4-18-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: San Francisco at Milwaukee (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Milwaukee -105 (moneyline) (risk 1.00 to win 0.95)

Yovani Gallardo suffered a tough week when he was stopped for a DUI earlier this week. He has a chance to make those headlines move to the back burner with a good outing this afternoon. The Giants have had problems on offense with an injured Aramis Ramirez and Ryan Braun in a deep slump, and the lineup has suddenly become short. Matt Cain is off to a poor start winless, and pitching to a 5.94 ERA. Gallardo has always been strong at home, and his career numbers vs. the Giants are strong at 5-3 with a 2.96 ERA. Cain has bad numbers vs. the Brew Crew at 3-5 and a 4.50 ERA over his career. Play on the home dog here, and back Milwaukee.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin
MLBPredictions / write-ups

2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Verlander vs Iwakuma
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

This is going to be another great pitching match up to watch. The Tigers go with Justin Verlander tonight who is 2-1 on the season with a 1.96 ERA, .206 OBA and 1.15 WHIP. Last year he was 17-8 with a 2.64 ERA, .217 OBA and 1.06 WHIP. Hisashi Iwakuma will be on the mound for Seattle and he is 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA, 1.29 OBA, and 0.48 WHIP through three starts. Those are unbelievable numbers through three starts, and what makes them even better is that he was facing some good hitting teams in Oakland, Chicago, and Texas. Last year he was 9-5 with a 3.16 ERA, .248 OBA and 1.28 WHIP. These two teams played a long extra innings game last night with Detroit coming out on top 2-1. In that game there were 40 strikeouts, which wasn't far off the record of 43. Given that today's game is an afternoon game I wouldn't be surprised if either team rested a guy or two. Take note that Seattle has scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games. With these two pitchers I expect another very low scoring game. Take the UNDER.

2 UNIT = Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays - WHITE SOX TO WIN (+113)
Listed Pitchers: Sale vs Dickey
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.26 units)

The Chicago White Sox are 7-8 on the season as they've taken 2 straight against Toronto. The Jays won the first game 4-3 on Monday but Chicago has since won 4-3 and 7-0 last night. Toronto is now just 6-9 on the season. The Blue Jays have been without their slugger Jose Bautista due to some back problems, and without him or Jose Reyes it has really hurt them offensively. They are averaging just 3.6 runs per game. Brett Lawrie is back in the lineup but it seems his timing is off coming back from an injury. Tonight won't get any easier for the Blue Jays hitters as they face Chris Sale. Although he struggled his last time out and is 1-1 with a 5.21 ERA on the season, he went 17-8 with a 3.05 ERA last season. The Blue Jays will have their ace RA Dickey on the mound who pitched his first good start of the season in Kansas City last time out. he is 1-2 with a 5.82 ERA on the season. Note Chicago is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Toronto. This one comes down to the White Sox doing much better at the plate right now, and I like them with an underdog price tag behind Sale.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoopsgooroo 4/18

[952] Milwaukee Brewers +101 vs San Francisco Giants
[970] Chicago Cubs +129 vs Texas Rangers
[954] Colorado Rockies -118 vs New York Mets
[961] Detroit Tigers -160 vs Seattle Mariners
[972] New York Yankees -124 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
[967] Boston Red Sox UNDER 7.5 +107 vs Cleveland Indians
[968] Cleveland Indians +120 vs Boston Red Sox
[963] Chicago White Sox -103 vs Toronto Blue Jays
[965] Tampa Bay Rays -133 vs Baltimore Orioles
[956] Philadelphia Phillies +100 vs St Louis Cardinals
[960] Cincinnati Reds -172 vs Miami Marlins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Braves Wednesday.

