4-13-13

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Hondo -

It was a rough day for Sergios. First Garcia shot 76 at Augusta yesterday, then Romo failed miserably in the ninth inning at Wrigley, costing Hondo’s Giants a victory and slashing his earnings to 80 koosmans.


Today, Mr. Aitch will show some solidarity with a fellow-Aitch — 10 units on Harvey and the Metamucils to give Diamond a rough time.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Anaheim at Los Angeles

The Ducks look to build on their 11-1 record in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. Anaheim is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 13 Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Vancouver at Colorado (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.706; Colorado 11.038 Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-165); 5 Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-165); Over

Game 3-4: Philadelphia at Buffalo (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.538; Buffalo 11.063 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Under

Game 5-6: NY Rangers at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.710; NY Islanders 11.202 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-105); Over

Game 7-8: Boston at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.563; Carolina 9.638 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-170); 5 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Under

Game 9-10: Montreal at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.660; Toronto 13.083 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-110); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over

Game 11-12: Tampa Bay at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.396; Washington 12.587 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-170); 6 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-170); Under

Game 13-14: Pittsburgh at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.882; Florida 10.897 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-185); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-185); Over

Game 15-16: Columbus at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.318; Minnesota 11.984 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 17-18: San Jose at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.414; Dallas 10.590 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 19-20: Calgary at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.777; Edmonton 11.573 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 21-22: Anaheim at Los Angeles (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.089; Los Angeles 11.686 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-150); 5 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+130); Under

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Today's NBA Picks

LA Clippers at Memphis

The Clippers look to build on their 3-1-1 ATS record in their last 5 games at Memphis. LA is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 13 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Boston at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.682; Orlando 116.332 Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Milwaukee at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.616; Charlotte 110.386 Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6; 182 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: LA Clippers at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.686; Memphis 125.391 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 186 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 181 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+3 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Phoenix at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 107.431; Minnesota 121.060 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 13 1/2; 195 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 5; 201 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5); Under

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Hockey Crusher
Washington Capitals -165 over Tampa Bay Lightning
(System Record: 46-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 46-33-1

Basketball Crusher
Minnesota Timberwolves + Phoenix Suns OVER 201
(System Record: 87-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 87-66-4

Baseball Crusher
Arizona Diamondbacks -120 over LA Dodgers
(System Record: 10-1, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 10-6

Soccer Crusher
San Lorenzo + Racing Club UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 385-14, won last 2 games and a push)
Overall Record: 385-330-46

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Tigers -125

50* Mets -125

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DAVID BANKS

WEEKEND LEAN SHEET

Milwaukee at Charlotte, Saturday, Apr. 13, 7:00 ET
The Bobcats have suddenly become competitive at home going 5-2 straight up in the last seven games in Charlotte, but the real story is the offense topping 100 points in four of those wins. Also, all three meetings between the Cats and the Bucks this season have easily soared 'over' the total with those games averaging a combined 211.3 points. Milwaukee plays at the third fastest pace in the NBA behind Houston and Denver and its defense is ranked 20th in points allowed at 100.3 per game after surrendering 113 points to the offensively challenged Orlando Magic on Wednesday. The Bucks also allow more rebounds than any other team in the NBA at 45.9 per game, which points to their lack of size. The 'over' is 7-2 in the last nine head-to-head meetings between these teams.
LEAN: OVER

Boston at Orlando, Saturday, Apr. 13, 7:00 ET
The Magic are coming off of a 113-103 home upset of the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday, but Orlando still owns the second worst record in the NBA at 20-59 and this is not a team that pieces together wins very often. Even with that victory, the Magic are 2-13 in their last 15 games and they have not won consecutive games since back in December. The Celtics lost at home to the Nets on Wednesday despite having both Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett in the lineup and this team is in dire need of some momentum entering the playoffs, so Boston might take this opportunity to beat up on an NBA lightweight. Orlando is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 home games following a straight up win.
LEAN: BOSTON

L.A. Clippers at Memphis, Saturday, Apr. 13, 8:00 ET
Both of these teams are winning with defense this season. The Grizzlies lead the NBA in points against as of midweek at just 89.5 per game while ranking fourth in field goal percentage allowed and fourth in three-point defense. Add in an offense that ranks just 26th in scoring and you have a 6-0 'under' run going into a Saturday night date in Houston. The Clippers just clinched their first division title in the history of the franchise, and a great deal of the credit needs to go to a defense that is fourth in points against at 94.8 per game and 10th in field goal percentage allowed at 44.4 percent. Los Angeles may also now start considering giving its starters some rest. The 'under' is 14-6 in the last 20 head-to-head meetings.
LEAN: UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Saturday.... In Bases play Over 7 runs Toronto and Kansas City.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB PHILADELPHIA at MIAMI

