez is definitely out, so the Brewers offense is short-handed. The under is 5-0 in Arizona's last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Gallardo's last 4 starts against the DBacks. The under is 4-1 in Kennedy's last 5 starts against Milwaukee. The under is 7-1-1 in Paul Nauert's (a solid under umpire with a relatively large strike zone) last 9 games behind home plate.)


Handicapper: Kyle Hunter

Cleveland Indians vs. Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) - 1:40 PM EDT

Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/119 Tampa Bay Rays

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cleveland Indians have been dominated so far in this series against Tampa Bay, and I don't see that changing on Sunday. David Price is absolutely dominant at home, and no one on this Indians roster has had much success at all against him. On the other side, Justin Masterson has been horrible when pitching in Tampa Bay. Masterson has an ERA of 8.44 ERA in six games at Tampa Bay. The Rays have had his number, and Price isn't likely to give up many runs in this game. Tampa Bay is almost -200 on the moneyline, and I'll never lay that kind of money in an MLB game, but the run line looks like a great value. This one has a lot of potential to get very ugly. The Rays are 5-0 in Price's last 5 against Cleveland. The Indians are 1-5 in Masterson's last 6 against Tampa Bay. Take Tampa Bay -1.5.

Kyle Hunter

Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros (MLB) - 2:10 PM EDT

Pick: Total: 7.5/108 Under

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Brett Anderson has the stuff to be one of the best pitcher in the American League. When Anderson is healthy he can dominate almost any lineup. He only gave up two runs in this first start of the season and he looked completely healthy. Houston has arguably the worst offense in all of baseball, and it won't surprise me a bit if Anderson complete shuts down the Astros. Lucas Harrell has quietly put together a nice stretch against Houston over the past year. Harrell had a lot of success last year despite pitching on a terrible team. He had an ERA below 2.5 at home last year. Neither offense is strong and both pitchers are consistently good. Take the under.

Kyle Hunter

Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (NBA) - 6:00 PM EDT

Pick: Point Spread: -5.5/-110 Cleveland Cavaliers

*3 Star NBA ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Orlando Magic roster is riddled with injuries right now and their roster didn't have very much talent on it to start with. Jameer Nelson and Arron Afflalo are both out for this one. The Cleveland Cavaliers haven't been playing well at all, but they now have Kyrie Irving back. Irving will be the best player on the court in this game by a mile. Tristan Thompson has been giving the Cavs some good minutes of late as well. There is just too much of a talent gap between these teams to pass this one up. Take Cleveland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Buffalo Sabres -115 over New Jersey Devils
(System Record: 42-3, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 42-31-1

Basketball Crusher
Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 over Dallas
(System Record: 84-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 84-63-4

Baseball Crusher
Washington Nationals -117 over Cincinnati Reds
(System Record: 6-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 6-4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Boca Juniors + Lanus UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 382-14, won last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 382-328-45

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1unit wagers/Steven Kane

Arizona(+100)

Colorado(-144)