Thursday it’s the Tigers. The deficit is 264 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Landau here with 2 early MLB:

MILW +101
OVER 6.5 +100 det vs sea

Note: Play ON Gallardo if the Brewers lost his previous start, and he also lasted less than 7 Innings in at least 2 of his last 3 Outings. In this situation MIL = 18-2. Also the Brewers = 24-8 at Home if their previous 3 results were 'LWW'.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

MLB Baseball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

MLB | Apr 18 '13 (7:05p) Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays -121 at 5dimes
20* AL Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -121 Rarely will you ever get 2012 AL Cy Young winner David Price at this kind of price all season. I'm going to take full advantage and back him and the Rays to beat the Baltimore Orioles in the Game 3 grudge match tonight. The left-hander is undervalued due to a slow start this season. Price was rocked by Cleveland before refocusing in his last start, allowing just one earned runs over 6 innings while striking out 8 in a 1-2 loss at Boston. Price is 6-2 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.076 WHIP in 13 career starts against Baltimore. In his last five starts against the Orioles, Price has allowed just 4 earned runs in 35 innings for a miniscule 1.03 ERA. Price is 20-5 (+13.2 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. Tampa Bay is 20-5 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. The Rays are 26-8 in Price's last 34 starts as a road favorite. Bet Tampa Bay Thursday.

MLB | Apr 18 '13 (7:05p) Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates	Atlanta Braves -116 at 5dimes
15* NL Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -120 The Atlanta Braves have been the best team in the big leagues through the first two weeks of the season. I'll gladly back them at this price against the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight as they continue to roll. Atlanta's top pitching prospect, Julio Teheran, had one of the best springs of any starting pitcher in the league. He went 3-1 with a 1.04 ERA while striking out 35 batters in 26 innings. After a slow start to the regular season, he is being undervalued here. There's no question that Teheran is the better starter on the mound tonight, and that will show by game's end. Pittsburgh's Jeff Locke is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.545 WHIP through two starts this season, so it's not like he's been mowing down everyone, either. This play falls into a system that is 35-8 (81.4%) since 1997. It tells us to bet against home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - poor fielding team - turning 0.8 or less DP's/game on the season., after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent. Take the Braves Thursday.

MLB | Apr 18 '13 (7:05p) Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Total 7½ un-109 at 5dimes

15* AL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Orioles UNDER 7.5 The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles. While I believe the Rays have the edge on the mound and will win this game, I look for them to do it in a low-scoring contest because Baltimore also has a solid starter going. 2012 AL Cy Young winner David Price got off to a slow start this season against Cleveland, but he bounced back by allowing just one earned run over 6 innings in a 1-2 loss at Boston last time out. Price is 6-2 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.076 WHIP in 13 career starts against Baltimore. He has allowed just 4 earned runs over 35 innings for a 1.03 ERA in his last five starts against the Orioles. While Miguel Gonzalez is no match for Price, he's certainly one of the more underrated starters in the league. Gonzalez has gone 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA through his first two starts this season after going 9-4 with a 3.25 ERA in 15 starts and three relief appearances for Baltimore last season. He is also 2-1 with a 3.49 ERA in five career starts against Tampa Bay. The Rays are 50-24 UNDER (+22.7 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons. Baltimore is 31-16 UNDER (+12.4 Units) after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The UNDER is 32-14-5 in Rays last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The UNDER is 11-3 in Gonzalez's last 14 starts overall. Roll with the UNDER in this game Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RickJ's Handicapping Picks Thursday MLB Plays
Milwaukee +101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner:

*** NHL 3* TRUE STEAM ***

SENATORS -115....(3*)...via The Š CANADIAN

**** MLB 3* TRUE STEAM GAME OF THE WEEK ****

RAYS -130....(3*)...Listed

Projection = TBAY 4.01 to BAL 3.32

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookiesmonster -
Red Sox @ Indians Over 7.5 1.91 / William Hill Triple Dime Bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney

30 Dime MLB Dog of the Day

Indians ml no listing,

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella | MLB Money LineThu, 04/18/13 - 7:05 PM

double-dime bet

967 BOS (-130) Justbet vs 968 CLEAnalysis:2* on the RED SOX

Lester & Mcallister Must Start

Thursday MLB Team Total
BOSTON RED SOX OVER 4 RUNS
Boston thriving off RH pitching, as they have the 2nd best OPS and 3rd best .AVG so far this season, vs right-handed hurlers - - - Nice weather pattern here too, and the Tribe not a great bullpen. This is definitely my favorite team total for today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella | MLB ML - Thursday, Apr 18 2013 7:10PM
ML 960 CIN -155 vs 959 Mia single-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SAM MARTIN 20* MLB Vegas Inferno (5-1 RUN)


Boston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

big al

5* total of month

cin/mia under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

POD

Texas Rangers