Play On - Home teams (MIAMI) poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA >=4.50), with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season
97-53 since 1997. ( 64.7% 41.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB DETROIT at OAKLAND

OAKLAND is 69-44 (+33.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.3) , OPPONENT (3.4)

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HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

BASEBALL

ST LOUIS/MILWAUKEE OVER 7.5 +100 (415PM)

CINCINNATI/PITTSBURGH UNDER 7 +105 (7PM)

ARIZONA -122 LA DODGERS (8PM)

NHL

PHILLY +100 BUFFALO (3PM)

NYI/NYR OVER 5 -120 (7PM)

PERRY ( SOCCER PLAYS)

SPAIN

(PENALTY KICK- 2 UNIT PLAY) Deportivo La Coruna /Levante OVER 2.5 +100 (12PM)

ENGLAND

Fulham/Aston Villa OVER 2.5 -104 (10AM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS DAILY INSIDER'S REPORT

NBA FREE Pick – Memphis vs. LA Clippers for Saturday, April 13th:

Last game: (3/13/13) Memphis (+6) over LA Clippers, 96-85. The Los Angeles Clippers have clinched the Pacific Division, which guarantees them homecourt advantage in the first round. The Grizzlies are hoping to catch Denver and get into the top four in the West. The Clippers visit the FedEx Forum in Memphis to take on the Grizzlies at 8pm on Saturday night.

Pro Basketball Opening Odds: Memphis opened as a 3.5-point betting odds favorite and remained there in most books. The total opened at 184.5 and moved to 182.5 in most books.

Pro Basketball Current Lines: The Grizzlies are a 3.5-point betting odds favorite. The total is 182.5.

Key Betting Trends: Los Angeles Clippers are: 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Memphis is: 26-10 ATS in their last 36 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 37-15 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 0 days rest.

The Los Angeles Clippers usually struggle against teams like Memphis, who love to slow the game down and play halfcourt basketball. Unfortunately for the Clippers, the playoffs are all about halfcourt basketball and "lob city" will not be much of a factor. Memphis averages just 93.6 points per game (26th), but they allow only 89.5 points per game (first in the NBA). Their defense drives them as they allow teams to shoot just 43.8 percent from the field (first) and 33.7 percent from beyond the arc (third).

DeAndre Jordan (6-11, 265) is an athletic specimen but still raw offensively. When the Clippers lost to Memphis on March 13, 96-85, Jordan had just four points and two rebounds, while Marc Gasol led the Grizzlies with 21 points. Memphis point guard Mike Conley scored 17 points and dished out 11 assists in their last meeting against the Clippers. He averages 14.8 points and 6.1 assists this season. Conley is averaging 20.6 points and 5.8 assists in his last 13 games.

The Clippers are a talented club but with several faults. One of them is foul shooting (71.2 percent) as they rank 27th in the NBA. Another weakness is 3-point shooting defense (37.4 percent). They aren't a physical team and that will have issues against a Memphis team that has dominated at home this year (31-8).

Go with Memphis over LA Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Mazzoli 1.5 unit Det/Oak U

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA PHOENIX at MINNESOTA

Play Over - Any team in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (<=33%) after 42+ games
294-186 since 1997. ( 61.3% 89.4 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

NBA LA CLIPPERS at MEMPHIS

Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
112-54 since 1997. ( 67.5% 45.7 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% 3.7 units )

NBA LA CLIPPERS at MEMPHIS

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points revenging a home loss vs opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
73-35 since 1997. ( 67.6% 34.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sports Capper

MLB Baseball Plays

10* Play Oakland +120 over Detroit (TOP MLB PLAY)

Oakland has won 53 of the last 86 home games and they have won 8 of the last 9 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Oakland has won 3 consecutive games as an underdog of +100 or higher and they have won 15 of the last 18 games coming off six consecutive games vs. division opponents.

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Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) White Sox

(5 UNITS) Tigers

(4 UNITS) Phillies RL-1.5

(4 UNITS) Grizzlies -3.5

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Brandon Lang

15 dime Mets - baseball
10 Clippers +3.5 NBA